Tuesday, January 12, 2016

Eye on Iran: Iran Disputes UN Finding That It Worked on Nuclear Arms






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AP: "Iran has rejected an assessment by the U.N. nuclear agency that it did past work on nuclear arms but is praising some aspects of the agency's investigation of the issue, reflecting satisfaction that the more than decade-long probe has ended. Closure of the file means that some questions about the alleged weapons work may never be resolved. Before the 35-nation board of the U.N's International Atomic Energy Agency adopted a resolution last month ending the investigation, IAEA chief Yukiya Amano told the meeting that his investigation couldn't 'reconstruct all the details of activities conducted by Iran in the past.' ... The probe had to be formally ended as part of the July 14 nuclear agreement. The IAEA board closed the books on the investigation last month, even though Amano repeated an assessment he made in his final report on the issue in November that Iran worked on 'a range of activities relevant' to making nuclear weapons, with coordinated efforts up to 2003 tapering off into scattered activities into 2009... The Iranian note rejected Amano's assessment that an 'organizational structure' worked on nuclear arms. It also said that any Iranian interest in 'dual-use technologies have always been for peaceful civilian or conventional military uses' and not to develop an atomic bomb." http://t.uani.com/1J0K1LY

AP:
"Iran's deputy nuclear chief on Tuesday denied a report that the core of the country's nearly finished heavy water reactor has been dismantled and filled it with concrete as part of Tehran's obligations under the nuclear deal with the West. Ali Asghar Zarean, in remarks to state TV said that Iran will first sign an agreement with China to modify the Arak reactor, a deal that is expected next week. 'Definitely, we will not apply any physical change in this field until a final agreement is finalized,' Zarean added, without specifically mentioning the Fars news agency report. On Monday, Fars said that technicians had dismantled the core of the Arak reactor and filled it with concrete. The agency, which is close to Iranian hard-liners, cited unnamed sources for the report." http://t.uani.com/1OoMoF7

AFP: "President Hassan Rouhani pledged Monday that Iran was about to enter 'a year of economic prosperity', with sanctions lifted, and said his government had delivered on its promises... 'I promise the nation of Iran that next year, with sanctions behind us and by young people's efforts, will be a year of economic prosperity,' he said in a speech broadcast on state television... 'This government is running the country with $30 oil and not with $147 dollar oil,' he said, comparing the current price of crude to its value during the era of his hardline predecessor Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. 'The government is running the country under sanctions not under normal circumstances. God willing, in the coming days we will witness a wrapping up of the sanctions scroll in this country.'" http://t.uani.com/1RA22nl

Congressional Action

Bloomberg: "President Barack Obama is coming under pressure from his own party to advance new penalties to punish Iran for its recent ballistic missile tests even as a landmark nuclear deal, which would loosen international sanctions, is on the verge of being implemented. Several Democratic senators who supported the deal say they're worried that the Obama administration's delay in issuing new sanctions may undermine the U.S.'s ability to enforce the agreement. Bob Casey, a Pennsylvania Democrat on the Senate Finance Committee, and Chris Coons, a Delaware Democrat who's a member of the Senate Foreign Relations panel, said Monday they want the administration to move forward with additional sanctions after the missile tests that Iran conducted late last year. Both senators supported the July agreement that would ease economic sanctions on Iran in exchange for curbs on the country's nuclear program. 'I am concerned that as implementation of the JCPOA moves forward, the administration has not taken steps to hold Iran accountable for its actions and to demonstrate that there will be swift consequences for violations of the JCPOA,' Casey said, referring to the nuclear deal known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action that was reached by six world powers and Iran. 'Chinese and Russian obstructionism is blocking UN Security Council action, so I urge the administration to sanction the individuals or entities responsible for this violation.' He added, 'I am concerned that although Treasury prepared new designations, they have not been formally announced and implemented.' ... 'I am urging them publicly and privately to move ahead with' new sanctions designations, Coons said on a conference call with reporters on Monday. 'I am concerned with the hesitation.'" http://t.uani.com/1PUnCiX

