Thursday, May 16, 2013

Eye on Iran: Senators Urge Obama to Press Iran by Increased Sanctions










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Top Stories

Bloomberg: "Members of Congress from both parties urged Obama administration officials to impose greater economic pressure to curtail Iran's nuclear ambitions and punish its human-rights violations. Senator Robert Menendez, chairman of the Foreign Relations Committee and sponsor of several Iran sanctions laws, cited estimates that the global oil market has enough supply to let the U.S. press Iran's remaining oil buyers to radically curtail their purchases without causing a surge in gasoline prices. 'Oil markets are now and predicted to be loose for the coming year' and 'it would seem that this is the time to press our allies to further reduce crude purchase from Iran,' Menendez, a New Jersey Democrat, told a committee hearing yesterday on preventing Iran from acquiring a nuclear weapon. The International Energy Agency said the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries' spare crude oil production capacity will increase 25 percent in the next two years as rising U.S. shale output crimps demand for OPEC's supplies... In the Senate, Menendez expressed concern that Iran may be using its automotive industry to produce dual-use items for its nuclear program, and suggested the auto sector might be targeted for penalties, as well. Menendez also questioned whether the administration is doing enough to enforce its own prohibitions on Iran's gold trade issued last summer." http://t.uani.com/16knMfS

WSJ: "U.S. economic sanctions on Iran are likely changing the thinking of its leadership toward its nuclear program, administration officials told a Senate foreign relations panel Wednesday. 'We do believe that the imposition of sanctions and pain that is being put on the Iranian regime is having an effect--perhaps not enough of an effect to change the calculus of the supreme leader, but it's on its way potentially to doing so,' said the State Department's under secretary for political affairs, Wendy Sherman, at a hearing before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee that focused on U.S. policy in Iran. Ms. Sherman said she did not believe the supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has made the strategic decision to 'deal on their nuclear program,' but rather the country's posturing and statements are projections of power and an assertion of their authority." http://t.uani.com/YM5FKc

TradeWinds: "Victor Restis is poised to pop up on the US government's radar following accusations of illicit dealings with Iran, sources said Tuesday. If the US Treasury Department and other agencies that monitor compliance with sanctions aimed at Tehran haven't launched a probe already observers say it's only a matter of time. This is because United Against a Nuclear Iran (UANI), an advocacy group that has accused the tycoon of helping to orchestrate an alliance between Iran's oil ministry and a Greek bank where he served as chairman, has strong ties with Washington. Sources tell TradeWinds that UANI shares the findings of its investigations with several branches of the US government, which may not come as a surprise as many of the organisation's board members are career politicians... If the US were to investigate the allegations against Restis the probe would likely focus on a letter in which Dimitris Cambis, who recently landed on the US Treasury Department's blacklist, solicited a partnership between First Business Bank (FBB) of Greece and Iran's oil ministry." http://t.uani.com/103S3aJ
 
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Nuclear Program

Reuters: "The United Nations' nuclear agency failed to persuade Iran on Wednesday to let it resume an investigation into suspected atomic bomb research, leaving the high-stakes diplomacy in deadlock. With Iran focused on a presidential election next month, expectations had been low for the meeting between Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), which has been trying for more than a year to reopen an inquiry into 'possible military dimensions' of Tehran's nuclear work. 'We had intensive discussions today but did not finalize the structured approach document that has been under negotiation for a year and a half now,' IAEA Deputy Director General Herman Nackaerts said after the eight-hour meeting, referring to a long-sought framework deal for the investigation." http://t.uani.com/19yaIji

Reuters: "Iran is prepared to pursue nuclear diplomacy with world powers before or after next month's presidential election in the Islamic Republic, its chief negotiator said on Thursday. Saeed Jalili, who is also a candidate in the presidential race, was speaking after talks on the nuclear dispute with European Union foreign policy chief Catherine Ashton. 'We are ready to continue our talks with the (six powers) whenever they are ready, before or after the presidential election in Iran... Talks will take place soon,' Jalili told a news conference in Istanbul, without giving a date... Jalili also reiterated that Iran would never abandon its right to enrich uranium. Major powers want Tehran to suspend its enrichment activities to reassure the world that it is not seeking nuclear weapons. Iran denies having any such goal. 'Even after the elections in Iran, the people of Iran will not allow their right to enrichment to be taken away,' he said, adding that international sanctions on Iran should be lifted." http://t.uani.com/14sjSNc

