Tuesday, September 10, 2013

Eye on Iran: U.N. Nuclear Chief Says 'Urgent' for Iran to Address Concerns







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Reuters:
"The U.N. nuclear chief told Iran on Monday it was 'essential and urgent' for it to address concerns about suspected atomic bomb research, signaling his hope that the new government in Tehran will stop stonewalling his inspectors. Yukiya Amano was addressing a session of the U.N. agency's 35-nation board, the first since relative moderate Hassan Rouhani took office as Iranian president in early August, raising cautious optimism of progress in the nuclear dispute. Amano, director general of the International Atomic Energy Agency, said the IAEA was committed to working constructively with Rouhani's government to 'resolve outstanding issues by diplomatic means'. His carefully chosen words underlined international hopes that Rouhani's administration will be less confrontational in its dealings with the outside world than his hardline predecessor, Mahmoud Ahmadinejad... In his speech, Amano made clear that Iran had yet to show the level of cooperation that he wants from Tehran. 'Iran is not providing the necessary cooperation to enable us to provide credible assurance about the absence of undeclared nuclear material and activities,' he told the closed-door board session, according to a copy of his speech. 'The Agency therefore cannot conclude that all nuclear material in Iran is in peaceful activities.'" http://t.uani.com/1cYChWB

NYT: "In a setback for the United States' attempts to isolate Iran, a European Union court threw out sanctions Friday on seven Iranian companies, including four banks, rejecting arguments that they were acting as front companies to bypass the punitive measures. The General Court in Brussels, the union's second-highest tribunal, ruled that the bloc wrongly imposed sanctions against the Iranian companies as part of its efforts to stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons, a decision that immediately drew the ire of American officials. The United States Treasury took the opposite tack on Friday, imposing restrictions on a network of six individuals and four businesses for links to oil sales. 'We are very disappointed by the court's decision today,' a Treasury spokesman said in a statement. 'The evidence linking these banks to Iran's illicit nuclear activities is clear and strong, and no financial institution anywhere should allow these Iranian banks to transact with them.'" http://t.uani.com/18NOj0y

Reuters: "The United States has placed sanctions on six individuals and four businesses for helping the government of Iran conceal its involvement in global oil deals, the U.S. Treasury said on Friday. Washington is targeting the network of Seyed Seyyedi, an Iranian businessman who is director of the already-sanctioned Sima General Trading. Treasury also said it applied sanctions on individuals and companies linked to schemes to import Iranian oil into the European Union. When sanctions are implemented, individuals and companies may be blocked from the U.S. financial system and any assets they have under U.S. jurisdiction may be frozen. 'Our sanctions on Iran's oil sales are a critically important component of maintaining pressure on the Iranian government, and we will not allow Iran to relieve that pressure through evasion and circumvention,' Treasury Under Secretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence David Cohen said in a statement." http://t.uani.com/13y7Mni
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Nuclear Program

AFP: "Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said Friday Iran wants to allay concerns over its nuclear programme, suspected of hiding efforts to build an atomic bomb, and resolve the impasse with world powers. Perhaps most significantly, the head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organisation, Ali Akbar Salehi, said separately Tehran could conceivably agree to allowing the UN's International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to conduct snap inspections of its facilities... 'Allaying international concerns is in our interest because atomic weapons do not form part of the Islamic republic's policies,' Zarif said. 'Consequently, our interest is to remove any ambiguity regarding our country's nuclear programme.' ... While he expressed a desire to sort out the nuclear impasse, Rowhani has said Iran will not abandon its 'undeniable rights', including enrichment." http://t.uani.com/17K90xx

Sanctions

AP: "The U.S. granted exemption from Iran sanctions to 10 European countries and Japan on Friday because all of them have significantly reduced or halted oil imports from the Islamic Republic. Japan continues to import oil from Iran but all European Union countries halted them a year ago... The State Department said a total of 20 countries have continued to significantly reduce their crude oil purchases from Iran. China remains Iran's top trading partner and its No. 1 client for oil exports, with Japan, India and South Korea among other top purchasers. Despite plummeting sales overseas, Iran remains one of the world's largest oil producers. Its exports bring in tens of billions of dollars in revenue for the country's hard-line leaders, money the U.S. is trying to cut off." http://t.uani.com/18NPmxB

