Tuesday, March 12, 2013

Eye on Iran: Iran's March Crude Exports to Fall to Lowest Since Sanctions Kicked In








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Reuters: "Iran's crude oil exports in March may plunge by a quarter from a month earlier to the lowest since tight Western sanctions came into effect in 2012, industry sources said, squeezing income for Tehran as sanctions cast doubt over its future revenues. The fall may result in a revenue loss of about $1 billion for Iran, according to Reuters calculations based on current oil prices, just as the country's parliament debates President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad's spending proposals... Iran's customers will load 810,000 barrels per day (bpd) of crude in March compared with about 1.1 million bpd in February, according to an industry source with direct knowledge of the matter and a company that tracks the country's crude shipments. Excluding Turkey, the only European buyer of Iranian crude, Tehran's top customers in Asia -- China, India, South Korea and Japan -- will load 703,000 bpd in March versus about 960,000 bpd a month earlier." http://t.uani.com/ZFKxDb

AFP: "Pakistan risks sparking US sanctions if it pursues its plans with Iran to build a $7.5 billion gas pipeline linking the two nations, a senior US official said in a renewed warning Monday. 'We have serious concerns, if this project actually goes forward, that the Iran Sanctions Act would be triggered,' State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland said. 'We've been straight up with the Pakistanis about these concerns.' Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad launched the construction of a much-delayed section of the gas pipeline with his Pakistani counterpart Asif Ali Zardari at a ceremony on the border of the two neighbors. But Nuland added: 'We've heard this pipeline announced about 10 or 15 times before in the past. So we have to see what actually happens.'" http://t.uani.com/X2RQmL

AFP: "Human rights violations in Iran spiralled in 2012, a United Nations monitor said Monday, spotlighting abuses including repression of freedom of speech, torture and secret executions. 'The prevailing situation of human rights in Iran continues to warrant serious concern,' Ahmed Shaheed told the UN Human Rights Council. 'The situation for individuals in Iran who advocate for the advancement of human rights, or those that document, report, or protest against human rights violations is grave and continues to deteriorate,' he added. Those who speak out 'continue to be subjected to harassment, arrest, interrogation, and torture and are frequently charged with vaguely-defined national security crimes, which is seemingly meant to erode the frontline of human rights defence in the country'... Turning his focus to executions, Shaheed said that while 297 were officially announced by the government -- 58 of them carried out in public -- some 200 'secret executions' had been acknowledged by family members, prison officials or members of the judiciary. Nearly 500 executions -- both official and unofficial -- were carried out in 2012, compared to 661 in 2011, and 542 the year before." http://t.uani.com/Y854il
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Nuclear Program & Sanctions 

Bloomberg: "Sasol's profit declined to 13 percent to 12.1 billion rand in the six months through December as it wrote down the value of its Iranian polymers unit as it wrote down the value of its Iranian polymers unit, it said in a statement today... The company wrote down 428 million rand at an unsuccessful oil well in Mozambique, and recorded a 1 billion-rand foreign- exchange loss, it said. The loss was primarily due to the Iranian rial's depreciation against the dollar, Sasol said. 'The operating profit in the current year was negatively impacted by once-off charges totaling 3.6 billion rand,' the company said. 'These items relate primarily to the partial impairments of our Arya Sasol Polymer Co. investment and the Solvents Germany business of 1.97 billion rand and 198 million rand, respectively.'" http://t.uani.com/10AtCTD

Human Rights

Reuters: "The European Union imposed sanctions on Tuesday on an Iranian police unit monitoring the Internet, as well on several judges and media bosses the bloc blames for human rights violations in the Islamic Republic. The sanctions reflect mounting concerns about human rights in Iran and are separate from measures against Tehran over its nuclear program, which governments in the European Union and elsewhere suspect has a covert military dimension. The move brings to nearly 90 the number of people targeted by EU asset freezes and visa bans over concerns about human rights in Iran. Among those newly listed is a judge, Morteza Kiasati, who imposed death sentences on four Iranian Arab political prisoners... Mohammad Sarafraz, the head of both IRIB, Iran's state broadcaster, and Press TV, the state English-language television news channel, was listed over his alleged cooperation with security services and prosecutors to broadcast forced confessions of detainees. Press TV's newsroom director was also similarly listed." http://t.uani.com/16oKPnl

ABC: "The wife of a retired FBI agent who was kidnapped in Iran six years ago said today she will hold Iran to its promise to help find her husband. 'I hope that they do it as quickly as possible,' Christine Levinson, wife of longtime FBI veteran Robert Levinson, told ABC News today. 'We continue to be extremely worried about Bob, particularly his health. He is 65-years-old... His birthday was yesterday.' Christine Levinson spoke in reference to comments reportedly made today by Iranian Foreign Minister Ali Akbar Salehi in which he said his country will help find out what happened to the ex-FBI agent." http://t.uani.com/W5xrBA

