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Fars
(Iran):
"Iranian Deputy Foreign Minister Seyed Abbas Araqchi said the IRGC
seizure of two the US Navy boats and detention of the 10 US marines in
the Persian Gulf indicates Iran's might and power. 'This shows Iran's
internal power as we powerfully seized the military vessel of the
world's big military power and then freed its personnel powerfully
after ensuring of their unintentional entry into our territorial
waters,' Araqchi said on Wednesday. 'This is a sign of our might,' he
added. The IRGC seized two US Navy boats on Tuesday and detained them
on Iran's Farsi Island in the Persian Gulf. Nine men and one woman
arrived in Iran's territorial waters in the Persian Gulf illegally when
they were captured by the IRGC Navy. Following the capture, two US and
French aircraft carriers as well as their accompanying fleets and
military choppers started maneuvering near Iranian waters. IRGC Navy
Commander Rear Admiral Ali Fadavi blamed the US navy for its excited
and unprofessional moves after Iran arrested the 10 US marines, warning
that his forces' coast-to-sea missiles were awaiting orders to hit the American
aircraft carrier deployed in the region." http://t.uani.com/1PvUprI
AP: "Defense Secretary Ash Carter
said Thursday it appears a navigational error caused the crews of two
Navy boats to stray into Iranian waters in the Persian Gulf, where they
were detained overnight by Iran and released. 'They obviously had
misnavigated ... that's how they believe they ended up in this
circumstance,' Carter said in an interview in Miami with Fusion
network. 'They did not report this navigational error at the time. It
may be that they were trying to sort it out at the time they
encountered Iranian boats. ... We don't know that fully yet.' Carter
later flew to Tampa to meet with leaders of U.S. Central Command, which
oversees the U.S. military in the Middle East. At a news conference at
Central Command headquarters, he declined to discuss the circumstances
in more detail. He said it would be prudent to first finish debriefing
all 10 returned sailors. Asked his view of the video released by
Iranian media showing the Americans kneeling aboard their boats with
their hands on the heads, Carter said, 'Obviously I don't like to see
our people being detained by a foreign military.' He said this was the
scene as depicted by Iranian media and that he wants to hear from the
U.S. crews before commenting further. 'We need to give these guys the
opportunity to tell us what was really going on.' ... The Navy has
given no indication that the 10 were injured or mistreated or that the
weapons or equipment aboard the boats were tampered with while in
Iranian custody. Gen. Lloyd Austin, head of Central Command, said the
equipment is being inventoried. 'For the most part ... the gear that we
deployed with was largely there when we got the boats back. Whether or
not there are singular pieces of equipment missing, we'll determine
that once we've completed the inventory,' he said." http://t.uani.com/234zjLc
Reuters: "Iran's crude oil exports are
on target to hit a nine-month high in January as buyers prepare for the
lifting of sanctions against the Middle Eastern country within days.
Iran is on track to ship 1.10 million barrels a day (bpd) of crude
excluding condensate this month, according to an industry source with
knowledge of the OPEC member's tanker loading schedule. The preliminary
number, 21 percent higher than December, is likely to add to worries
over a global supply glut that pushed the oil prices to 12-year lows
this week... Iran plans to load 495,000 bpd of crude bound for China,
the biggest buyer of Iranian crude, according to the source. This is
the highest amount since August. Iran is targeting loadings of 168,000
bpd this month to Indian refineries, down from about 203,000 bpd in
December. Ships bound for Japan are set to lift 166,000 bpd this month,
the most since February, after loading 132,000 bpd in December, the
source said. South Korean-bound shipments are on track to be 161,000
bpd, unchanged from December. Taiwanese shipments are set to be 65,000
bpd, the first shipments since September, said the source. Iran will
load 106,000 bpd in January for arrival in Turkey, unchanged from
December. Iran is additionally seen storing more than 60,000 bpd of crude
into its offshore storage this month, the source added. The figures
don't include loadings for condensate, an ultra light form of crude
that Iran also exports." http://t.uani.com/1nnD4L3
U.S.-Iran
Relations
Tasnim
(Iran): "Chairman
of the Iranian Parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy
Commission Alaeddin Boroujerdi said the IRGC's recent capture of US
sailors who had trespassed Iran's southern territorial waters showed
that the Persian Gulf's security is in Iran's control. In a message to
the Commander of Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) Navy Rear
Admiral Ali Fadavi, Boroujerdi said the 'brave' move by the Iranian
forces in the Persian Gulf indicated that Iran controls the security of
this sensitive region. It also showed that the United States cannot
refuse to observe the rules of the game in this body of water, he added
in the letter. The clear message that the move sent to regional
countries was that the Islamic Republic of Iran feels responsible for the
security of Persian Gulf, he stated. Boroujerdi further stressed that
when Iranian forces show such a reaction to a superpower like the US,
they (certain regional states) should be cautious not to make the same
mistakes." http://t.uani.com/1PfUr6I
Congressional
Action
AFP: "Congressional Republicans
gathering for their annual winter retreat Thursday assailed the Obama
administration for a lack of 'backbone' in dealing with Iran, warning
that US weakness is destabilizing an already-volatile region...
