Friday, August 26, 2016

Eye on Iran: US Warship Fires Warning Shots at Iranian Boats








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AP: "A U.S. Navy ship fired three warning shots in the direction of an Iranian boat that was approaching another American ship head-on in the North Arabian Gulf on Wednesday, U.S. officials said, in an escalation of encounters in the region this week. According to U.S. Navy Cmdr. Bill Urban, the Iranian boat came within 200 yards of the USS Tempest and ignored several bridge-to-bridge radio calls and warning flares. It finally turned away after the USS Squall, which was with the USS Tempest, fired three warning shots from its .50-caliber gun, said Urban, a spokesman for the Navy's 5th Fleet. 'This situation presented a drastically increased risk of collision, and the Iranian vessel refused to safely maneuver in accordance with internationally recognized maritime rules of the road,' said Urban. The incident was one of three encounters that U.S. ships had with Iranian Revolutionary Guard boats in the Gulf on Wednesday. And they came a day after four small Iranian boats approached the USS Nitze at high speed in the Strait of Hormuz. The boats veered off after the U.S. fired flares. The same Iranian boat that harassed the USS Tempest also crossed in front of the USS Stout three times at a high rate of speed on Wednesday in the same region. Urban called it an 'unsafe intercept' and said the USS Stout, a guided missile destroyer, had to maneuver to avoid a collision. In the third incident, three Iranian boats crossed in front of the USS Tempest at high speed, coming within 600 yards of the ship. The Tempest and the Squall are patrol ships." http://t.uani.com/2burLN7

NYT: "Iranian naval boats made dangerous maneuvers around United States warships in the Persian Gulf area on at least four occasions this week, Pentagon officials said Thursday, including one episode in which the Americans fired warning shots from a 50-caliber deck gun to prevent a collision. It was unclear whether the confrontations - one near the Strait of Hormuz on Tuesday and three in the northern Persian Gulf on Wednesday - were deliberate efforts to send a hostile message about American naval activity. Still, they underscored the risk of an armed clash between Iran and the United States in an area that has been a perennial source of tension for the two countries. There was no immediate comment from Iran about Wednesday's encounters. But its defense minister denied that Iranian vessels had done anything wrong in the Tuesday episode and accused the Americans of trespassing to provoke a response. Cmdr. Bill Urban, a spokesman for the Navy's Fifth Fleet, which is based in Bahrain, called the Iranian behavior on Wednesday a violation of international law and accused the Iranians of ignoring repeated warnings from the American vessels, creating a 'dangerous, harassing situation that could have led to further escalation.' In a statement, Commander Urban said Wednesday's episodes included two in which the Squall and the Tempest, American coastal patrol ships operating in international waters, were harassed by three boats from Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy, which crisscrossed the Tempest's bow and created 'a possible collision hazard.' Later, he said, an Iranian patrol vessel approached the Tempest head-on despite repeated radio, flare and loudspeaker warnings. 'Ultimately, Squall resorted to firing three warning shots from their 50-caliber gun, which caused the Iranian vessel to turn away,' Commander Urban said. In the third episode on Wednesday, he said, the Stout, a guided missile destroyer, was harassed by the same vessel that had menaced the Tempest and the Squall. It crossed the Stout's bow three times in an 'unsafe intercept,' Commander Urban said, and the Stout maneuvered away and 'employed devices,' which he did not identify, to dissuade the Iranian vessel from further harassment." http://t.uani.com/2bSJw8t

AFP: "Iran wants its pre-sanctions share of the crude market, Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh said on Friday, dampening the prospects of agreement on an output freeze at an OPEC meeting next month. 'Iran had no role in disrupting the stability of the oil market and after the (lifting of) sanctions we seek to revive our share in the global crude market,' he said, quoted by the ministry's SHANA news service. Zanganeh had given a brief boost to world prices on Thursday after announcing he would attend the informal OPEC meeting in Algiers on a possible output freeze with non-cartel producer Russia in late September. But on Friday he insisted there could be no talk of Iran abandoning its ambitions to restore its market share after last year's nuclear agreement with world powers led to the lifting of sanctions on its oil exports. 'Iran will cooperate with OPEC on improving prices and the state of the crude market, but we expect our right to restore our lost market share in the market to be considered,' Zanganeh said. 'Iran has made its sacrifices for the market and it's no longer the time for Iran,' another Iranian website, Mizan Online, quoted him as saying." http://t.uani.com/2blA3uF

