Wednesday, July 25, 2018

Eye on Iran: Trump Says U.S. Ready to Make 'Real Deal' with Iran



   EYE ON IRAN
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President Donald Trump Tuesday said the United States is ready to make a "real deal" with Iran just days after he threatened the country "will suffer consequences the likes of which few throughout history have ever suffered before." "Iran is not the same country anymore, that I can say," Trump said during the VFW National Convention in Kansas City, Missouri. 


Iran's cabinet appointed new heads at two of the government's top economic institutions, as the country grapples with a faltering economy and a sliding currency that have provoked public protests... Rouhani's cabinet appointed Abdul Nasser Hemmati to replace Valiollah Seif as governor of the central bank... In May, the United States imposed sanctions on Seif, accusing him of "moving millions of dollars" for Iran's Revolutionary Guards.


Israel shot down a Syrian jet fighter that entered its airspace, its military said, potentially raising tensions in a fraught border region where President Bashar al-Assad's Russian-backed forces are battling to retake a pocket of southwest Syria.

NUCLEAR DEAL & NUCLEAR PROGRAM


German intelligence report from the city-state of Hamburg said Iran's regime is continuing to seek weapons of mass destruction, delivering another intelligence agency blow to Chancellor Angela Merkel's belief that the 2015 atomic deal with the Islamic Republic curbed Tehran's nuclear weapons ambitions.

SANCTIONS, BUSINESS RISKS, & OTHER ECONOMIC NEWS


European efforts to protect businesses investing in Iran from US sanctions risk leaving executives with the tough choice of whether to obey EU or American rules. The EU is finalising its plans to mitigate the punitive measures as the Trump administration prepares to impose a new wave of sanctions next month and in November.


European companies have been winding down their purchases of Iranian oil, and the threat of sanctions on Iranian business has pushed out banks, many of which had paid severe fines for sanction violations in the past. But China, already the biggest buyer of Iranian oil, is not expected to heed U.S. demands. In fact, the Iranian oil sanctions could give China leverage in stalled trade negotiations with the United States.


Turkey has told American officials it opposes U.S. sanctions on Iran and is not obliged to implement them, Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu said on Tuesday.

MILITARY/INTELLIGENCE MATTERS & PROXY WARS


Iran's armed forces chief of staff on Tuesday warned the US of a robust reaction if it continued to threaten Iranian interests.  


America's oil threats against Iran can be easily answered, the head of the elite Revolutionary Guards said Wednesday, according to the Tasnim news agency.


A serious conflict in the Strait of Hormuz is more likely, and closer, than people think.

U.S.-IRAN RELATIONS


Iranian President Hassan Rohani has said he feels no need to respond to what he called "empty threats" from U.S. President Donald Trump.


President Trump's unexpected threat against Iran earlier this week was meant to make clear to Tehran "that they're on the wrong track," Defense Secretary James Mattis said Tuesday. "I think what we have to look at is the destabilizing influence that Iran has consistently displayed and demonstrated throughout the region," Mattis said at the Hoover Institution in Stanford, Calif.


As Trump trades threats with Rouhani, his rhetoric undercuts his secretary of state.


Despite all-caps Tweets between Donald Trump and Iran's foreign minister, there are few options for Tehran. Military action isn't one of them.

With proxy forces across the region, Iran has cards to play, and the regime is inherently dangerous... But Iran lacks several advantages enjoyed by North Korea. It doesn't have an overwhelming, powerful patron like China. It unites Israel and the Arab states, and none of our regional allies are pressuring us to negotiate with Tehran the way South Korea pushed us to talk with Pyongyang. Finally, Iran doesn't yet have nuclear weapons... This gives the administration leverage. The mullahs shouldn't fear presidential tweets as much as the economic clampdown to come.
CONGRESS & IRAN


Senators are mounting a bipartisan effort to hold terrorist groups accountable for their use of human shields, a tactic exploited especially by Hezbollah and Hamas, according to legislation to be introduced Tuesday. The bill, led by Texas senator Ted Cruz, enables the Trump administration to sanction members of foreign terrorist organizations that use civilians to shield themselves from attack.


A group of Republican U.S. senators has appealed to members of the nation's Christian evangelical community to provide more support for their push for tougher U.S. policies toward Iran.

RUSSIA, SYRIA, ISRAEL, HEZBOLLAH, LEBANON & IRAN


In the run-up to the recent Lebanese elections, Hezbollah officials and candidates rarely spoke about the party's military deployment in Syria. Instead, they focused on two main issues: the economy and corruption. What Hezbollah wants to avoid discussing most of all is how its fight in Syria to support Assad's regime relates to the eroding economy and growing corruption it is suffering inside Lebanon.


Crackdowns on activists on social media have escalated because of criticisms and comments against Lebanese officials. People are being questioned by the security services because of views and positions posted on their social media pages, criticizing President Michel Aoun, Hezbollah and other influential figures.


A Hezbollah minister will head to Damascus Wednesday to meet Syrian officials and look at ways to strengthen economic ties between Syria and Lebanon.


The U.N. Special Coordinator Lebanon called for a national defense strategy that would rein in weapons of armed groups inside the country, in an interview published Wednesday.

OTHER IRANIAN INTERNAL DEVELOPMENTS


Several top managers at Iran's Ministry of Industry, Mine and Trade have been put behind bars as the nation increasingly discovers that rampant corruption is a major cause behind the current economic turmoil. 

RUSSIA & IRAN


In Iran, political infighting over foreign policy has once again been brought to the fore. This time, the clash is over a recent trip to Moscow by Ali Akbar Velayati, the foreign policy adviser to Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei. Those who support the removal of tensions in foreign policy have severely criticized Velayati's trip while their rivals have defended it.

GULF STATES, YEMEN, & IRAN


Yemen's Iran-aligned Houthi movement attacked a Saudi oil tanker in the Red Sea, causing slight damage, Saudi state television quoted the Saudi-led coalition as saying on Wednesday.

IRAQ, TURKEY & IRAN


An Iranian-supported militia group in Iraq has threatened retaliation against the United States if Israel carries out any strikes against Iranian military personnel and assets inside Iraq, Tasnim News Agency, which is affiliated with the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) reported.

AFGHANISTAN & IRAN


Tension between Iran and neighboring Afghanistan over water rights has reached new heights as declining rainfall, prolonged droughts, and mismanagement of water resources have severely affected agricultural production, food security and availability of drinking water in both countries. Tehran has warned of retaliatory actions if Kabul does not allow sufficient water into Iran's water-stressed southeastern region, while Afghan officials accuse Iran's Revolutionary Guards of aiding Taliban militants to sabotage dam projects in southern and western Afghanistan.

OTHER FOREIGN AFFAIRS


Iran and Pakistan have agreed to boost defense ties, enhance cooperation on border security and regional issues, and jointly manufacture military hardware, Iranian and Pakistan media reported.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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