Speaking a day after a crisis was averted with Tehran's release of 10
US Navy sailors whose ships drifted into Iranian waters, House Foreign
Affairs Committee chairman Ed Royce said Washington was getting
'rolled' by the Islamic republic over the nuclear deal reached last
year with world powers, and in the latest Gulf incident. Iran's navy
also test-fired rockets near a US warship in December, two months after
it provoked the West by launching a medium-range missile capable of
carrying a nuclear warhead. 'This is very destabilizing in the region,'
Royce told reporters, accusing the administration of failing to tamp
down the 'aggressive' posturing by Iran. 'Iran is on a roll, and the
perception is that the... administration is getting rolled at this
moment,' he added. 'We need to see more backbone, not backing down.'
... 'The morning of a State of the Union address, the fact that Iran
would actually capture two naval vessels... and that the president of
the US would not even talk about that, would almost ignore the fact
that we've got problems with national security,' Steve Scalise, the
number three House Republican, told reporters at the retreat. 'That
would have never happened if our enemies were afraid of America's
strength in the world.' Republican presidential frontrunner Donald
Trump shared the assessment of several lawmakers at the retreat, that
the Gulf incident was a US embarrassment. 'Do you think Iran would have
acted so tough if they were Russian sailors? Our country was
humiliated,' the celebrity billionaire posted on Twitter hours before
he and other Republican candidates take the stage for their latest
presidential primary debate." http://t.uani.com/1KhpvBM
Sanctions
Relief
Reuters: "With Iran ready to resume
business as usual with the world under a historic nuclear deal, Tehran
will target India, Asia's fastest-growing major oil market, and old
partners in Europe with hundreds of thousands of barrels of its
crude... Tehran plans to lift exports by 500,000 barrels per day (bpd)
post-sanctions and gradually raise shipments by the same amount
again... Iran has 22 Very Large Crude Carriers (VLCCs) floating off its
coast, with 13 fully or almost fully loaded, mapping data on Thomson
Reuters' Eikon showed, carrying enough crude to meet India's import
needs for almost a week. A senior Iranian source close to supply negotiations
said that the country - which has the world's fourth-biggest proven oil
reserves - was targeting India as its main destination for crude...
Iran hopes to raise its exports to India by 200,000 bpd, up from the
260,000 bpd currently shipped under sanctions' restrictions, the
official said... 'We have a long-lasting relationship with Iran and
post lifting of sanctions we will evaluate the scenario,' said L K
Gupta, managing director of India's Essar Oil. 'It makes sense to buy
oil from nearby options (like Iran),' said H. Kumar, managing director
of another Indian oil firm, Mangalore Refinery and Petrochemicals, but
added 'intake will depend on prices.' ... The Iranian official said
Tehran planned to revive supply deals with European partners in order
to ramp up exports. Prior to sanctions, Iran was exporting up to
800,000 bpd to Europe with the main buyers being oil majors Royal Dutch
Shell, Italy's ENI and France's Total Greek Hellenic Petroleum and
Spain's Repsol and Turkish firms... Iran's Mehr news agency quoted
officials from the National Iranian Tanker Company (NITC) as saying on
Friday that as soon as sanctions are lifted some 200,000-220,000 bpd
would be exported to France, Britain, Italy, Spain and Germany.
Shipping industry association BIMCO confirmed that European clients
would be among the first post-sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1UUzUZM
Iraq
Crisis
AP: "In Iraq, the United States
is pounding the Islamic State with air strikes but losing the airwaves.