The Hill: "Sen. Chris Coons (D-Del.) is calling for President Obama to move forward with new sanctions against Iran over a pair of recent ballistic missile tests. 'I don't know why the administration has hesitated, but I am urging them publicly and privately to move ahead with those designations,' he told reporters. 'I am concerned with the hesitation to move forward with the ballistic missile related designations.' Coons is among a growing number of Democrats, including some who supported the Iran nuclear deal, who have called on the president to take a firm response to two missile tests late last year. They argue that the administration's response should show Iran that it will not be able to cheat on the nuclear agreement. The Obama administration suggested late last year that it was preparing new sanctions against individuals tied to Iran's missile program, before walking back those statements... Coons, who supported the Iran nuclear deal, said it was 'very clearly communicated and it played a role in my decision' to support the nuclear agreement that the United States was still able to sanction Iran on non-nuclear issues including its missile program or support for terrorist groups." http://t.uani.com/1PUfTS1

Al-Monitor: "President Barack Obama will tout his nuclear deal with Iran as a key foreign policy accomplishment that will keep the nation safe during his last State of the Union the evening of Jan. 12. Hours later, House Republicans will vote to dismantle it. The Jan. 13 vote on legislation that would prohibit the president from delivering on sanctions relief called for under the deal is an early sign that Republicans may hold multiple such votes in the runup to the 2016 presidential elections." http://t.uani.com/1J0Nt9y

Sanctions Relief

AFP: "The Renault-Nissan alliance is ready to expand its manufacturing footprint in Iran once sanctions are lifted, but will be 'extremely careful' about the execution, chief Carlos Ghosn said Monday. 'Iran is a very promising market,' Ghosn said on the sidelines of the Detroit auto show. 'Today it's more than one million cars, it has the potential to go to 1.5 or 2 million.' ... 'We're ready to go, but we want to go in a way which is sustainable,' Ghosn told reporters. 'You don't want to go too precipitously and create for ourselves a bigger problem than we need. So I think yes, lots of potential in Iran, but still the timing is going to need to be politically correct and completely clear from a legal point of view.' An official with Pars Khodro told The Wall Street Journal in July that the Renault was negotiating taking a minority stake in the state-owned automaker. The official also said Renault was in talks to buy facilities like the auto factories of Pars Khodro parent Saipa." http://t.uani.com/1PUjE9Q

AFP: "Former German chancellor Gerhard Schroeder held talks Monday with top officials in Tehran on boosting trade links and Iran's diplomatic crisis with Saudi Arabia... 'We envisage a good future for Iran-Germany relations after the final implementation of the nuclear deal,' he told Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, according to an official statement from Iran. 'German companies and business owners are ready to participate in all economic and industrial fields' in Iran, he said. Schroeder also stressed Iran's role in regional peace and security. 'After the closing of the nuclear file, Europe and Germany hope to make utmost use of Iran's great potential to solve regional crises,' he said. Zarif said Tehran was entering 'a new phase of relations with Germany'... Schroeder was to meet the ministers of oil and transport, and President Hassan Rouhani, on Tuesday, a German embassy official said. Schroeder is the honorary chairman of NUMOV, the Berlin-based German Near and Middle East Association, which works to boost trade." http://t.uani.com/1ZiiGXC

Syria Conflict

AFP: "Iran is equipping and training Syrian government forces but not providing 'direct aid', its interior minister said Monday on a trip to Damascus... Interior Minister Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli said Iran was providing both Syria and Iraq with aid 'in advisory form'. That 'means transferring experience and offering expert help and, if necessary, we will provide training too,' he said, speaking in Farsi at a press conference in Damascus. 'Iran's attitude is not of direct aid, but in the form of equipping, training and transferring experience to the Syrian youth and people under the supervision of the Syrian government.'" http://t.uani.com/1TSmWeM

Regional Destabilization

AFP: "Kuwait on Tuesday sentenced two defendants to death, including an Iranian being tried in absentia, after they were convicted of 'spying for Iran' and plotting attacks in the Gulf country. The Iranian, Abdulreda Hayder, was on trial along with 25 Kuwaiti Shiites on charges of spying for Iran and hiding large quantities of arms and ammunition in underground depots. The court said Hayder is an Iranian spy who recruited the Kuwaiti Shiites and arranged for their travel to Lebanon, where they received military training from Iran-backed Shiite militia group Hezbollah. The other man sentenced to death, Kuwaiti Hasan Abdulhadi Ali, had been a member of Hezbollah since 1996 and was 'the mastermind of the cell', the court said. It sentenced another defendant to life in prison. Nineteen were jailed for between five and 15 years, two of them in absentia. Three were acquitted and one was fined 5,000 dinars ($16,500). The court said Ali had reached out to an Iranian diplomat at Tehran's embassy in Kuwait City and later travelled to Iran, where he was in contact with the Revolutionary Guard. The ruling said that Ali arranged with the Revolutionary Guard to smuggle large quantities of arms and explosives into Kuwait. The defendants were also convicted of spying for Hezbollah, smuggling in and assembling explosives, and possessing firearms and ammunition... Kuwaiti authorities said in August they had dismantled an Iran-linked cell and seized large quantities of arms, explosives and ammunition." http://t.uani.com/1PUsgxh

