Wednesday, May 22, 2013

Eye on Iran: Top Figures Barred from Iran's June Ballot










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AP: "Iran's election overseers removed potential wild-card candidates from the presidential race Tuesday, blocking a top aide of outgoing President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad and a former president who revived hopes of reformers. Their exclusion from the June 14 presidential ballot gives establishment-friendly candidates a clear path to succeed Ahmadinejad, who has lost favor with the ruling clerics after years of power struggles. It also pushes moderate and opposition voices further to the margins as Iran's leadership faces critical challenges such as international sanctions and talks with world powers over Tehran's nuclear program. The official ballot list, announced on state TV, followed a nearly six-hour delay in which the names were kept under wraps. That raised speculation that authorities allowed some time for appeals by the blackballed candidates and their backers to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has final say in all matters. But the official slate left off two prominent but divisive figures: former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani and Ahmadinejad protege Esfandiar Rahim Mashaei. The decision also appeared to remove many potential surprise elements in the race, including whether Rafsanjani could revitalize the reform movement or if Ahmadinejad could play a godfather role in the election with his hand-picked political heir. Instead, the eight men cleared by the candidate-vetting Guardian Council included high-profile figures considered firm and predictable loyalists to the ruling Islamic establishment, such as former Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Velayati, Tehran Mayor Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf and Iran's top nuclear negotiator, Saeed Jalili." http://t.uani.com/13EFcNf

Die Welt (Germany): "United Against Nuclear Iran is calling on Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg to block the account of Iranian Supreme Leader Khamenei. The particular irony: His citizens he forbids the network. If a dictator is afraid of a medium, then you realize the fact that he forbids it. But if he has great fear then you realize the fact that he is also trying to collect it. So it makes one of the longest-serving dictators of the planet Ali Khamenei, since almost 24 years, Supreme Leader of Iran, operates an exceptionally professionally maintained Facebook page. There you can find messages like those in the U.S. government: 'You are the symbol of evil it is you that wars across the world is!', Or, more generally, 'The West is held together by violence, war and lies.' There are every time a photo of the Ayatollah and emblazoned all over the invitation: 'Follow us for regular updates.' To its own people that request can hardly be addressed. For Iran, access to the social network is locked, and who says the wrong thing there, risking imprisonment, torture, death. Well stirs protest against this absurdity, and it is aimed directly at Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg. 'As you probably know, the Iranian regime has used this account to spread his propaganda, while it excludes its own citizens from access to Facebook,' reads an open letter to the lobby group United Against a Nuclear Iran (UANI) and require the sender, Facebook must 'act immediately and turn off the Facebook account of Ayatollah Khamenei before the Iranian presidential election on June 14, 2013.'" http://t.uani.com/14QZntS

CSM: "Iran's smiling but immovable top nuclear negotiator, a revolutionary and wounded war veteran with a decades-old suspicion of the United States, has become a frontrunner in Iran's presidential race. Saeed Jalili's shock of white hair, rimless eyeglasses and crisp white shirt buttoned up to his trim salt-and-pepper beard make him one of Iran's most recognizable figures in the West, but he has proven an enigmatic figure for those who have sat opposite him at the negotiating table during years of fruitless nuclear talks.Mr. Jalili can interact with smiles, laughter, and even well-placed charm. But his calm and low-key demeanor - he wears sensible shoes of soft black leather that don't require polish, and he could not be more different than the flamboyant, divisive, and fiery outgoing President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad - does not diminish his uncompromising message of Iranian resistance, and preserving Iran's 'right' to nuclear energy. Jalili told The Christian Science Monitor that the Islamic Republic of Iran is winning its strategic struggle with America, despite crippling sanctions and Western attempts to isolate it from the world. And Jalili says that he is the man to carry Iran's revolutionary torch into the future." http://t.uani.com/11aX4NQ
 
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Nuclear Program

Reuters: "A U.N. nuclear agency report due this week is expected to show Iran further increasing its capacity to produce material that its adversaries fear could eventually be put to developing atomic bombs, Western diplomats said on Tuesday. But they said it is also likely to indicate that growth in Iran's most sensitive nuclear stockpile has been held back because some of it has been used for reactor fuel, potentially providing more time for diplomacy between Iran and major powers. Tehran's holding of medium-enriched uranium gas is closely watched in the West as Israel - which has threatened air strikes if diplomacy and sanctions do not stop Iran's atomic drive - says it must not amass enough for one bomb if further processed... The next quarterly report on Iran's nuclear program by the U.N. International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA), expected on Wednesday, is likely to show continued installation of the centrifuges used for enriching uranium, diplomats said. That would include an advanced model known as IR-2m which, once operational, would enable Iran to speed up sharply its accumulation of refined uranium, which can have both civilian and military purposes. The number of IR-2m centrifuges and empty centrifuge casings that have been put in place at Iran's main enrichment site near the town of Natanz is expected to have risen significantly since February, when it stood at 180, they said." http://t.uani.com/16O8a3V

Sanctions

Reuters: "India's oil imports from Iran fell 34.2 percent in April from March, data from trade sources showed on Wednesday, bolstering the country's case for the renewal of a waiver from U.S. sanctions on Tehran due to expire next month. The U.S. has already granted fresh waivers to Japan and 10 European countries but has so far left out China and India, Iran's biggest clients. U.S. and European Union sanctions aimed at choking the flow of oil money into Iran and forcing Tehran to negotiate curbing its controversial nuclear programme slashed its crude exports in half in 2012, costing it as much as $5 billion a month. Indian imports dropped 56.5 percent to 117,300 barrels per day (bpd) in April from the year before, the first month of the new contract year, with Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals Ltd and Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd declining to make fresh purchases as problems emerged in getting insurance for handling cargoes from Iran." http://t.uani.com/13I1IEM

