Wednesday, May 2, 2018

Eye on Iran: Iran Works to Keep Europe on Board Amid Uncertainty over Nuclear Deal



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Iran is trying to keep Europe on its side as questions mount about the future of its nuclear deal with Western powers and suspected Israeli airstrikes on its bases in Syria.


Israel said on Tuesday it does not seek war with Iran and suggested U.S. President Donald Trump backed Israel's latest attempt to kill the 2015 Iran nuclear deal by disclosing purported evidence of past Iranian nuclear arms work.


A senior Iranian official said Tuesday the Islamic Republic will respond "at the appropriate time and place" to a purported Israeli missile strike that killed several Iranian troops in Syria.

UANI IN THE NEWS


Lieberman: To me, it looked like a very significant intelligence coup by the Israeli intelligence community. And I was struck that our new Secretary of State Mike Pompeo said that he had seen some of the intelligence when he was in Israel and he thought it was real.


Here we are again, being asked to disappear from view before a May 12th election in Iraq. The move to shut down ground operations command in Iraq ahead of an election is more than symbolic. It means something to the Iraqis, more to the Iranians, and a great deal to the U.S. because it will result in a loss of situational awareness. Our eyes and ears on the ground will now be behind high walls and could lead to security backslide in areas cleared of ISIS.


In its coverage of the Syrian civil war, the media has ignored a key factor that fuels the ongoing tragedy. We know a lot about the war crimes committed by the Syrian regime of Bashar Assad, and we also know that Iran and Russia are the key enablers of the Assad regime. However, few analysts have bothered to ask: who has been enabling the enablers? The answer contains the dirty secret of Syria.

NUCLEAR DEAL & NUCLEAR PROGRAM
  

French President Emmanuel Macron on Wednesday said he did not know whether U.S. President Donald Trump would stick to the 2015 Iran nuclear deal that many in the West see as the best hope of preventing Tehran from getting a nuclear bomb.


China's foreign ministry on Wednesday reiterated that all sides should continue to uphold the Iran nuclear agreement, and that the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) has said many times Iran is in compliance with the deal.


Agents of Israel's spy agency Mossad smuggled hundreds of kilograms of paper and digital files on Iran's clandestine nuclear weapons program out of the Islamic Republic with Iranian agents "on their tails," Hadashot television news reported Tuesday night, based on briefings by Israeli officials.


Iran's fragile economic recovery is in jeopardy with President Donald Trump widely expected to scrap an internationally-brokered nuclear deal and re-impose sanctions against the regime. 


Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice said Tuesday that while she would prefer the United States remained part of the Iran nuclear deal, it won't be "the end of the world" if President Trump decides to pull out.


A trove of documents unveiled by Israel's Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at a televised press conference yesterday appears to add little to what was already known about Iran's former covert nuclear weapons program. But Tehran's leaders have at least two reasons to want to deny their authenticity.


Iran's government will need to accelerate economic reforms, including plans to overhaul its banking system, should President Donald Trump decide to quit the 2015 nuclear accord with the Islamic Republic, according to a senior International Monetary Fund official.


Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu revealed a treasure trove of secrets on Monday about Iran's hidden nuclear activities. But it would be a waste of this extraordinary intelligence to use it as a pretext for American withdrawal from the Iran nuclear deal. Much better to use it as a pressure tool to squeeze Tehran.


Tehran's mendacity harbors practical implications for enforcement of the 2015 nuclear deal. By refusing to come clean on its past nuclear work, the clerical regime prevents nuclear inspectors from establishing a baseline for verification, potentially enabling Tehran to conceal illicit nuclear activities. At the very least, Iran's caginess suggests that it retains the ability and intent to resume its nuclear program at a time of its choosing. 


[I]f the president pulls America from the deal and simply lists its flaws, even longtime critics of the accord (myself included) should withhold their applause... [W]ithdrawing from the agreement is an act, not a strategy. And an Iran strategy is what we need.


Monday's news is that Iran didn't honor its end of the bargain and neither need the United States now. Punitive sanctions combined with a credible threat of military force should follow.


Many articles will dissect Iran's diplomatic duplicity. Some pundits may even examine a religious angle, arguing that Iranians can justify telling lies for a higher purpose. Its opponents will call for tossing out the JCPOA; others will urge its repair. Few will attempt to scrutinize the technical details that formed the basis of Netanyahu's case. That's a pity; it's challenging to comprehend, but not impossible. What Netanyahu revealed suggests that Iran was much closer to a deliverable nuclear weapon than many experts - even those, including me, who previously were skeptical of its denials - may have imagined before the JCPOA was signed.

SYRIA, ISRAEL & IRAN


An Israeli airstrike on the western Syrian city of Hama on Sunday killed two dozen Iranian soldiers and targeted arms recently delivered from Iran, said three U.S. officials, and is the latest sign that Israel and Iran are moving closer to open warfare.


Isolated in the barren sands of central Syria and measuring five miles across in some areas is the country's largest airbase... Today, the base is the focus of an emerging, potentially catastrophic war, fought not between the Syrian regime and its domestic foes, but two of the region's most formidable enemies: Israel and Iran. T-4 is where Iran has established a military foothold in its Arab ally. 

ECONOMIC NEWS


Iran's crude exporters had a banner April, with shipments soaring to a record right before the possible re-imposition of U.S. sanctions on their oil sales.


Iran is ready to participate in a gas swap between Pakistan and Turkmenistan, but a long-planned pipeline to transport gas from Turkmenistan to India is unlikely to become operational, Iran's semi-official Fars news agency reported on Monday.

HUMAN RIGHTS


Hundreds of Iranians have defied a ban on protests to mark International Labor Day, with police detaining at least six people. 

FOREIGN AFFAIRS


Morocco will sever diplomatic ties with Iran over Tehran's support for the Polisario Front, a Western Sahara independence movement, the Moroccan foreign minister said on Tuesday.


The prominent NGO Stop the Bomb slammed German President Frank-Walter Steinmeier for welcoming a delegation of Iranian regime-affiliated extremists to the Bellevue Palace in Berlin on Monday.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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