Human Rights

IHR: "Seven prisoners were reportedly hanged in southern, western, and northern Iran. According to Iran state run media, Javan, three prisoners were hanged at Larestan Prison (in the southern provine of Fars) on armed drug trafficking charges. The executions were reportedly carried out on Sunday January 10... According to the human rights group, HRANA, one prisoner was hanged at Khorramabad Prison (in the western province of Mazandaran) on murder charges. The prisoner, who has been identified as Ghodrat Garavand, was reportedly executed on Sunday Janaury 10. Iranian official sources, including the Judiciary, have been silent on Garavand's execution. According to the Mazandaran Judiciary's press department, three unidentified prisoners were hanged at Sari's central prison (in the northern province of Mazandaran) on drug charges." http://t.uani.com/1PpjqEU

ICHRI: "The poet Hila Sedighi, who was arrested and held for two days amidst an intensifying crackdown on independent artistic and cultural figures in Iran, has posted a description of her 48-hour detention on her Facebook page,  stating that she was watched throughout her detention 'as if they were watching a murderer.' On Thursday night, January 7, 2015, Sedighi was taken into custody at Imam Khomeini International Airport upon return from a trip with her husband to the United Arab Emirates. 'The first night after my detention, I was held in solitary confinement at the airport's detention center. For the second night, I was in Shapour Detention Center. It's famous for being the most horrific and dangerous place for prisoners. I was in a four-square-meter room alongside eight dangerous prisoners. (Dangerous is a common term for these individuals but they are still human beings with rights and I am worried about their fate.) Their treatment was worse and more heinous than you could imagine. The situation there is so bad that at first the Shapour Police Investigative Unit refused to admit me into the facility,' Sedighi wrote. 'They transferred me in the city in a cage, and I was watched like a criminal,' she added." http://t.uani.com/1PUelap

CPJ: "Iranian authorities should immediately release Farzad Pourmoradi, Meysam Mohammadi, and all journalists detained for their work, the Committee to Protect Journalists said today. Authorities should furthermore lift the ban on the daily newspaper Bahar, CPJ said. The arrests and the ban on the newspaper come ahead of legislative elections scheduled to begin February 26. 'Iranian authorities are clearly trying to intimidate the press ahead of parliamentary elections, and in the process they are undermining the legitimacy of the vote,' said CPJ Middle East and North Africa Program Coordinator Sherif Mansour. Officers from the Revolutionary Guards arrested Farzad Pourmoradi, a freelance journalist who has contributed to the Kermanshah Post and Navai Vaghat newspapers, as he left his home on January 3, according news reports and the Human Rights Activists News Agency (HRANA)... Officials on Friday sent Meysam Mohammadi, the former editor of the reformist daily newspaper Kalameh Sabz, to Tehran's Evin Prison to begin serving a four-year prison term, according to news reports... Prosecutors on January 2 ordered the reformist daily newspaper Bahar to cease publishing on the grounds that it 'propagandized against the state and published material harmful to the foundation of the Islamic Republic,' according to local news reports." http://t.uani.com/1JHJij0

RSF: "Reporters Without Borders (RSF) condemns the latest wave of harassment of media outlets in Iran, which has included the arrest of a journalist and the closure of a pro-reform daily newspaper in the past few days, and the interrogation of other journalists. The authorities seem to be trying to intimidate the media and journalists as part of a preventive crackdown two months ahead of parliamentary elections. Four journalists ­- Afarine Chitsaz of the daily Iran, Ehssan Mazndarani, the editor of the daily Farhikhteghan, Saman Safarzai of the monthly Andisher Poya and Issa Saharkhiz, a well-known independent journalist - have been held since their arrest on 2 November. According to the information obtained by RSF, several other journalists have been summoned and interrogated, and two of them are being held in the Revolutionary Guard intelligence section... With a total of 37 journalists and citizen-journalists currently detained,Iran is still one for the world's five biggest prisons for news and information providers and is ranked 173rd out of 180 countries in the 2015 Reporters Without Borders press freedom index." http://t.uani.com/1l2TNSi

