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AP:
"With only weeks left to the deadline to reach a first-stage nuclear
deal with Iran, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry said Saturday that
'significant gaps' remained and warned that America was ready to walk
away from the talks if Tehran doesn't agree to terms demonstrating that
it doesn't want atomic arms. Kerry spoke after the Iranian Atomic Energy
chief Ali Akbar Salehi and U.S. Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz added their
muscle to the talks for the first time to help resolve technical disputes
standing in the way of an agreement meant to curb Iran's nuclear programs
in exchange for sanctions relief for the Islamic Republic. But Kerry
warned against undue optimism. Salehi's and Moniz's presence is no
'indication whatsoever that something is about to be decided,' he said.
'There are still significant gaps.' ... The talks have missed two
previous deadlines, and President Barack Obama has said a further
extension would make little sense without a basis for continuing
discussions. Kerry...said there was no doubt Obama was serious. The
president, he said, 'is fully prepared to stop these talks if he feels
that they're not being met with the kind of productive decision-making
necessary to prove that a program is in fact peaceful.'" http://t.uani.com/1JCMM5w
NYT:
"The top nuclear officials from Iran and the United States took part
in high-level talks on Monday as the two sides sought to meet a March
deadline for finalizing the outline of an agreement to limit Tehran's
nuclear program. Ali Akbar Salehi, the director of the Atomic Energy
Organization of Iran, joined Mohammad Javad Zarif, Iran's foreign
minister, in the negotiations, which began Sunday night in a luxury hotel
near Lake Geneva. Iran's decision to include Mr. Salehi in its delegation
prompted Washington to arrange for Ernest J. Moniz, the American energy
secretary, to join Secretary of State John Kerry on the American side.
The current round of negotiations signals the first time the talks have
been broadened to include the top nuclear officials. Their participation
is a reflection of the complexity of the potential agreement, which seeks
to place constraints on Iran's nuclear program in return for suspending
and eventually removing economic sanctions... But some Western observers
have raised concerns that Mr. Salehi, who also served as foreign minister
in Iran's previous hard-line government, might seek to protect the
country's nuclear activities from being subjected to stringent limits and
might restrict Mr. Zarif's room to maneuver." http://t.uani.com/1zzxgxk
WSJ:
"Arab governments are privately expressing their concern to
Washington about the emerging terms of a potential deal aimed at curbing
Iran's nuclear program, according to Arab and U.S. officials involved in
the deliberations. The direction of U.S. diplomacy with Tehran has added
fuel to fears in some Arab states of a nuclear-arms race in the region,
as well as reviving talk about possibly extending a U.S. nuclear umbrella
to Middle East allies to counter any Iranian threat. The major Sunni states,
including Saudi Arabia, Egypt, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar, have
said that a final agreement could allow Shiite-dominated Iran, their
regional rival, to keep the technologies needed to produce nuclear
weapons, according to these officials, while removing many of the
sanctions that have crippled its economy in recent years. Arab officials
said a deal would likely drive Saudi Arabia, for one, to try to quickly
match Iran's nuclear capabilities. 'At this stage, we prefer a collapse
of the diplomatic process to a bad deal,' said an Arab official who has
discussed Iran with the Obama administration and Saudi Arabia in recent
weeks." http://t.uani.com/1LxB89B
Nuclear
Program & Negotiations
AFP: "The world powers negotiating with Iran over its nuclear
programme stand united, US Secretary of State John Kerry said Saturday, a
day before resuming talks with his Iranian counterpart. 'There is
absolutely no divergence whatsoever in what we believe is necessary for
Iran to prove that its nuclear program is going to be peaceful,' Kerry
said in London before heading to Geneva Sunday for talks with Iranian
Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif. 'The P5+1 remains united on the
subject of Iran,' he added." http://t.uani.com/1JCLGa0
AFP: "A senior Iranian official in talks on the country's disputed
nuclear programme has said differences remain on key questions at the
ongoing negotiations in Geneva, state media reported Monday. 'The gap
still exists, differences exist, and all parties are negotiating with
seriousness and determination, but we haven't found solutions to key
questions,' Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said... 'In many
areas, the negotiations have addressed the details... In some cases,
solutions were found and the time has come for political decisions,' said
Araghchi, quoted by state television. 'For this reason, contacts at the
highest level between the two parties are needed,' he added." http://t.uani.com/1w2p3jR
Reuters: "Iranian President Hassan Rouhani has dispatched his
brother and atomic chief to Geneva to try to overcome hurdles in