Sanctions

Reuters: "The United States is working to block sales of gold to Iranians in order to undermine their currency the rial and to step up pressure on Tehran over its nuclear program, officials said on Wednesday. From July 1, the US will ban sales of gold by anyone to either the Iranian government or to Iranian citizens, a senior US Treasury official said. Washington has warned Iran's neighbors Turkey and the United Arab Emirates, key regional centers of the gold trade, to stop gold sales to Iran, said David Cohen, treasury under-secretary for terrorism and financial intelligence. 'We have been very clear with the governments of Turkey and the UAE and elsewhere, as well as the private sector that is involved in the gold trade, that as of July 1 all must stop, not just trade to the government,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1472YEc

WSJ: "CISADA. NDAA. TRA. IFCA. The flow of U.S. sanctions (and acronyms) has continued unhindered since 2010. These programs have increasingly cut Iran out of the global financial system, while simultaneously producing a mountain of compliance work for companies and banks that do business in the U.S. The testimony Wednesday of a top Treasury Department official indicates that more is still to come. David Cohen, the under secretary for terrorism and financial intelligence, told the Senate Foreign Relations Committee Wednesday that the Obama administration was planning further action against Iran... According to Cohen, the Treasury Department plans to focus increasingly on Iran's use of non-bank financial institutions, such as exchange houses and money services businesses. The department will also actively investigate any sale of gold to Iran (private sales included) to pressure Iran's currency, Cohen said. Finally, Cohen said the department will continue to target those who purchase or acquire Iran's petrochemical exports, as well as the financial institutions that facilitate such transactions." http://t.uani.com/1478eI7

Reuters: "The United States blacklisted two Dubai-based trading companies on Wednesday, accusing them of helping Iran evade financial sanctions and effectively cutting them off from the U.S. financial system. The move against Al Hilal Exchange and Al Fida International General Trading is the latest in a series of sanctions Washington has imposed to pressure Tehran to curb its atomic program... In a statement, the U.S. Treasury said the two firms had provided financial services to Iran's Bank Mellat, a bank that has itself been blacklisted - or 'designated' in U.S. government jargon - for involvement in the Iranian nuclear program. 'They have been used by Iran in an attempt to maintain access to foreign currency exchange,' the Treasury Department said in a statement. The Treasury's action bars U.S. individuals and companies from dealing with the two firms, effectively cutting them off from the U.S. financial system, and requires the freezing of any assets they may have under U.S. jurisdiction." http://t.uani.com/16BQuIs

The Hill: "Sen. James Inhofe (R-Okla.) will introduce legislation Wednesday calling for increased drilling on U.S. federal lands to displace Iranian oil on the world market, according to a copy of the bill obtained by The Hill. The bill requires the president to establish enough 'Iranian Oil Replacement Zones' on federal lands to produce 1.25 million barrels of oil per day - approximately the amount Iran exports every day. An Inhofe aide told The Hill that would divert oil the U.S. imports from Saudi Arabia and elsewhere to nations that still buy Iranian crude, such as China, India and Japan. The goal is to give President Obama wiggle room to enforce full sanctions on Iranian oil by ending waivers awarded to some nations." http://t.uani.com/YM6PFM

Human Rights

Campaign for Human Rights in Iran: "The international community should immediately institute a travel ban and asset freeze against Mohammad Baqer Qalibaf, the current mayor of Tehran and a contender in the upcoming presidential election, due to his extensive role in gross human rights violations, the Campaign for Human Rights in Iran said today. The Campaign has obtained a secretly recorded two-hour audio file of Qalibaf in which he details his prominent and direct role in repressing and carrying out violence against student protesters in July 1999, July 2003, and in the 2009 post-election protests. 'Qalibaf has exposed himself as a violent and cruel individual, taking pride in being a leading force for repression throughout the years in his various official capacities. Under his administration, given his own admissions in this tape, he will certainly continue, if not worsen, Iran's already dismal human rights record,' said Hadi Ghaemi, the Campaign's executive director." http://t.uani.com/1475jiF

AFP: "US officials Wednesday slammed a campaign of 'unrelenting repression' ahead of Iran's presidential elections, and said the outcome would be very hard to predict amid a secret vetting process. The future direction the next Iranian leadership will take in ongoing talks with world powers about the Islamic republic's suspect nuclear program was also difficult to predict, top US administration officials told US lawmakers. 'There are probably some candidates who would be perceived by us as more interested in looking at the nuclear negotiations in a more positive vein,' under secretary of state Wendy Sherman said. 'However the nuclear file is held by the supreme leader and no one else, and he is the final decision maker regarding the nuclear file.'" http://t.uani.com/12xxff2

