Thursday, April 26, 2018

Eye on Iran: Macron Expects Trump Will Decide against Staying in Iran Nuclear Deal



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French President Emmanuel Macron said on Wednesday that he would expect U.S. President Donald Trump to pull the United States out of the Iran nuclear deal based on his past statements while stressing he does not know what Trump will decide on May 12.


French President Emmanuel Macron called on the United States on Wednesday not to abandon the Iran nuclear deal as Western envoys said Britain, France and Germany were nearing a package that seeks to persuade U.S. President Donald Trump to save the pact.


Iran has arrested a British-Iranian dual citizen who traveled to Tehran from London on an invitation to speak at an academic workshop, according to friends of his family and human-rights organizations. The arrest of Abbas Edalat, a professor of computer science and mathematics at Imperial College in London, comes at a time of particularly tense relations between Iran and the West over the fate of the nuclear deal.
  
NUCLEAR DEAL
  

The European Union's foreign policy chief said Wednesday that Europe would stick to the existing Iran deal, apparently distancing herself from a French proposal for a new agreement to address the concerns of the Trump administration.


The United States is not seeking to reopen or renegotiate the Iran nuclear deal but hopes to stay in it to fix its flaws with a supplementary agreement, U.S. non-proliferation envoy Christopher Ford said on Wednesday..


A top U.S. foreign policy official says the Trump administration seeks to add to the nuclear deal with Iran, rather than eliminate it. Brian Hook, the State Department's policy planning director, tells NPR the goal is now a "supplemental agreement" that imposes new restrictions on Iran and "would address a lot of the problems that we have with the existing deal."


The debate over the Iranian nuclear deal has so far largely neglected a factor that potentially gives the United States leverage: the deteriorating economic and political situation in Iran.


French President Emmanuel Macron's trip to Washington is just the public face of what's been an intensive effort by European leaders to rescue the nuclear deal with Iran from U.S. President Donald Trump. Fully focused on the Trump threat, they may be missing another one emerging in Tehran. Macron's invocation of a new, more comprehensive accord won't count for much without some kind of signoff from Iran -- which is starting to lose faith in the existing version.


The Iran nuclear deal may have more time than you think.


Iran's President Hassan Rouhani yesterday rejected any hopes of rewriting a nuclear deal with world powers, after the leaders of the United States and France called for a new pact covering Tehran's missile programme and regional interventions.


French President Emmanuel Macron is in Washington this week on a charm offensive with a mission: to convince his counterpart Donald Trump to keep the Iran nuclear deal intact. But while the two leaders have developed what appears to be an affable friendship, analysts said this is unlikely to save the 2015 agreement, officially known as the JCPOA, which was signed by six world powers and Iran to lift international sanctions on the latter in exchange for restrictions on its nuclear program.

U.S.-IRAN RELATIONS


Iran's supreme leader called on Muslim nations to unite against the United States, saying Tehran would never yield to "bullying," state television reported on Thursday.  


Oliver Stone, making his first-ever visit to Iran, says the United States is a global "outlaw" that has made a mess of the Middle East. 

ECONOMIC NEWS


There is growing consensus in the oil market that Mr. Trump will pull out of the deal, triggering a reimposition of economic sanctions that would frustrate the Islamic Republic's oil output and limit global supply. Such sentiment pushed Brent crude above $75 a barrel for a time yesterday for the first time in over three years. However, Mr. Trump, meeting with French President Emmanuel Macron at the White House Tuesday, also signaled interest in an unspecified new deal to rein in Tehran. Those comments sent prices tumbling, with Brent closing down 1.14%.

SANCTIONS


The Justice Department is investigating whether Huawei Technologies Co. violated U.S. sanctions related to Iran, according to people familiar with the matter, a move that opens a new avenue of scrutiny of the Chinese cellular-electronics giant on national security grounds.

IRANIAN INTERNAL DEVELOPMENTS


A mummy discovered near the Iranian capital "most probably" belongs to the father of the last Shah of Iran, his family has said.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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