Domestic Politics

AFP: "Iran has sacked a senior security official over his failure to stop the ransacking of Saudi Arabia's embassy, which led the Sunni-ruled kingdom to sever diplomatic relations. Safar Ali Baratlou's replacement as security deputy to Tehran's governor general was already under review, but the interior ministry said 'a blind eye could not be turned' to what happened at the embassy. The mission and the Saudi consulate in Mashhad, Iran's second city, were attacked and torched on January 2 in anger over Riyadh's execution of Nimr al-Nimr, a prominent cleric from the kingdom's Shiite minority. 'After initial investigations, failures... were confirmed' in connection with the 'assault on the Saudi embassy', the ministry said late Sunday, cited by the official IRNA news agency. 'Because of the importance of the matter, the interior ministry cannot overlook the smallest failures and factors that led to this incident,' the statement added of the attack and Baratlou's dismissal." http://t.uani.com/1Q2CxcN

Foreign Affairs

AP: "Long one of Iran's few Sunni Arab partners, Sudan has cut ties with Tehran in the latest step in its move toward Saudi Arabia as Khartoum seeks to end its isolation and right its economy. The impoverished East African state followed Riyadh in severing relations with Iran, saying it was responding to attacks on Saudi diplomatic missions in Iran after the execution of a Saudi Shiite sheikh... Iranian warships used to stop over in Port Sudan across the Red Sea from Saudi Arabia. But it was a 'relationship of convenience,' said Magdi al-Gizouli, an independent analyst. 'I don't think there's a strong ideological commitment.' The partnership soured in September 2014, when Sudanese officials ordered the closure of an Iranian cultural center in Khartoum, accusing its employees of preaching Shiism in majority Sunni Sudan." http://t.uani.com/1RzWSHX

Opinion & Analysis

Dennis Ross in Politico: "Few issues have confronted President Barack Obama with tougher dilemmas than Syria. Over the course of the nearly five years of the war within Syria, Obama has faced choices on how the United States should respond and he consistently decided to do the minimum. From the outset, when Bashar Assad's response to calls for reform was draconian and turned peaceful demonstrations into an uprising, the president's first instinct was avoidance. He looked at Syria and he saw entanglement in another ongoing Middle East conflict where our involvement would be costly, lead to nothing, and potentially make things worse. In nearly every meeting on Syria when presented possible options to affect the Syrian civil war, the president would ask 'tell me where this ends.' He was surely right to ask this question. But he failed to ask the corollary question: Tell me what happens if we don't act? Had he known that not acting would produce a vacuum in which a humanitarian catastrophe, a terrible refugee crisis, a deepening proxy war and the rise of ISIL in Iraq and Syria would occur, his responses might have been different... In many ways, the vacuum in Syria has been compounded by the sense that the U.S. is retrenching in the region, creating a larger void that has helped to produce the increasing competition between Iran and Saudi Arabia. The Iranians saw they ran little risk with the United States as they ramped up their regional activism and made the Qods force-the action arm of the Revolutionary Guard outside of Iran-more prominent in both the Syrian and Iraqi conflicts. Indeed, Qassem Suleiman, the head of the Qods forces, who was previously a shadowy figure, has become a very public presence appearing at times on the ground during the battles over Tikrit in Iraq, al Qusayr in Syria, and other places in both countries. For the Saudis, the nuclear deal and the greater Iranian regional involvement fed their perception that the Obama administration was not prepared to set any real limits on Iran-or act on its red lines. As a result, it has decided to draw its own lines. It has done so in Yemen and will probably find it difficult to extract itself. Its execution of Shia cleric, Nimr al-Nimr, may have been done as much for domestic reasons, particularly given the number of Sunni Al Qaeda operatives that were being executed at the same time, but the Saudis knew the Iranians would react. They had, after all, threatened the Saudis with retribution if they put him to death." http://t.uani.com/1TSxNpa

