Thursday, June 11, 2015

Eye on Iran: 'Wishful Thinking': Obama's Ex-Military Intel Chief Blasts Iran Talks in Scathing Testimony






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Fox News: "A former top military intelligence official under President Obama on Wednesday blasted the administration's pursuit of a nuclear deal with Iran, calling it a 'placeholder' based on 'wishful thinking.' Retired Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn, former head of the Defense Intelligence Agency, delivered pointed and detailed criticism of the Iran deal framework -- as well as the U.S. response to the violence in Iraq and Syria. 'It is clear that the nuclear deal is not a permanent fix but merely a placeholder,' he told a House Foreign Affairs subcommittee. In written and delivered testimony, he said the 10-year timeframe on parts of the deal 'only [makes] sense' if the U.S. thinks a 'wider reconciliation' with Iran is possible. He called this 'wishful thinking,' adding that 'regime change' is the best way to stop Iran's nuclear weapons program. Flynn also asserted that Iran has 'every intention' of building a nuclear weapon, and their desire to destroy Israel is 'very real.' 'Iran has not once (not once) contributed to the greater good of the security of the region,' he said, noting their fighters 'killed or maimed thousands of Americans and Iraqis' in Iraq." http://t.uani.com/1B5jA3M

VOA: "Three weeks before a deadline for a comprehensive nuclear deal with Iran, the failure to address the Islamic Republic's ballistic missile program in any agreement could be a dangerous omission, a panel of experts told U.S. lawmakers Wednesday... David Cooper of the U.S. Naval War College testified before the House Foreign Affairs sub-committee on the Middle East and North Africa, that the links between medium and long-range missiles and a nuclear payload are clear. 'At this moment, Iran is the only country in the world that says it has no nuclear weapons ambitions and yet has fielded an intermediate-range ballistic missile,' Cooper said. Robert Joseph, senior scholar at the National Institute for Public Policy, underlined what's at stake if a deal that is flawed - as he sees it - goes forward. 'If there is an agreement along the lines described by the White House and the Iranian leadership, I believe it will represent the single greatest strategic mistake in the national security area in the last 35 years,' he said... Retired Army Lt. Gen. Michael Flynn (former director of the Defense Intelligence Agency) said he fears the consequences if the deal now on the table goes through. 'Once sanctions are lifted, the genie is out of the bottle; we're going to see proliferation in the region because we've looked at this too narrowly,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1C0PRDZ

JPost: "[Brigadier General Hossein] Salami said that while the United States 'speaks loftily about security and global development, it remains our worst, most vicious enemy.' Salami accused the West of using innovative means to disseminate 'inappropriate films' whose goal is to 'destroy the world's moral fabric, which will in turn lead to a collapse of global security.' The deputy commander went on to accuse the West of bolstering their military arsenals all the while combining their might with 'diplomatic barbarism.' 'They are moving further away from the values of God, which will ultimately lead to their demise,' Salami said. Iran's enemies lack any appreciation for human life, the officer said. 'The gravest threat to Iran today is having its young people being influenced by the ideas and the culture of the enemy,' he said. Salami said that while Iran is working to bolster its military capabilities, it is also making efforts to prevent 'foreign influence' from seeping into the country." http://t.uani.com/1FaZ6l1

   
Nuclear Program & Negotiations

Reuters: "Iran's envoy to the U.N. nuclear agency declined on Thursday to commit to nuclear transparency measures that were part of a preliminary deal Tehran and world powers reached in April, deflecting U.S. demands to implement such provisions. The United States urged Iran to implement the so-called Additional Protocol, which allows more intrusive access to Iranian sites, and Code 3.1, which requires from Iran early notification of the construction of any new nuclear facilities. 'These are the issues still under discussion and I believe we should wait to see the final text... and before that, we cannot prejudge anything,' Reza Najafi told reporters. He added that Iran and the powers could seal a final deal by their self-imposed June 30 deadline, despite lingering disputes over the capacity of Iran's uranium enrichment programme, the extent of U.N. inspections and sanctions relief for Tehran... Laura Kennedy, U.S. envoy to the International Atomic Energy Agency in Vienna, told a session of the IAEA's 35-nation governing board that it 'remains critical for Iran to implement the provisions of Modified Code 3.1 ... without delay'... Kennedy further said Iran had still not resolved longstanding IAEA questions about the 'possible military dimensions' (PMD), mainly before 2003, of its nuclear programme." http://t.uani.com/1B8C5Ef

Reuters: "Any deal with Iran must be verifiable and there are no guarantees on this yet, French Foreign Minister Laurent Fabius said on Thursday. 'We must be able to verify the sites,' Fabius told BFM TV. 'We don't yet have certainty on this.' 'We want a deal with Iran but ... the deal must be verifiable, solid, robust and today we don't have guarantees on this,' he said. 'A deal that cannot be verified cannot be implemented.'" http://t.uani.com/1MLh5Vr

