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AFP:
"Down-to-the-wire talks in Vienna this week will decide whether the
United States can reach a landmark nuclear deal with Iran, but a fierce
lobbying battle in Washington may decide if it survives. For the last two
years, those for and against an agreement to curb Iran's nuclear program
have traded newspaper opinion pieces, rolled out dueling advocacy
campaigns and lobbied 'influencers' on the think tank circuit. But, days
before the June 30 negotiating deadline, the White House's political
allies and its foes are significantly dialing up efforts to sell or sink
the deal. United Against Nuclear Iran -- led by former president George
W. Bush's ambassador to the United Nations, Mark Wallace -- announced
Tuesday it will plough vast resources into influencing the debate. 'We
announced a national advocacy campaign with national television ads,
print, multi-tiered social media and digital,' Wallace told AFP. 'We have
a multi-million-dollar budget and we are in it for the long haul. Money
continues to pour in.' ... Gary Samore, who for four years was Obama's
principal advisor on arms control, believes the United States and its
five negotiating allies should insist on tougher terms. He has joined
United Against Nuclear Iran in demanding unbridled international access to
military facilities, interviews with Iranian nuclear scientists and other
concessions that Tehran is highly unlikely to accept. 'I think P5+1
should insist that Iran meet our demands on the remaining issues to
ensure an acceptable deal,' he told AFP." http://t.uani.com/1QTDXba
NYT:
"The State Department issued a dismal assessment of Iran's record on
human rights on Thursday, hours before Secretary of State John Kerry was
to leave for Vienna to try to conclude a nuclear accord with Tehran. The
annual assessment, part of a broad overview of human rights practices
around the world, said that the Iranian authorities had stifled dissent
and engaged in 'unlawful killings.' 'The government arrested students,
journalists, lawyers, political activists, women's activists, artists and
members of religious minorities, many with crimes such as 'propaganda
against the system,' ' the report said. It added, 'The government and its
agents reportedly committed arbitrary or unlawful killings, including,
most commonly, by execution after arrest without due process.' This is
the second time in two weeks that the State Department has asserted that
Iran's policies do not appear to have substantially changed since Hassan
Rouhani was elected president in 2013. Last week, the State Department
said that Iran was still involved in 'terrorist-related' activities, and
that it was providing broad military support to President Bashar al-Assad
of Syria... Tom Malinowski, the assistant secretary of state for human
rights, said there had been no discernible progress on Iran's record on
human rights since Mr. Rouhani became president. 'I can't say that we
have seen any meaningful improvement in the human rights situation in
Iran,' he said at a news briefing." http://t.uani.com/1GxbIoD
AFP:
"Iran warned Friday that 'some major problems' need to be resolved
before a historic nuclear deal can be agreed, as US Secretary of State
John Kerry prepared to fly to Vienna for crunch weekend talks. The United
States, admitting for the first time that Tuesday's deadline may be
missed by a few days, had said Thursday that 'tough political decisions'
still have to be made and that 'some of the trickiest issues' remain
under discussion. With Kerry due late Friday and other ministers from
Iran and major powers expected this weekend, Iran's lead negotiator said:
'Some major problems exist which are still blocking the work.' Abbas
Araghchi, who is deputy foreign minister, told state television however
that 'in other areas we have made good progress... Overall, the work is
moving ahead slowly and with difficulty'... On Thursday a senior US
official said that the key unresolved points in what will be a highly
complex accord included the timing and pace of sanctions relief and
details about access and transparency for UN inspectors. 'These
negotiations have been extremely tough,' the official said. 'It is like
(the game) whack-a-mole. Another issue may pop back up because you've
changed the balance of the deal because of any decision.'" http://t.uani.com/1HjXDAx
Nuclear Program & Negotiations
AFP:
"High-stakes talks to nail down a historic deal with Iran to curtail
its nuclear programme may 'slip' past a June 30 deadline, a top US
official admitted Thursday ahead of crunch weekend negotiations in
Vienna. 'We may not make June 30, but we will be close,' the senior
official told reporters as top US diplomat John Kerry prepared to head
Friday for what could be the last talks between Iran and global powers on
the deal. The official said the target date to finalise the historic deal
-- the main outlines were agreed in April in Lausanne, Switzerland --
would only 'slip' by a few days. 'The intent of everybody here -- the
P5+1, the European Union, Iran -- is to stay until we get this done, or
find out we can't. And our intent is to get it done,' the official told
reporters, asking not to be named... 'We can truly see a path forward
that gets us to a very good agreement here. We know what the pieces of it
are,' the US official said, adding that in the end, Iran was facing
'critical choices.'" http://t.uani.com/1RCMJ8G
CNN:
"The U.S. expects that the text of any potential deal with Iran,
including detailed technical annexes, will be made public but not be
signed by the negotiating parties, a senior administration official told
reporters Thursday. The official, who briefed reporters on the eve of
Secretary of State John Kerry's travel to Vienna for a final round of
negotiations, said this sort of agreement is not typically signed. But
that could open the door to critics who say the arrangement gives Iran an
opportunity to violate it... The senior administration official
acknowledged Thursday that the June 30 deadline might slip but said that
if the deal comes together, it will be 'close' to the official deadline.