high-profile nuclear talks with the United States and five other major
powers, official Iranian media reported on Saturday... Iranian media said
nuclear chief Ali Akbar Salehi and President Rouhani's brother and close
aide, Hossein Fereydoon, would make their first formal appearance in the
marathon talks, now entering a sensitive stage involving fine technical
details. 'Fereydoon's presence is prompted by the need to engage in
consultations and make necessary coordinations throughout the present
round of talks in Geneva,' foreign ministry official Mohammad Ali
Hosseini said." http://t.uani.com/18fUDW4
Reuters: "Russia has offered Iran its latest Antey-2500 missiles,
the head of Russian state defense conglomerate Rostec said on Monday
according to media reports, after a deal to supply less powerful S-300
missiles was dropped under Western pressure. Sergei Chemezov said Tehran
was now considering the offer, TASS news agency reported. Russia scrapped
a contract to supply Iran with S-300 surface-to-air missiles under
Western pressure in 2010, and Iran later filed a $4-billion international
arbitration suit against Russia in Geneva, but the two countries remain
allies. The United States and Israel lobbied Russia to block the missile
sale, saying it could be used to shield Iran's nuclear facilities from
possible future air strikes... Rostec includes state-owned arms exporting
monopoly Rosoboronexport, which has the sole right to export and import
arms in Russia." http://t.uani.com/1BdqIdW
Cyber Warfare
NYT: "A newly disclosed National Security Agency document
illustrates the striking acceleration of the use of cyberweapons by the
United States and Iran against each other, both for spying and sabotage,
even as Secretary of State John Kerry and his Iranian counterpart met in
Geneva to try to break a stalemate in the talks over Iran's disputed
nuclear program. The document, which was written in April 2013 for Gen.
Keith B. Alexander, then the director of the National Security Agency,
described how Iranian officials had discovered new evidence the year
before that the United States was preparing computer surveillance or
cyberattacks on their networks. It detailed how the United States and
Britain had worked together to contain the damage from 'Iran's discovery
of computer network exploitation tools' - the building blocks of
cyberweapons. That was more than two years after the Stuxnet worm attack
by the United States and Israel severely damaged the computer networks at
Tehran's nuclear enrichment plant." http://t.uani.com/1zasYv6
Terrorism
Reuters: "Relatives of U.S. soldiers killed and wounded in a 1983
Beirut bombing have been barred by a U.S. judge from seeking $1.6 billion
in assets belonging to Iran's central bank and held by a unit of German
exchange operator Deutsche Boerse. U.S. District Judge Katherine Forrest
in New York said in a decision released on Friday that they could not
pursue assets owned by Iran's Bank Markazi and held in Luxembourg because
she does not have jurisdiction over the funds. Clearstream Banking SA,
the clearing unit for Deutsche Boerse AG, had argued for the case to be
thrown out because U.S. courts have no jurisdiction over funds held in
Luxembourg with no direct link to the United States. Lawyers for the
plaintiffs countered that Clearstream operates an office in New York and
that the Iranian funds are denominated in dollars, with proceeds from the
assets previously arriving in a Clearstream account at JPMorgan Chase
& Co in New York. Victims of the bombing won a $2.65 billion default
judgment against Iran in 2007 and have since pursued Iranian assets held
in various accounts to collect on the judgment." http://t.uani.com/1B52lxo
Syrian Conflict
Reuters: "Having lost control of its oil wells, Syria has been
forced to import crude. Iranian support has remained solid, despite the
decline in world oil prices which are around half the level they were at
last June, said Safiyeh. 'The import of petroleum products did not stop
because of the fall in the oil price. It continued, with the Iranian
credit line, and continues until now,' [the Syrian minister of internal
trade and consumer protection Hassan] Safieh said. He did not give
numbers. 'There is an Iranian credit line. The truth is there are
excellent (credit) facilities, and also Russia stands with us and the
BRICs are standing with us in any matters requiring the provision of
necessary supplies,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1vsbzms
Human Rights
IranWire: "Amir Hekmati, an Iranian American and ex-US marine who
has spent more than three and a half years in Tehran's Evin Prison, has
appealed to Iran's Head of the Supreme Court, asking him to reopen his
case and outlining the illegality of the charges against him. In a letter
to Hojatoleslam Hossein Karimi, the former marine describes how he was
forced into giving a confession and insists that the authorities have no
evidence against him. Hekmati explains how, in 2011, after being held in
solitary confinement for four months, the authorities took him to a
Tehran hotel, gave him cigarettes and food, and told him he would be
released if he confessed to the charges against him. He was also told that
the confession would be used to help train other intelligence agents.
