Tuesday, March 10, 2015

Eye on Iran: GOP Letter on Iran Nuclear Talks Draws Obama Rebuke






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WSJ: "The already heated battle between Congress and the White House over U.S.-led nuclear talks with Iran got nastier Monday as President Barack Obama chastised 47 Senate Republicans who wrote directly to Iran's leaders to criticize U.S.-led nuclear talks. After Republicans invited Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to lay out his case against an emerging nuclear deal in a congressional speech last week, the nearly four dozen GOP senators wrote to Iran's leaders to warn that any agreement between the White House and Tehran could be quickly nullified or changed once Mr. Obama leaves office. Mr. Obama, firing back, said the lawmakers were effectively aligning themselves with Iranian hard-liners who oppose an international nuclear deal... Sen. Tom Cotton, the freshman Republican senator who led the unusual move, said in an interview he acted because Iran's leaders don't understand the American system and 'need to know' that any deal not approved by Congress is perishable. The deal being negotiated, he said, is 'certainly not acceptable to me, and not to many other members.' Asked to respond to President Obama's comment that the letters' signatories are effectively teaming up with Iranian government hard-liners to kill a deal, Sen. Cotton replied: 'There are nothing but hard-liners in Iran.' ... Messrs. Obama and Biden criticized the Republican outreach. 'I think it's somewhat ironic to see some members of Congress wanting to make common cause with the hard-liners in Iran,' the president told reporters. 'It's an unusual coalition.' Mr. Obama said his focus was on getting to an agreement with Iran that would allow the country to develop a nuclear energy program while ensuring that it could not be weaponized. 'I think what we're going to focus on right now is actually seeing whether we can get a deal or not,' he said. 'Once we do-if we do-we'll be able to make the case to the American people.'" http://t.uani.com/1ExhCJL

WSJ: "Americans are very doubtful that the multinational negotiations with Iran to limit its ability to produce nuclear material will make any impact on the production of nuclear weapons, a new Wall Street Journal/NBC News poll has found. The poll found that 71% said the negotiations between Tehran and the Obama administration and other world powers will not make a real difference in preventing Iran from producing nuclear weapons; 24% said it will make a difference... The new poll found that the public was even more skeptical of the impact of talks with Iran than it was in March 2007 when the poll asked about a U.S. deal to suspend curb North Korea's development of nuclear weapons. In that poll, 62% said the deal would not make a real difference in ending North Korea's nuclear weapons program; 30% said it would make a difference." http://t.uani.com/1BsulcR

Reuters: "The United States offered $5 million on Monday for help in finding an American who disappeared in Iran eight years ago and appealed to Tehran to cooperate in the search for the former FBI agent, Robert Levinson. 'We ask the Government of the Islamic Republic of Iran to work cooperatively with us on the investigation into Robert Levinson's disappearance so we can ensure his safe return,' Secretary of State John Kerry said in a statement. The White House National Security Council said it was 'committed to the safe return of Bob Levinson to his family.' Levinson disappeared from Kish Island, an Iranian resort in the Gulf, on March 9, 2007, while on a business trip as a private investigator." http://t.uani.com/1Bssk0d

   
Nuclear Program & Negotiations

AFP: "Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif on Monday dismissed as of 'no legal value' a letter from 47 US senators warning that any nuclear deal will require Congressional approval... 'We believe that the letter has no legal value and is propaganda,' Zarif said, quoted in Iranian media. 'The senators must know that under international law, Congress cannot change the content of the agreement. Any congressional action to prevent the implementation of any agreement will violate the international commitments of the (US) government. The world is not just in America,' Zarif added." http://t.uani.com/1E2TXvv

WSJ: "Iran and the United Nations atomic agency exchanged additional information about Tehran's past nuclear work on Monday and will meet again next month, the International Atomic Energy Agency said Tuesday, but there was little sign of a sudden breakthrough. Talks between Iran and the IAEA are aimed at clearing up questions on whether Iran's past work was linked to nuclear weapons research... An IAEA team led by Tero Varjoranta, the agency's deputy chief, held a day of technical meetings with Iranian officials on Monday, the IAEA said in a brief statement. The agency said the two sides 'exchanged further information' on two sets of questions the IAEA has raised about Tehran's past nuclear work. 'The Agency and Iran agreed to meet again in mid-April 2015,' the IAEA said." http://t.uani.com/1ExgDZV

Reuters: "The International Atomic Energy Agency says Iran is at least six months behind in providing technical information on the nature of its neutron calculations and alleged experiments on explosives that could be used for an atomic device." http://t.uani.com/1F6J5kk

Human Rights

Toronto Star: "[Iran] is casting an ever-wider net to ensnare Iranians who want to connect with the world and each other through social media. The latest victim is Mohammad Yousefi, a 27-year-old graduate student who was seized from his home Dec. 10, and is said to be 'under strong pressure' to give a forced video confession that could result in a death sentence. The arrest was made under a draconian new program called Spider, meant to root out people who manage social media chat rooms on platforms such as Facebook... 'His arrest is very concerning,' said Gissou Nia of the International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran, whose recent report Internet in Chains details Iran's deepening control over electronic communications. 'It's the first arrest under the Revolutionary Guards' Spider program. It shows the state is becoming much heavier in its control of the Internet.'" http://t.uani.com/1F6HISZ