Terrorism

Weekly Standard: "A Canadian who went abroad for terrorist training maintained contact with terrorists in Iran while planning an attack at home, according to a recently released report from the Canadian government. 'The individual had left Canada to participate in ... firearms and explosives training at a camp in Afghanistan,' the report said in a section that focused on extremist travelers. 'He swore an oath of loyalty to al-Qaida and the Taliban and returned to Canada with the expertise and intent to train, finance and equip a terrorist cell in Ottawa.' 'He also maintained contact with terrorists in Iran and Afghanistan while working to recruit other men and raise money to finance a proposed attack,' the report continued. The individual, whose description closely matches that of Hiva Mohammad Alizadeh, was arrested in 2010. In 2014, he was sentenced to 24 years in prison for 'possessing an explosive substance with intent to endanger life or cause serious damage to property for the benefit of a terrorist group.'" http://t.uani.com/2bUXgPz

Regional Destabilization

AFP: "Iran on Friday denied US accusations it has delivered missiles to Yemeni rebels, retorting it was US support for a Saudi-led coalition backing the government that had prolonged the conflict. Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif said the comments by Secretary of State John Kerry on a visit to Saudi Arabia on Thursday were 'completely baseless'. 'Iran has repeatedly said that Iranian military power will never be a threat to any country and is merely for defence purposes,' Zarif said in a statement on the ministry's website. 'The US administration with such remarks is itself becoming a partner in the child killings and war crimes committed by the Saudi regime against the innocent people of Yemen. 'Undoubtedly, Mr Kerry knows better than others that the Saudi government in the past year and half has consistently and seriously blocked all efforts made to establish a ceasefire in Yemen.' ... Kerry announced a fresh peace initiative on Thursday aimed at forming a unity government but hit out at Iran for what he said was its support for the Shiite rebels. 'The threat potentially posed by the shipment of missiles and other sophisticated weapons into Yemen from Iran extends well beyond Yemen and is not a threat just to Saudi Arabia and... the region,' he told reporters." http://t.uani.com/2bLRjqZ

Opinion & Analysis

Gillian Tett in FT: "John Kerry, US secretary of state, unveiled a historic deal with Iran in July 2015. This was supposed to be a key part of the Obama legacy: in exchange for Tehran freezing its nuclear programme, Washington pledged to lift many sanctions - a move that was supposed to enable money to flow into Iran again to kick-start economic growth. The concept sounded momentous - for Iran and the US. A year later, however, this vision is not quite playing out as planned. Never mind the fact that the deal is loathed by many Republicans; so much so that Donald Trump, the party's presidential candidate, has promised to rip it up if he gets into power. And leave aside the resentment that parts of the Iranian government still feel. What is arguably more striking is that behind the scenes, far away from the US election campaign, a quiet rebellion is also under way among international bankers. Unless this changes, the silent revolt will make it hard for Iran to reap the benefits of any deal. The issue revolves around the thorny question of how the US Department of Justice will treat banks who decide to deal with Iran. In recent years, American banks have been banned from dealing with Iranian counterparts. And when Mr Kerry announced the deal a year ago, he notably did not lift this particular sanction. What Mr Kerry did say was that Washington would drop its longstanding opposition to non-American banks doing business in Iran. And earlier this year he actively urged European banks to get involved, in order to boost Iranian economic activity. Indeed, the state department released a joint statement with European governments that promised that it 'will not stand in the way of permitted business activity with Iran...[and] international firms or financial institutions engaging with Iran, as long as they follow all applicable laws.' This also asked firms 'to approach our governments to address remaining questions, rather than forgo opportunities due to misperceptions or lack of information.' In theory, there are reasons why non-American banks might like to grab at this chance. European banks are hungry to find high-return business opportunities, given that interest rates are low in the west. Meanwhile, banks such as Deutsche Bank, BNP Paribas, Standard Chartered and HSBC have long histories in Iran - and clients who want to do business there. Last month, for example, Siemens and Rolls-Royce started talks on new energy investments. But there is a multibillion-dollar catch. Since 2010, the DoJ has fined non-American banks some $15bn for alleged global infractions of sanctions, anti-money laundering and antiterrorism rules. This includes an eye-watering $8.9bn fine levied in 2014 against BNP Paribas over deals with Iran, Cuba and Sudan. Unsurprisingly, this sorry piece of history leaves European and Asian banks very nervous and they have asked for watertight guarantees that the DoJ will not penalise them if they heed Mr Kerry's appeal. He has hitherto been unable, or unwilling, to persuade the department to do this. So the banks have effectively gone on strike and are not dealing with Iran again." http://t.uani.com/2blWJYT

