Tuesday, August 9, 2016

Eye on Iran: German Exporters Say Yet to See Big Payday From Iran Trade






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AFP: "A hoped-for export bonanza has failed to materialise a year after a deal to lift international sanctions against Iran over its nuclear programme, a German industry association [stated]...  'Despite increased foreign trade, there is a certain disillusionment,' Volker Treier, chief economist at the German Chambers of Commerce and Industry (DIHK), said. German exports to Iran had increased 11 percent in the first four months of 2016 to 890 million euros ($985 million), and likely stood at over one billion euros in the first six months, Treier said. That leaves a lot of ground to make up if firms are to match DIHK forecasts of 5.0 billion euros of exports annually within three years of the deal, mounting to 10 billion euros within five years... German carmakers and machine-tool builders were among the firms most avid to leap into the new market, where their products had been sought-after rarities until the deal came into force in January. 'Of course the expectations were high that trade with Iran would return to where it was in the old days,' Treier said, but 'we're far removed from that.' With many Western banks still reluctant to issue loans for deals involving Iran -- fearing to fall foul of continuing US sanctions against Tehran's financial sector -- cash to fuel the business is hard to find, the DIHK said. But some German household names are already making inroads into Iran's economy, with Daimler planning a factory to build Mercedes-Benz cars with two local partners, while Siemens has licensed gas turbines and power station generators to Iran's Mapna." http://t.uani.com/2aCBoqT

AP: "The lawyer of prominent Iranian journalist says a court has sentenced his client to three years in prison on charges of insulting authorities and spreading propaganda against the ruling system. Mahmoud Alizadeh Tabatabaei [said]... that his client, Isa Saharkhiz, who was detained in November, can appeal the verdict within the next 20 days. The lawyer says the verdict was announced on Monday and that Saharkhiz got two years for insulting authorities and one year for spreading propaganda. Saharkhiz was recently hospitalized because of a heart problem. His detention came amid a campaign that saw the arrests of other cultural figures critical of Iran's clerical system. Saharkhiz had been released in 2013 after serving nearly five years in prison on similar charges." http://t.uani.com/2aWHB3s

Bloomberg: "Russia and Iran agreed to strengthen transport connections, including a potential railway link through Azerbaijan that would aim to grab a share of the cargo now being shipped through the Suez Canal. Russian President Vladimir Putin and his Iranian counterpart, Hassan Rouhani, discussed the plan during a rare joint visit to Azerbaijan on Monday. The fight against terrorism and maritime boundaries in the Caspian Sea were also among the topics of discussion... Azeri President Ilham Aliyev has offered to help finance the so-called North-South transportation corridor, which he touted as a project of 'great importance' in connecting Europe and Asia. Rouhani earlier said Azerbaijan had agreed to provide half of the funding needed to extend the Iranian rail network to the Azeri border... Russia would be able to use the new route to export goods to Asian markets and the Gulf region, Elxan Shahinoglu, head of the Atlas research center in Baku, said by e-mail. It would also provide a shorter passage for Iranian goods to northern and eastern Europe, he said... The state-owned International Bank of Azerbaijan will lend Iran $500 million to extend the Iranian network to the border, Trend news service reported in June, citing Ali Noorzad, head of the Iranian Co. for Construction and Development of Transportation Infrastructure. Talks continue on the loan agreement, Noorzad said, adding that the estimated cost of the project is $1.1 billion." http://t.uani.com/2axim9C

U.S.-Iran Relations

Reuters: "Iran said on Monday that $1.7 billion that the United States sent it in January was cash owned since before the 1979 revolution, confirming the White House's assertion that it was not related to nuclear talks or a prisoner release." http://t.uani.com/2aCBgro

Tasnim: "Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif warned US against its lack of commitment to nuclear deal between Tehran and world powers, stressing that the Islamic Republic is pursuing the implementation of the deal with 'seriousness'... He further raised the alarm about any violation of the deal by the US and noted that American officials are 'making a mistake' because the Iranian nation's distrust of US is growing day by day as a result of Washington's lack of commitment to the deal." http://t.uani.com/2aWGIbk