Platts: "Japan's imports of Iranian crude in the past six months (February-July) are well down on the same six-month period in 2012. The latest data from Japan's Ministry of Economy, Trade and Industry show that Japan imported roughly 145,288 b/d in February-July this year, which is a 21% decline on the 183,610 b/d imported during the same period of 2012. However, the past six months' imports from Iran were a hefty 46% higher than the average 99,510 b/d of imports in the six-month period from August 2012 to January 2013." http://t.uani.com/14FwX4V

Reuters: "Deutsche Boerse on Monday approved terms for a settlement to dismiss claims from relatives of American victims of a 1983 bombing of the U.S. Marine Corps barracks in Beirut. Through its Clearstream unit, Deutsche Boerse has been embroiled in a legal dispute with U.S. plaintiffs seeking damages from Iran for its suspected role in helping Hezbollah carry out the barracks attack during the civil war in Lebanon. As part of this action, U.S. plaintiffs sought in 2008 to freeze Iranian funds held in Luxembourg-based Clearstream's securities account. The settlement which needs the approval of a certain amount of plaintiffs, provides for the dismissal of direct claims against Clearstream, Deutsche Boerse said on Monday." http://t.uani.com/1aXQp42 

Syria Conflict

NBC: "White House Chief of Staff Denis McDonough said Sunday that an impending U.S. attack on Syria would send a message to Iranian leaders that they should not feel free to develop nuclear weapons. McDonough said on NBC's Meet the Press that 'to communicate with them we have to be very clear, very forthright. This is an opportunity to be both with the Iranians....' He said, 'nobody is rebutting the intelligence; nobody doubts the intelligence' that is the basis for President Barack Obama pinning the blame for an August 21 chemical weapons attack in Syria on President Bashar Assad's regime which is fighting to suppress a rebellion that began in 2011." http://t.uani.com/16dGYd8

WashPost: "Iran won Iraqi support for its efforts to oppose a U.S.-led military strike on Syria during a visit to Baghdad on Sunday by the new Iranian foreign minister, highlighting how close the two countries have grown since U.S. forces withdrew in 2011. Speaking during his first visit abroad since he was appointed last month, Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javed Zarif warned that U.S. intervention in Syria risks igniting a regionwide war. 'Those who are short-sighted and are beating the drums of war are starting a fire that will burn everyone,' Zarif said during a news conference. Standing alongside him, Iraqi Foreign Minister Hoshyar Zebari said all of Syria's neighbors, including Iraq, would be harmed by American involvement in Syria's two-year-old conflict." http://t.uani.com/1dU1DHZ

Human Rights

IHR: "One prisoner was hanged publicly in the Western Iranian town of Ilam yesterday morning Wednesday September 4, reported the Iranian state media. According to the official Iranian news agency IRNA, a prisoner identified as 'J. H.' was hanged a the Imam Hossein Square of Ilam... Another prisoner was hanged in the prison of Sanandaj (Iranian Kurdestan) yesterday, reported the Kurdish website 'Kurdpa' (unofficial)." http://t.uani.com/15BtLr5

ICHRI: "In an interview with the International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran, Shirin Ebadi, Iranian lawyer and 2003 Nobel Peace laureate, spoke about the murder of dozens of residents of Camp Ashraf in Iraq on Saturday, August 31, and said that if the Iraqi Prime Minister believes he has no responsibility in this regard, then he should resign. Ebadi also said that the United Nations must immediately arrange the settlement of the remaining Mojahedin-e Khalgh Organization (MEK) members in other countries. 'So long as even one MEK member remains in Iraq, the UN must have observers present to watch them,' she said. On Sunday, September 1, several armed forces attacked Camp Ashraf, the MEK compound in Iraq, and killed dozens of the residents by firing bullets at their heads. Mere hours after the incident, Iran's Islamic Guard Corps (IRGC) issued a statement in which the mass killing was referred to as 'a historic revenge,' and admired the attackers. The Iraqi government has yet to state a position on the incident." http://t.uani.com/1dUc7qY

Domestic Affairs

AP: "Iran's state TV says that the Tehran municipal council has re-elected the capital's popular mayor, who unsuccessfully ran for president in June. The Sunday report says Mohammad Bagher Qalibaf won the votes of 16 of the 31 members of the Tehran municipal council. He defeated Mohsen Hashemi, son of the influential former President Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani. Qalibaf is considered a conservative and Hashemi a centrist." http://t.uani.com/15coB8I

