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NYT: "Secretary of State John Kerry on Tuesday
rebutted complaints that the United States is impeding others from
investing and trading with Iran despite the easing of sanctions against
that country under the nuclear agreement that took effect in January.
Mr. Kerry said that some businesses were misusing the United States as
an excuse. Many big banks and companies in Europe and Asia have
hesitated to engage with Iran, partly for fear of inadvertently
violating non-nuclear American sanctions that remain in effect against
the Iranians, including severe restrictions on their use of the
dollar... In a meeting with a small group of reporters in London, where
he was preparing to meet with European bankers, Mr. Kerry acknowledged
'some confusion' about the rules under the agreement, but he said that
the United States was happy to explain them... Mr. Kerry also suggested
that some companies were using the American sanctions that remain in
force as a guise for not venturing into Iran. 'They shouldn't say, Oh,
we can't do it because of the United States,' Mr. Kerry said. 'That's
just not fair. That's not accurate. And we sometimes get used as an
excuse in this process.' The system of American sanctions on Iran, he
said, is 'just not as complicated as some people make it.' ... The
Iranians have since seized on other American actions they view as
arrogant affronts, including a Supreme Court ruling last month that
cleared the way for the use of impounded Iranian assets to compensate
American victims of attacks attributed to Iran. Iran is also likely to
be irritated by a federal lawsuit filed against it on Monday by Amir
Hekmati, the Marine veteran who was among the imprisoned Americans
released by the Iranians when the nuclear deal went into effect four
months ago. The lawsuit, filed by Mr. Hekmati's lawyers in Washington,
is seeking unspecified damages for Mr. Hekmati's four-and-a-half-year
incarceration and torture in Tehran's Evin Prison." http://t.uani.com/1WpAwLZ
WashPost: "Iran's long isolation from
the global financial system, continuing sanctions and its own
practices, such as arresting foreign businessmen as suspected spies,
are hampering its ability to benefit more from a groundbreaking nuclear
deal, according to current and former U.S. officials and Iran scholars.
Although the number of business deals has slowly increased since
nuclear-related sanctions were lifted in January, large banks in Europe
and Asia have balked at financing major projects in Iran. The reasons for
Iran's financial and investment problems are multifaceted, but
Washington and Tehran blame each other. The Obama administration argues
that the real issues are Iran's poor business environment and policies
that undermine investor confidence - including ballistic missile tests,
arms shipments to rebels in Yemen and the imprisonment of businessmen
accused of espionage... The U.S. sanctions for human rights abuses and
terrorism are complicating matters, U.S. officials acknowledge. For
example, any foreign bank financing a project in Iran would have to
prove that no Americans were involved in any part of the transaction.
But U.S. officials say the banks are being overly cautious... And U.S.
officials said Iran needs to look to its own practices. The country routinely
scores low on a number of indexes ranking countries' business climates,
including those by the World Bank, the International Monetary Fund and
Transparency International... 'The most pressing concern about doing
business in Iran does not have to do with sanctions but with really
grave and long-standing concerns about the risks of doing business
there,' said Elizabeth Rosenberg, a fellow with the Center for a New
American Security. 'Inadequate transparency, potential money laundering
and garden-variety corruption have nothing to do with nuclear
proliferation.' ... 'Any company wanting to do business in Iran will
have to do due diligence and find out if the Guards are involved,' said
Alireza Nader, an analyst with the Rand Corp. 'It's not impossible, but
it's very difficult.'" http://t.uani.com/1sdaVJy
Hankyoreh
(South Korea):
"The initial story that President Park Geun-hye told about
construction projects she claimed as the accomplishments of her summit
with Iran is being called into question following the news that MOUs
(memoranda of understanding) have not been signed for some of them and
that others may ultimately be awarded to Iranian companies. This is likely
to lead to further criticism that the Blue House inflated its claims of
economic deals worth US$37.1 billion. According to various figures in
the construction industry on May 9, South Korean construction companies
have still not managed to sign MOUs for the Chabahar-Zahedan railroad
project (US$1.7 billion) and the Mianeh-Tabriz railroad project (US$600
million). A statement released by the Blue House on May 2 while Park
was in Iran detailing the economic deals she had made during the summit
claimed that South Korean companies had signed MOUs with Iran for these
two projects... In South Korea, Hyundai Engineering and Construction
and Hyundai Rotem have been working together to win this project. 'The
fact is that we weren't able to sign an MOU during this visit to Iran.