Domestic Politics

WashPost: "Conservatives aligned with Iran's supreme leader may enjoy his support, but their inability to rally behind a single candidate could hurt their chances of replacing outgoing Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as president. With less than a month remaining before the June 14 election, no clear front-runner has emerged among a bloc of nearly a dozen conservative candidates, causing concern among allies who fear a loss of the power they have amassed over the years to rivals they say will move Iran away from clerical rule. The final list of candidates will not be known until May 23 after the Guardian Council, a powerful body tasked with vetting candidates, completes its process. But the aspirants include at least two prominent hopefuls - the mayor of Tehran and a longtime foreign minister - from among a conservative grouping that had pledged to join forces around a single standard-bearer. They also include a third prominent conservative, Saeed Jalili, Iran's top nuclear negotiator." http://t.uani.com/12dGnnh

AP: "A member of Iran's constitutional watchdog says women cannot be presidential candidates, effectively killing the longshot bids by about 30 women seeking to run in the June 14 election. Even before Thursday's comments by Ayatollah Mohammad Yazdi, chances for a woman candidate in Iran's presidential election were considered nearly impossible. Iran's constitution uses a word denoting only a male president. The semiofficial Mehr news agency quotes Yazdi as saying the 'law does not approve' of a woman in Iran's highest elected office and that this is 'not allowed.'" http://t.uani.com/10tOKwD

Foreign Affairs

AFP: "Call it peace through fighting, but wrestlers from the United States, Iran and Russia provided New York with an unusual vision of international harmony when they took to the mat. The top-level sportsmen, grappling in an ornate side hall of Grand Central Station in Manhattan, met as part of a campaign to persuade the International Olympic Committee to go back on its shock decision to scrap wrestling after the 2016 Rio de Janeiro Games. By setting up the 'Rumble on the Rails' in Grand Central's Vanderbilt Hall at rush hour, organizers hoped to demonstrate that the sport, written off by Olympic leaders as too obscure, belongs right in the middle of things. But there was a broader message from the three-nation bout: wrestling's strong men can also show the world how to get along." http://t.uani.com/12xyQkZ

Opinion & Analysis

Meghan O'Sullivan in Bloomberg: "So here's a suggestion that may sound counterintuitive: A more aggressive U.S. response to proof of Assad's chemical-weapons use may be more likely to defuse the prospects of a regional conflict, in part by swaying Iran to rethink its nuclear ambitions... Despite the preference of the Obama administration to deal with every crisis in the Middle East independently, policy makers should look at responding to Syria's alleged chemical-weapons use in a way that positively affects the entire region. If they did, they might conclude that limited, targeted air strikes against Syria could contribute to a breakthrough on the Iranian nuclear front. I don't make this claim on the familiar grounds that a failure by the U.S. to act after the president's 'red line' in Syria had been crossed would embolden Iran to speed ahead on its nuclear program. That argument is overstated for two reasons. First, Iran has watched American foreign policy long enough to know that there is little consistency from theater to theater; the 'responsibility to protect' doctrine was touted as motivating the Libyan intervention in 2011, yet it clearly has carried little weight in the context of Syria. Second, Iran has already violated numerous red lines set out by the international community, with little or no consequence. Iran's leaders likely suspect the phrase has little meaning. A more compelling argument is that the use of military force -- even of limited scope -- would cause Iran to rethink one of its fundamental assumptions: That the U.S., chastened by its Iraq intervention, won't use military force in the Middle East for any reason. From the Iranian perspective, this isn't a crazy conclusion to have drawn. Obama has repeatedly spoken of how the time of war has ended, of the need to nation-build at home, of how the withdrawal of U.S. forces from Iraq was one of his legacy achievements, and of the imperative to rebalance American attention and resources toward Asia. The budget sequestration, a slow-growing economy, and fatigue of the American people after a decade of wars reinforce this conclusion, while the heavy reliance on the use of drones underscores U.S. reluctance to risk American lives overseas. Air strikes against Syrian targets, in challenging this Iranian assumption, could help address the fundamental flaw in the current effort to curb Iran's nuclear ambitions through diplomacy. In the current context, the threat of U.S. military force isn't credible, no matter how many times Obama declares that Iran won't be permitted to acquire a nuclear weapon. An Iran unconcerned about U.S. military action has little incentive to come to a diplomatic compromise, given its willingness and ability to withstand the economic pain of sanctions. In forcing the Iranians to re-evaluate the assumption that American threats of force are hollow, limited air strikes on Syria in response to proven chemical weapons use could lead to a more engaged and compliant Iran at the negotiating table. Ultimately, the use of a little force in Syria now could save the U.S. and its allies from having to use force on a much grander scale in Iran down the road." http://t.uani.com/13oCLhE

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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