AP: "Iran's entire Cabinet has opened Facebook pages in what is seen as a move toward greater government openness - even though the social media site is blocked in the Islamic Republic. The Facebook pages of 15 ministers could be viewed in Tehran through a proxy server. Newspapers on Monday hinted the move might herald the lifting of some Internet barriers. With the exception of Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, who joined Facebook in 2009, the Cabinet members signed up this August after the inauguration of centrist- and reformist-backed President Hasan Rouhani. 'It seems the key' - Rouhani's electoral symbol in his presidential campaign - 'may turn the lock of (Internet) filtering,' the pro-reform Shargh daily said." http://t.uani.com/1evJJKo

Foreign Affairs

Reuters: "Iran has released an Indian crude oil tanker that was detained last month over pollution concerns, an Indian shipping official said on Saturday, ending a dispute between the countries that have historically had strong trade ties. The tanker, Desh Shanti, carrying 140,000 tons of Iraqi crude, sailed on Friday night India time, said Captain Sunil Thapar, the director of bulk carriers and tankers at state-run Shipping Corp of India. 'She sailed last night at 2354 hrs after being finally released from detention,' Thapar told Reuters, declining to say if any pollution damage claims were made. The tanker is owned by the SCI and was carrying crude oil for Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd. Iraq was India's biggest supplier of crude in June, piping Saudi Arabia for the top slot with exports of 606,000 barrels per day. Exports from Iran, which used to be India's second-biggest supplier, have dwindled because of Western sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1aX4jU6

AFP: "Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Saturday dismissed seemingly conciliatory statements from Iran as a smokescreen to divert attention from Tehran's efforts to build nuclear arms. In a statement from his office, Netanyahu brushed off remarks in which Iranian officials condemned the Holocaust and even wished Jews a happy new year. He called on the international community to increase pressure on the Islamic republic. 'I am not impressed by greetings coming from the regime which just last week threatened to destroy Israel,' said Netanyahu. 'The Iranian regime will be judged solely on its deeds, not its greetings, whose only purpose it to distract attention from the fact that even after the elections it continues to enrich uranium and build a plutonium reactor with the aim of acquiring a nuclear weapon which will threaten Israel and the whole world.'" http://t.uani.com/16dGRhF  

Opinion & Analysis

Sohrab Ahmari in WSJ: "Iran's leaders aren't known for their love of Jews or Judaica. So it came as a surprise when on Wednesday the Islamic Republic's newly elected President Hassan Rouhani tweeted a Jewish New Year greeting from a Twitter account attributed to him. 'As the sun is about to set here in #Tehran I wish all Jews, especially Iranian Jews, a blessed Rosh Hashanah,' read the tweet. Western journalists eager for signs of moderation in the Tehran regime were ecstatic. The liberal Israeli daily Ha'aretz saw in the message a fulfillment of Mr. Rouhani's promise to set aside his predecessor Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's 'hate rhetoric.' Robin Wright, an Iran analyst and United States Institute of Peace scholar, took to her own Twitter account to proclaim that this was the 'most significant public [diplomatic] outreach since [the 1979 Islamic] revolution.' BBC Persian's Bahman Kalbasi tweeted: 'Iranian Gov. Officials can't get enough of year 5774.' But in the Middle East most good things are too good to be true. On Thursday, the state-run Fars News Agency walked back what it called Mr. Rouhani's 'felicitation message to the worldwide Jewish community.' The report quoted presidential advisor Mohammad Reza Sadeq saying that 'President Hassan Rouhani has no tweeter [sic] account' and that 'proponents and fans of Mr. Rouhani were active in the cyberspace during the recent presidential election in Iran and used many web pages with titles similar or close to [his name] to run their activities.' Several lessons should be drawn from this minor affair. For starters, it's worth noting how pro-engagement journalists and analysts, in their rush to hail a new era of dialogue and mutual respect between Washington and Tehran, neglected basic reportorial duties like follow-up and verification. The Rouhani account in question has more than 30,000 followers, yet it isn't verified by Twitter, meaning there's no way of knowing if its messages are approved by Mr. Rouhani's office. Second, even assuming that the Rosh Hashanah message was intended by its putative author, the fact that the regime repudiated it within 24 hours is evidence that Tehran remains hard-wired for resistance and extremism. Finally, it's worth remembering that anti-Semitism and Holocaust denial are central pillars of the Islamic Republic's founding ideology. Whether or not Mr. Rouhani sent a Rosh Hashanah greeting, it's still the case that Persian Jews are barred from Iran's officer corps; they are limited to two token seats in Iran's parliament; and their ancient synagogues come under state-sanctioned mob attacks. Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei declares openly, in English on his own website, that 'the massacre of Jews known as the holocaust' is a 'myth.' State-run media have not denied that statement." http://t.uani.com/1eunhBl