Even so, we're still working to secure the contract,' said a source at
Hyundai E&C. Comments by the CEO of an Iranian public company have
also raised the possibility that another construction project that the
Blue House claimed as a success may actually fall through." http://t.uani.com/21Wps8r
Nuclear
& Ballistic Missile Program
Reuters: "The United States' European
missile defense shield goes live on Thursday almost a decade after
Washington proposed protecting NATO from Iranian rockets and despite
Russian warnings that the West is threatening the peace in central
Europe. Amid high Russia-West tension, U.S. and NATO officials will
declare operational the shield at a remote air base in Deveselu,
Romania, after years of planning, billions of dollars in investment and
failed attempts to assuage Russian concerns that the shield could be
used against Moscow. 'We now have the capability to protect NATO in
Europe,' said Robert Bell, a NATO-based envoy of U.S. Defense Secretary
Ash Carter. 'The Iranians are increasing their capabilities and we have
to be ahead of that. The system is not aimed against Russia,' he told
reporters, adding that the system will soon be handed over to NATO
command... First agreed by the U.S. government 2007 and then canceled
and relaunched by the newly-elected U.S. President Barack Obama in
2009, the missile defense shield's stated aim is to protect North
America and Europe from so-called rogue states such as Iran and North
Korea... Despite a historic deal between world powers and Tehran to
limit Iran's nuclear program, the West believes Iran's Revolutionary
Guards continue to develop ballistic missile technology, carrying out
two tests late last year." http://t.uani.com/23HmrYK
U.S.-Iran
Relations
Press
TV (Iran): "A
commander of Iran's Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) has warned
that his forces would drown American warships should they pose the
slightest territorial threat to the country. 'Wherever the Americans
look in the Persian Gulf, they will see us,' Rear Admiral Ali Fadavi,
commander of the IRGC Navy, said in remarks on state television on
Monday night. 'They know that if they commit the slightest mistake, we
will drown their vessels in the Persian Gulf, the Strait of Hormuz, or
the Sea of Oman,' he added. The commander further highlighted the
Navy's defense might, saying Iran's enemies are only aware of a small
fraction of the country's military capabilities. The IRGC has
underground facilities housing surface-to-sea missiles and vessels,
Fadavi noted." http://t.uani.com/1OnuO4J
Free
Beacon: "A
top Iranian military official has threatened to block the United
States' free passage through a crucial international shipping lane in
the Persian Gulf, according to recent comments in which the commander
insisted, 'We have no other enemy in the region except for America.'
Hossein Salami, deputy commander of Iran's Revolutionary Guard Corps,
warned in a recent Persian-language interview that the Islamic Republic
would not hesitate to block U.S. entry to the Strait of Hormuz, which
is the only passage from the Persian Gulf to the open seas. Salami
claimed that the U.S. military fears Iran's navy, which recently has
bolstered forces to directly combat American forces in the region. 'The
[Americans] believe that our navy is dangerous. Indeed, that is true,'
Salami was quoted as saying in a Farsi-language interview with Iranian
state-controlled television that was subsequently translated by the
Middle East Media Research Institute, which monitors regional reports.
'In my view, this is the first time that the Americans have assessed
the might of our navy correctly,' Salami continued. 'If the Americans
want to level threats against us, we can be very dangerous to them, as
we have declared. They are aware of our tremendous might. We have
increased and expanded our naval might, in order to overcome the
military might of superpowers like America.'" http://t.uani.com/1TaPO2Q
Congressional
Action
The
Hill: "Senate
Republicans are targeting a top White House aide, saying his recent
comments show how the administration deceived its way to a win on the
Iran nuclear deal. 'Mr. [Ben] Rhodes, who is supposed to be the White
House's foreign policy communications guru, shockingly explained the
administration's bald manipulation of the media and public opinion to
build support for the Iran nuclear agreement,' Sen. Dan Coats (R-Ind.)
said in a statement Tuesday. He added that the 'fact of manipulation'
was unsurprising and Rhodes's remarks prove that the driving force
behind the nuclear talks was to 'secure a legacy' for President Obama.