Though he initially refused, on the basis that what he was being asked to
say was untrue, he eventually agreed, hoping he would be able to speak to
his family. However the authorities did not release him, nor did it seem
they had any intention of doing so. 'It was only after the video was
broadcast that I understood the swamp I was stuck in as a result of a
political game,' Hekmati writes. 'Now I understand that this fabricated
video and this baseless propaganda was meant to prepare public opinion
and the court, because my verdict was issued with that film.'" http://t.uani.com/1D3elMr
France 24: "Iran on Thursday executed an Iranian Kurd arrested at
the age of 17 for belonging to the rebel Party of Free Life of Kurdistan
(PJAK) and involvement in armed confrontations with Iran's Revolutionary
Guards despite calls for leniency. Saman Naseem, 22, was sentenced to
death in April 2013, after allegedly being tortured. His execution was confirmed
by the Paris-based International Federation for Human Rights (FIDH) on
Friday. According to the FIDH, Nassem's family, which had been ordered by
the authorities to 'keep quiet', were told to collect his personal
effects from prison this weekend, which is the usual practice after an
execution in Iran. The FIDH underscored in its communiqué on Friday that
Iran was a signatory to the UN Convention on the Rights of the Child,
which forbids the execution of minors, and that Tehran had ignored
international calls - including from France - for leniency." http://t.uani.com/1wfLYhc
IHR: "Iranian state media has reported about execution of 12
prisoners on Sunday 22 February. According to the Iranian State
Broadcasting eight prisoners were hanged in the prison of Bandar Abbas
(Southern Iran) on Sunday. One of the prisoners was charged with rape,
while the seven others were sentenced to death for drug-related charges.
The Young Journalists Club, run by the authorities, quoted Hormozgan
prosecutor saying that these prisoners were charged with trafficking of
one ton of opium, heroin and hashish. Official website of the Iranian
Judiciary in the Markazi Province (South of Tehran) reported about
execution of four prisoners convicted of drug-related charges in the prison
of Arak." http://t.uani.com/1Gl7AJo
Domestic
Politics
AFP: "Iran's Interior Minister Abdolreza Rahmani Fazli said Saturday
political life in the Islamic republic was tainted by 'dirty money',
including from drugs, the official IRNA news agency reported. 'A large
part of the moral corruption in this country comes from the introduction
of dirty money into politics,' the minister was quoted as saying. Iran
was in 136th place out of 175 last year in an index of nations seen as
corrupt by Transparency International, a non-governmental organisation.
