Friday, July 19, 2019

Trump Says U.S. Downs Iranian Drone, Refueling Tensions As Both Nations Dig In



   EYE ON IRAN
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The American military downed an Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz on Thursday in what President Trump called an act of self-defense, just hours after Iran's chief diplomat offered a modest road map for easing tensions with the United States. Officials said the uncrewed, relatively small drone came within 1,000 yards of the Boxer, a United States amphibious assault ship in the strait. It was not known if the drone was armed, but a Pentagon spokesman, Jonathan Hoffman, said that it had "closed within a threatening range" before being shot down over international waters.


Iran on Thursday signaled a willingness to engage in diplomacy to defuse tensions with the United States with a modest offer on its nuclear program that met immediate skepticism in Washington.  Iran's foreign minister told reporters in New York that Iran could immediately ratify a document prescribing more intrusive inspections of its nuclear program if the United States abandoned its economic sanctions, media organizations reported. 


Argentina designated Hezbollah a terrorist organization on Thursday and ordered a freeze on the financial assets of the group, which has been blamed for two terrorist attacks in the country. The move coincided with the 25th anniversary of one of those attacks, the 1994 bombing of a Jewish community center in Buenos Aires, the Argentine capital, which killed 85 people and wounded more than 300 in one of the deadliest anti-Semitic crimes since World War II.

UANI IN THE NEWS


Last month, the U.S. Department of the Treasury sanctioned Iran's biggest petrochemical holding company, Persian Gulf Petrochemical, and reaffirmed its threat to "vigorously enforce" existing sanctions on Iranian petrochemicals exports - which provide the Iranian regime with $13 billion annually. Some U.S. allies haven't gotten the message though because ships carrying products like ethane, methanol and urea continue docking around the world, most recently in Brazil. Iran is exploiting the size and complexity of global sea-trade to sell its petrochemical products. Because ocean trade encompasses a wide spectrum of highly specialized, limited roles that could be interpreted as being excluded from U.S. sanctions, nobody is taking responsibility for stopping the sale of sanctioned cargo.

NUCLEAR DEAL & NUCLEAR PROGRAM


On July 9, French President Emmanuel Macron sent his top diplomatic adviser to Tehran on a mission to ease spiraling tensions between the U.S. and Iran. Having cultivated direct lines to President Trump and Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and spoken to each since Trump ordered and then canceled airstrikes on the Islamic Republic in June, Macron saw the potential for dialogue. For all the chest thumping, he was confident the Iranians didn't want further escalation, according to a person familiar with the French president's thinking.


Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said Thursday that if Congress lifts sanctions against the country, Iran will commit firmly to allowing international inspections of its nuclear program.  Speaking to reporters at the Iranian mission to the United Nations, Zarif said Iran's parliament, or Majlis, would quickly ratify what is known as the Additional Protocol, a part of the Non-Proliferation Treaty that enforces monitoring by the International Atomic Energy Agency.


Iran is determined to "leave all doors open" to save its 2015 nuclear deal with major powers, Iranian state TV quoted President Hassan Rouhani as saying in a telephone call with his French counterpart Emmanuel Macron on Thursday.  "We are determined to leave all doors open to save the nuclear deal ... The Europeans should accelerate their efforts to salvage the pact," Rouhani said.


Germany and the other countries that remain party to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal expect Tehran to uphold its side of the accord, German Foreign Minister Heiko Maas said, describing recent pronouncements by the Iranians as "unacceptable". "Those of us who have remained in this agreement expect from Iran that it fulfills its obligations, we are trying to do this ... and we expect from Iran that it sticks to its commitments too," Maas said on Thursday.


Russian Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov urged Europe on Thursday to be clearer in its position on the Iran nuclear deal that the United States quit last year.  Speaking in Germany at talks with Foreign Minister Heiko Maas, Lavrov also said Russia had growing concerns that the United States was backing away from nuclear arms control treaties.


The Iranian nuclear deal looks all but dead just one year after the President Donald Trump administration walked away from it and reimposed crippling sanctions on the Islamic Republic. As Iran's government starts breaking its agreed uranium enrichment limits, European leaders are floundering to keep it alive. British Foreign Secretary Jeremy Hunt claimed Monday that the Obama-era deal - signed by the U.S., U.K., Iran, Russia, China, France and Germany in 2015 and intended to provide Iran economic relief in exchange for limits on its nuclear program - "isn't dead yet." 

SANCTIONS, BUSINESS RISKS, & OTHER ECONOMIC NEWS


The United States on Thursday imposed sanctions on an international network of companies and their agents it said were involved in the procurement of materials for Iran's nuclear program. They are the first punitive steps by Washington since Tehran announced earlier this month it would increase its levels of enriched uranium that can be used for bomb fuel. 


