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AP:
"Iran and the U.S. have tentatively agreed on a formula that
Washington hopes will reduce Tehran's ability to make nuclear arms by
committing it to ship to Russia much of the material needed for such
weapons, diplomats say. In another sign of progress, the two diplomats
told The Associated Press that negotiators at the December round of
nuclear talks drew up for the first time a catalog outlining areas of
potential accord and differing approaches to remaining disputes. The
diplomats said differences still dominate ahead of the next round of
Iran-six power talks on Jan. 15 in Geneva. But they suggested that even
agreement to create a to-do list would have been difficult previously
because of wide gaps between the sides. The diplomats, who are familiar
with the talks, spoke to the AP recently and demanded anonymity because
they weren't authorized to comment on the closed negotiations. On
Saturday, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokeswoman Marzieh Afkham denied any
tentative formula had been reached." http://t.uani.com/1KdpGjQ
Reuters:
"Iran denied on Saturday that it had reached an agreement with the
United States to ship its surplus enriched uranium to Russia under new
concessions aimed at clinching a comprehensive nuclear deal with six
world powers. The Associated Press, citing diplomats, said on Friday
Tehran and Washington had tentatively agreed on a formula to ship to
Russia much of the material that could potentially lead to manufacture of
atomic arms by the Islamic republic... Iran's foreign ministry spokeswoman
Marzieh Afkham said 'no agreement on any nuclear topic' had been reached.
'Such news is spread out of political motives and its goal is to tarnish
the climate of the talks and make it more complicated to reach a
settlement,' the state IRNA news agency quoted her as saying... The head
of Iran's atomic energy agency, Ali Akbar Salehi, told worshippers at
Friday prayers that the long nuclear conflict was drawing to an end.
'Have no doubt that the nuclear issue will be resolved in Iran's favour
and we will soon celebrate Iran's victory,' he was quoted as saying by
Mehr News." http://t.uani.com/13RWIVj
Reuters:
"Iranian President Hassan Rouhani called for curbs on the state's
involvement in business and an end to Tehran's international isolation on
Sunday to help rescue an economy hurt by sanctions, corruption and
mismanagement. His appeal in a speech to 1,500 economists appeared to be
critical of hardliners who oppose his efforts to deliver Iran from years
of erratic economic management by the previous administration of Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad. 'Our economy will not prosper as long as it is monopolized
(by the government). The economy must be rid of monopoly and see
competition,' he said. 'It must be freed of insider speculation, be
transparent, all people must be aware of the statistics. If we can bring
transparency to our economy, we can fight corruption.' He added: 'Our
political life has shown we can't have sustainable growth while we are
isolated.'" http://t.uani.com/1IepSeN
Nuclear Program & Negotiations
FT:
"President Hassan Rouhani has threatened to hold an unprecedented
referendum in Iran as he warned hardline opponents of a nuclear deal with
the west that the country must end its international isolation. The
Iranian leader said he was looking at the possibility of using his
constitutional rights to give power to the people in comments that some
analysts took as a warning that he may try to put any nuclear agreement
to a public vote... While Mr Rouhani called for unity at home, he said he
could resort to holding a referendum over 'important matters which are
important for all people and have impacts on their lives' if his policies
were blocked. 'Even if Rouhani has no plan to use this right, he
basically threatened that he may ask public opinion about a nuclear
deal,' said a reform-minded political analyst. 'This can scare his rivals
not to insist on impossible things like immediate lifting of
sanctions.'" http://t.uani.com/13RWzB1
AP:
"Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said Sunday that ongoing nuclear
negotiations with world powers are a matter of 'heart,' not just
centrifuges ahead of talks next week in Geneva. Speaking to an economic
conference in Tehran, Rouhani both countered hard-line critics worried
Iran will give up too much while also attempting to signal his
administration remains open to negotiation with the six-nation group
leading the talks. If 'we are ready to stop some types of enrichment
which we do not need at this time, does it mean we have compromised our
principles and cause?' Rouhani asked. He responded: 'Our cause is not
linked to a centrifuge. It is connected to our heart and to our
willpower.'" http://t.uani.com/1xvKddT
Sanctions
Relief
Trend:
"Iran's non-oil exports (excluding condensates) surpassed $31.212
billion during the first eleven months of 2014, indicating an increase by
9.78 percent compared to the same period of the preceding year...