Sanctions Relief

Bloomberg: "Indonesia will study a proposal from Iran to build an oil refinery, along with bids from other countries, as it seeks to boost refining capacity to catch up with rising consumption. Iran proposed a plant with processing capacity of more than 100,000 barrels a day and pledged to provide the crude... The project's value is estimated at $8.4 billion and would be built over four or five years in Java... Indonesia has also received proposals from China, Kuwait and Russia." http://t.uani.com/2bgqKYl

Bloomberg: "Iran's biggest oil buyer in India is ready to throttle back imports from the Persian Gulf nation once a new supply deal kicks in. Essar Oil Ltd. expects to lower purchases from Iran after shipments from OAO Rosneft begin once the Russian state producer completes a deal to buy a stake in the Indian company, according to Lalit Kumar Gupta, Essar Oil's chief executive officer. The refiner doesn't plan to import any crude under the agreement this year and it's undecided which country or project Rosneft will source the crude from, he said... India is Iran's biggest oil buyer after China, according to the shipping data... Rising supply under the Rosneft deal complicates Iran's efforts to hold on to its expanded market share in Asia, particularly in India, where the International Energy Agency expects demand growth in the decades ahead to outstrip all other nations. Iranian shipments to India surged 63 percent in the first half of the year after international sanctions that restricted its supplies were eased in January." http://t.uani.com/2aIYHlM

Human Rights

AP: "Sajedeh Norouzi jumped to her feet [at the Olympics in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil], both arms reached high into the air, beaming as she waved a small Iranian flag from side to side. Again and again... The 27-year-old Norouzi, wearing a beautiful navy blue headscarf decorated with flowers of pink, yellow, orange and turquoise, insists she represented all of the other Iranian women Sunday night who are fighting to one day cheer their teams from the stands and not the TV. She had a purpose, and a passion, that she could release at long last sitting beside men who have been able to attend the games all along. 'We want to go to the stadium because the government doesn't allow us to. I want to cheer my team!' Norouzi said, sitting alongside husband Saeed Javdaniyan in a lower section of seats across the court from the team benches of Iran and Argentina... [A] group called Open Stadiums [is working] to push for access [for women to attend sporting events in Iran]. The group's Twitter handle has become an underground voice of advocacy for women pushing to end discrimination... In 2012, the longtime ban on women from soccer matches in Iran was extended to volleyball. Former U.S. Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice last year called the ban 'ridiculous' and said that nations that are part of international bodies should respect women's rights." http://t.uani.com/2aZ8n9R

Washington Post: "When Masih Alinejad, an Iranian journalist and human rights activist living in exile in Brooklyn, started her online campaign two years ago encouraging women in her home country to post photos of themselves in public without their headscarves, it was a powerful statement for gender equality. At great personal risk, thousands of Iranian women have defied the law and removed their hijabs in defiance. A movement that celebrates women's freedoms would seem like an obvious one for public support. But lately in the United States, it's been a challenge for Alinejad to get active support. Sure, some celebrities have tweeted about her effort. And it's received a lot of international media coverage. But people are afraid to be too vocal, she said, because they don't want to appear anti-Islamic in the era of Donald Trump... But to Alinejad, her effort has never been about being anti-hijab or anti-Islam. Her parents are religious. Her mother proudly covers her head. It's about giving women the freedom to choose either way. 'It's two extremes - and women in the middle are stuck because if we talk loud against Islamic restrictive laws, then people think we're supporting Islamaphobia,' she said. 'But if we keep silent then we have to forget about our own identity and obey all the discriminatory laws'... last month, Alinejad photoshopped a hijab on the head of the Iranian foreign minister Javad Zarif and posted it on Instagram. He had been asked by a female politician during a trip to France why people who visit Iran must wear the hijab. He said tourists do not mind because they respect the culture. Alinejad was furious. 'Compulsion cannot be a part of our culture,' she said. In the caption with the picture of the covered Zarif, she asked him: 'Do you feel insulted? Like this is not your true self? You feel this is strange or weird? This is the same way we have been feeling for our whole lives,' she said. 'Those women who do not believe in hijab. For years and years, since the age of 7, hijab has been like someone taking my identity away from me. And every morning when I go out I have to be someone else.'" http://t.uani.com/2aZgG5u