The White House has gone into damage control after a New York Times
Magazine profile triggered fierce backlash across Washington. In the
profile, Rhodes - Obama's deputy national security adviser - said he
'created an echo chamber' of supportive outside groups and experts to
help sell the deal. His remarks have given opponents of the
agreement fresh ammunition as they hammer Obama's foreign policy and
push to renew sanctions legislation against Iran... Sen. Ben Sasse
(R-Neb.) said the 'horrific story should be a screaming siren' and
boiled down to whether 'we take truth seriously.'" http://t.uani.com/1YlIOSa
Sanctions
Relief
FT: "The centrist government of
Hassan Rouhani has welcomed China's One Belt, One Road (OBOR) plan to
revive the Silk Road. Tehran hopes the project will facilitate
Sino-Iran trade and turn the country into a significant Eurasian trade
hub. The first freight train to travel the old Silk Road arrived in
Tehran in mid-February, bearing goods from China's eastern Zhejiang
province and making the journey through Kazakhstan and Turkmenistan in
14 days - compared with around 45 days by sea. However, if Iran is to play
a significant part in Chinese plans, it must expand and modernise its
85-year-old national railway network, which currently stretches over
11,000km, and carries 36m tons of cargo and 26m passengers a year...
'Our goal in the Silk Road plan is first to connect Iran's market to
China's via railway for our domestic consumption and second to send
Iranian and Chinese products to European markets,' says Hossein
Ashoori, deputy head for international transportation of the Railways
of the Islamic Republic of Iran. 'Iran's goal is not really Central
Asia.' Chinese products transported via Iran could include minerals and
petrochemicals, he adds, while Iranians could export pistachios and
carpets... Iran-China trade was worth $51.8bn in 2014, according to
official Chinese statistics - up 31 per cent on the previous year's
$39.54bn and a big increase from around $4bn in 2003... Development of
the national railway is one of Iran's infrastructure-building
priorities. Iran has signed contracts with France and Germany to renovate
stations and restructure the railway system while it has signed an
agreement with Italy for a high-speed train between Tehran and the
historical city of Isfahan." http://t.uani.com/27du9P4
Bloomberg: "Pasargad Financial Group,
owner of Iran's second-largest bank, is weighing the sale of shares in
its energy unit as the removal of sanctions boosts confidence in the
economy. 'We'll likely IPO some of our companies this year, like PEDC,'
Majid Ghassemi, chairman of Pasargad Energy Development Co. and CEO of
Pasargad Bank, said in an interview in Zurich, Switzerland, where he
was attending a conference on investing in Iran. The IPO could take
place in the current Iranian year, which ends March 2017, 'or latest,
next Iranian year,' he said, adding the listing may raise about 10
trillion rials, or $330 million, through a sale on the Fara Bourse --
Iran's junior market. PEDC is involved in oil and gas exploration as
well as refining. The company is working on approximately $12 billion
of energy projects, including the construction of a $2.2 billion gas
line to neighboring Iraq, Ghassemi said... The group may also sell some
of the shares of companies under its Middle East Mines Industries
Development Holding Co., Ghassemi said. It still needs to get licenses
for the listing of its companies on the Tehran stock exchange, he
said." http://t.uani.com/27dvl4S
Reuters: "South Africa has partnered
with Iran to develop desalination plants along all coastal communities
to boost water supplies, the water minister said on Wednesday, as the
worst drought in living memory dries dams... 'Now with the partnership
that we have entered into through the binational commission between
South Africa and Iran we want to go full steam,' Nomvula Mokonyane told
reporters. She said the first investment meeting with Iran, where
President Jacob Zuma visited last month, takes place next month and
that there were no indicative costs at this stage. The largest
desalination plant in South Africa, which converts salty seawater to
drinkable water, is situated in Mossel Bay along the Western Cape where
it helped supply water to state oil company PetroSA's gas-to-fuel
refinery." http://t.uani.com/1USwSsa
Syria
Conflict
RFE/RL: "A photo booth where visitors
can have their photos taken in front of images of war-torn Syria is
among the attractions at this year's Tehran Book Fair. The booth
attracted criticism after Iran's official government news agency, IRNA,
published photos of visitors sitting atop a motorcycle while wearing
military attire, with a backdrop of a bombed-out city looming behind
them. Some were seen smiling while others appeared slightly
uncomfortable. One woman is seen posing with a grenade in her hand. A
man had his photo taken with a little boy sitting on his lap. IRNA said
the 'photo booth of the Defenders of the Shrine' allowed visitors of
the book fair, which began on May 3, to have a 'digital and spiritual
photo.' The pictures were widely shared on social media. 'Souvenir with
the misery of a nation, souvenir with interference in another country,'
one man tweeted while using the hashtag #shame in Persian. 'People have
taken their pictures while smiling next to a demolished city!' wrote a
woman. Another user wrote sarcastically that 'if you want to take a
picture with the mess we created in Syria, go to the Defenders of the
Shrine photo booth.' The move appears to be part of the effort by
Iranian authorities to glorify Iranians who join the fight in Syria.