Liquefied propane worth $1.801 billion (5.77 percent of overall exports),
liquefied butane worth $1.25 billion (4 percent of total export value)
and grid polyethylene film worth $1.232 billion (3.95 percent of overall
export) topped the list of Iran's exported non-oil goods. Liquefied
propane exports registered a 108.16-percent increase compared to the
first eleven months of 2013 in terms of value, meanwhile exports of
liquefied butane and grid polyethylene film witnessed increase by 63.76
percent and 50.1 percent respectively." http://t.uani.com/1Bz23fF
Trend:
"Iran imported $50.665 billion worth of goods during the first
eleven months of 2014, which indicates a rise by 21.85 percent, compared
to the same period of the preceding year... The Islamic Republic's
overall non-oil trade turn over stood at $81.877 billion during the first
eleven months of 2014. The figure indicates a 16.95 percent rise in
comparison with the $70.01 billion trade turn over during the first
eleven months of 2013." http://t.uani.com/1yqkHsk
Tasnim (Iran):
"The value of bilateral trade between Iran and China from January to
November 2014, has witnessed a 36 percent increase, compared to the same
period last year, customs data showed. The bilateral trade exchanges
between the Islamic Republic and China over the 11-month period reached
$47.5 billion, showing a 36 percent rise, compared with the figure in
2013, according to the General Administration of Customs. The data
indicated that Iran-China bilateral trade from January to November 2013
stood at about $35 billion. According to the report, the Chinese exports
to Iran from January to November 2014, reached $22 billion, showing an 87
percent increase compared to the same period last year. The Chinese
imports from Iran over the first 11 months in 2014 increased by 10
percent, hitting $25.5 billion. Oil is the main item imported to China
from Iran." http://t.uani.com/1xvVJpC
Tasnim (Iran):
"Several major European and Asian companies are in talks with the
Iranian National Gas Company for cooperation in the gas industry, an
Iranian gas official announced. 'Some European companies from France,
Britain, Germany, Italy, and Russia as well as companies from Japan,
South Korea, and China, have entered into negotiations with National
Iranian Gas Company (NIGC) in the areas of the construction of (gas)
refineries and transmission lines,' the head of Investment Committee at
the NIGC, Asghar Soheilipour, said. 'Up to now' he added 'we have started
talks with 35 to 40 companies, all of which are among the world's major
and well-known companies.'" http://t.uani.com/1xIUGot
IRNA (Iran):
"Head of the investment committee of the Iran National Gas Company
(INGC) Asghar Soheilipour said that his company was offering information
about Iran's top priority gas projects to potential foreign and domestic
investors... The official referred to Mitsubishi, LG and Samsung as
corporations having announced readiness for making investments in Iran
gas projects." http://t.uani.com/1xJnE4h
Trend:
"Some 825,389 cars have been produced in Iran in the first nine
months of the current Iranian fiscal year (March 21-Dec. 22, 2014). The
figure indicates 64.3 percent increase compared to the same period of
preceding year, Iran's industry, mines and trade ministry's official
SHATA news portal reported Jan. 5... About 104,729 cars have been
produced in Iran in the 9th calendar month of the current Iranian year
(Nov. 22-Dec. 22, 2014). The figure is 35.9 percent more compared the
same month of preceding year." http://t.uani.com/1wPSsfQ
Terrorism
CSM:
"Hezbollah, the Shiite militant group, is facing a new enemy: financial
austerity. A slump in global oil prices and nuclear-tied sanctions are
squeezing the group's patron Iran, which is already funneling billions of
dollars to the Syrian regime. As Iran tightens its belt, Hezbollah has
had to impose salary cuts on personnel, defer payments to suppliers and
reduce monthly stipends to its political allies in Lebanon, according to
a wide range of political and diplomatic sources in Beirut, including
friends and foes of the powerful Shiite party. The financial difficulties
do not pose an immediate threat to Hezbollah's political and popular
standing in Lebanon. Moreover, the flow of Iranian largesse is controlled
by Ayatollah Ali Khameini, Iran's supreme leader, and isn't part of the
government's oil-dependent budget. But the belt-tightening underlines
just how reliant Hezbollah is on Iranian largesse to pay its ever
increasing army of fighters, as well as to bankroll its massive social
welfare network of schools and hospitals upon which much of its Shiite
support base depends." http://t.uani.com/14olI7M
Human Rights
IHR:
"According to the official and unofficial reports 17 people have
been executed in the first 4 days of 2015. Three men were hanged publicly
in the town of Torqabeh near Mashhad (Northeastern Iran) today. The state
run Iranian news agency Fars reported that three men identified as 'Mehdi
V', 'Ehsan K' and 'Mahmood K' were convicted of raping a young woman in
one of the villages near Torqabeh... Mehdi and Ehsan were sentenced to
death by public execution convicted of rape, while Mahmood was sentenced
to 100 lashes and public execution for threatening and raping the woman,
said the report. On January 1, one man was hanged in Qazvin, while
according to unofficial sources 13 prisoners were hanged in three different
prisons on January 1. These include four women in Bam, 7 prisoners in
Kerman and two prisoners in Bandar Abbas." http://t.uani.com/17c6zHQ
Domestic
Politics
AFP:
"A draft law that would give greater powers to Iran's police and
volunteer militias to enforce women's compulsory wearing of the veil has
been ruled unconstitutional, state media reported Saturday... The draft
law, called the 'Plan on Protection of Promoters of Virtue and Vice' was
rejected by the country's influential Guardian Council, a 12-member group
that scrutinises legislation. The official IRNA news agency, quoting a
council spokesman, said the 24-point plan contained 14 flaws and it
'contradicted the constitution and was not approved'. The report did not
give specifics. However, the council's decision is not the end of the
law, under which lawmakers want to give members of the Basij, a religious
volunteer force established by the country's revolutionary leaders, power
and protection to verbally caution women they deem improperly dressed.