Stephen Bryen & Shoshana Bryen in U.S. News & World Report: "The United States was humiliated this week when the USS Nitze came under simulated attack by four Iranian missile and torpedo-equipped speedboats in international waters. Despite American warnings, radio calls, flares and foghorns, two of the boats came within a few hundred yards of the Nitze. Iran is harassing American naval warships in the Persian Gulf while Washington refuses to acknowledge Iranian threats for reasons that are both political and practical. The political reason is that Washington still entertains the idea that Iran can be a friend of America. This view, strongly held by the White House, State Department, Pentagon and CIA, is a true fantasy. No matter how many Iranian statements from top Iranian political and military leaders proclaim their total hatred of the United States, Washington persists in fostering the illusion. There is no immediate cure for a political disease: We have yet to invent an anti-regime-biotic that, when injected into the insane, returns them to normalcy. As there is no solution, the Obama administration will explain the Persian Gulf incident as some sort of aberration or unauthorized action by the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, or a mistake, but not an act of overt hostility. Second is the practical reason. The attack on the Nitze, described by the Navy and Pentagon as 'unprofessional' and 'unsafe,' actually was a test of an Iranian tactic called the 'swarming boat' to destroy U.S. warships in the Persian Gulf. The swarming boat attack is just what it sounds like: a number of fast boats equipped with missiles and torpedoes attack enemy ships from multiple angles to damage or destroy them as quickly as possible. Recently the Iranians added another dimension to the swarming boats: a vessel known as the Ya Mahdi, a remotely piloted fast patrol boat that can fire rockets or be stuffed with explosives. It is a new version of the boat that attacked the USS Cole in Aden in 2000 at a cost of 17 lives, 39 injuries and severe damage to the ship." http://t.uani.com/2bm0Ynn

Soufan Group: "In mid-August, the U.S. Department of Defense released the summary of its annual report on Iran's military strategy and capabilities. This year's report was the first to account for the effects of the July 2015 multilateral nuclear agreement with Iran. Though the summary is brief, it revealed a considerable amount about the strategic threat that Iran continues to pose to the U.S. and its allies, in spite of the nuclear deal.  The clearest conclusion the report reaches is that Iran is developing a wide variety of missiles-as well as an offensive cyber warfare capability-in order to project power far beyond its borders. Iran is developing a large arsenal of short-range missiles, both ballistic and cruise, to be able to deny an adversary control of the waters around Iran. When combined with what the report describes as Iran's acquisition of naval attack craft-'small but capable' submarines, a large arsenal of 'advanced naval mines,' and armed unmanned aerial vehicles-Iran is positioned to threaten military and commercial shipping in the vital Strait of Hormuz. About one-third of all seaborne traded oil flows through the Strait daily. Iran's capabilities call into question longstanding assertions by U.S. and allied naval commanders that Iran does not possess the capability to close the Strait of Hormuz for prolonged periods. The assessment has direct relevance; in mid-August, the IRGC reiterated its threat to close the waterway if Iran were attacked.  Iran's long-range missiles could place a wide array of U.S. and allied targets within striking distance. Iran's existing ballistic missile arsenal can already reach all of Israel, as well as U.S. bases in Turkey and southeastern Europe. The Pentagon report mentions Iran's intent to conduct a launch of its Simorgh space vehicle later in 2016-a vehicle that could be capable of Intercontinental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) ranges (3,000 miles or more) 'if configured as a ballistic missile.' An Iranian ICBM would immediately put all of Europe, and perhaps even the U.S. mainland, within Iran's reach. Still, given Iran's shortfalls in missile accuracy, these missiles would mainly serve to terrorize civilian populations in targeted countries rather than destroy hardened military targets." http://t.uani.com/2bSKnpS
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

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