Domestic Politics

AFP: "Iran's Assembly of Experts, the clerics who appoint and can dismiss the country's supreme leader, picked an ultraconservative as their new chairman in a surprise appointment on Tuesday. Ayatollah Mohammad Yazdi, 83, headed the judiciary for 10 years and was a deputy speaker of parliament after the 1979 Islamic revolution. He gained 47 of the 73 votes cast at a closed-door meeting in Tehran, according to the website of state television, citing officials... His election represents a heavy defeat for former president Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, a relative moderate who previously held the position between 2007 and 2011, and who received 24 votes." http://t.uani.com/1C1yCWw

RFE/RL: "An Iranian legislator who has called for the release of opposition leaders from house arrest has been reportedly assaulted in the southern city of Shiraz. Iran's IRNA news agency reports that the incident occurred on March 9 at the airport in Shiraz, where Ali Motahari had arrived to deliver a speech. People on motorcycles attacked Motahari's car with stones and sticks, breaking the windows, before the car drove away to a nearby police station. Motahari reportedly sustained an eye injury in the attack and had to cancel his speech. Motahari has been advocating the release of opposition leaders Mehdi Karrubi and Mir Hossein Musavi, who have been held under arrest since 2011 over protests that followed the disputed 2009 presidential election." http://t.uani.com/1C1zY3K

Foreign Affairs

Reuters: "Yemen's Iranian-allied Houthi rebels have released videos made by their fighters before they were killed in action that highlight the sectarian nature of a conflict that risks descending into all-out civil war... The clips have the florid style and high production values of other Iran-linked militant groups in the region such as Palestinian Hamas and Lebanese Hezbollah. The United States and Yemen's Sunni Gulf neighbours have watched the Houthi advance with grave concern, believing Iran seeks regional sway through powerful militias in Lebanon, Syria, Iraq and now Yemen. Yemen's president and defence minister have fled to the southern port city of Aden and set up a Gulf-backed rival administration there, while the north drifts closer to Iran. Houthi authorities in Sanaa this month signed a civil aviation agreement with Tehran for 14 weekly flights between the two capitals, and a Houthi politician who used to head Yemen's branch of Iran's pan-Arab news channel Al-Alam was appointed chief of state television over the weekend." http://t.uani.com/1Hu8pAj

Opinion & Analysis

UANI Outreach Coordinator Bob Feferman & UANI Director of Research Matan Shamir in The Forward: "In his speech to the U.S. Congress, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu effectively made the case that the emerging nuclear deal with Iran is a 'very bad deal.' But we would say that's actually a polite understatement; Netanyahu didn't go far enough. This is a dangerous deal - not only for Israel but for the entire region, the U.S. and the world. According to media reports, Iran would reduce the number of centrifuges in operation to about 6,000 and its capacity to 'breakout' of its treaty obligations and develop a bomb's worth of weapons-grade uranium would be set back to one year. Let's say for the sake of argument that one year is enough time to respond to an Iranian rush to a bomb and we can live with that. Sounds good, right? After all, their current breakout capacity is about two months. We're told that Iran's nuclear program is being rolled back to the point that it will no longer pose an imminent danger to the security of America and its allies. So where's the problem? The biggest problem with the proposed deal is the 'sunset clause' embedded within it. Netanyahu made this very clear in his speech. And it's important to note this problem did not originate in the current negotiations. It was one of the several major faults of the interim accord agreed to with Iran in November 2013 called the Joint Plan of Action (JPOA). Those flaws could now become enshrined in a permanent agreement. Our organization, United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI), warned about these poison pills as soon as the JPOA was signed. Saving the worst for last, the single most dangerous part of the JPOA is in its final sentence, which reads: 'Following successful implementation of the final step of the comprehensive solution for its full duration, the Iranian nuclear program will be treated in the same manner as that of any non-nuclear state party to the NPT [Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty].' Think about the significance of this. In exchange for a temporary rollback of its nuclear program for maybe 10 years, Iran would get virtually full relief from economic sanctions... Think of how this would immediately bolster the Iranian regime's nefarious, non-nuclear activities, such as its state sponsorship of terrorism and quest for regional dominance. The relief from sanctions and financial rewards would go to strengthening its militant proxies and its Revolutionary Guard advisers throughout the region. Will this help bring peace to the Middle East? How will this make our world a safer place? But it gets even worse... If the agreement will only last for 10 years, then Iran will emerge with the freedom to produce hundreds of thousands of centrifuges. Iran would then have the ability to enrich enough uranium for a bomb in a matter of weeks, if not days - and no one would have grounds to deny Iran such nuclear 'development.' Any kind of intervention could only come when Iran moves to making a nuclear weapon, a decision that Iran's Supreme Leader could make on a whim. And then it would be too late. The proposed deal is essentially trading short-term concessions on Iran's dangerous nuclear program for acquiescence to Iran's dangerous non-nuclear activities - terrorism and its quest for regional domination. So in the end Iran can have it all: nuclear weapons capability, terrorism and regional hegemony. We would then have a true nightmare scenario on our hands." http://t.uani.com/198GKtl