Jackson Diehl in WashPost: "Saudi Arabia's execution of a Shiite cleric produced a predictable explosion of sectarian enmity across the Middle East last week. Less noticed - and perhaps less excusable - was the narrow, partisan and more or less sectarian reactions it prompted in Washington... The Obama administration was meanwhile leaning toward Shiite Iran, which furiously denounced the execution and allowed militants to sack the Saudi E mbassy in Tehran. The State Department carefully refrained from blaming the regime of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei for the violence and adopted a neutral position on the bilateral dispute - an extraordinary stance given the decades of U.S. alliance with Saudi Arabia and enmity with the Islamic Republic. It quickly became clear that the White House's overwhelming priority boiled down to avoiding any words or action that would disrupt the ongoing implementation of the Iranian nuclear deal. That was of a piece with its last-minute retreat on Dec. 30 from imposing sanctions on Tehran for missile launches that violated a U.N. Security Council resolution and a promise to waive new congressional restrictions on visas for foreigners who visited Iran... The Obama administration, of course, has hardly abandoned the Saudi rulers; since the Iran deal, it has been heaping Riyadh with fresh weapons. But Republicans are probably right in arguing that Obama's feckless accommodation of Iran is spurring Saudi belligerence, thereby making the sectarian fight worse. The embarrassing retreat from imposing missile sanctions was particularly damaging. The administration first accused Tehran of violating a U.N. Security Council resolution linked to the nuclear deal by testing long-range missiles, then pulled back a relatively mild set of financial penalties on companies and individuals hours after notifying Congress they were coming. Officials called the delay 'technical' - but 11 days later, the sanctions have still not been issued. The resulting message, true or not, is that Washington lacks the will to punish Iran for clear violations." http://t.uani.com/1Q2BARN

NYT Editorial: "The United States should lift sanctions on Iran; no, it should impose new sanctions on Iran. The short answer is that the Obama administration should do both. The sanctions imposed to press Iran to negotiate curbs on its nuclear program should be lifted as promised when the recent nuclear agreement goes into effect, maybe as early as next week. The Obama administration is wisely planning a separate set of new sanctions in response to Iran's two recent tests of ballistic missiles, which violated United Nations resolutions. Critics of Iran and the nuclear deal say the missile tests are proof that the agreement failed. But ending Iran's production of ballistic missiles was not the focus of the agreement. The greater threat by far has always been Iran's nuclear program, which was coming closer to producing a bomb until the agreement halted the process. That does not mean the missile tests in October and November should not be addressed. Iran is advancing the range and mobility of its ballistic missiles and vowing to accelerate production. Most worrisome is a collaboration with North Korea, which has nuclear weapons and provided Iran with many of its first missiles, and still supplies key components. A recent Congressional Research Service report called their cooperation 'significant and meaningful.' Iran has long rejected the United Nations Security Council's attempts to curb the ballistic program, saying it is vital for defense.... New sanctions on Iran's ballistic missiles must still be pursued. The people and agencies most responsible for Iran's program were hit with sanctions years ago; the new measures would add 11 new individuals and entities to a long list. That should not be so onerous that Iran would walk away from the economic relief it stands to gain from the nuclear deal. And it is an important and necessary way of keeping pressure on Iran to cease its unacceptable activities." http://t.uani.com/1JI0rJc

Shahryar Bazargan in IranWire: "Iran must attract foreign investment if it is to become a dynamic force able to play a part in the world economy. For years, international sanctions, coupled with the structural problems of the Iranian market, have prevented any foreign capital from coming into the country. Now that a nuclear deal has been reached and sanctions are being lifted, Iran has high hopes that foreign investment will give the economy the boost it needs. The Iranian economy has been stagnant for a long time. Despite all efforts, the best that policy-makers and decision-makers have achieved is to remove the minus symbol from the country's growth index. In all these years international sanctions was the excuse given for failing economic growth. Sanctions made it difficult - if not impossible - for foreign capital investment in Iran. It was these sanctions that forced Iran's foreign partners to put their wallets in their pockets and leave Iran, even though the Iranian market provided many opportunities. But now that the international climate for potential partners is experiencing a resurgence, the fundamental problems of Iran's economy are clear, making investment a risky business. For this reason, foreign investors remain wary about entering the Iranian market. Smaller components - tax laws, the ubiquitous bureaucracy, political instability, lack of security for capital, the high cost of facilities, inflation, unreliable economic conditions, unstable macro-economic policies and, more recently, stagnation or, in other words, low demand - have fused together to create an obstacle to the business environment that will not be easily shifted." http://t.uani.com/1Sg6mYO
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

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