Two Iranian vessels have been stranded for weeks at Brazilian ports, unable to head back to Iran due to lack of fuel, which state-run oil firm Petrobras refuses to sell them due to sanctions imposed by the United States. The vessels Bavand and Termeh came to Brazil a couple months ago carrying urea, a petrochemical product used as fertilizer. They were expected to load corn and return to Iran, but lacked enough fuel for the trip, the port operator in Paranaguá told Reuters. 

PROTESTS & HUMAN RIGHTS


Iran's judiciary has just confirmed the arrest of Fariba Adelkhah, a French-Iranian anthropologist, in Tehran. Media sources had earlier reported that the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' (IRGC) Intelligence Organization arrested Adelkhah, a researcher at the Paris-based academic institute Sciences Po, at her home on June 7. She has been detained ever since. The accusations against her remain unclear, but her arrest fits an all-too-familiar pattern concerning Iran's targeting of dual nationals.

U.S.-IRAN RELATIONS & NEGOTIATIONS


Immediately after entering the Strait of Hormuz at 7 a.m. local time on Thursday, a group of six U.S. Navy ships had a series of tense encounters with the Iranian military, culminating in the downing of an Iranian drone. The incident came after the group of six ships led by this sea-to-land assault vessel headed into waters where the U.S. and the U.K. have blamed Iran for attacking or harassing commercial vessels. Iran downed an American spy drone over the Persian Gulf last month and, on Thursday, seized a foreign vessel it accused of smuggling.


Iran's foreign minister said on Thursday that he was willing to meet with American senators to discuss possible ways out of the nuclear crisis with the Trump administration and, for the first time, floated an opening bid of modest steps that Tehran would be willing to take in return for simultaneous lifting of sanctions President Trump reimposed last year. The American-educated foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, would not say whether he was planning to meet Senator Rand Paul, Republican of Kentucky, who has proposed himself as a quiet emissary to Iran from the Trump administration.


The Pentagon is sending hundreds of troops to Saudi Arabia as part of a buildup to counter potential threats from Iran and its allies, U.S. officials said, marking a U.S. return to the kingdom after its 2003 withdrawal. U.S. forces will again be stationed at the Prince Sultan Air Base, which had been closed to the American military since the fall of Baghdad following the U.S. invasion of Iraq, officials and experts said.


Iran denied Friday it lost a drone in the Strait of Hormuz after the United States said it had "destroyed" an Iranian drone that was threatening a U.S. ship. "We have not lost any drone in the Strait of Hormuz nor anywhere else. I am worried that USS Boxer has shot down their own UAS (Unmanned Aerial System) by mistake!," Iran's Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said on Twitter. 


The United States said on Thursday that a U.S. Navy ship had "destroyed" an Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz after the aircraft threatened the vessel, but Iran said it had no information about losing a drone.  In the latest episode to stir tensions in the Gulf, U.S. President Donald Trump told an event at the White House that the drone had flown to within 1,000 yards of the USS Boxer and had ignored "multiple calls to stand down." 


Iran must immediately release a vessel it seized in the Gulf and its crew, a U.S. State Department spokesperson said on Thursday. "The United States strongly condemns the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy's continued harassment of vessels and interference with safe passage in and around the Strait of Hormuz," the spokesperson added in an email to Reuters after Iran said it had seized a foreign tanker smuggling fuel in the Gulf.


The United States is not aiming to set up a military coalition against Iran with its new security initiative in the Gulf, but simply "shining a flashlight" in the region to deter attacks on commercial ships, a top Pentagon official told Reuters. Kathryn Wheelbarger, who briefed NATO allies this week on the U.S. proposal, said it was less operational and more geared toward increasing surveillance capabilities. 


At a thumbs-up sign from a sailor, a U.S. Harrier fighter jet takes off from the amphibious assault ship USS Boxer in the Arabian Sea as an oil tanker passes, a nautical mile away. The patrol is "standard" but the situation - growing tension between the United States and Iran - is not.  Soon after the roar of the Harrier fades, two combat helicopters and two unmistakable Osprey aircraft with their tiltable rotors land back on the flight deck. 


Iran's Revolutionary Guards said on Friday they would release images to disprove U.S. President Donald Trump's assertion that the U.S. Navy has destroyed an Iranian drone in the Gulf, Iranian news agencies reported.  "Soon, images captured by the Guards drones from the U.S. warship Boxer will be published to expose to world public opinion as lies and groundless the claim ... of shooting down an Iranian drone over the Strait of Hormuz," the Revolutionary Guards said in a statement carried by news agencies. 


The U.S. is defending its new restrictions on the movements of Iranian diplomats at the United Nations in New York, saying the measures are consistent with U.S. obligations as host of the world body.  In response to a question from VOA Persian, a State Department spokesperson issued a Thursday statement saying the tightened restrictions on Iranian diplomats will be implemented "consistently with our obligations under the U.N. Headquarters Agreement."