Fox News: "Five Iranian Christian converts who were detained late last year will reportedly begin trial in Iran's Revolutionary Court this week, according to a human rights group following the case. The five men were among seven arrested in October when security forces raided an underground house church in the city of Shiraz during a prayer session. They will be tried at the Revolutionary Court in Shiraz's Fars Province on charges of disturbing public order, evangelizing, threatening national security and engaging in Internet activity that threatens the government, according to Christian Solidarity Worldwide, a religious persecution watchdog group. 'Judging from recent cases, it is likely that, at the very least, those detained may face lengthy prison sentences,' said CSW spokesperson Kiri Kankhwende." http://t.uani.com/Y82pVL

NYT: "Iran's powerful Ministry of Information and Communications Technology has blocked the most popular software used by millions of Iranians to bypass an elaborate official Internet filtering system, stepping up a campaign to gain more control over the way Iranians use the Internet. As of Thursday, a collection of illegal virtual private networks, or VPNs, was successfully closed off by the ministry, making visits to Web sites deemed immoral or politically dangerous - like Facebook and Whitehouse.gov - nearly impossible. Popular mobile applications like Viber, for free phone calls, and WhatsApp, for free text messaging service, have also been experiencing problems. People trying to visit illegal Web sites are being directed to a page on which users are encouraged to report illegal use of the Internet. This page, Peyvandha.ir, also explains in Persian that Web sites that promote 'debauchery, boozing, pornography, the sharing of pictures and advocating ideas against religion' are forbidden." http://t.uani.com/12LxtCA

AFP: "Syria, China, Iran, Bahrain and Vietnam are flagrantly spying online, media watchdog RSF said Tuesday, urging controls on the export of Internet surveillance tools to regimes clamping down on dissent... Iran meanwhile is in the process of creating a home-grown Internet system, citing a series of cyber attacks on its nuclear installations, RSF said. 'Applications and services such as email, search engines and social networks are proposed to be developed under government control,' to allow for 'large-scale surveillance and the systematic elimination of dissent.' Twenty Internet users were jailed and one had been killed in the past year, it said, warning against the use of Iranian virtual private networks as it 'will be like throwing yourself into the lion's jaws.'" http://t.uani.com/12LzRsP

Domestic Politics

AP: "Senior Iranian clerics have scolded President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad for consoling Hugo Chavez's mother with a hug - a physical contact considered a sin under Iran's strict Islamic codes. The rebuke follows a widely published photo showing Ahmadinejad embracing Chavez's mother at the funeral of the late Venezuelan president in what is seen as taboo-breaking behavior in Iran. Iranian papers on Tuesday cited clerics from the religious center of Qom who described the hug as 'forbidden,' inappropriate behavior and 'clowning around.' Iran's strict Islamic codes prohibit physical contact between unrelated members of the opposite sex. The clerics did not spare Ahmadinejad." http://t.uani.com/16oONfu
 
Opinion & Analysis


Gerald Seib in WSJ: "Like Iran's nuclear program itself, the international effort to stop it is about to enter a critical phase. Put simply, it now seems possible that the world will know by the end of April whether diplomacy will be sufficient to halt what some fear is an Iranian march toward nuclear-weapons capability. Iran continues to enrich uranium at two facilities, and it is working on a separate heavy-water reactor that would be able to produce plutonium. Perhaps most troubling, it said this month it is building 3,000 new and faster centrifuges that would allow it to speed up its production of enriched uranium. Meanwhile, diplomats from the U.S. and five allies held two days of talks at the end of February with Iranian officials in Kazakhstan in an effort to find a formula for slowing down the Iranian effort. Lower-level nuclear experts from Iran and those world powers are set to meet Monday for more detailed discussions, and the high-level diplomats plan to get together again in early April. In the midst of that action, President Barack Obama will visit Israel next week for talks with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu that undoubtedly will be dominated by Iran's nuclear program. In short, the period between now and early April is shaping up as crucial. Throughout, it will be clear that, as ever, the quest to stop Iran from developing a nuclear weapon is best seen as a race against a clock-a clock that is being read differently in various world capitals. For the U.S. and its partners in the international effort to curb Iran's program-Russia, France, China, Britain and Germany-the clock is ticking down at one speed toward the alarm sounding. For Israel, the country most threatened by Iran's nuclear ambitions, the clock is ticking down at a faster speed. For the past couple of years, Israel and the U.S. have been able to finesse their different views of the clock largely because Washington was succeeding at marshaling international support for economic sanctions that have put some serious hurt on Iran and hold out the prospect that the pain would compel real changes in Iran's nuclear arc. The latest success in that sanctions effort came last week, when Indian refiners said they may stop purchases of Iranian oil. Over the next month, as the stakes grow higher, the ability to continue finessing the differences will be put to the test. That much has become clear from the differing reactions to the latest round of diplomacy in Kazakhstan." http://t.uani.com/14RRS4m