Opinion & Analysis

Israel's U.N. Ambassador Danny Danon in Huffington Post: "One year has now passed since the P5+1 powers signed the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) with Iran and the United Nations Security Council passed Resolution 2231 adopting the deal. It is no secret that Israel strongly opposed this deal with one of the world's most dangerous regimes. Regardless of one's opinion about the nuclear deal, however, it is now clearer than ever that there were many justifications for our concerns. Now, it is up to the international community to act appropriately to mitigate the dangers emanating from Iran... From our point of view, even if Iran fulfills every element of the agreement, it is merely delaying the day they obtain nuclear weapons, not denying them this dangerous capability.mMoreover, lost in the rush to celebrate the agreement two key elements of Security Council Resolution 2231, which adopted the JCPOA, that are equally, if not more, concerning have not received the attention they deserve. First and foremost is Iran's continued development and testing of mid and long range ballistic missiles... We now know that Iran has defied this resolution at least four times by testing such missiles... Iran's defiance is not just an Israeli assertion, it is the view agreed upon by the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany and France. Even Secretary General Ban Ki-moon, who is usually in search of balance and objectivity, ruled in a recent report that the Iranian missile tests are not in the 'spirit' of the JCPOA. Another key area of concern is Iran's continued arming and funding of terrorists throughout the Middle East and worldwide. Annex B of the resolution 2231 bans the 'transfer of arms or related material from Iran.' During a recent meeting of the Security Council, I shared with my colleagues that our intelligence assessment that there are now over 120,000 Hezbollah rockets and missiles in Lebanon aimed at Israeli population centers... Similarly, Iran's export of arms and funding of terrorists is not limited to Israel's enemies. A few months ago, American forces intercepted a significant Iranian arms shipment that was intended for the Houthis in Yemen... we [also[ have every indication that Iran's proxy [Hezbollah] continues to make inroads throughout South America. Faced with these transgressions, the full Security Council must unequivocally declare Iran in defiance of resolution 2231's missile-testing ban and in violation of the prohibition to export arms. Attempts to soften language in order to avoid confrontation with Iran only lessens the effectiveness of the Security Council." http://t.uani.com/2aIOb0x

Josh Rogin in Washington Post: "Despite what you might read on Donald Trump's twitter feed, the Iranian execution of a nuclear scientist who defected to the United States and then changed his mind was not caused by Hillary Clinton's use of a private email server. The scientist outed himself; it wasn't Clinton's fault. The Iranian government announced Sunday it had executed Shahram Amiri, a nuclear scientist who spent about 14 months in the United States in 2009 and 2010. Senator Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) noted on Sunday's Face the Nation that Amiri's case had been discussed by top Clinton State Department officials on emails that passed through her private server... In 2010, I covered Amiri's strange case for Foreign Policy magazine and watched in real time as the Clinton State Department struggled to deal with Amiri's story. When Amiri arrived at the Pakistani embassy, he was asking to be sent back to Iran. He had an elaborate story for how he had gotten there... U.S. officials at the time told me and many other journalists that Amiri had defected to the United States of his own free will and had helped the U.S. for many years while he was in Iran by providing essential intelligence information about Iran's nuclear program. The Washington Post reported at the time the U.S. government had paid Amiri $5 million... There are several possible explanations as to why Amiri decided to go home and face the judgment of the Iranian justice system, which concluded he was a traitor. The Iranian government may have threatened his wife and 7-year old son. He may have hated life on the run. He may have had a change of heart. But there's no reasonable connection between the discussion of Amiri's case on email by Clinton's staff to Amiri's eventual execution. There's no evidence her server was hacked. The Iranians knew all about Amiri well before the emails were released publicly. His kidnapping story never held water and his fate was sealed long before his sentence was carried out." http://t.uani.com/2aWDKmY
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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