U.S. forces downed an Iranian drone that approached a Navy warship in the Middle East on Thursday, stoking fears that the two countries will fall into a military confrontation even as they both seek diplomatic openings with each other.  President Donald Trump said the unmanned aircraft "had closed into a very, very near distance, approximately 1,000 yards" of the U.S.S. Boxer, an amphibious assault ship, in the strategically critical waterway known as the Strait of Hormuz. 


When a U.S. Navy ship downed an Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz Thursday it sent an important message to the mullahs who rule the Islamic Republic: aggression has consequences and America will strike back when provoked.  During the Obama administration, Iran's leaders figured out that President Barack Obama was desperate to secure his place in history by reaching a deal to stop Iran from developing nuclear weapons.

MILITARY/INTELLIGENCE MATTERS & PROXY WARS


The head of Iran's elite Revolutionary Guards warned on Thursday against any aggression targeting his country, the semi-official Tasnim news agency reported.  "Iran has adopted a defensive strategy but if our enemies make any mistakes... our strategy can become an offensive one," said the Guards' commander-in-chief, Hossein Salami.


Last month, the Islamic Republic of Iran made a new appointment in the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Intelligence Organization (IRGC-IO), expanding the scope of its operations abroad focused on the US in order to fight a "total intelligence war."  The IRGC has furthermore signaled the merging of the IRGC Strategic Intelligence Directorate (IRGC-SID) into IRGC-IO as a component of this expanded mission.

IRANIAN INTERNAL DEVELOPMENTS


If there was a currency you wouldn't expect to be strengthening, it would be Iran's. But the truth is that the rial is soaring on the country's parallel market, gaining 8% against the dollar this week alone to extend its advance since early May to 30%. That's according to Bonbast.com, a local website that monitors the currency. The appreciation is borne out by a Bloomberg survey of street traders in Tehran. U.S. President Donald Trump's administration has been toughening up sanctions on the Islamic Republic, all but preventing it from exporting oil, the lifeblood of its economy. 
  
RUSSIA, SYRIA, ISRAEL, HEZBOLLAH, LEBANON & IRAN


The tranquil winding roads of Lebanon's mountainous interior are far from the tense waters of the Persian Gulf where President Donald Trump says America came within 10 minutes of war with Iran a few weeks ago. And where, he said on Thursday, the U.S. shot down an Iranian drone. But if fighting ever does begin, these hills and valleys near the border with Israel will quickly be on the front lines. And according to Hezbollah commanders, that moment could be coming soon.


No conversation about the world's massive political and economic changes since 2015 is complete without mentioning the F-35 Joint Strike Fighter, developed by Lockheed Martin. That became even clearer this week thanks to a somewhat cheeky statement by Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in response to Iran's provocative moves in the Persian Gulf and other threats from Tehran. Standing in front of an F-35 jet parked at an Israeli Air Force base, Netanyahu barely held back a smile as he said that Israel can reach Iran, but Iran cannot reach Israel.

GULF STATES, YEMEN, & IRAN


Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif said Thursday that Saudi Arabia - and not Iran - is to blame for sowing instability in the Middle East, and accused the Trump administration of turning a blind eye to Riyadh's "malign" actions. Speaking to reporters at Iran's United Nations Mission in New York, Zarif also proposed what he called a "substantial" diplomatic offer in which Iran would agree to permanent and enhanced inspections of its nuclear program in return for a permanent lifting of U.S. sanctions.


US Central Command chief Kenneth McKenzie stated on Thursday that evidence points to Iran's connection to attacks against civilians and civilian infrastructure in Saudi Arabia.  The US general was talking to reporters in Riyadh at a joint news conference with General Prince Fahd bin Turki, commander of the Saudi-led Arab coalition fighting the Iran-aligned Houthis in Yemen.

OTHER FOREIGN AFFAIRS    


Gibraltar's Chief Minister Fabian Picardo had a "constructive and positive" meeting with Iranian officials in London about the detained oil tanker Grace 1, Gibraltar said.  "The Chief Minister met yesterday in London with Iranian officials to discuss matters related to the detention of Grace 1 and to seek to de-escalate all aspects of the issues arising," a spokesman said. "The meeting was constructive and positive." 


Gibraltar's supreme court has granted a 30-day extension to allow authorities to detain the Iranian oil tanker Grace 1 until Aug. 15, the Gibraltar Chronicle newspaper said. The paper said Gibraltar's Attorney General, Michael Llamas, had confirmed the decision. No official comment from the Gibraltar government was immediately available. The tanker was seized earlier this month by British Royal Marines off the coast of the British Mediterranean territory on suspicion of violating sanctions against Syria.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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