Rhode Island Sen. Jack Reed said Thursday that 80 percent of the news
media in Iraq is directly or indirectly controlled by Iranian or Shia
Muslim entities. That means the U.S. is getting little credit helping
the Iraqi government become more stable and defeat IS militants, he
said. 'The popular media is significantly influenced by Shia and
Iranian opinion,' Reed, the top Democrat on the Armed Services
Committee, told reporters. 'That tends to minimize our contributions
and that, I think, we should correct.'" http://t.uani.com/1KhpWvW
Human
Rights
IHR: "Reports of one execution in
central Iran and ten prisoners in the north of the country. Iran state
run media, Ashkezar News, reports on the execution of one prisoner on
the morning of Thursday January 14 at Yazd's central prison (central
Iran)... According to the Kurdistan Human Rights Network, six prisoners
were hanged at Orumiyeh's central prison (northern Iran) on murder
charges. The executions were reportedly carried out on Wednesday
January 13... According to the human rights group, HRANA, four
prisoners were hanged at Karaj's central prison (northern Iran) on drug
charges. The executions were reportedly carried out on the morning of
Tuesday January 12." http://t.uani.com/1QaR71W
Foreign
Affairs
AFP: "Spain's conservative Popular
Party on Thursday demanded explanations from far-left party Podemos
after the media reported that police had opened an investigation into
alleged illegal party financing from Iran. Podemos leader Pablo
Iglesias 'must explain... the role he played in the very serious affair
of illegal financing by a regime like the Iranian regime', the Popular
Party's spokesman in parliament, Rafael Hernando, said. 'If it is true,
we are facing one of the biggest cases of corruption in recent years,'
he told journalists in parliament... Conservative daily newspaper ABC
and online news site El Confidencial reported that police were probing
payments allegedly made to Iglesias for his work presenting 'Fort
Apache', a programme broadcast by Iran's Hispan TV. El Confidencial
said the US Drug Enforcement Administration had information provided by
a former top Venezuelan government official regarding 'an agreement
between Iran and Venezuela to finance Podemos.'" http://t.uani.com/234uzFn
Opinion
& Analysis
Eli
Lake in Bloomberg:
"After the return of 10 U.S. sailors from Iranian custody
Wednesday morning, the Obama administration has been eager to claim a diplomatic
victory. What looked like the beginning of a hostage crisis on Tuesday
night, unfolding as the president gave his last State of the Union
address, was instead resolved by Wednesday morning. The key to this
success, we are told, was that the U.S. and Iran had a reliable
diplomatic channel because of nuclear negotiations to defuse this
potential crisis. On Wednesday, a senior State Department official
briefed reporters about five phone calls between Secretary of State
John Kerry and his Iranian counterpart, Javad Zarif. Kerry made it
clear that the most important issue was getting the Americans released,
unharmed -- turning this into 'a good story for both of us,' Kerry told
Zarif, according to the briefer. You can't argue with results. The
sailors are freed and safe. There is no hostage crisis now. When
British sailors were detained in 2007 by Iran in a similar incident, it
took nearly two weeks for Iran to release them. In this case it took
less than a day. Kerry himself said Wednesday the resolution of the
issue was 'a testament to the critical role diplomacy plays in keeping
us safe, secure and strong.' But trumpeting this as a diplomatic
success also presents a moral hazard. Iran's handling of the situation
violated international norms, and to pretend otherwise is -- to borrow
a phrase from sociology -- to define deviancy down. Let's start with
the incident itself. Two small U.S. sea craft transiting between Kuwait
and Bahrain strayed into Iranian territorial waters because of a
mechanical failure, according to the U.S. side. This means the boats
were in distress. That is hardly unprecedented. International maritime
law spells out the appropriate response -- and in a situation like
this, it does not give Iran the right to board these boats or detain
the sailors, as the Iranian navy did. And yet Vice President Joe Biden
on Wednesday morning described the incident at Farsi Island as
'standard nautical practice.' On CBS, he said: 'One of the boats had
engine failure and drifted into Iranian waters. The Iranians picked up
both boats, as we have picked up Iranian boats that needed to be
rescued.' Biden added, 'That is the way nations should do it.' Senator
John McCain, a Republican and former Navy pilot, a few hours later
pointed out how absurd this was. 'Under international law, sovereign
immune vessels like navy ships and boats do not lose their sovereign
immune status when they are in distress at sea,' he said. 'Under
international law, sovereign immune naval vessels are exempt from
detention, boarding, or search. Their crews are not subject to
detention or arrest.' Then there is the issue of how the crews of these
boats were treated. The U.S. military, no doubt, is learning more about
that now as the sailors are being debriefed, but Iranian news outlets
already published photos of the sailors kneeling with their hands
behind their heads. There is now a video circulating online that
appears to show one of the sailors apologizing to a reporter. Such
photos and confessions are violations in and of themselves of the
Geneva Conventions, which prohibits the circulation of photos of
detainees. When asked about this Wednesday, State Department spokesman
Mark Toner said, 'I mean, generally speaking, you're not supposed to
show images of detained prisoners of war.' But he also said the State
Department was still checking the authenticity of the photos and video
that were released online. Representative Mike Pompeo, a Republican
member of the House Intelligence Committee and former U.S. Army
officer, on Wednesday called for an investigation into whether Iran
violated the Geneva Conventions during the detention of the 10 American
sailors. That is inconvenient for the 'good news' story that Zarif and
Kerry have sought to spin. Under their strategy, administration officials
have praised Iran for treating the sailors well and resolving the
situation quickly. Officials have glossed over the bad behavior that
escalated a mechanical failure into a crisis in the first place. There
is a logic to this. Kerry and President Barack Obama engage with
Zarif's faction of the Iranian government and look past the
provocations of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps, which has been
testing Obama's resolve since Zarif agreed to the nuclear deal in July.
