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NYT:
"Iran is finding a way around Western sanctions to export increasing
amounts of an ultralight oil to China and other Asian markets, expanding
the value of its trade by potentially billions of dollars a year. The
exports come during a slight thaw in Iran's relations with the West as
negotiations over its nuclear program continue, and energy experts say it
is counting on the United States and Europe to tolerate an increasing
export stream. According to Iranian customs data, the country in recent
months has exported 525,000 barrels a day of the ultralight oil, known as
condensates, over two times more than it did a year ago. In the last
three months, the sales have generated as much as $1.5 billion in extra
trade - a rate of about $6 billion a year - based on Iranian trade
figures and market prices, analysts said. The result has been an overall
increase in petroleum shipments to China and other Asian markets without
violating the letter of the sanctions. American officials have aimed to
keep Iranian oil exports at around one million barrels a day, but when
combined with condensate sales, they averaged 1.4 million barrels a day
between January and May, according to the Energy Department... American
regulatory agencies consider them a form of crude oil and severely limit
the ability of producers to export the product. 'For U.S. regulations, we
can't export condensates because it's a crude oil, but in sanctions for
Iran they can export condensates because it's not a crude oil,' noted
Larry Goldstein, a director of the Energy Policy Research Foundation, an
organization partly financed by the oil industry. 'From a policy
perspective, there is an inherent contradiction.'" http://t.uani.com/1urS0Zt
Tasnim (Iran):
"Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali
Khamenei on Wednesday dismissed as 'useless' the interaction between Iran
and the US, and stressed that sitting around the table with Americans
will have damaging effects. 'Relations with the US and negotiating with
that country, except in specific cases, will have no benefit to the
Islamic Republic, but rather will be harmful,' the Leader said,
addressing a meeting with Iran's foreign minister, ambassadors and heads
of diplomatic missions to the foreign countries, held in Tehran on
Wednesday. Ayatollah Khamenei explained that the nuclear negotiations
between Iran and the sextet of world powers over the past year caused a
series of talks between Iranian diplomats and those of the US, which is
also a member of the Group 5+1 (the five permanent UN Security Council
members plus Germany). The Leader underlined that such meetings with the
American negotiators within the framework of nuclear talks once again
proved that negotiating with the US 'will not help anything, contrary to
what some had assumed.' 'Not only did these contacts (with the US) fail
to yield results, but also the tone of Americans became harsher and more
insulting,' Imam Khamenei noted, referring to Washington's decision to
ramp up sanctions against Tehran as a testimony to futility of the talks.
The Supreme Leader, however, made it clear that Iran will not bow out of
the nuclear talks, but stressed that such a 'precious experience' proved
that 'interaction and talks with Americans have absolutely no impact on
reducing their hostility and are useless.'" http://t.uani.com/Xhh87M
Press TV (Iran):
"Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei says
Israel must pay for the crimes it has committed in Gaza by ending the
siege of the Palestinian coastal strip... The Leader pointed to the
growing global hatred of the US for its complicity in Israel's atrocities
and noted, 'There is nobody in the world to absolve the Americans of
involvement in the crimes and genocide by the usurper, wolfish,
murderous, infidel and oppressive Zionist regime in Gaza; therefore, the
Americans are now in a weaker position.'" http://t.uani.com/1urWvmF
Sanctions Relief
Trend:
"Iran's gas condensate exports increased to 7.75 million tons during
the last four months, indicating a 2.3-time increase compared to the same
period last year. Iran's fiscal year starts on March 20. Iran's Custom
Administration released its monthly report on Aug. 13, saying the
country's total gas condensate export value during last four months was
$5.18 billion, 1.7 times more than the same period last year. It is not
clear why Iran's gas condensate export experienced a 127 percent increase
in volume, but has only a 72.3 percent increase in value, while there
have not been any significant fluctuations in oil prices since last year.
However, Iran reportedly offers discounts to customers to encourage them
to buy more Iranian oil." http://t.uani.com/1prB5D0
Trend:
"Iran's non-oil exports (including gas condensates) surpassed $16.1
billion during the 4-month period from March 21, which indicates an
increase by 21.14 percent compared to the same months of the preceding
year (Iran's fiscal year starts on March 21). Iran exported some 33.76
million tonnes of non-oil goods during that period which is 13.24 percent
more compared to the 4-month period of last year, according to the
Iranian Customs Administration's latest report released on Aug. 13...
Iran exported $5.179 billion worth of gas condensates during that period.
Meanwhile, the country's petrochemical exports surpassed $4.383 billion.
