Tuesday, September 6, 2016

Eye on Iran: Poll: Voters Say US Less Safe Than Before 9/11, Iran Deal Hurt Security


   EYE ON IRAN
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A record-high 54 percent of American voters feel the U.S. is less safe today than it was before 9/11, according to the latest Fox News national poll... 54 percent of voters think last year's nuclear deal with Iran has made the U.S. less safe.  Republicans (76 percent) are much more likely than independents (59 percent) and Democrats (30 percent) to feel that way... The poll also asks about the White House's position that the $400 million dollars the U.S. recently paid Iran was not a ransom payment for the release of American prisoners.  Voters disagree: by a 53-38 percent margin, they say it was ransom.


With Iranians blocked from this month's hajj pilgrimage, their supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei issued a furious rebuke to rival Saudi Arabia, saying the Muslim world should challenge its management of Islam's holiest sites. "Saudi rulers... who have blocked the proud and faithful Iranian pilgrims' path to the Beloved?s House, are disgraced and misguided people who think their survival on the throne of oppression is dependent on defending the arrogant powers of the world, on alliances with Zionism and the US," Khamenei said. He accused Saudi Arabia's ruling family, who are the custodians of Islam's holiest sites in Mecca and Medina, of politicising the annual hajj pilgrimage, due to start at the end of the week, turning themselves into "small and puny Satans who tremble for fear of jeopardising the interests of the Great Satan (the United States)". For the first time in almost three decades, Iranians have been effectively barred from participating in this year's pilgrimage to Mecca after talks on logistics and security fell apart. But even by recent standards, with relations between the rival Middle Eastern powers at an all-time low, the language was tough. "Because of Saudi rulers' oppressive behaviour towards God's guests, the world of Islam must fundamentally reconsider the management of the two holy places and the issue of hajj," Khamenei wrote in a statement on his website.


Several of Iran's biggest banks have been dragged into a fight between the government and its hardline opponents, as disputes over last year's nuclear deal roil domestic politics months ahead of presidential elections. The nation's leading conservative newspaper on Saturday published photos of letters purportedly sent by two lenders -- Bank Mellat and Bank Sepah -- declining to serve companies and individuals working for a conglomerate owned by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. Kayhan, whose editor is appointed by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, made similar claims about other lenders... Kayhan accused Iranian authorities of pandering to the international community, stating in an accompanying article: "We've committed ourselves to self-sanctioning!" Central bank efforts to improve Iran's standing with the Paris-based Financial Action Task Force, which aims to counter money laundering and terrorist financing, led a number of state-run and private banks to penalize parts of the armed forces, the paper alleged.

NUCLEAR & BALLISTIC MISSILE PROGRAM


Iran is systematically testing the boundaries of the nuclear deal it struck with the West, and the Obama administration has repeatedly swept this under the carpet, acting as "Iran's lawyers" instead, a senior Israeli security expert has warned. Dr. Emily Landau, head of the Arms Control Program at the Tel Aviv-based Institute for National Security Studies, told The Jerusalem Post on Monday that a string of incidents over the past six months has proven that "there is a continued struggle between Iran and the US. It is real, and is here. Iran is continuing to push the envelope, trying to get as much as it can, even within the confines of this deal," she said, referring to the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), which was reached last year.

CONGRESSIONAL ACTION
Congress is set to consider new legislation that would block the Obama administration from awarding Iran billions of U.S. taxpayer dollars in what many describe as a ransom payment, according to a copy of the legislation obtained by the Washington Free Beacon. Sen. Marco Rubio (R., Fla.) will introduce on Tuesday new legislation that would prohibit the Obama administration from moving forward with all payments to Iran, according to the bill, which would also force Iran to return billions of dollars in U.S. funds that have already been delivered to Tehran by the White House. Rubio's bill-a version of which is also being introduced in the House by Rep. Mike Pompeo (R., Kan.)-would mandate that Iran pay American victims of terrorism some $53 billion in reparations for past attacks planned and coordinated by the Islamic Republic.