UANI Advisory Board Member Walter Russell Mead & Nicholas M. Gallagher in The American Interest: "The Constitutional problem therefore isn't that Congress is trying to micromanage the President; the problem is that the President is trying an end run around Congress on a matter of the greatest importance. President Obama has the right to conduct whatever policy he wishes towards Iran as long as he stays within the bounds of American law; he cannot, however, bind future Presidents and Congresses unless the legislative branch weighs in. Writing a letter to the Supreme Leader of Iran might not have been the best or the most tactful way to make the point, but Senators have an obligation to their institution and to the Constitution to uphold their right to review long term international commitments made in America's name. The best way out of the potential deadlock would be for the President and the Secretary of State to work directly with key Senators who can command the support of the GOP caucus and work to meet their objections. Historians fault President Wilson for failing to bring Republican Senators with him to the negotiating sessions in Versailles and working with people like Lodge (who was anything but isolationist) to find an approach to the Treaty that they could support. People praise Truman for reaching out and working with key Republicans to get their support for the Marshall Plan. We note that Senator Corker, the chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee, and no stranger to criticisms of the administration's Iran policy, has not signed Senator Cotton's letter. If the White House is smart, it will take the opportunity to work with Corker and other important Republicans to reach some kind of bipartisan agreement on Iran policy. President Obama may complain that this means that he can't get the Iran policy he wants; that may be true, and it may be as bad a thing as the President fears, but that isn't the point. American presidential powers have their limits, and President Obama can't bind the future without congressional buy-in. Republicans like Senator Corker and Senator Cotton are neither stupid nor malicious. Both men are serious figures who take their responsibilities seriously. We don't need a Congress that is continually gumming up the foreign policy works by intervening on every little negotiation, but a prospective nuclear deal with Iran is one of the most important questions that the nation faces. Nothing about our Constitutional system says that the executive should have a free hand to reach an agreement that binds the whole country on a matter like this without congressional concurrence. To blame the Senate for the possibility of a constitutional train wreck is to blame the victim; it is the responsibility of the President to go to Congress on a matter of this kind." http://t.uani.com/1wW1QWo

Jeffrey Goldberg in The Atlantic: "The Iranian foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, wants Jews to know that he, and the country he represents, are their friends. In an interview with Ann Curry, he accused the Israeli prime minister, Benjamin Netanyahu, of intentionally misreading Jewish scripture in order to make the case that Iran is malevolently predisposed toward Jews: 'If you read the Book of Esther, you will see that it was the Iranian king who saved the Jews,' Zarif said. 'If you read the Old Testament, you will see that it was an Iranian king who saved the Jews from Babylon. Esther has a town in Iran where our Jewish population, which is the largest in the Middle East, visits on a regular basis.' It is true that, at different times, and in different ways, Persia has been a friend of the Jews. Cyrus the Great (the Iranian king mentioned by Zarif in the interview) restored the Jews to their homeland in the Land of Israel after their Babylonian exile. President Harry Truman, who recognized the state of Israel in 1948, 11 minutes after it was reborn, later proclaimed proudly, 'I am Cyrus.' There is dark humor (or a lack of self-awareness) in Zarif's citation of Cyrus as proof of Iranian philo-Semitism, because today's Iranian leadership does not recognize Jewish sovereignty in Israel, as Cyrus once did, but instead seeks the annihilation of the Jewish state. I am in favor of a negotiated agreement that will keep Iran at least a year away from a nuclear weapon in part because, in the post-Holocaust era, it is crucially important to keep such weapons out of the hands of those who promise to do Jews real harm. As I've written, it is not likely that Iran would launch a preemptive nuclear attack on Israel, but it would almost certainly redouble, under the protection of a nuclear umbrella, its work toward Israel's eradication, with disastrous consequences. (We'll have the argument over whether the agreement now taking shape is the best possible deal in another post. Suffice it to say that the parameters of the current, still-unfinished deal are cause for some worry.) Netanyahu's deployment of the Holocaust to make his case against Iran (and against the current deal) is controversial. There are many aspects of Netanyahu's approach I find disagreeable and counterproductive (most, actually), but an Israeli prime minister who does not recognize that extinction-level threats directed at Jews have sometimes been more than aspirational is not fulfilling his responsibilities... The Iranian regime is not populated by Nazis, but it is led by people who do, in fact, seek the physical elimination of the Jewish state and its replacement by a Muslim state. It works toward this end, by sponsoring terrorist groups that regularly kill Jews, both in Israel and elsewhere. So, as a reminder to those who argue that Jews should stop worrying so much about people who threaten to kill them, here is some (just some) of what Iran's leaders, and leaders of its proxy militia, Hezbollah, in Lebanon, have said about Israel." http://t.uani.com/1D04hJt
        

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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