Reuters: "The next round of Iran nuclear negotiations will be 'pretty tough,' a senior U.S. official said on Wednesday ahead of new talks including top diplomats from the seven countries involved... 'As we expected after Lausanne, the next portion of this process will be pretty tough because we will be getting down to the details,' the official told reporters as negotiators from the seven prepared to converge on Vienna for a new round... The U.S. official said the sides were having 'detailed discussions' about access to Iran's military sites. 'We know there will not be an agreement until we can resolve that the IAEA will be able to verify whatever way is appropriate, whatever is necessary for this agreement, and that will include having managed access to a variety of sites and places in order to get this deal done,' the official said." http://t.uani.com/1B8Cuqj

NJJN: "Six people who keep a close eye on Iranian nuclear negotiations told a Whippany audience June 2 that a tentative agreement being pressed by the Obama administration was dangerous for Israel, the United States, and Arab nations in the Middle East. The 90-minute panel on 'the emerging Iran nuclear deal' was organized by the Community Relations Committee of the Jewish Federation of Greater MetroWest NJ and sponsored by it and seven other Jewish organizations... When Mark Wallace, CEO of United Against Nuclear Iran, asked the audience to indicate whether they believed the proposal was 'a bad deal,' all but one person in the audience raised a hand... 'What you or I say is irrelevant,' Wallace told the audience. 'I would suggest to you that Iran has definitely become nuclear and the dangers have increased.... All the reasons we wanted to prevent Iran from going nuclear are on the ascent.... Right now Iran is acting like a nuclear power and the threats to all of our security are happening right now.' http://t.uani.com/1MLqWKQ

Sanctions Relief

Bloomberg: "Oil-importing nations bought the most Iranian crude last month since world powers tightened sanctions on the country three years ago, according to the International Energy Agency. Imports of Iranian crude reached 1.4 million barrels a day in May, up 235,000 a day from April and the highest level since June 2012, the last month before the U.S. and European Union imposed new restrictions on oil trade and financial transactions, the IEA said. The nation pumped 2.85 million barrels a day last month." http://t.uani.com/1B8CM08

Bloomberg: "Oil producers pushing for an end to the U.S. crude export ban have a new line of attack: If Iran gets to sell oil in the world market, why can't we? Should Iran strike a deal with the U.S. and five other nations in the coming weeks to limit its nuclear program, more Iranian oil could flow onto the market as sanctions are eased. Iranian producers will then be freer to sell oil than their American competitors, the argument goes. 'If Iranian oil sanctions are lifted, it, in my view, imposes sanctions on U.S. oil producers if we keep the oil export ban in place,' Senator Lisa Murkowski, an Alaska Republican who's become the chief advocate for lifting limits, said Tuesday." http://t.uani.com/1e5txnB

Press TV (Iran): "An Italian producer of agriculture equipment is investing in Iran's northwestern Moghan which is a major hub in the country's food industry, local media report. The Nardi Group will soon open an office in Parsabad after its chief executive Virgilio Mazzardo visited the region to assess investment potentials, the IRNA news agency reported. He visited Moghan Agro-Industrial and Animal Husbandry Company (MAIAHC) and local farmlands, announcing interest in investment in the region, MAIAHC's president Orujali Mohammadi said. Mohammadi said the Italian company will initially produce agriculture machinery in Iran, with a vision to export them later." http://t.uani.com/1JMufBG

Trend: "Iran is holding an international maritime exhibition in Tehran from June 6 to 9. Foreign companies have attended the show hoping to find market in the post-sanctions Iran. There is a lot that can be done in Iran after the removal of the sanctions, Zeljko Bezjak, counselor and head of energy at the Croatian company Adriadiesel told Trend June 7 on the fairground in Tehran. Bezjak whose company makes vessels of different types and carries out many other maritime activities said that the possibility is high that his company can start doing business with Iran after sanctions are removed... 'There are powerful companies in Iran, great possibilities, and the Iranian market is a good one,' Bezjak noted. 'We can offer services in oil spill recovery, offshore drilling, fire fighting, chemical and oil tankers, ship and yacht building, and our specialty making engines for vessels.'" http://t.uani.com/1B8HkE1

Trend: "At its third international maritime exhibition, Iran is hosting foreign companies willing to find a way into the country's market after Iran is freed from economic sanctions. The Iranian market is a very important market with lots of well-educated people, very strong petroleum market, and a lot of money from the oil, Hans-ole Madsen, senior vice president at the Philippine International Container Terminal Services Inc., EME Region told Trend at the company's booth on the fairground in Tehran on June 7. He said his presence in Iran is justified by the fact that besides its own market, Iran can provide a good gateway for a lot of the stans as well as the Far East. Madsen whose company has built container ports for 22 countries said his company held talks with the Iranian Ports and Sailing Organization the day before, hoping to find a good market in Iran." http://t.uani.com/1dyRAdG