'We didn't make March 30, and we may not make June 30,' the official
noted. But the official added that, as with the March deadline set for a
preliminary deal, the parties don't expect the talks to go past the
deadline by more than a few days... The official told reporters that the
U.S. does require that Iran give the UN's nuclear watchdog, the
International Atomic Energy Agency, the access it needs to verify Iran's
compliance with a deal and address concerns about previous nuclear work.
However, the official said that the U.S. is not looking for a 'confession'
from Iran on its past nuclear activities, because 'we already made our
national judgment.'" http://t.uani.com/1IhGKW4
AP:
"The foreign ministers of Iran, the United States and France are
joining Iran nuclear talks, as they try to overcome disputes ahead of a
June 30 target date for a deal. Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad
Zarif and French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius are expected to arrive
in Vienna on Saturday. U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry is due to
arrive just before midnight Friday according to their travel schedules.
Foreign ministers from Russia, China, Britain and Germany have not
formally announced dates of arrival. But they are also expected to join
over the next few days to try and bridge stubborn differences on the
limits Tehran must accept on its nuclear program in exchange for the
lifting of economic sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1CvNA40
Reuters:
"As talks on an Iran nuclear deal enter the final stretch, U.S.
lawmakers are sharpening warnings against a 'weak' agreement and laying
down red lines that, if crossed, could prompt Congress to trip up a
carefully crafted international pact. Several influential lawmakers said
they do not want to see any sanctions lifted before Tehran begins
complying with a deal, and want a tough verification regime, in which
inspectors could visit Iranian facilities anytime and anywhere. They also
want Tehran to reveal past military dimensions of its nuclear program,
particularly after Secretary of State John Kerry seemed to soften the
U.S. stance last week, by saying Iran would not be pressed on this point.
'I have become more and more concerned with the direction of these
negotiations and the potential red lines that may be crossed,' said
Senator Bob Corker, the Republican chairman of the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee... The Congressional demands for a watertight deal
put U.S. negotiators under additional pressure not to give Iran much
leeway. Virginia Senator Tim Kaine, a Democrat, said a deal would be a
'non-starter' for him if, for example, Iran refused to allow inspections
on military bases. 'The two biggest issues for people will be the
intrusive nature of the inspections and how comprehensive they are, and
the timing of sanctions relief,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1NeDcTV
AFP:
"Saudi Arabia is pursuing its own nuclear projects and building
alliances to counter Iran, which is days away from a potential atomic
deal Riyadh fears could further destabilise the region... On Wednesday,
France and Saudi Arabia announced a feasibility study for building two
nuclear reactors in the kingdom. Like its neighbour the United Arab
Emirates, Saudi Arabia wants to diversify its energy sources and has
plans for 16 reactors. The Paris pact is the third nuclear accord Riyadh
has signed this year. Last week, it reached a deal with Russia on
economic, technical and scientific ties for the peaceful use of atomic
energy. In March, the kingdom signed a preliminary deal for nuclear
cooperation with South Korea. 'Saudi Arabia is going big with its nuclear
project,' said Jamal Khashoggi, a veteran journalist and an analyst who
is linked to the royal family. 'Of course officially it is a peaceful
project', but the nuclear know-how could also be used to develop weapons,
he said." http://t.uani.com/1HjX35S
Politico:
"When Secretary of State John Kerry arrives in Vienna for a final
push toward a nuclear deal with Iran, a key Iranian negotiator will be
missing from the talks for health reasons - a potential setback for the
already-delicate negotiations, U.S. officials and experts said. The
health-related absence of Ali Akbar Salehi, chief of Iran's Atomic Energy
Organization, is just the latest in a series of medical mishaps for the
main players in the nuclear talks. Kerry himself is on crutches as he
recovers from breaking his leg in a cycling accident last month, and two
other top negotiators, including Kerry's top counterpart, have suffered
injuries or health scares in recent months." http://t.uani.com/1Cyxd6I
Congressional
Action
The Hill:
"Sens. Mark Kirk (R-Ill.) and Robert Menendez (D-N.J.) are pushing a
10-year extension for an Iran sanctions bill days ahead of a deadline to
finalize a long-term deal on the country's nuclear program. The two
senators, who have been at the forefront of a push to increase sanctions
against the Iranian government, want to extend the Iran Sanctions Act,
currently set to expire at the end of next year, through 2026...