Liquefied propane worth $687 million, methanol worth $579 million and
liquefied butane worth $535 million also topped the list of Iran's
exported non-oil goods. Iran also imported about $17.655 billion worth of
goods during the period, which indicates a rise by 35.78 percent,
compared to the 4-month period of the preceding year." http://t.uani.com/1rqMT6Q
Bloomberg:
"Chennai Petroleum Corp., a unit of India's largest refiner, plans
to resume crude imports from Iran after a two-year gap as insurers return
to the market. 'This year, we plan to restart Iran oil purchases,'
Managing Director S. Venkataramana said in a phone interview. 'We are
already talking to the re-insurers for this, and we are getting positive
responses so far.' Chennai Petroleum, controlled by Indian Oil Corp.
(IOCL), plans to import about 300,000 metric tons of oil from Iran for
the year ending in March 2015, he said." http://t.uani.com/1sSt8WS
Human Rights
ICHRI:
"Three weeks after Washington Post reporter Jason Rezaian and his
journalist wife Yeganeh Salehi were arrested in Tehran, Iranian judicial
authorities continue to refuse to provide any information about the
reasons for the couple's arrest or any news about their condition. The
International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran has also learned that
officials from the Iranian Judiciary and Ministry of Culture and Islamic
Guidance have kept reporters from pursuing the case by telling them that
this is a 'security' case and that its pursuit 'is dangerous.'" http://t.uani.com/1oJanRp
ICHRI:
"The youths involved in making the 'Happy in Tehran' dance video
will be collectively put on trial on September 9, 2014, a source informed
the International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran. The accused, who are
being represented by several lawyers, were last summoned for questioning
between June 16 and June 19. They were asked questions such as, 'Whose
idea was it to make the video?' and 'Who uploaded the video on YouTube?'
The charges include 'illegitimate relations,' 'contact with foreign
television networks,' 'distribution of a video on the vulgar YouTube
channel,' 'failure to observe Islamic covering [hijab],' and 'dancing.'
Agents used personal photos and films confiscated during the arrests to
pile additional charges against the accused. On May 19, 2014, six
individuals involved in the Iranian version of the popular 'Happy' video
by Pharrell Williams were detained and transferred to the Tehran Morality
Police's Vozara Complex. They were released two days later, after posting
bail. Sassan Soleimani, the video's alleged director, was arrested on May
20, 2014, and held in detention for several weeks." http://t.uani.com/1AdA7ha
Domestic
Politics
LAT:
"Iranian President Hassan Rouhani found himself in a political
firestorm Tuesday, the day after he denounced his hard-line critics as
'political cowards' who oppose his efforts to reach an agreement with the
West over the country's nuclear program. Two hundred members of Iran's
Parliament demanded that Rouhani meet with them behind closed doors to
explain his speech, delivered to an annual meeting of Iranian
ambassadors. In it, the president, known as a moderate, said the
opponents of a nuclear deal were suffering from 'negotiation-phobia' and
suggested they go to hell. 'Once one talks about negotiations, they say
we are trembling. To hell -- go find a warm place for yourself! God has
made you cowards,' he said. The deputy speaker of Parliament, Mohsen
Abutorabifard, was among those criticizing Rouhani on Tuesday, saying the
president should avoid using such intemperate language. Even two
reformist publications chided him, saying Rouhani shouldn't behave like
his predecessor, the fiery conservative Mahmoud Ahmadinejad, by using
'colloquial and inappropriate' words. 'One President Ahmadinejad is
enough for Iran,' said the Initiative newspaper." http://t.uani.com/XhibEP
Foreign Affairs
Reuters:
"Iranian Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei lent his support to
new Iraqi Prime Minister-designate Haider al-Abadi on Wednesday, the
clearest sign yet that Tehran was no longer standing by old ally Nuri
al-Maliki. 'I hope the designation of the new prime minister in Iraq will
untie the knot and lead to the establishment of a new government and
teach a good lesson to those who aim for sedition in Iraq,' Khamenei said
during a meeting, according to a statement on his website. Abadi has won
swift endorsements from the United States and Iran as he called on
political leaders to end feuds that have allowed Islamist militants to
seize a third of Iraq. But Maliki said on Wednesday that Abadi's
appointment to replace him violated the constitution and 'had no
value.'" http://t.uani.com/Vlthqq
Press TV (Iran):
"Tel Aviv has descended into a geopolitical cul-de-sac thanks to the
sway of the Islamic Republic, Iran's Defense Minister says. 'The regional
power of the Islamic Republic of Iran and its allies has made the Zionist
regime [Israel], which until yesterday fantasized about extending its
dominion to the Nile and the Euphrates, now resort to a separation
barrier to provide its security and hit a geopolitical impasse in the
confrontation with the Palestinian people's Intifada [uprising] and the
fierce resistance of the Gazans,' Brigadier General Hossein Dehqan said
in an address to a gathering in Tehran of Iranian ambassadors and envoys
on Tuesday. Dehqan further stressed the importance of Iran's geopolitical
and geostrategical position and added that Iranian Armed Forces' defense