Sanctions Enforcement

WSJ: "U.S. officials said Wednesday the Obama administration is actively working to block Tehran from using nine recently acquired Airbus Group SE jets in a battle over sanctions weeks before the two sides are supposed to complete a final nuclear deal. Iranian officials this week threatened to take legal action against the U.S. if it seeks to block the use of the jets, according to Iranian media. Officials have said the country plans to use the planes on international flights. But a senior administration official said Wednesday the U.S. would continue to 'vigorously' enforce the sanctions it has in place on Iran despite the advanced state of nuclear talks... 'We have identified the planes in question and listed their tail numbers,' the official said. 'I have been quite explicit with the Iranians...that we will try to disrupt this action because Mahan Air has been a designated entity for some time,' the official said." http://t.uani.com/1JMqUT7

Iraq Crisis

Bloomberg: "The two bearded clerics gazing from billboards in Baghdad were familiar yet out of place. Portraits of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran, and his still-ruling successor have appeared in Iraq's capital and southern cities in recent months. Other posters feature Iranian commanders killed fighting Islamic State militants, who have spread their rule across Iraq's north and west. While Iran is asserting unprecedented influence over its neighbor as the Shiite-led governments combat a shared Sunni jihadist foe, the images have stirred a public and political reaction that highlights why claims by Saudi Arabia and other U.S. allies of an Iranian takeover are misplaced. Sitting outside his shop in central Baghdad, Ahmed Abdul Hussein, 45, says he doesn't know who put up the posters and they aren't welcome. It's a feeling shared by others, Shiite and Sunni alike. In recent weeks, both Prime Minister Haidar al-Abadi and top Shiite cleric Ayatollah Ali Al Sistani have said that while Iran's help and friendship is welcome, it must respect Iraqi sovereignty." http://t.uani.com/1I3yFjb

Syria Conflict

NOW Lebanon: "Iranian commanders overseeing the Assad regime's fighting efforts on the frontlines south of Idlib have reportedly executed three Syrian army officers. London-based Al-Quds al-Arabi said that the three officers were Sunnis who were among the regime troops that withdrew from the Mahmbel and Bsanqoul checkpoints following rebel advances in the southern Idlib province area on Saturday. The three officers, who were also accompanied by several soldiers, were accused deserting their duty and 'betraying the homeland,' the daily reported Sunday. According to the report, none of the other Syrian officers or soldiers present at the time were able to prevent the execution as 'officers responsible for military operations in the Jourin area are under the command of Iranian officers.' A Free Syrian Army (FSA) commander told the paper that 'the regime has handed over the operations room to Iranian officers and leadership.' 'The recent execution has caused a state of fear and terror among remaining regime troops,' the FSA commander added, saying he expected 'more defections and more field executions.'" http://t.uani.com/1L3hlRE

Opinion & Analysis

Ray Takeyh & Roger Zakheim in WSJ: "Speaking about Iran's nuclear program last month in an interview intended to reassure Israelis, President Barack Obama said that 'a military solution will not fix it, even if the United States participates.' Such denigrations of the deterrent power of force have long been noticed in Iran. In a speech last July, Iran's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, gloated: 'There are very few people in today's world who take these military threats seriously.' And why should they? The U.S. administration is engaged in sensitive negotiations while systematically depriving itself of leverage. Military force may not be the ideal solution to the Iran nuclear issue, but it is an indispensable backdrop to viable diplomacy. By far the most effective agreement ever negotiated with Iran came in 2003, when the Islamic Republic agreed to suspend all its nuclear activities. The Europeans spearheaded the talks, but American power fortified their mandate. In the intervening decade, Iranian officials-including President Hasan Rouhani, according to his memoir-noted the concern that Iran had about George W. Bush at the height of his power. The fear of being the target of American retribution led Iran to dispense with its program. After that fear dissipated in 2005, Iran resumed its nuclear activities. Contrast that with today: In contravention of sound strategy, the Obama team has been eager for negotiations while denigrating its coercive power. It is a staple of the administration's rhetoric that sanctions only led to massive accumulation of centrifuges by Iran. This point is often noted by President Obama and Secretary of State John Kerry. Paradoxically, it is a talking point put forth by Iran's foreign minister, Javad Zarif, a diplomat skilled at seducing. Had Iranians sensed that the U.S. was prepared to enforce its 'red lines' with force, then they may have been less inclined to dismiss American mandates and the International Atomic Energy Agency demands for access to atomic sites. The question now is whether anything can be done to restore the luster of the military option and convince the Islamic Republic that it may pay for nuclear intransigence... Signaling that we have no intent to use force weakens our deterrence posture, arguably more than if we had no military presence in the Middle East. Moreover, it has probably helped convince Iran that it can sign a deal and have a nuclear weapon, too. What's missing from the equation is a renewed emphasis on developing the 21st-century equivalent to the Strategic Defense Initiative to counter the Iranian nuclear program. Perhaps the ingredients for such a capability reside in the Pentagon's 'offset strategy,' though policy makers have directed this effort almost exclusively toward countering China. For an administration that has prioritized developing innovative defense capabilities, the Obama team has shown remarkably little interest in applying those efforts to the Iran scenario. The result is a military option that lacks credibility, fails to strengthen our diplomacy and possibly invites Tehran to develop a nuclear program while fearing little consequence." http://t.uani.com/1C0Qvl0
         

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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