Reuters: "South Korea's imports of Iranian crude in April fell nearly 45 percent from a year ago to 4.18 million barrels, official data showed on Wednesday, below expectations just ahead of talks with Washington to extend a waiver for U.S. sanctions on Tehran. The world's No.5 crude buyer and one of Iran's top four customers bought 139,400 barrels per day (bpd) from Iran in April, up 7.5 percent from a month ago on a daily basis, according to Reuters calculations based on the latest official data. South Korea had been expected to import about 190,000 bpd - or 5.7 million barrels - of Iranian oil in April, according to preliminary loading data obtained by Reuters... South Korea's crude imports from Iran in the first four months of the year decreased 28.4 percent from the same period a year ago to 18.07 million barrels, the data from the state-run Korea National Oil Corp showed." http://t.uani.com/16815LV

June 14 Elections

Reuters: "President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad said on Wednesday he would ask Iran's supreme leader to reverse a ban preventing his aide from running in next month's presidential poll, a test of stability after the violent trauma of the 2009 vote... Eshaq Jahangiri, head of Rafsanjani's campaign, was quoted in ISNA news agency on Wednesday as saying the veteran politician would not object to the Guardian Council's decision. 'Mr. Hashemi Rafsanjani and his campaign as a whole entered the field on the basis of following the rule of law and morals, and will continue in this way as well,' Jahangiri said. But Ahmadinejad, who cannot run for a third consecutive term himself, said he would challenge the ban on Mashaie, calling him a 'righteous person and beneficial for the country', ISNA said. 'In my opinion there will be no problem with the Leader and I will take up this issue until the last moment with him,' Ahmadinejad said. 'I am hopeful the problem will be solved.' Ahmadinejad has in the past threatened to reveal evidence of corruption by his rivals, though analysts said any such challenge to the ruling establishment would carry grave risks." http://t.uani.com/12VDsR0

NYT: "The decision on Tuesday to bar the presidential candidacy of Ali Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, a founding father of the revolution and a former president, shocked Iranians, particularly among the 70 percent of the population that is under 35 and grew up when he served in many leading positions. 'They say a revolution eats its children,' said Mehdi, 27, a teacher. 'But in the case of Rafsanjani the revolution has eaten its father.' ... For many, though, the elections are shaping up as a shoo-in for someone close to Ayatollah Khamenei. 'Why are they even bothering to organize these elections?' asked a retired army officer, who like others interviewed for this article spoke anonymously out of fear of reprisals. 'It seems everything has already been decided.' It remains possible that one or both of the disqualified candidates will be reinstated. While they are not allowed to appeal, Abbas-Ali Kadkhodaei, the secretary of the Guardian Council, a panel loyal to Ayatollah Khamenei that made the decision, told state news media on Tuesday that Ayatollah Khamenei could reinstate them by decree. He did that in the 2005 elections with a reformist candidate, Mostafa Moin, who came in fifth." http://t.uani.com/1a5WQNn

AFP: "The United States accused the clerical leadership of seeking to tighten its grip on power. 'It appears that Iran's unelected Guardian Council, which is unaccountable to the Iranian people, has disqualified hundreds of potential candidates based on vague criteria,' State Department spokesman Patrick Ventrell said. 'The Council narrowed the list of almost 700 potential candidates down to eight officials based solely on who the regime believes will represent its interests, rather than those of the Iranian people,' he told AFP in an email." http://t.uani.com/10kRpJv

Syrian Civil War


WashPost: "Iran has sent soldiers to Syria to fight alongside forces loyal to President Bashar al-Assad and those of the Lebanon-based Hezbollah militia, a senior State Department official said Tuesday. An unknown number of Iranians are fighting in Syria, the official said, citing accounts from members of the opposition Free Syrian Army, which is backed by the United States. The official spoke on the condition of anonymity to preview a strategy session that Secretary of State John F. Kerry is to hold Wednesday with key supporters of the Syrian opposition. Rebel forces have alleged for weeks that Iran is sending trained fighters to Syria, and the Iran-backed Hezbollah has said baldly that it will not let Assad fall. But with the British, French and American governments considering providing arms to the Syrian opposition on a scale not yet seen in the civil war, the U.S. official's allegation was a tacit acknowledgment that the two-year-old Syrian conflict has become a regional war and a de facto U.S. proxy fight with Iran." http://t.uani.com/11aXeoq

NYT: "As evidence grows of increased Iranian support for the Syrian government, the Obama administration's strategy to bring the bitter fighting there to a close faces more challenges than ever. With White House support, Secretary of State John Kerry has pushed for an international conference in Geneva in June that would bring representatives of the Syria government together with the opposition. The aim would be to negotiate a transitional government that would take over if President Bashar al-Assad vacates his post and to put an end to the civil war that has killed more than 80,000. But the stepped-up support Mr. Assad has received from Iran and Hezbollah in recent months appears to have fortified his belief that he can hang on to power and prevail militarily - or at least control a strategically significant swath of the country." http://t.uani.com/11bwI4a

Reuters: "British Foreign Secretary William Hague said on Wednesday Iran and its militant Shi'ite Lebanese ally Hezbollah were 'propping up' Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and giving him increasing support. 'It is very clear that Syrian regime is receiving a great deal of support, increasing support in recent months from outside Syria from Hezbollah and Iran. This is a regime that is increasingly dependent on external support,' Hague said in a news conference with his Jordanian counterpart Nasser Judeh. 'The regime is being propped up by others outside, further undermining its legitimacy. It also shows that is a crisis that is increasing the threat to regional stability.'" http://t.uani.com/10lTBgo

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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