and deterrence power buttresses the country's foreign policy. 'After the
victory of the Islamic Revolution [in 1979], the Islamic Republic of
Iran, as a regional power, has played a leading and influential role in the
regional and international scene.'" http://t.uani.com/1oJdEju
Fars News (Iran):
"Commander of the Basij (volunteer) Force Brigadier General Mohammad
Reza Naqdi described the British embassy in Iran as a 'spy den' due to
its role in the 2009 post-election unrests, and said the British are
desperately seeking to bring back Iran under their reign, although to no
avail. Naqdi referred to the British embassy's role in the 2009
post-election unrests in Iran, and said, 'The people (in Iran) are
entitled to know about the role of the British spy den in those bitter
events.' 'The filthy monarchical British regime still feels pity for the
black era of colonialism and it wishes to find new Khans to follow the
footsteps of its former servants like Reza Khan (the father of Mohammad
Reza Pahlavi, the last king of the Pahlavi dynasty in Iran who was
toppled in the 1979 Islamic Revolution in the country) and rule the
Iranian people and it wishes to return to the black era of colonialism by
sowing discord and creating distance between the Iranian people and the
pivot of Islam and unity, but it will take this wish to the grave,' he
said, addressing Iranian war veterans in Tehran on Wednesday." http://t.uani.com/1urWMWM
Opinion &
Analysis
UANI Advisory
Board Member Walter Russell Mead in The American Interest:
"As Maliki loses ground in the face of combined US-Iranian
disapproval, rapprochement with Iran is probably looking more appealing
to the White House than ever. The U.S. and Iran are both concerned about
ISIS and they both agree on the need for pragmatic, results oriented
leadership in Baghdad as the threat grows. The convergence of U.S. and
Iranian interests in Iraq continues to develop. If there is one fixed
star in the administration's Middle East policy it has been the belief
that a 'grand bargain' with Iran offers the best hope for regional
stabilization. From the campaign trail back in the Democratic primary
season in 2008 right up through the current round of negotiations with
Iran, President Obama has done his best to steer American policy toward
some kind of arrangement with the government in Tehran. He is likely to
be strengthened in that belief by the recent developments in Iraq and
will be more convinced than ever that his core strategy of attempting a
nuclear deal with Iran as the basis for a new architecture in the Middle
East remains his best and perhaps his only option. There are signs that
many of the President's advisors share a belief that the rise of ISIS is
as frightening to the mullahs as it is to the West, and that the new
jihadi peril will therefore strengthen the factions in Iran who believe
in compromise with the West. They will see Iran's willingness to accept
Abadi as evidence that much broader cooperation is possible, and they
will urge President Obama to do everything he can to seize the
opportunity for a breakthrough with Iran. U.S. negotiators will sweat
blood to meet the new November deadline in talks with Tehran, in Iraq the
Administration will seek to build on common support for Abadi, and
militarily we may even look for ways to cooperate with Iran against ISIS.
More, the perception that a breakthrough with Iran is just around the
corner will encourage the President to slight or sacrifice the interests
of traditional U.S. allies in the region. It will strengthen the hand of
those in the Administration who tell the President that he should stay
the course in the Middle East, pursuing a 'grand bargain' with Iran, and
supporting 'moderate Islamists' and pro-Muslim Brotherhood governments in
places like Qatar and Turkey, even if that alienates Saudi Arabia, Israel
and Egypt. If America takes this course, expect regional tensions to
rise, rather than relax, even if things calm down in Baghdad. It's not
clear that the President's goal of a grand bargain with Iran is within
reach, or that it will deliver the kind of stability he hopes for. For
one thing, it's possible that the Iranians are less interested in
reaching a pragmatic and mutually beneficial relationship with Washington
than in using Obama's hunger for a transformative and redeeming
diplomatic success to lure him onto a risky and ultimately disastrous
course. For another, Iran's local rivals will be looking for ways to
derail administration strategy on the ground. As we've seen from the Saudi-backed
coup in Egypt against the U.S.-backed Morsi government, and again in the
Saudi-Egyptian-Israeli partnership to derail John Kerry's Gaza diplomacy,
this alliance is not without capabilities. There's a very good chance
that determined and feisty opposition by the new Cairo-Jerusalem-Riyadh
axis, or by Iran's opponents in the U.S. Congress, would wreck the
President's Iran deal even before it gets struck. Meanwhile, even as the
President approaches the moment of truth with Iran, the region is becoming
more explosive and less stable by the day." http://t.uani.com/1rqRWUQ
Majid Rafizadeh in
Al Arabiya: "After eight years of Nouri al-Maliki in
office, the Islamic Republic turned its back on one of its staunchest
allies. With no political, economic and military support from the Islamic
Republic, the end of Maliki's political life seems to be in the
pipeline... The Islamic Republic was influential in retaining Maliki's
power and his Shiite coalition and ensuring his second term in power.