Ray Takeyh in WashPost: "With Iran's new president, Hassan Rouhani, proclaiming that he seeks not just greater nuclear transparency but also a more tolerant society, Washington is once more contemplating an overture to Iran. The critical question is what role Congress will play. In recent years, the U.S. legislative branch has focused largely on sanctions, which have done much to undermine Iran's economy. Now Congress should complement its sanctions policy with more sustained attention to Iran's human rights transgressions and establish an Iran Human Rights Committee. Congress would be smart to take a page out of its Cold War playbook and model such a committee on the Helsinki Commission, which helped empower dissident forces in the Soviet bloc. An Iran Human Rights Committee could highlight the Islamic republic's provocations as well as suggest benchmarks for improved behavior. The theocratic regime in Tehran violates not just universal norms of human rights - on torture, wrongful imprisonment and fair judicial processes - but also its own constitutional provisions promising civic freedom and the rule of law. Government censorship of the media and the prevention of peaceful assembly are similarly frowned upon. And it is a disgrace that Mostafa Pourmohammadi, a shadowy intelligence operator who was a pivotal figure in a 1988 massacre of Iranian prisoners, has become justice minister. U.S. diplomats should include discussions of human rights in all of their encounters with Iranian officials. Persistent congressional pressure could offer important leverage in diplomatic dealings with Iran. In essence, the task is to convince Tehran that more humane treatment of its citizens is in its national interest. U.S. officials consistently pointing to congressional concerns could go a long way toward convincing the Iranians that their international ostracism and economic distress cannot be fully mitigated unless Iran improves its human rights record. There are a number of views of the relationship between arms control and human rights. Some suggest that, given the advances of Iran's nuclear program, it is important to focus on that issue and not complicate the negotiating process. Some veterans of the Reagan administration say that it is possible to pursue both an expansive arms-control agenda and a deliberate human rights campaign. In their telling, the Reagan experience demonstrates that the two tracks need not contradict each other. For many reasons, pursuing a human rights agenda would be the best means of ensuring that Iran complies with its arms-control obligations... By ignoring Iran's atrocious human rights record, Western diplomats are subtly conveying the impression that it is permissible for Iran to violate certain international norms if it adheres to its proliferation commitments. If Iran's clerical leaders are told that a selective reading of international law is acceptable, they will feel free to violate their arms-control obligations when they become inconvenient. Sanctions-induced economic duress may compel Tehran to sign a nuclear agreement, but given the perspective of its elite, it can be counted on to violate that accord when its financial plight eases. In a perverse manner, the Western diplomats who avoid the issue of human rights are contributing to the Iranian mentality that views international norms as a menu of options to be rejected or accepted at one's discretion." http://t.uani.com/17g6Btr

Stephen Hadley in WashPost: "The Arab Awakening has caused a crisis in the Middle East that will take years to sort out. There is one Middle East crisis, however, that must be resolved in months, not years. Every American committed to preventing Iran from obtaining a nuclear weapon should urge Congress to grant President Obama authority to use military force against the Assad regime in Syria. The inauguration of Hassan Rouhani, Iran's new president, offers some hope of a diplomatic settlement that eliminates the prospect of a nuclear-armed Iran. But Rouhani will need the approval of Iran's supreme leader, Ali Khamenei, who has made confrontation with the United States the centerpiece of his rule. Only internal pressure and the threat of U.S. military action will cause Khamenei to accept a nuclear deal. That is why Presidents Obama, Bush and Clinton have emphasized that all options - including the use of military force - are on the table. Bashar al-Assad has repeatedly and flagrantly crossed a U.S. 'red line' by using chemical weapons against his own people. If the United States does not take military action, how credible will be the U.S. threat to use military force if the Iranian regime continues to pursue nuclear weapons? If that threat is not credible, then only months from now our nation could face the prospect of accepting a ¬nuclear-armed Iran or having to resort to military force to prevent it... In Syria, this means expanding and accelerating the training and arming of moderate, democratic elements and the provision of humanitarian assistance, especially to areas liberated from the regime. In Afghanistan, this means leaving a significant U.S. military force after 2014 to help stabilize the country and check Iranian activity. In Iraq, this means shoring up U.S. support for the government as it battles a resurgent al-Qaeda and seeks to resist Iranian pressure. In the region, this means strengthening diplomatic and security support to allies nervous about Iranian hegemony. Otherwise, lack of U.S. military action in Syria will be read as a victory by Iran - making a nuclear-armed Iran and Iranian hegemony more likely." http://t.uani.com/19yPuU0