Claudia Rosett in Forbes: "Both Iran and North Korea are subject to a growing stack of sanctions with which the United Nations, since 2006, has been demanding an end to their illicit nuclear and ballistic missile programs. Yet these two rogue states continue doing business with each other, of the most dangerous sort, at times in plain view. Since North Korea's third and most successful nuclear test, just last month, North Korea's third-generation tyrant Kim Jong Un has been diverting the world with such bizarre maneuvers as glad-handing basketball eccentric Dennis Rodman and threatening preemptive nuclear strikes against the U.S. and South Korea. The real, deadly serious business of North Korea can better be discerned by focusing on its dealings with its fellow rogue state and longtime partner in proliferation, Iran. Now edging back into the news, following North Korea's Feb. 12 nuclear test, is a deal that was signed between the governments of Iran and North Korea last September, when a delegation of senior North Korean officials traveled to Tehran to attend a summit of the 120-member Non-Aligned Movement (NAM). Perversely lending legitimacy to that NAM gathering, at which UN-sanctioned Iran took over the NAM chairmanship for 2012-2015, were such worthies as United Nations Secretary-General Ban Ki-moon. On the fringes of that summit, North Korea and Iran signed a Scientific Cooperation Agreement, described by North Korea's state-run Korean Central News Agency (KCNA) as covering 'cooperation in science, technology and education.' The deal bears an ominous resemblance to an agreement signed between North Korea and Syria in 2002, according to former State Department official David Asher, testifying on North Korean rackets this past Tuesday before the House Committee on Foreign Affairs. Asher described the 2002 agreement as the 'keystone' of North Korea's covert cooperation with Syria in building a clandestine copy, inside Syria, of North Korea's Yongbyon nuclear reactor - a project that had no evident purpose except to produce plutonium for nuclear weapons. (As that reactor was nearing completion, in 2007, the Israelis destroyed it with an air strike.) The North Korean delegation to last year's NAM summit in Tehran was led by the same North Korean official who led the 2002 delegation to Syria, Kim Yong Nam, head of North Korea's parliament. While neither Iran nor North Korea has released the text of the agreement, state news outlets from both countries did publish the names of some of the officials present for the signing of the deal. It is a list that suggests nuclear proliferation may be at the core of this deal." http://t.uani.com/15K1GQ1

Elise Auerbach in Amnesty: "Adherents of the Baha'i faith are probably the most persecuted religious community in Iran. Their faith is not recognized as a religion in Iran's Constitution. Many Baha'is were executed in the 1980s. The seven leaders of the Baha'i community are serving 20-year prison sentences after their convictions on specious charges of 'espionage for Israel,' 'insulting religious sanctities' and 'spreading propaganda against the system.'  Baha'is are excluded from higher education and face severe discrimination in employment, their cemeteries have been desecrated, and they are not permitted to meet, to hold religious ceremonies or to practice their religion communally. Because they are excluded from universities, the community established the underground Baha'i Institute for Higher Education, but its faculty and staff have been arrested and imprisoned solely for peacefully providing instruction to their young people. About 110 Baha'is are currently in detention in Iran, while many others are awaiting trial or have charges pending against them. One of the Baha'i prisoners of conscience is Rozita Vaseghi who is serving a ten-year prison sentence for 'membership of an illegal organization whose aim is to harm the security of the country,' 'propaganda against the system' and 'spreading Baha'i teachings.' After she refused to sign a confession, she was told she would remain in prison 'until her hair was the color of her teeth.' Meanwhile a new book, Captive in Iran, relates the story of two young women, Maryam Rostampur and Marziyeh Amirizadeh, who converted from Islam to Christianity and who endured detention for nearly nine months in Tehran's Evin Prison, solely for the peaceful promotion of their religion. They describe in painful detail the squalid conditions, inadequate food, long interrogations, as well as the fear and uncertainty; they were threatened by prosecutors with dire consequences - including possible death sentences for apostasy - and were pressured to repudiate their faith. Their eventual release was likely due to the intense international brought to bear on the Iranian government on their behalf. For the last few years Iranian authorities have increasingly targeted Evangelical Protestants, many of whom are converts from Islam... Now that the touring Cyrus Cylinder will be suggesting to visitors around the U.S. that the ideals we hold dear were recognized long before the Enlightenment in Europe, the Iranian government should embrace and uphold the principles established by the visionary ancient king of Persia." http://t.uani.com/10AzL21

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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