Monday, May 14, 2018

Eye on Iran: U.S. Ready to Impose Sanctions on European Companies in Iran, Bolton Says



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TOP STORIES


National security adviser John Bolton warned Sunday that the U.S. is prepared to impose sanctions on European companies if their governments don't heed President Donald Trump's demand to stop dealing with Iran.


Germany wants to help its companies continue doing business in Iran after the U.S. decision to reimpose sanctions against Tehran, but it could be difficult to shield them from any fallout, Foreign Minister Heiko Maas said on Sunday.


President Hassan Rouhani said on Sunday that Iran would remain committed to the 2015 nuclear deal if its interests were protected, while his foreign minister hoped the pact could be redesigned without Washington as a member.

UANI IN THE NEWS


Former senator says he always knew moving the U.S. embassy would not lead to riots in the Arab world, and that reimposition of sanctions will put more economic pressure on Tehran... Lieberman chairs a group called United Against Nuclear Iran, an advocacy group founded in 2008 by Dennis Ross and the late Richard Holbrooke, whose goal, according to its website, is to "ensure the economic and diplomatic isolation of the Iranian regime in order to compel Iran to abandon its illegal nuclear weapons program, support for terrorism and human rights violations." The group campaigned "very strongly" against the original agreement signed in 2015, Lieberman says, since "there was no indication this agreement would change Iranian behavior and human rights behavior."


Lieberman, who today is the chairman of a bipartisan advocacy group called United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI), said that from his perspective it seemed "weak for the US - because of political fears - to single out Israel, our close ally, as the one country in the world where we didn't have our embassy in the city designated by the country as its capital."


I don't know if U.S. President Donald Trump is a fan of the Pottery Barn rule of "you break it, you bought it." But it now applies to his policy toward Iran.
  
NUCLEAR DEAL & NUCLEAR PROGRAM


President Trump held up Iran's large military budget on Saturday as evidence that Tehran's commitment to a deal curbing its nuclear pursuits "was all a big lie." 


Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif has expressed hope for a "clear future design" for the 2015 nuclear accord at the start of a diplomatic tour aimed at keeping the deal alive following the U.S. withdrawal.
  

With Chancellor Angela Merkel warning that faith in the international order is at stake, Germany, France and the U.K. are embarking on a diplomatic mission to salvage what they can of the accord, both to keep Iran on side and to shield European companies from U.S. sanctions that threaten billions of dollars of investment.


France urged Europeans to stand up to U.S. President Donald Trump over the Iran nuclear deal and not act as "vassals," as the region scrambles to save the 2015 accord and billions of dollars in trade.


As Iran threatens to restart its nuclear program, the U.N.'s top nuclear inspector is calling it quits. The International Atomic Energy Agency didn't give a reason for Tero Varjoranta's exit. 


Iran is being "extremely cautious" following President Donald Trump's decision to pull out of the 2015 nuclear deal, former Israeli Prime Minister Ehud Barak told CNBC on Friday. With two newly installed hardliners - Secretary of State Mike Pompeo and National Security Advisor John Bolton - driving Trump's foreign policy, Iran worries that the United States may be looking for an excuse to strike militarily, Barak said on "Squawk Box."


A continued military buildup, with massive investments in ballistic missile technology capable of carrying nuclear weapons by Iran should have been enough to jettison the "Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA)" negotiated by Obama... President Trump should be applauded for finally declaring the JCPOA what it should have been called in the first place: DOA.

SANCTIONS, BUSINESS RISKS, & OTHER ECONOMIC NEWS


European nations are moving to protect their companies from a resumption of stiff U.S. sanctions on firms doing business in Iran, in a critical part of their bid to keep the Iranian nuclear deal alive and ensure it continues to benefit Iran's economy.


The Trump administration's decision last week to pull out of the nuclear deal with Iran will create an economic policy challenge for the U.S.: How does it enforce sanctions that the rest of the world no longer backs?


Italian oil and gas giant ENI may not have any investments in Iran, but its CEO Claudio Descalzi sees disruption ahead for oil markets thanks to the reimposition of U.S. sanctions on OPEC's third-largest oil producer.


Boeing's top executive in the Middle East said the company's conservative strategy will protect it from any loss of business with Iran. Boeing is playing down an estimated loss of $20 billion of sales to Iranian airlines after the U.S. moved to withdraw from a nuclear pact and re-impose sanctions on Tehran. Treasury Secretary Steve Mnuchin announced Wednesday that Boeing licenses to sell aircraft to Iran would be revoked following President Donald Trump's decision.


As the federal government takes steps to re-impose economic sanctions on Iran for allegedly cheating on the 2015 deal that temporarily halted its development of a nuclear weapon, officials in the Hoosier State won't be required to do the same. That's because Indiana never lifted its Iran sanctions.


President Donald Trump's decision to tear up the Iran nuclear deal and reimpose sanctions on buyers of its oil will have a big impact on Iran's crude exports, but don't expect it to imperil the output deal among OPEC and its friends.


Oil held losses below $71 as OPEC signaled it could fill in any supply gap if renewed U.S. sanctions curtail supply from Iran, the group's third-largest producer.

U.S.-IRAN RELATIONS


White House national security adviser John Bolton, who has in the past suggested the U.S. government should push for a change in government in Iran, said on Sunday that is not the Trump administration's current policy. "That's not the policy of the administration. The policy of the administration is to make sure that Iran never gets close to deliverable nuclear weapons," Bolton said on the ABC program "This Week."


The time is ripe for a U.S. approach based on pushing Iranian domestic politics into crisis.

SYRIA, RUSSIA, ISRAEL & IRAN


The fate of a remote U.S. military base in southern Syria captures the contradictions at the heart of President Trump's Iran policy. The tiny outpost at Tanf, surrounded by vast desert, was established during the battle against the Islamic State. But its purpose changed last year when Iranian-backed forces began bearing down on the isolated garrison.


The Kremlin's military alliance with Tehran in Syria is showing cracks after fierce Israeli strikes against Iranian forces, testing the limits of the relationship.


New satellite images of Damascus International Airport near the Syrian capital showed extensive damage following Israeli airstrikes against Iranian targets earlier in the week.


A prominent Iranian cleric on Friday threatened two Israeli cities with destruction if the Jewish state "acts foolishly" and attacks its interests again, while thousands of protesters demonstrated against President Donald Trump's withdrawal from the Iranian nuclear deal with world powers.


Iran denounced President Donald Trump as "feeble-minded" over Monday's controversial move of the US embassy to Jerusalem, calling for resistance from the Palestinians and the international community.

CHINA & IRAN


While the United States is now urging foreign companies to wind down their operations in Iran, China appears to be doing the opposite. Thursday's launch of a freight train connection was only the latest measure that Beijing has taken to intensify trade relations with Iran, and there seem to be no plans so far to give in to U.S. demands.

GULF STATES, YEMEN, & IRAN


The Trump administration has called on Qatar to stop funding pro-Iranian militias following revelations about the Gulf state's dealings with terror groups in the Middle East. 

IRAQ & IRAN


The political coalition of influential Shiite cleric Muqtada al-Sadr took an early lead in Iraq's national elections in partial returns announced late Sunday by the Iraqi electoral commission. An alliance of candidates linked to Iraq's powerful Shiite paramilitary groups was in second.

CYBERWARFARE


Government and private-sector cybersecurity experts in the United States and Israel worry that President Trump's decision to pull out of the Iran nuclear deal this week will lead to a surge in retaliatory cyberattacks from Iran.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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