SANCTIONS RELIEF

Three Iranian banks have told Bavaria's economy minister that they plan to open branches in Munich to help stimulate more business ties with German firms, the Muenchner Merkur newspaper reported on Sunday. Middle East Bank, Parsian Bank and Sina Bank have received approval from Iran's central bank to set up branches overseas, the minister, Ilse Aigner, told the newspaper. Aigner, a member of the conservative Christian Social Union (CSU), spoke with the newspaper from Tehran during her second visit to the Iranian capital within a year. "Business ties between Bavarian companies and Iran often fail today because of barriers in the payment process," Aigner told the newspaper in interview to be published Monday. "That is why having branches of Iranian banks in Munich is particularly important for our businesses. Especially our small- to medium-sized firms have enormous export prospects to Iran that they will be able to utilise more easily in the future."


Two private Iranian banks will open branches in Munich, officials confirmed Monday, as the Islamic republic looks for ways around ongoing barriers to international financing. The central bank announced late on Sunday that Middle East Bank and Sina Bank would set up in Germany's Bavaria state, following a visit by local economy minister Ilse Aigner to Tehran. "This is a first since the revolution of 1979. We hope to open our branch by the end of 2016," Parviz Aghili, director general of Middle East Bank, told journalists. Iran's central bank is also now working with its German counterpart and several banks in the country to settle oil exports in euros.


The European Union's trade with Iran amounted to €5.107 billion in the first half of 2016, a 43 percent rise year on year, based on the latest figures released by the European Union's statistics agency Eurostat. Following the implementation of the nuclear deal in January and thanks to the rise in EU countries' purchase of oil from the Islamic Republic, trade between Iran and the EU rose 43 percent compared with €3.563 billion in first six months of 2015.  From January to June 2016, EU's exports to Iran increased by 13 percent and reached €3.565 billion, from €3.154 billion in the first half of 2015... At the same time, EU's imports from the Islamic Republic increased 52 percent and stood at €396 million, while the amount was €260 million in the same period in 2015.


Turkish electricity producer Zorlu Enerji may build gas-fired power plants in Iran as Turkey's eastern neighbor is seeking to attract investors after decades of economic sanctions. The company is in talks with Iranian authorities for the project and a concrete plan may be announced this year, said Omer Yungul, chief executive officer of Zorlu Holding that owns the Istanbul-based company, formally known as Zorlu Enerji Elektrik Uretim AS. Zorlu Enerji ... plans to invest "a sizable amount" in Iran, Yungul said in an interview in Istanbul. The total capacity of the power plants may be similar to plans by Unit International, owned by Turkish investor Unal Aysal, to build power plants costing $4.2 billion in Iran, he said.

FOREIGN AFFAIRS

The UK has fully restored diplomatic relations with Iran by appointing an ambassador to Tehran for the first time since 2011. The decision comes nearly five years after Iranians invaded the British embassy, and reflects the gradual thawing of relations in the wake of the Iranian nuclear agreement. Nicholas Hopton, a Middle East specialist, was appointed UK chargé d'affairs in Tehran in December, and the upgrade in his role to ambassador - announced on Monday - had been regarded as only a matter of time. A key figure in the Iranian nuclear negotiating team, Hamid Baeidinejad, has been appointed the Iranian ambassador to the UK... On Monday Boris Johnson, the foreign secretary, said: "This is an important moment in the relationship between the UK and Iran. The upgrade in diplomatic relations gives us the opportunity to develop our discussions on a range of issues, including our consular cases about which I am deeply concerned, and which I have raised with foreign minister [Javad] Zarif."

EXTREMISM


Iran's state TV says police have shut down more than 800 clothing stores across the country for selling "unconventional and inappropriate" attire - believed to mean Western-style outfits and women's clothing that doesn't meet strict Islamic requirements. Monday's report says the raids took place over a 10-day span after authorities first sent official warnings to merchants in more than 3,600 shops. Iranian police and state TV have in recent weeks campaigned against selling second-hand clothes, which are considered "unhygienic," as well as clothes with English language print on them.

