Thursday, March 2, 2017

Eye on Iran: EU Seeks Ways to Address Trump's Concerns on Iran Nuclear Deal

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European officials are compiling options for tightening implementation of the 2015 Iranian nuclear agreement, hoping to bolster their case that US. President Donald Trump should stick to the accord he has repeatedly criticized... The Trump administration is carrying out its own review of the nuclear deal. European officials hope that by proactively offering up solutions, they can indicate that they are responsive to Mr. Trump's concerns. Options range from stepped-up inspections of Iranian activities to stricter interpretations of key provisions of the accord, which seeks to keep Iran from being able to amass the materials for a nuclear weapon. However while European officials are eager to show flexibility, any U.S. push to change the terms of the deal could still place Washington and Brussels on a collision course.

In a climactic battle at sea, an Iranian commander orders his forces to open fire on a much larger U.S. fleet, obliterating it with a barrage of rockets, some of which tear American flags from their masts. The scenario unfolds in "Battle of the Persian Gulf II," a new Iranian animated film more than four years in the making that imagines a devastating response to an American attack on the country's nuclear program. It might have seemed out of date this time last year, when a nuclear accord reached with world powers had lifted sanctions and raised hopes for a broader rapprochement between Iran and the West. But now tensions are rising again. President Donald Trump has repeatedly criticized the nuclear deal, and his administration put Iran "on notice" last month after it tested a ballistic missile. Iranians were meanwhile angered over Trump's travel ban, which temporarily barred their entry to the United States before it was blocked by the courts.

Iran is likely to go on an international shopping spree for surface warships, submarines and anti-ship missiles after the expiration in 2020 of a United Nations resolution prohibiting it from acquiring sophisticated weapons, according to the U.S. Office of Naval Intelligence. The expiration "will allow Iran to pursue foreign acquisitions that have been inaccessible since sanctions were imposed," according to a new assessment of Iran's naval forces, strategy and capability obtained by Bloomberg News. Entitled "Iran's Naval Forces: A Tale of Two Navies," the 44-page publication is an update to a 2009 version. The ban on conventional weapons will be lifted as part of the international deal reached in July 2015 between the U.S., five allies and Iran to curtail its nuclear program in return for easing international sanctions. The Navy report is likely to be cited by those who agree with President Donald Trump's past description of the nuclear accord as "the worst deal ever negotiated."

U.S.-IRAN RELATIONS

Few people have watched the deteriorating relations between Iran and the United States with as much concern as Babak Namazi. The stakes are intensely personal. His elderly father and his younger brother, both U.S. citizens, are imprisoned in Iran after being convicted of espionage and collaborating with the U.S. government. They had an appeals hearing Wednesday, but there is little hope the verdict will be overturned. The Obama administration had pushed Iran to free Siamak and Baquer Namazi, and other Americans detained or missing in Iran, until talks collapsed in President Barack Obama's final days in office. Since then, there has been no contact between Washington and Tehran, according to the Iranian Foreign Ministry. So Babak Namazi came to Washington this week to urge the Trump administration to restart efforts to gain his family members' freedom after more than a year in custody.

SANCTIONS RELIEF

Iran is making rapid forays into the European crude oil market and selling its parcels to countries such as France, Italy, Greece and Spain, UK-based global shipping consultancy, VesselsValue said Wednesday. "Following the removal of sanctions, new players have emerged in the mix," VesselsValue said in a report. Iran's crude oil shipments have been delivered to destinations ranging from Malaysia and Singapore in Asia to Syria in Africa, it said. In 2016, the number of voyages delivering crude from Iran to France are estimated at 21, while Italy, Greece and Spain took 15, 14 and 13 shipments respectively, it said. This includes shipments in VLCC, Suezmaxes and Aframaxes.

SYRIA CONFLICT

The lead Syrian opposition negotiator at peace talks in Geneva said he hoped U.S. President Donald Trump would correct the "catastrophic" errors of his predecessor Barack Obama to become a reliable partner against "devilish" Iran... "We reiterated the devilish role that Iran is playing through hundreds of thousands of fighters on the Syrian soil," Hariri said in response to a question on what he had told Russian officials during their landmark meeting on Thursday... Hariri said the opposition had common ground with Trump because both wanted to fight terrorism and curtail Iranian influence Washington, he said, should support the opposition.

DOMESTIC POLITICS

Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said in a speech to election officials that he wants to ensure a smooth presidential election in May and warned off any potential government groups that might attempt to rig the vote in their favor. "We all have to be careful that government resources are not used in favor of one individual or party," Rouhani told the officials Feb. 25 "This is a sin. By government, I mean the executive, the judiciary, the armed forces. I mean all the organizations that use public funds. No one has a right to use a public platform, public media, newspaper or website that uses public funds in the election." Rouhani told the audience that it is the responsibility of the Interior Ministry and provincial governors to administer a healthy election. With regard to the Guardian Council, the conservative body that vets candidates for approval to run in the election, Rouhani said, "I cannot accept anyone saying that the responsible group [for administering the election] is the Guardian Council. No. The administration is responsible. The Guardian Council supervises." This point about who ultimately controls the election process has been a long-running dispute between Rouhani and Guardian Council head Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati.

OPINION & ANALYSIS

In his recent column ("How Bibi Played Us On The Iran Deal - And We Let Him") Peter Beinart claims Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu duped us by hyping the threat posed by the Iran nuclear deal. But who does Beinart mean by "us"? It doesn't take a Bibi Netanyahu to recognize the dangers the accord poses to Israel and American interests, something Beinart is somehow not even willing to concede. So let "us" review. First, for the positive. In the short term, the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), as the deal is formally known, constrains Iran's ability to build a nuclear weapon by limiting it to a few hundred kilograms of low-enriched uranium and reducing its output of weapon-grade plutonium at its heavy-water reactor. Iran's declared nuclear facilities are also placed under a more rigorous inspection and verification regime. However, in the short term, the JCPOA also has empowered the world's leading state sponsor of terrorism by lifting the most onerous sanctions upon Tehran and releasing tens of billions of dollars in frozen assets into the regime's coffers. A revitalized Iran has utilized its resurgent power to further its designs for regional dominance and its ongoing aggression in Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, and Yemen, as well as against Israel Tehran is now also brazenly testing long-range ballistic missiles capable of carrying nuclear warheads and threatening U.S. naval vessels in the Persian Gulf, having notoriously detained 10 American sailors at gunpoint last year in violation of international law.

February 22, 2016 marked 365 days that my innocent 80-year-old Iranian-American father, Baquer Namazi has spent in Evin prison. 365 days. .... the number of days my father has been unjustly imprisoned and held captive in Iran's notorious Evin prison on absurd charges and allegations of "collaboration with hostile government of America." The number of days his grandchildren have been deprived of their grandfather, his children of a father and most importantly, my mother from her loving husband...the number of days since I embraced my father...the number of days I never thought I would be putting on paper. 365 days of broken and false promises, retreat and mockery of justice, crushed hopes, indescribable cruelty, officials turning a blind eye to this injustice, and the unbearable pain of having half my family (my father and my brother Siamak Namazi who has been incarcerated since October 15, 2015) ripped away and held captive for reasons beyond human comprehension.







Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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