'Part of this money is now in politics,' said Rahmani Fazli, who was
speaking during a seminar of police officials charged with fighting drugs
trafficking. 'For example, a candidate in municipal elections spends 20
billion rials ($600,000). When asked where it came from, he says friends
helped him. This dirty money is everywhere.'" http://t.uani.com/1LuOly9
AFP: "Iran's parliament has approved an article in the 2015-2016
draft budget to tax religious foundations and army-linked firms that
could generate trillions of dollars. The vote, reported by the state news
agency IRNA, could help boost state coffers in the Islamic republic which
has long depended on revenues from oil. But since the plunge in
international oil prices, the government has sought to tighten spending
and raise taxes to offset the negative hit on state finances. Revenues
raised by taxing religious foundations and army-linked firms that control
large parts of the economy could amount to 10 trillion rials (more than
$350 million at the official exchange rate/300 million euros), budget
committee member Mousalreza Servati had said in December. The taxes would
be raised from religious foundations and army-linked firms that control
large parts of the economy and would be made to pay from the start of the
fiscal year in March. The article approved by parliament, which is voting
on the budget point by point, still has to be ratified by supreme leader
Ayatollah Ali Khamenei." http://t.uani.com/1BG66KR
Opinion &
Analysis
UANI Advisory
Board Member Joseph Lieberman in WashPost: "Last
week, 23 House Democrats asked Speaker John Boehner (R-Ohio) to postpone
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu's address to a joint meeting of
Congress scheduled for March 3. But it is absolutely clear that the
speaker will neither postpone nor rescind his invitation. The prime
minister will be there to speak. Therefore, I appeal to those 23
individuals and any other undecided members of Congress to go to the
joint meeting and hear what the prime minister has to say. Let me suggest
some good reasons why:
● Go because this is about determining how best to stop Iran from getting
nuclear weapons and not just another Washington test of partisan and
political loyalty.
● Go because - regardless of what you think of the leaders involved or
their actions in this case - you are a strong supporter of America's
alliance with Israel, and you don't want it to become a partisan matter.
● Go because you know that the Constitution gives you, as a member of
Congress, the power to 'regulate commerce with foreign nations,' 'define
and punish ... offenses against the law of nations,' 'declare war,'
'raise and support armies' and 'provide and maintain a Navy,' and
Netanyahu might say some things that will inform your exercise of those
great powers.
● Go because you know that Israel is one of our closest and most
steadfast allies and you feel a responsibility to listen to its leader
speak about developments that he believes could threaten the safety,
independence and even existence of his country, as well as that of our
closest allies in the Arab world.
● Go because you worry that it is not just the security of Israel and the
Arab nations but the security of the United States that will be threatened
if a bad agreement is made with Iran that enables it to build nuclear
weapons it could put on its increasingly capable long-range missiles.
● Go because you are concerned about nuclear weapons proliferation and
believe that a faulty deal with Iran will not only put it on the road to
becoming a nuclear power but will also lead some of Iran's Arab neighbors
to acquire nuclear weapons as soon as possible.
In sum, there is too much on the line in the negotiations with Iran for
members of Congress to decide not to listen to what Netanyahu, or any
other ally, has to say on this subject." http://t.uani.com/1LxI2vr
Dennis Ross in
WashPost: "The controversy over Republican House
Speaker John Boehner's invitation to Benjamin Netanyahu to address a
joint meeting of Congress has had the ironic effect of diverting
attention from the very topic the Israeli prime minister wants to
discuss: the problems with a potential deal on the Iranian nuclear
program. Although everyone debates the propriety of the Israeli prime
minister challenging President Obama's policy in such a setting, the
partisan nature of the invitation and the timing of the speech - just two
weeks before an Israeli election - the substance of the issue has been
pushed aside. Why is there such a divide between the United States' and
Israel's positions, and can they be bridged? There is no disguising the
gap between the president and prime minister. Obama is clearly prepared
to accept a deal that would limit the Iranian nuclear program for perhaps
the next 15 years and in a way that ensures the Iranians would be a year
away from being able to produce weapons-grade uranium. Iran, however, would
not be required to dismantle any nuclear facilities or infrastructure -
and, after the agreement expires, would be permitted to have an
industrial-size nuclear program and be treated like any other party to
the nuclear non-proliferation treaty (NPT). In Netanyahu's view, however,
that means leaving Iran as a nuclear-threshold state. Though the prime
minister's public posture is that Iran must not be allowed any enrichment
capacity and that its nuclear facilities should be dismantled, my
conversations with Israelis suggest that they could, in fact, live with
an agreement that permits Iran a small enrichment capability. Their view
is that, in return for a rollback of sanctions, there must be a serious
rollback of the Iranian nuclear program. By contrast, the deal reportedly
under consideration would limit the Iranian nuclear program, not
meaningfully diminish it, in return for a rollback of sanctions. The
Israelis argue that if Iran is permitted to have an industrial-size
nuclear energy program, it would be able to become a nuclear weapons
state at a time of its choosing. Indeed, the transparency or verification
system needed to detect a so-called breakout by a small program is
unlikely to work for a very large one. Olli Heinonen, a former official
at the International Atomic Energy Agency, which is responsible for
verification, has been outspoken on this point. Heinonen has emphasized
that what might be effective for a program with 1,000 to 2,000
centrifuges will not work for one with tens of thousands of centrifuges
unless new protocols are developed, access is redefined and additional
inspectors are permitted. Thus, at least in part, the Israeli fear is
related to the difficulty of verifying that the Iranians are complying
with the NPT once they have an industrial-size program. No doubt it is
also driven by concerns about the will of the United States and other
nations to prevent Iran from crossing the weapons threshold, particularly
if they have accepted a deal in which Iran is permitted a large nuclear infrastructure.
