Wednesday, February 11, 2009

from NY to Israel Sultan Reveals The Stories Behind the News







Playing to Win



Posted: 10 Feb 2009 06:56 PM PST


Imagine a game with two players. One player is playing to win, the other is playing to a

draw, without actually going in for the kill. Even if the first player is weaker than
the
second player, if the game goes on long enough the odds are on his side...
because he is playing to win.

Einstein famously said,
"I know not with what weapons World War III
will be fought,
but World War IV will be fought with sticks and stones."


Like many pacifists, Einstein assumed that war would become
more destructive.
Instead the Western powers have long ago stopped fighting to
win, and rather
than unleashing their full strength, chose to begin fighting to
a draw, or to
maintain a slightly improved balance of power vis a vis the
enemy.

While some believed that this style of limited warfare is the product of the Cold
War's Mutually Assured Destruction, in which war had to be scaled down for
fear of unleashing a nuclear armageddon... this inability to finish the fight has
become most pronounced when Western powers fight conflicts with
third
world guerrillas or terrorists.

There are several factors that explain why we stopped playing to win, and
accordingly have begun slowly losing.

1. Instant Communications - Like sausage,
wars used to be 'made' mostly out of sight. Individuals might have
personal experience of a battlefield, but few outside the military would have
much visceral interaction with the war itself. With the American Civil War
and the Crimean War that began to change. Photography and
popularized first person accounts began the process of bringing war into the
"living room", horrifying and repulsing millions.

By the time the technology had developed to the point where video broadcasts
could be conducted from the field, or any civilian could capture some of
the action on a cell
phone, the barriers had been breached.

Naturally it would be the more civilized countries which placed a higher value on
life and did not censor their media, that would receive the worst of this exchange.
While the guerrillas and terrorists can always intimidate and silence, and
in any case tend to operate in cultures with higher mortality rates that place
less value on human life, Western nations cannot and do not function so.

The result is that civilized countries begin practicing excessive restraint on
the
battlefield, this not only gives the enemy more freedom of movement,
it creates an entirely new strategic doctrine that involves using civilians as
human shields, hospitals and civilian areas as bases, and even deliberately
generate atrocities in
order to foster propaganda victories.

In this environment, propaganda victories become real victories if they harm
the
morale of a Western power. The more the civilized side restrains its forces,
the more power and territory, the enemy gains.

2. Liberalism - While the welfare of civilians on the enemy side was a
legitimate concern, it was never supposed to be a greater concern than the
lives of our own soldiers. Yet Liberalism has managed to accomplish exactly
that as on the battlefield, with civilized nations putting the lives of soldiers at
risk to protect enemy civilians.

This development has turned the human shield from a punchline, into a
potent defensive measure, and a propaganda offensive tool.

As liberalism routinely assumes that their home society is usually at fault,
and that the stronger party is also the guilty party, a liberal culture
cripples the very military that seeks to defend it.

A liberal culture
propounds that
the only legitimate
cause for war is the
defense of a weaker
party against a
stronger party.
This paradox
necessitates wars
that are no longer
defensive wars,
but nation building wars to tear down a sovereign nation,
on behalf of an oppressed populace or minority within its borders.

Such wars may be legitimate or not, on an individual basis, but they
bury the primary justification for war, that of self-defense or the
suppression of a vital
and active threat. By doing so they also shift the
priority from the military to the diplomatic, and from military
accomplishment to nation building through winning the hearts and minds
of the enemy civilian population-- an approach destined to undermine any
purely military approach. Wars are no longer fought in pursuit of victory,
but in order to build a better world... and we stop playing to win.


3. The Supremacy of Diplomacy - War becomes a means of enforcing a
diplomatic objective. When diplomacy fails, we go to war. When the enemy
meets our demands, we end the war. Then we rinse and repeat the whole
cycle all over again.

Since modern diplomacy was envisioned as a peacemaking tool, these demands
must be peacemaking demands as well. This makes war inherently
contradictory
and disreputable, and creates situations in which we endlessly
pursue peacemaking
diplomacy to avoid war, only to be tricked, and then restart
the peacemaking
cycle again. When we finally try to break the cycle of hollow
diplomatic charades
with war, universal condemnation follows.

War then becomes a halfhearted effort to hurt the enemy just enough to
convince
them to give in to our peacemaking demands. Unfortunately when
the enemy has
no interest in giving in, the military campaign quickly becomes
a painful bloody
drawn out mess with no real objective except buzzwords such as
"Stabilization"
and "Reining in the Extremist Elements Who Stand in the Way of
Peace."

The latest example of such a misguided military campaign
could be seen in Gaza,
but it can just as well be seen in Iraq, and for that matter
Vietnam. If you're not
playing to win, but assuming that the enemy will give up
and come to the negotiating table, then you're playing to lose... particularly
against an enemy
who knows how the game is played, and knows that all he
needs to do is stay alive long enough for you to give up and go away.


4. Forgetting How to Fight - When the USSR was dismantled, the Yeltsin
government attempted to give away land to farmers, only to discover that
after generations of collectivization, too few knew how to farm anymore.
So national skills can disappear under the boot of socialism. There was a time
in American history when the instinctive response to an attacker was force.
Today the instinctive response is to run away and wait for the police to take
care of it.



After a generation we have very nearly forgotten what war is, and
what it's for.

Afghanistan and Iraq proved that our soldiers still know how to
fight, but our
politicians and military command have often forgotten. As war
becomes
subservient to diplomacy, as the culture of liberalism and
instant
communications bring war into the living room and treat all
military
actions as atrocities-- we lose the ability to play to win and
to fight to win,
instead snatching diplomatic defeat from the jaws of a
military victory.

But Playing to Win is the only real game in town. As Western powers and
civilized nations stop playing to win, the terrorists who do play to win,
begin winning. Our advantages in resources, organization and numbers
can only hold out for so long unless we too begin playing to win.













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