Thursday's legislation is the second time the senators have pushed the
measure. They also tried to get it in the National Defense Authorization
Act... Menendez suggested the administration should back the legislation
if it is serious about its pledge to snap back sanctions if Iran violates
a final deal. 'If a deal is reached with Iran, it is critical that should
Iran violate the terms of an agreement, severe penalties will follow and
a forceful snapback of sanctions will occur,' the New Jersey Democrat
said. 'It stands to reason that if negotiators are serious about
snapback, then they should support the immediate extension of the Iran
Sanctions Act to ensure there is no question for Iran about the
consequences of non-compliance.' Kirk added the administration must
support the legislation if it 'is serious about maintaining terrorism
sanctions against Iran no matter what.'" http://t.uani.com/1BS3Am3
Sanctions
Relief
Reuters:
"Russia's top natural gas producer, Gazprom, may take part in
liquefied natural gas projects in Iran once sanctions against Tehran are
lifted, Gazprom's deputy Chief Executive Officer Alexander Medvedev said
on Friday. 'Gazprom does not rule out its participation in these projects
under certain conditions,' Medvedev told reporters. 'The sanctions should
be lifted first.' Russia has stepped up efforts to strengthen ties with
Iran and announced an oil-for-goods program in which the Islamic Republic
would export up to 500,000 barrels of oil per day to Russia in exchange
for goods, including grain." http://t.uani.com/1NlH1rd
Cyberwarfare
WashPost:
"The purported theft of confidential Saudi documents that have been
released by WikiLeaks bears the hallmarks of Iranian hackers linked to
cyberattacks in more than a dozen countries, including the United States,
according to cybersecurity experts and Middle East analysts. Last week,
WikiLeaks published about 70,000 of what it said were half a million
documents obtained from Saudi Arabia's Foreign Ministry. The transparency
advocacy group promises more releases of the diplomatic cables, whose
authenticity has not been independently verified. Experts said that the
cables, apparently stolen over the past year, paint an unflattering
portrait of Saudi diplomacy as reliant on oil-wealth patronage and
obsessed with Iran, the kingdom's chief rival, but appeared to contain no
shocking revelations. More intriguing, they said, are signs of Iran's
involvement in the breach, suggesting a growing resort to - and
proficiency in - cyberwarfare in that country's long-running
confrontation with Saudi Arabia and the West." http://t.uani.com/1LzEsnb
Human Rights
NYT:
"Jason Rezaian, the Washington Post reporter incarcerated in Iran
for nearly a year, is finding prison life 'ever more difficult' and has
only recently become aware of the global support for him, including a
plea for his release from Muhammad Ali, Mr. Rezaian's mother, Mary, said
on Thursday. In a telephone interview, she also said that Mr. Rezaian, a
California native with dual citizenship whom the Iranian authorities have
charged with espionage and other crimes, had asked that she come to
Tehran for the summer, an indication that he expects his legal battle to
be extended for some time. Mr. Rezaian, 39, has declared his innocence,
and his supporters have called the case a political farce." http://t.uani.com/1FEZNDk
Opinion &
Analysis
WSJ Editorial:
"Doubts about President Obama's Iran diplomacy are deepening, and
some of the gravest misgivings are coming from his former top officials.
That's the import of a statement Wednesday from a bipartisan group under
the auspices of the Washington Institute for Near East Policy. In measured
language, the statement offers a list of musts for a good nuclear deal.
They include granting nuclear inspectors access to all Iranian sites,
including military ones; lifting sanctions only after Iran meets its
nuclear obligations; requiring Tehran to come clean on its past nuclear
work; and limiting the number of advanced centrifuges Iran can test and
deploy. From what we know so far, Iran has balked on all of these points.