Iran claims it has only deployed 'military advisers' in Syria to
bolster its regional ally, President Bashar al-Assad, and to fight
'terrorists.'" http://t.uani.com/1USywdp
Human
Rights
Guardian: "The authorities in Iran have
promised the family of Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, the British-Iranian
mother who has been held in solitary confinement for more than five
weeks, that they may be allowed to meet her in jail. Zaghari-Ratcliffe,
who works for the Thomson Reuters Foundation as a project manager, was
arrested at Tehran's international airport by members of the country's
powerful Revolutionary Guard on 3 April. She and her 22-month-old
daughter, Gabriella, were about to return to the UK from a family visit
in her home country. Zaghari-Ratcliffe has since been taken to an
unknown location in Kerman, 600 miles south of the Iranian capital, but
officials have not yet commented on the reasons behind her arrest. She
has not yet been charged. According to her family, she is not allowed
access to a lawyer and is under pressure to confess to unspecified
crimes. 'Nazanin's parents have been told that they will be allowed a
family visit tomorrow in Kerman,' her husband, Richard Ratcliffe, said
on Tuesday. Ratcliffe took the decision to make his wife's ordeal
public on Monday against what he said was the advice of the Foreign
Office... Zaghari-Ratcliffe's arrest has highlighted the risk to dual
nationals visiting Iran. The Revolutionary Guard in particular is deeply
suspicious of such citizens and has arrested a number of them in recent
years, including a British-Iranian businessman, Kamal Foroughi." http://t.uani.com/1TzVJMc
Opinion
& Analysis
Speaker
Paul Ryan in Independent Journal Review: "When you get down to it,
it's hard to escape the conclusion that the Obama administration
essentially misled the American people on the Iran deal-or at least
misled itself. Everything the administration told us about the deal is
starting to unravel. The administration assured us that it could
reimpose-or 'snap back' -sanctions if Iran cheated. That seems more
improbable now that other countries and even American companies are racing
back into the Iranian marketplace. We were told that Iran would never
get access to the dollar or the U.S. financial system. The
administration now appears to be reconsidering, and a few weeks ago it
purchased millions of dollars of heavy water from Tehran. This follows
an apparent $1.7 billion ransom paid earlier this year in exchange for
five Americans unjustly detained in Iran. They also told us that, if we
just dealt with the nuclear problem, America would be in a stronger
position to combat Iran's other destabilizing activities. Instead, the
defiant and emboldened regime in Tehran continues to sponsor terrorism
across the regime, test-fire ballistic missiles inscribed with 'Death
to Israel,' and abuse the basic human rights of its citizens. In the hours
before the State of the Union, we learned that Iran's Islamic
Revolutionary Guard Corps arrested ten American sailors, and
photographed and videotaped them in captivity for propaganda. The
administration's reaction? Secretary of State John Kerry thanked the
regime for its cooperation in eventually releasing the sailors, hailing
an incident that should've never happened in the first place as a
diplomatic success. Time alone will tell whether the nuclear agreement
stops Iran from getting the bomb, but here's what we do know. We know
that in five to eight years, respectively, the international ban on
conventional weapons and ballistic missiles will be lifted. We know
that in 10 to 15 years, most limits on Iran's ability to enrich uranium
and reprocess plutonium-two key steps in building a nuclear weapon-will
expire. And we know that, once most of these constraints are gone,