The council has sent the law back to parliament for amendment, IRNA
said." http://t.uani.com/1AoDd2x
FT:
"As a young, smart and ambitious university graduate, Mahsa could
have been a model of the modern Iranian woman. Instead, the 30-year-old
symbolises a new generation of female drug users: well off, well educated
and tech savvy but addicted to multiple synthetic drugs such as
methamphetamine, methadone and sedatives as well as heroin... Addiction
is increasingly spreading across all social classes and affecting a
rising number of women - a trend triggering alarm in the government...
Young women in particular find themselves caught between increasing
freedoms and educational opportunities on the one hand and the
conservative values of their elders on the other. 'Girls and boys under
25 years old largely enjoy equal freedom in terms of social and
educational activities, but girls have a more gloomy perspective,
[seeing] more responsibilities ahead,' says Amir-Hossein Yazdani, a
professor of psychology. Highly educated girls 'do not enjoy equal job
opportunities, or they feel under pressure to behave like a traditional
woman', he says. 'This is fanning fresh tendencies to addiction.'" http://t.uani.com/1tCdT3T
Opinion &
Analysis
Emanuele
Ottolenghi in TNI: "St. Kitts and Nevis (SKN) is a
miniscule Caribbean nation whose biggest employer is the state sugar
corporation and whose currency features wading sea turtles and the visage
of Queen Elizabeth II. It is also one of the most attractive destinations
for Iranian businessmen seeking to exploit citizenship-for-investment
programs to skirt international sanctions over the Islamic Republic's
nuclear program. Thirty years ago, in a bid to spur foreign investment,
SKN became the world's first country to allow foreign investors to obtain
citizenship... SKN terms for citizenship remain among the most lax in the
world: no residency is required and a passport is provided within three
months in exchange for $250,000 or a qualifying investment in real
estate. Since sanctions against Iran began to bite, Iranian requests for
citizenship have poured in, and in 2011 SKN barred Iranians living in the
Islamic Republic from applying. Iranian expatriates, however, may still
obtain SKN citizenship, and all evidence suggests that Iranians who live
abroad continue doing so in droves. After all, for Iranians hoping to
establish companies and bank accounts in foreign jurisdictions, the
biggest obstacle of all is an Islamic Republic passport. A change of
residence and nationality is often all that is required for them to
prevent banks' scrutiny. Facilitating Iranian business abroad through
citizenship-by-investment programs is now a profitable endeavor. Capital
Immigration, a Dubai-based company run by Iranian expatriates, is typical:
its homepage, both in English and Farsi, offers a variety of citizenship,
permanent residency and overseas company-formation options, and
prominently advertises the prospect of a SKN passport. Perhaps the most
visible case in point involves Houshang Farsoudeh, Houshang Hosseinpour,
and Pourya Nayebi, three Iranian nationals whom the U.S. Department of
Treasury sanctioned in February 2014 for facilitating banking, money
laundering activities and illicit procurement through a network of
companies and a banking institution they briefly controlled in the former
Soviet republic of Georgia, in the South Caucasus. Georgia's commercial
registry documents show that all three - and at least one family member -
traveled and conducted their business in the region as SKN nationals.
Within the last year, at least five SKN citizens - all of them Iranians -
have established companies in Turkey, trading in petroleum products,
medical equipment, and wholesale import-export. Moreover, internal
documents of Georgia's Poti Industrial Free Zone show that SKN nationals
have the second-highest incorporation rate, after Iranians themselves.
According to Georgia's commercial registry, all of the SKN nationals who
registered companies there were born in Iran (Treasury eventually sanctioned
two of them). Though once hidden from view, Iranian exploitation of
citizenship-for-investment schemes is becoming something of an open
secret." http://t.uani.com/1rXp77K
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Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against
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