Could the Obama administration address those fears? Yes, provided that
the
administration is prepared to take two steps." http://t.uani.com/1D3i4cN
Fred Hiatt in
WashPost: "Can President Obama sell an Iran deal at
home? If his negotiators strike an agreement next month, we already know
that it will be far from ideal: Rather than eradicating Iran's
nuclear-weapons potential, as once was hoped, a pact would seek to
control Iran's activities for some limited number of years. Such a deal
might be defensible on the grounds that it is better than any
alternative, given that most experts believe a military 'solution' would
be at best temporary and possibly counterproductive. But making that kind
of lesser-evil defense would be challenging in any circumstances. Three
conditions will make it particularly hard for Obama to persuade Congress
and the nation to accept his assurances in this case: the suspicious,
poisonous partisanship of the moment here, with Israeli politics mixed
in; worries that he wants a deal too much; and the record of his past
assurances. The partisanship needs no explanation, but the record of
foreign-policy assurances is worth recalling:
● In 2011, when he decided to pull all U.S. troops out of Iraq, Obama
belittled worries that instability might result. Iraq and the United
States would maintain 'a strong and enduring partnership,' Obama said.
Iraq would be 'stable, secure and self-reliant,' and Iraqis would build a
future 'worthy of their history as a cradle of civilization.' Today Iraq
is in deep trouble, with a murderous 'caliphate' occupying much of its
territory and predatory Shiite militia roaming through much of the rest.
● That same year, Obama touted his bombing campaign in Libya as a model
of U.S. intervention and promised, 'That's not to say that our work is
complete. In addition to our NATO responsibilities, we will work with the
international community to provide assistance to the people of Libya.'
The United States and its NATO allies promptly abandoned Libya, which today
is in the grip of civil war, with rival governments in the east and west
and Islamist terrorists in between.
● Obama also said then, 'Some nations may be able to turn a blind eye to
atrocities in other countries. The United States of America is different.
And as president, I refused to wait for the images of slaughter and mass
graves before taking action.' That was before Syrian dictator Bashar
al-Assad's barrel bombs, systematic and well-documented prison torture
and other depredations of civil war killed 200,000 of his compatriots ,
and drove millions more from their homes.
● In August 2011, Obama declared that Assad must 'step aside.' In a
background briefing a senior White House official added, 'We are certain
Assad is on the way out.' In August 2013 came Obama's statement that 'the
worst chemical attack of the 21st century ... must be confronted. ... I
have decided that the United States should take military action against
Syrian regime targets.' No military action was taken, and Assad remains in
power.
● In September, the president said his strategy for defeating the Islamic
State 'is one that we have successfully pursued in Yemen and Somalia for
years.' Shortly thereafter, an Iran-backed rebellion deposed Yemen's
pro-U.S. government, forcing the United States to abandon its embassy and
much of its anti-terror operation...
This litany of unfulfilled assurances is less a case of Nixonian
deception than a product of wishful thinking and stubborn adherence to
policies after they have failed. But inevitably it will affect how people
hear Obama's promises on Iran, as will his overall foreign policy
record... By most measures...the world has not become safer during
Obama's tenure. Islamist extremists are stronger than ever; democracy is
in retreat around the globe; relations with Russia and North Korea have
worsened; allies are questioning U.S. steadfastness." http://t.uani.com/1ABUTYK
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