Nevertheless, the Iranian authorities - particularly the Supreme Leader
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, the senior cadre of Iran's Revolutionary Guard
Corps (IRGC) as well as Iran's ministry of intelligence- ultimately came
to the conclusion that it was time to make a tactical shift and leave
behind their ally, Maliki. Nevertheless, the key question is why the
Islamic Republic made such a crucial shift in its foreign policy and
abandoned Iraqi Prime Minister Maliki? First of all, Iranian leaders'
decision to abandon the entrenched prime minister and endorse Haider
al-Abadi might appear to be a pro-Western strategy, specifically in favor
of the US current foreign policy towards the Iraqi crisis, sectarian
conflict and civil war. However, it is critical to point out that the
underlying factors behind Iran's decision to turn its back on Maliki is
distinct from those of Western ones. There are several reasons behind
Iran's shift. The major reason for abandoning Maliki is tactical with
regards to the role of ISIS. In other words, one of the most critical
security threats for the Islamic Republic is the rise of ISIS and the
Sunni insurgency. In addition, Iran shares a 1,500 kilometer border with
Iraq. This could be utilized as a significant platform by ISIS to
infiltrate several Iranian cities near the border and cause political
instability for the Iranian leadership. Secondly, many of the Iranians
who reside near the border are Sunnis. The Iranian authorities are
concerned that the Iranian Sunnis might be sympathetic to the Iraqi Sunni
insurgency and could potentially join their cause. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei
and the senior officials of IRGC have come to the conclusion that Maliki
could not effectively control and manage the sectarian conflict, civil
war, rise of ISIS and other Sunni insurgency groups. Thirdly, the Iranian
authorities are concerned that this sectarian conflict might spill over
to neighboring Iranian provinces with significant Arab populations,
including Khuzestan and Ahvaz. Fourth, it is crucial to point out that
without the approval of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei as well as the senior
cadre of the IRGC, it would have been relatively impossible to envision
the nomination of Haider al-Abadi as new Iraqi Prime Minister. The
Islamic Republic's approval of Haider al-Abadi has likely included a long
process of bargaining, political pressure and negotiations between
Iranian authorities and the Iraqis. As a result, from the perspectives of
the Iranian leadership the prime minister nominee, Haider al-Abadi, does
serve their national, security, geopolitical, strategic and ideological
interests. In addition, from the perspective of the Islamic Republic,
Abadi is the best alternative to Maliki, who can also serve as a credible
and close ally to the Islamic Republic. Otherwise, considering Iran's
political, social, religious, ideological, and economic influence in
Iraq, the Islamic Republic would have not accepted a nomination of a new
prime minister in Iraq if it did not serve its national interests. Abadi
has already accepted Iran's political assistance and role in
re-stabilizing the country. Finally, from the realms of military,
economic cost and benefits and spending of political capital, Iranian
authorities have made a pragmatic and calculative tactical shift. Beside
economic, financial advisory and intelligence assistance, Iran has been
investing its troops from the Quds force - an elite branch of Iran's
Revolutionary Guard Corps- which have been operating on the ground in
Iraq in order to quell the rise and operations of ISIS and other affiliated
extremist insurgencies. Nevertheless, the Islamic Republic's assistance
to the government of Nouri al-Maliki and the ruling Shiite coalition did
not completely halt the rapid advancement of ISIS fighters. The sectarian
conflict, civil war and territorial and military progress of ISIS
appeared to ratchet up despite the presence of Iranian ground forces. In
other words, the government of Nouri al-Maliki became a costly burden on
every level for Iran. Replacing Prime Minister Maliki with Haider
al-Abadi is considered a pragmatic and more cost effective option for the
Iranian leadership." http://t.uani.com/1urZewx
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