The signers include James Cartwright, former Vice Chairman of the Joint
Chiefs of Staff, who became known as 'Obama's General.' Another is former
CIA Director David Petraeus. Then there is Dennis Ross, Mr. Obama's Iran
czar in his first term; Gary Samore, previously Mr. Obama's arms-control
coordinator; James Jeffrey, formerly Mr. Obama's ambassador in Baghdad;
and Howard Berman, the last Democrat to chair the House Foreign Relations
Committee. Some Republicans are also on the list, but a neoconservative
cabal this is not. President Obama and his aides often dismiss opponents
of his nuclear diplomacy as always preferring war over diplomacy. But the
striking fact is how widespread the concerns are as the White House
appears to make ever more concessions." http://t.uani.com/1dkYbbs
FT Editorial:
"Four days from now, Iran and a group of leading world powers will
reach the much-awaited deadline for a deal to contain Tehran's nuclear
programme. All the signs are that, after 12 years of often fraught
negotiation, the final hours will be the most challenging... At this late
stage, both sides need to keep their eyes on the prize. For Mr Obama, a
deal would mark his biggest foreign policy success, potentially ending
nearly four decades of estranged relations between both nations. For the
Iranian people, it would mark the beginning of the end of an
international sanctions regime that has scarred their daily lives. But
whatever the political upside, a deal needs to be technically robust. It
will only deserve to endure if it truly stops Iran moving towards a bomb
for at least another decade... The US must stand its ground on the need
for robust UN inspection and verification of Iran's nuclear programme
once it is frozen. Having seen a number of its scientists assassinated in
recent years, Iran may be nervous about allowing foreigners inside its atomic
sites. But the principle of 'trust and verify' is no less vital to this
nuclear agreement than it was to the Gorbachev-Reagan arms control pacts
of the 1980s... A pact of this magnitude will involve all sides in
painful compromises. But ultimately, the fate of this negotiation lies in
the hands of Iran's supreme leader. The time has come for him to decide
whether to sign - or whether he and his regime can live with the
consequences should Mr Obama walk away." http://t.uani.com/1TRCmlg
David Ignatius in WashPost:
"Iran enters the endgame of the nuclear talks with what amount to
two negotiating positions - the parameters reportedly endorsed in April
in Lausanne, Switzerland, by Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif, and
another set of 'red lines' drawn this week by Supreme Leader Ayatollah
Ali Khamenei. The two positions are significantly different. The first
version offers a workable basis for agreement. The second is fatally
flawed... What the United States can't do is accede to Khamenei's red
lines. They contradict several key items in the package tentatively
reached April 2, involving the inspection of military facilities and the
timing of the lifting of sanctions. No deal would be a better outcome
than the severely weakened framework demanded by Khamenei. Ambiguity and
face-saving are part of any successful negotiation, to be sure. And
dueling texts were part of the Lausanne resolution. Zarif publicly
supported a 'joint statement' that was vague on details. Kerry separately
issued a fact sheet, with the detailed parameters that U.S. officials
said had been agreed to privately. But it wasn't a signed deal...
Khamenei set his parameters in a speech on Tuesday. The 'inspection of
our military sites is out of the question,' he insisted, where Zarif had
told me April 29 onstage at New York University that such investigation
of 'undeclared facilities' was encompassed by Iran's acceptance of the
IAEA's 'additional protocol.' Khamenei also rejected IAEA verification of
its compliance, contradicting Zarif's declaration in Lausanne that
sanctions would be lifted 'simultaneously with the IAEA-verified
implementation by Iran of its key nuclear commitments.' Was Khamenei
playing a political game - talking tough even as Zarif prepared to ratify
concessions? That's what some U.S. experts are hoping. But they should
read the fine print at the bottom of Khamenei's statement. Any
'propaganda' suggesting that 'some red lines [announced by the supreme
leader] are agreed in private meetings to be crossed is totally wrong and
a lie,' it said... Russia, China and other major powers have joined the
United States in demanding that Iran accept verifiable limits to ensure
that its nuclear program is civilian-only. Khamenei has fuzzed this
commitment at the very moment it needs to become sharper. Perhaps that's
a last-minute Iranian bargaining tactic; if so, it's a foolish one. But
let's assume that Khamenei is serious. He truly doesn't want an agreement
that will bind Iran's nuclear program for at least 10 years. If so, the
right answer is: Come back when you're ready to make a serious
deal." http://t.uani.com/1KfKurh
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