we'll have nothing more than a promise from the mullahs that they won't
build a bomb. Meanwhile, an Iranian regime buoyed by a $100 billion
windfall will be free to revamp its nuclear weapons program under the
guise of international legitimacy. The administration can spin it
anyway it likes, but this was a bad deal. Before this president leaves
office, we must do everything possible to prevent his administration
from making further concessions to Iran. This includes blocking any
attempt to make it easier for the mullahs in Tehran to conduct their
trade in dollars. We are also committed to renewing the Iran Sanctions
Act by the end of this year." http://t.uani.com/1YlJFlH
Emily
B. Landau in TNI:
"For years Iran has been a formidable challenge in the nuclear
realm-a fact that has not changed since the deal. When Iran finally
began to negotiate seriously over its nuclear program in 2013, it was
only in order to lift the biting sanctions; indeed, nothing had changed
in terms of its military nuclear ambitions, and Iran continues to
advance its program where it can (for example its long range missile
program, and R&D on advanced centrifuge models). All the while,
Iran profusely denies ever having pursued a military option, despite
the definitive IAEA report released in December 2015 that deems otherwise.
In the post-deal period, Iran continues to try to squeeze more
concessions from the West-to ensure improvement of its economic
situation beyond what was agreed to in the nuclear deal, in return for
the minimal nuclear concessions that it made. In this effort, Iran
recruits the power of the word: the steadfast and stubborn narratives
that Iranian leaders promulgate with rhetorical acumen. Iran forever
paints a slanted picture of reality that glosses over its aggressive
regional behavior, gross human rights violations, and missile and
nuclear advances, presenting itself as a virtuous and stellar
international player that faces a relentless Western bully. After
months of negotiations with the P5+1, Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad
Javad Zarif has perfected the art, and become a master of this game.
The most recent examples appear in his op-ed in the Washington Post,
and interview with Robin Wright in the New Yorker. In the April 20
op-ed, Zarif notes the 'artificial crisis over my country's peaceful
nuclear program,' depicts Iran as the only state seeking to eradicate
'militant extremism' and complains that everyone mistakenly focuses on
Iran's 'indigenous defensive capabilities' while ignoring massive
military buildups in other regional states. When he refers to Iran's
'stable, safe and healthy environment for our citizens and for those
visiting,' one can only imagine what the many Iranians who have been
incarcerated, tortured and executed for their religious beliefs or
sexual orientation would say in response. And as far as its military
nuclear program, no matter what evidence is produced, Iran deems
everything a lie and fabrication... Against this backdrop, current
Iranian accusations that the United States is not providing Iran with
the economic boost it was counting on come as no surprise. In
attempting to squeeze more concessions, Iran adamantly claims that it
has upheld its end of the bargain meticulously, while accusing the
United States of bad-faith behavior and of shirking its commitments.
These accusations were predictable from the start, because the tactic
has been employed so many times before. It is what Iran has claimed for
years vis-à-vis its NPT commitments, even after its work on a military
nuclear program was confirmed by the IAEA, and it is the exact pattern
that Iran followed in the early stage of negotiations with the EU-3,
from 2003-05. Iran is already seeing favorable results in the U.S.