Olli Heinonen and Simon Henderson in WINEP: "The latest International Atomic Energy Agency report on Iran, which the organization's board of governors will discuss in Vienna next week, shows that Tehran has continued to build its nuclear capabilities, particularly its capacity to suddenly break out from its treaty commitments and build a nuclear weapon if it so desired. Although Iran denies having a nuclear weapons program, this growing potential to dash toward a bomb will likely complicate diplomatic discussions in the next few weeks, especially after President Hassan Rouhani's expected September 23 arrival in New York for a UN General Assembly meeting. Iranian officials are also scheduled to meet with the IAEA in Vienna on September 27... Iran continues to enrich uranium and increase the number of centrifuges installed, including around 18,000 of the IR-1 type centrifuge and 1,000 of the more efficient IR-2m type. Yet it will not need more than a small fraction of the enriched uranium it has already produced in the foreseeable future, let alone new uranium. Its sole nuclear power reactor uses low-enriched fuel supplied by Russia. Tehran persists in claiming that it needs some of the new enriched uranium it is producing to fuel a research reactor in the capital, despite refusing a past international offer to supply such fuel. Worryingly, this research reactor requires 19.75 percent enriched uranium; Iran is currently producing 20 percent enriched fuel for it. In 20 percent fuel, the ratio of ordinary uranium-238 to its fissile isotope uranium-235 has already been processed from the 993:7 figure seen in natural uranium to 28:7, just short of the 1:7 needed for weapons-grade uranium. Iran continues to convert some of its 20 percent uranium into an oxide form, but most of this oxide (apart from a small amount that has been further processed into fuel plates) should be considered part of the enriched stockpile because it is comparatively easy to reconvert into centrifuge feedstock. The increase in Iran's centrifuges and enriched uranium stockpile has opened the door for multiple breakout scenarios at the Natanz and Fordow enrichment plants, especially if there are other undeclared plants available. For the past three years, discussions of Iran's breakout potential centered on its steadily growing stockpile of 20 percent uranium, but the number of centrifuges is now so great that the arithmetic has changed: the government's huge stockpile of 3.5 percent enriched uranium is now a crucial part of the calculation. As a result, a previous diplomatic proposal -- asking Iran to cap enrichment at 20 percent and ship most of that material abroad -- is now much less relevant in terms of curbing the risk of breakout." http://t.uani.com/1awrcyq

Ian Bremmer in Reuters: "While we've been distracted by a flurry of intelligence releases on Syria's chemical weapons strikes - and the ongoing saga over the United States' response - many have overlooked another intelligence report pertaining to weapons of mass destruction with severe implications for America's red lines and credibility in the Middle East. The International Atomic Energy Agency, the world's nuclear watchdog, reported that 'Iran plans to test about 1,000 advanced uranium enrichment centrifuges it has completed installing.' As Iran's enrichment capabilities increase, its breakout time - how long Iran would need to rapidly amass enough highly-enriched uranium for a nuclear weapon - is dropping considerably. In the next year or two, Iran's breakout time could drop to about 10 days: too short of a window for the United States to reliably respond before Iran could secure enough material for a bomb. America's next step in Syria is inextricably linked to the situation in Iran. The U.S. government's biggest national security concern in the region is an Iranian regime with potential access to nuclear weapons. A nuclear Iran would destabilize the region, shock oil prices, and threaten U.S. allies. Longer term, it's harder to map out the implications, but they aren't pretty. A nuclear Iran could trigger a domino effect among Middle Eastern countries; should another Arab Spring occur, a failed state with a nuclear weapons cache is a frightening prospect. Not intervening in Syria - letting Bashar al-Assad cross Obama's red line of using chemical weapons on civilians - makes any red lines regarding Iran's nuclear progress blurrier. In fact, by punting the decision to Congress and further complicating the causality between a broken red line and punishment, Obama may have already done just that." http://t.uani.com/1aiWkhb  

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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