SAUDI-IRAN TENSIONS


A decision by a Kurdish opposition group to take up arms against Iranian authorities has senior officials in Tehran worrying that Saudi Arabia is seeking to undermine its stability in a deepening of their regional rivalry. Riyadh denies the charge. But tension between the two countries is surging, with Saudi Arabia and Iran supporting opposite sides in wars in Syria and Yemen and rival political parties in Iraq and Lebanon. The contest has largely hewed along sectarian lines as mainly Shi'ite Iran and Saudi Arabia, a predominantly Sunni country, vie for influence. That competition, officials in Tehran worry, has now spread inside their borders, thanks to what they fear is Riyadh's exploitation of the Islamic Republic's communal rifts. They point to clashes -- the first in almost 20 years -- between the Democratic Party of Iranian Kurdistan (PDKI) fighters and Revolutionary Guards in the northwest in June and July that left several dead on both sides. As fighting escalated, Iranian forces shelled suspected Kurdish military bases in northern Iraq, raising the prospect that the conflict could spread across the border.  

DOMESTIC POLITICS

The pistachio trees at the village in southern Iran are long dead, bleached white by the sun -- the underground water reserves sucked dry by decades of over-farming and waste. The last farmers left with their families 10 years ago, and the village has the look of an abandoned Martian colony. The dome-roofed, mud-walled homes are crumbling, once-green fields are now nothing but dirt furrows, and the only sign of life is a couple of drifters camping out in an old storehouse. Pistachios are Iran's biggest export after crude oil, with 250,000 tonnes of the nut produced last year -- a figure only recently topped by the United States. In Kerman province in southern Iran, cities have grown rich from pistachios, but time is running out for the industry as unconstrained farming and climate change take a devastating toll.

The groom wore a navy blue tuxedo, the bride a custom-made gown with a fish-scale pattern inspired by pictures she found on Instagram. Waiters passed around French tarts as guests crowded a dance floor pulsating under strobe lights. When the DJ played "Gangnam Style," a cheer went up from the young women in tight dresses, salon-styled hair falling down their bare shoulders. The wedding reception was like so many - except that it took place in Tehran, the capital of an Islamic republic whose ruling clerics take a dim view of such displays of skin and secular, Western-oriented tastes. "We represent the change in society," said the groom, 30-year-old Sarmad Kodeiri. Iran's theocracy - whose top clerics still lead "Death to America" chants at Friday prayers - has exercised strict control over public behavior since taking power in the 1979 Islamic Revolution. But beneath the surface in this country of 80 million people, the hard-liners quietly are being challenged by a large urban middle class that has grown weary of religious strictures and more attuned to global trends.

OPINION & ANALYSIS

Destroying ISIS in Iraq requires ditching Iranian influence | Pete Hegseth in The Hill

We don't know whether ISIS draws direct support from Iran or not, but we do know that senior Al Qaeda figures find shelter in Iran today.  And we also know that the rise of ISIS was made possible, in part, by Iranian-dominated policies inside the Iraqi government, all enabled by American military and diplomatic retreat. Moreover, the existence of ISIS gives Iran a military pretext to operate freely throughout Iraq.  So, as prosecutors often say, a pattern emerges. Now, with a presidential election looming, the Obama administration has finally decided to get serious about destroying ISIS.  But anyone who has served in Iraq can tell you that providing air support for Iranian militias is not the answer.  As we learned during the surge and the Awakening, giving the people on the ground-aided by American military might-a reason to fight for their own security is the only path towards sustainable stability and against Islamism... For our own security and own interest, American needs to free our foreign policy of Iranian control and give those groups the motivation they need.  America's next president must have the intestinal fortitude and intellectual honesty to do just that.

Iran's Continued Imprisonment of Dual Citizens | Haleh Esfandiari in WSJ


Exactly nine years ago, on Sept. 2, 2007, I was allowed to leave Iran after spending eight months under arrest and enduring 105 days in solitary confinement in Evin prison. After what felt like endless interrogations, interminable confinement, and threats of a trial and a long prison term, the Intelligence Ministry, unable to come up with plausible charges against me, finally let me go. Looking out the airplane window at Tehran as I departed, I knew I was saying goodbye to the city of my birth, and to my country, for as long as the current regime remained in power. Its paranoia over foreign plots to bring about regime change in Iran leads it to persecute dual nationals as supposed agents of foreign governments.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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