Wednesday, August 1, 2018

Eye on Iran: Iran Wary of Trump Offer for Talks, But Not Ruling Them Out



   EYE ON IRAN
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TOP STORIES


Iran reacted skeptically Tuesday to President Donald Trump saying that he's willing to negotiate with his Iranian counterpart "anytime," but top officials did not reject a sit-down out of hand. 


Iran's rial rebounded from a series of record lows on Tuesday, after President Donald Trump said he would talk to Iran without preconditions and Iranian officials appeared not to immediately dismiss the idea. 


An English court has cleared the way to consider whether it will allow the families of some of those killed in the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks on the United States to make a claim on Iranian assets in Britain. The relatives want the English High Court to enforce a 2012 decision by a U.S. court which found there was evidence to show that Iran provided "material support and resources to al Qaeda for acts of terrorism."

SANCTIONS, BUSINESS RISKS, & OTHER ECONOMIC NEWS


Iranian lawmakers have given President Hassan Rouhani one month to appear before parliament to answer questions on his government's handling of Iran's economic struggles, state media reported on Wednesday. It is the first time parliament has summoned Rouhani, who is under pressure from hardline rivals to change his cabinet following a deterioration in relations with the United States and Iran's growing economic difficulties.

PROTESTS & HUMAN RIGHTS


On Friday, my sister publicly disowned me on prime-time Iranian television.  I can't say this comes out of nowhere. Over the past two decades - as a journalist critical of the regime, as an outspoken feminist and ultimately a dissident living in exile in America - the Islamic Republic has tried to intimidate me and my family, which still lives in the poor village where I was raised in northern Iran.

U.S.-IRAN RELATIONS


Iranian politicians reacted to Donald Trump's offer of talks with the Islamic regime's leaders with suspicion, believing the US president was attempting to deepen the divide between the people and the state.


The head of Iran's most powerful military body on Tuesday rejected U.S. President Donald Trump's offer of direct talks with Iranian leaders, saying Tehran never would allow talks with what he called the "Great Satan." 


Iran reacted skeptically Tuesday to US President Donald Trump saying that he's willing to negotiate with his Iranian counterpart "anytime," but a former adviser to the country's supreme leader said Tehran should not reject a sit-down out of hand.


U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo supports President Donald Trump's statement that he is willing to sit down for talks with Iranian officials, the State Department said on Tuesday.


Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has discussed conditions that Iran must fulfill before President Donald Trump will meet with the Middle Eastern nation, contradicting the president's earlier statements. 


U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo has no intention of meeting his Iranian counterpart at an international gathering this weekend in Singapore, even as President Donald Trump says he is willing to talk with Tehran about its nuclear weapons development program.


President Donald Trump's offer of dialogue with Tehran belies a hardening of U.S. policy that intensifies economic and diplomatic pressure but so far stops short of using his military to more aggressively counter Iran and its proxies. U.S. officials tell Reuters that the goal of Trump's push is to curb Iranian behavior, which America, its Gulf allies and Israel say has fueled instability in the region through Tehran's support for militant groups... But the U.S. government has not clearly defined its desired end state for its Iran policy or outlined a face-saving path for Iran's rulers that would allow them to deescalate steadily mounting tensions between Washington and Tehran, experts say.


Iran's leaders cannot stand the thought of talking to the United States and say President Trump cannot be trusted. But Jamshid Moniri, a 45-year-old building contractor sweating under the Tehran summer sun, summed up what many ordinary Iranians think. "Of course we should talk to Trump," he said on Tuesday. "What is wrong with talks? We'd be nuts not to talk to him."


Our hope is that the president's comments don't foreshadow another ill-judged attempt at personal diplomacy that ends up saving a vicious regime's well-deserved demise.


Three men walk into a room: a dictator, an autocrat, and an ayatollah. A fourth man asks them each for a meeting. The dictator is desperate, grabs it and bags the benefits. The autocrat smiles and sits smugly through it. The ayatollah doesn't answer. This will be President Trump's conundrum with Iran: whatever he does, Iran will play the long game.


What should we make of President Trump's offer this week to meet with Iran's leaders without preconditions? Five hundred days into the chaotic Trump presidency, not much... He is the first president in American history who cannot define the national interest untethered to his own personal vanity, political needs and obsession to dominate every story. This isn't foreign policy; it's a soap opera. Indeed, without a broader policy toward Iran, which this administration does not have, there is far less going on here than meets the eye.


The fact that Trump is even considering the prospect of a meeting with Iranian officials given [his previous diplomatic] embarrassments suggests that serious people should take him literally. Trump's willingness to make concessions to rogue states, whether he views them as concessions or not, is a real threat to U.S. interests. The sooner that Trump is disabused of the notion that he is a competent negotiator, the sooner we can lessen the risks associated with his proclivity for fraught diplomatic endeavors.

RUSSIA, SYRIA, ISRAEL, HEZBOLLAH, LEBANON & IRAN


Senior United States government officials told Israel Tuesday that there is no change in U.S. policy on Iran, despite recent statements from American President Donald Trump on his willingness to meet with Iran.


Israel will be participating in Russia's International Army Games for the second year in a row, sending delegations to the games, which will also see the participation of teams from Iran and Syria. 


Last week, Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu praised Donald Trump for an all-caps tweet in which the US president threatened his Iranian counterpart with "consequences the likes of which few throughout history have ever suffered before" if he ever dared to threaten America again. "Over the years this regime has been spoiled by the major powers, and it is good to see that the US is changing this unacceptable equation," Netanyahu gushed.


While the Russians work to reposition the Syrian regime as guarantor of Israel's security and Syria's state media celebrate the final acts of what they have long called a "global conspiracy" against Syria, Bashar al-Assad still has much to worry about: His survival was made possible by the support of Russia and Iran, two countries with agendas and calculations beyond Syria's borders... As such, Assad is eager to demonstrate his usefulness to both of his patrons. He will continue to cast himself as one of the pillars of Iran and Hezbollah's so-called axis of resistance against Israel and the United States, especially as tensions ratchet up between Tehran and Washington over a range of issues, including the nuclear deal, Iran's role in the region, and sanctions.

IRANIAN INTERNAL DEVELOPMENTS


Iran's parliament announced Wednesday it would hold a special session to question President Hassan Rouhani about the plummeting currency and struggling economy.

GULF STATES, YEMEN, & IRAN


Yemen's Houthi rebels are still arming themselves with ballistic missiles and drones that "show characteristics similar" to Iranian-made weapons, a report by a U.N. panel of experts has found. 


U.N. experts say Iran might be willing to play "a constructive role" in ending the war in Yemen, though adding in a new report that Tehran still appears to be arming Yemen's Houthi Shiite rebels with ballistic missiles and drones.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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