approach. After Iran accused the United States that by continuing to
demonize Iran-in Khamenei's words, promoting 'Iranophobia'-the latter
is effectively torpedoing economic deals between Iran and European
companies, Secretary of State John Kerry met with Zarif to try to
smooth over the differences. The administration announced that it would
not stand in the way of foreign entities doing business with Iran;
moreover, it announced its intent to buy thirty-two tons of Iran's
excess heavy water to the tune of $8.6 million, making good on its show
of goodwill. While justifying this decision as a worthwhile deal for
the United States, the administration ignored the implicit message to
Iran that it is fine to produce heavy water in excess of the JCPOA
limit. Generally speaking, while President Obama has noted that it is
may be Iran's problematic behavior that is scaring off foreign
investors, the United States has nevertheless refrained from pushing
back with determination against Iran's false narratives. The
administration's response to Iran's missile tests that violated UN
Security Council resolutions was delayed and relatively mute, failing
to highlight Iran's ongoing support for terror." http://t.uani.com/1qdFPzy
Omar
Hossino & Suhayla Sibaai in the Atlantic Council: "In 2015, President Obama
announced the framework for the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action,
more commonly known as the Iran deal. Obama claimed that a deal would
make Iran 'operate in a responsible fashion.' Obama's adviser Ben
Rhodes said that the deal would 'produce an evolution in Iran's
behavior' and ran a sophisticated media campaign to promote the Iran
deal, spinning the facts in a misleading and even false manner
according to the recent New York Times article. Contrary to their
claims, Iran has increased its regional aggression, particularly in
Syria, by propping up the Assad regime, and refusing to cooperate with
the United States to reach a political settlement in Syria and fight
the Islamic State (ISIS). As the Iran agreement was finalized in 2015, the
Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) deployed fifteen thousand
troops in Syria. Qassem Suleimani, head of the IRGC, then visited
Moscow to coordinate the Russian military intervention in Syria and
sent an additional 2,500 IRGC troops to Syria. The surge continues and
in April 2016, Iran committed regular army units from the 65th Nohed
Brigade, which analysts estimate at 100-200 green beret commandos,
marking the first deployment of Iranian troops since the Iran-Iraq War.
Further confirming Iran's increased involvement is the loss of Iranian
soldiers: Iranian casualties in the past six months equaled its first
two years of operations in Syria, and last week, IRGC military advisers
sustained thirteen deaths in Syria, marking it the biggest single-day loss...
The case of Madaya is particularly egregious. When the Assad regime
failed to capture the town of Zabadani in July and August of 2015, Iran
negotiated a ceasefire with the Islamist rebel-group Ahrar al-Sham that
entailed the sectarian cleansing of all civilians in Zabadani and the
passage of civilians from Shiite towns to Damascus. Iran's proposed
ceasefire stipulated that civilians would be allowed to stay in
Zabadani and that there would be humanitarian access to Madaya. Yet as
soon as the rebels left, Iran's proxy Hezbollah rounded up civilians in
Zabadani and expelled them into Madaya, putting them under siege in
what the United Nations called the 'worst suffering' since the
beginning of the Syrian conflict. Under the Iranian military arm, Hezbollah
instituted checkpoints and minefields to prevent civilians from
escaping. This tactic succeeded in entrapping and killing dozens
including children... Rather than speak out against Iran's actions in
Syria, the US administration has kept quiet and instead, to protect the
Iran deal, reassured Iran that the US actions in Syria would not harm
Iranian interests. Secretary of State John Kerry said there was a role
for Iran in the anti-ISIS effort and even asked for Iranian assistance
to help end the war in Syria. The United States reassured Iran during
negotiations that US air strikes in Syria would not weaken the Assad
regime, and Obama followed up saying that he was prepared to work with
Iran to solve the Syrian conflict. According to a study by defense consultancy
IHS-Janes, Assad and ISIS are 'ignoring each other on the battlefield',
and Assad, Iranian, and Hezbollah forces are fighting in areas with
almost no ISIS presence. In fact, Ray Tayekh and Reul Marc Grecht have
argued Iran is using ISIS's ascendance in Syria and Iraq to consolidate
its power. Iran has grown more intransigent regarding the fate of Assad
and rejected cooperating against ISIS since the deal was signed...
President Obama garnered support for the Iran deal on the assertion
that Iran would then moderate its behavior, but this has proven to be
false. Changing Iran's behavior will require Obama to acknowledge that
the Iran deal has empowered Iran's aggressive behavior in Syria, and
then begin to consider penalizing policies. Such steps include
reinstituting sanctions on Iran for its support for terrorism and human
rights violations in Syria as Senators Marco Rubio and Mark Kirk have
proposed, and preventing travel to the United States and freezing the
assets of Iranian public officials who are involved with war crimes in
Syria. To do otherwise is to allow, and even encourage, Iran to
continue to support the Assad regime's brutal policies against the
Syrian people." http://t.uani.com/1T5TKQi
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Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against
Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear
Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the
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email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com
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