This approach creates a strange dynamic. Zarif's domestic opponents
test ballistic missiles, fire past U.S. ships in the Persian Gulf and
allow rioters to torch the Saudi Embassy, while Obama and Kerry do
their best to stop Congress from punishing Iran for such
provocations... If this is how Iran's military acts now, before it has
received the incentives of the nuclear pact, imagine how Iran will
behave when $100 billion flows into its coffers. Kerry and Obama are
counting on Zarif to put out any new fires his opponents will cause
once the deal is implemented. But in Iran, the firefighter and the
arsonist work for the same supreme leader." http://t.uani.com/1ZABcjr
Adam
Klein in Lawfare:
"There's an interesting IHL angle to Iran's seizure and subsequent
release of ten American sailors in the Persian Gulf: As several
observers have already noted, publishing photographs and videos of the
sailors may implicate Article 13 of the Third Geneva Convention, which
provides that 'prisoners of war must at all times be protected ...
against insults and public curiosity.' The requirement of protection
against 'public curiosity' is widely understood to prohibit publishing
precisely the kinds of photos and videos that Iran has released here.
The ICRC takes the position that it is unlawful to disseminate any
photographs in which individual POWs can be identified. And even if one
takes the narrower view that prohibited photographs must reflect some
further 'intention to humiliate,' Iran's blatantly propagandistic
intent in releasing these images surely satisfies that more stringent
standard. In the past, ICRC officials have denounced similarly staged
POW videos. State practice accords with this reading of Article 13. The
Department of Defense's Law of War Manual bars 'displaying detainees
publicly with the purpose of exposing them to ridicule and
humiliation.' '[I]n order to protect detainees against public
curiosity,' DOD policy also prophylactically 'prohibit[s] the taking of
photographs of detainees except for authorized purposes' like facility
administration and intelligence. The military manuals of other
countries, including the United Kingdom, the Netherlands, and Peru,
also specifically prohibit dissemination of images like those at issue
here. It bears noting that the photographs are not the only aspect of
Iran's conduct that potentially violates IHL: The treatment recorded by
the Iranian cameras may independently breach Iran's obligations under
the Third Geneva Convention. Article 14 provides that '[p]risoners of
war are entitled in all circumstances to respect for their persons and
their honour.' Some of the conduct depicted plausibly violates that
obligation; for example, forcing the female sailor to wear a headscarf
not required by her own religious beliefs (assuming that is what
happened). There's a potential catch, however-one hinted at by Hudson's
Michael Pregent, who commented that these 'sailors weren't necessarily
prisoners of war.' The prohibitions in Articles 13 and 14 apply during
an 'armed conflict' between two or more contracting parties. And
the United States and Iran are not at war-at least as a matter of
common usage (more on that later)... Ultimately, the existence or
nonexistence of an 'armed conflict' for purposes of the Geneva
Conventions is more interesting as an intellectual exercise than for
any practical significance. Any consequences Iran suffers for this
behavior would stem from U.S. retaliation (which appears unlikely) or
international opprobrium, and neither of those turns on this
technicality. Rather, what matters for those purposes is that parading
captured sailors as propaganda trophies is inhumane and outrageous.
Whether in war or peace." http://t.uani.com/1Khugv2
Roland
Elliott Brown in IranWire: "On Tuesday January 12, Iranian forces arrested 10
US sailors who had unintentionally entered Iranian territorial waters
off Farsi Island, the site of an Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps
naval base. US Secretary of State John Kerry moved quickly to negotiate
their release, and Iran freed the sailors on January 13. Kerry has
thanked Iran, and emphasized the uses of US-Iran diplomacy in keeping
the Americans safe. Even so, the incident wasn't wholly benign. The
Revolutionary Guards naval unit that arrested the sailors passed images
of the arrest scene to Iranian state media. The pictures showed the
sailors on their knees with their hands behind their heads, while
presumably being held at gunpoint. Iranian state broadcasters later
released a video of one of the sailors, apparently a naval lieutenant,
being interrogated about how he and his crew had entered Iranian
waters. The lieutenant replies, 'It was a mistake, it was our fault,
and we apologize for our mistake.' In another clip, he thanks his
captors for their hospitality. While supporters of the Obama
administration emphasized diplomacy, other observers alleged Iranian
maritime misconduct, and deplored Iran's exploitation of the sailors
for propaganda. Republican Senator Tom Cotton asked why Iran had detained
the sailors and not merely escorted them back to international waters.
Michael Pregent of Veterans Against the Iran Deal tweeted that the
display of captured troops was 'shameful' and violated the Geneva
Convention. Article 13 of the convention affords soldiers unable to
fight protection from 'insults and public curiosity.' One commentator,
John Allen Gay of National Interest magazine, drew an analogy with
Iranian state media's long history of broadcasting videotaped forced
confessions of prisoners under duress. He tweeted, 'Reminder: airing
forced confessions cost Iran its UK broadcasting license.' Gay was
referring to the case of IranWire's founder, Maziar Bahari, who was
imprisoned in Iran in 2009, and forced to confess to spying in an
interview broadcast on Iranian television. Iran's international
broadcaster, Press TV, later aired sections of the interview, and lost
its UK broadcast license following Bahari's complaint to the UK
communications regulator OFCOM. Bahari's 2012 documentary Forced Confessions
explains how his experience fits into Iranian security forces' media
strategy. Although Iran held the US sailors only briefly, and did not
level any serious charges against them, the sailors were likely aware
that at least three Americans - former marine Amir Hekmati, Washington
Post journalist Jason Rezaian and Christian pastor Saeed Abedini -have
been imprisoned for years in Iran in heavily politicized cases. Even if
the young lieutenant in the video said what he felt to be true, he
would also have felt pressure to speak in a manner pleasing to his
captors. Whether he and his crew would have been released so quickly if
they had declined to appear on camera is another salient question. A
further matter, raised by Michael Rubin of the American Enterprise
Institute, is how Iranian hardliners will use the footage of captured
Americans ahead of Iran's Parliamentary elections in February. When
Iran seized British sailors in 2007, he writes, footage of their
captivity later appeared in the campaign videos of hardline candidates,
including long infomercials promoting President Mahmoud
Ahmadinejad. So while optimists see the episode as a sign of
better US-Iran relations to come, skeptics see that a cynical security
state still calls the shots in Iran." http://t.uani.com/1Q2VCcR
Lee
Smith in TWS:
"It's worth noting that Iran's latest hostile action has given us
a clearer picture of how the regime actually functions. As the event
unfolded, CNN and other American media spoke of the 'two Irans,'
meaning the hardliners and the moderates. This has been the
administration's working theory, which holds that the former comprises
the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei.
The 'moderates' in this view are figures like President Hassan Rouhani
and Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif. In this scenario, it was the
'hardliners' who were responsible for detaining the 10 Americans, and
it was thanks to the diplomatic channel that John Kerry opened with
Zarif while negotiating the nuclear deal that the sailors were freed
without much delay. This theory posits that the hardliners kidnapped
the Americans in an effort to embarrass the moderates, who want warmer
relations with the White House. Therefore, the fact that the moderates
prevailed signals a great victory for moderation and American
diplomacy-for 'principled diplomacy,' to use Obama's phrase. This
scenario may be possible, but it isn't likely. If there really is a
split in the regime, why would the hardliners put themselves in a
position to lose an intra-regime battle against the moderates? It would
show the world that they're not only weaker than the moderates, they're
also weaker than the moderates' new partners, John Kerry and Barack
Obama. Indeed, if it was the moderates who liberated the sailors from
the grip of the extremists, it means the supreme leader himself
required them to free the Great Satan's seamen. Which would mean that
the supreme leader has sided with the moderates and the Americans
against the extremists. That's a stretch, to say the least. What is far
more likely is that there is no such split between moderates and
hardliners. The two camps-if there are indeed two camps-work in tandem.
The hardliners take prisoners and the moderates negotiate the price of
their release. Iran's moderates are a ministry of bagmen sent out to
collect on behalf of the hard men. In short, the regime with which the
White House has negotiated the future of American national security is
still a regime that takes Americans hostage. Unless you believe that
hijacking a U.S. Navy boat, humiliating its crew, photographing them
with their hands above their heads, and broadcasting their apologies on
state television is a demonstration of peaceful, moderate
intentions." http://t.uani.com/1SRZY9s
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Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against
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