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Steven Emerson,
Executive Director
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October 15, 2018
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Turkey
Experts Worry Erdogan Might Use AQ Against Kurds
by John Rossomando • Oct 15, 2018
at 1:34 pm
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Although Turkey and Russia agreed
last month to "withdraw" all jihadist groups from Syria's Idlib
Province, a former Turkish National Police official warns that Turkey may
use al-Qaida-tied Syrian fighters against Syria's Kurds.
Turkey's MIT intelligence agency started cultivating relations with
Hayat Tahrir al-Sham (HTS) in 2014, Ahmet Yayla told the Investigative
Project on Terrorism (IPT). MIT used Turkey's Humanitarian Relief Foundation (IHH) as
an intermediary to arm the al-Qaida terrorists.
Yayla was chief of counterterrorism in the city of Sanliurfa near the
Syrian border and now teaches at Georgetown University and MIT. Turkey's
President Recep Tayyip Erdogan replaced all of his counterterrorism police
chiefs in 2014 and ordered intelligence operations against al-Qaida be
stopped.
"Anyone who is saying that Erdogan, AKP and al-Qaida are enemies
are making a huge mistake," Yayla said. "They don't like
democracy, but they see that Erdogan is the best way for them to reach
their objectives."
So far, HTS refuses to withdraw from Idlib, but Yayla believes the
Turkish army will coerce it into laying down its arms. Erdogan likely will
incorporate former HTS jihadists into the forces he will use against the
Kurds because he wants to create a buffer area controlled by men loyal to
Turkey. Erdogan has already warned that Turkey will cleanse northern Syria
of Kurdish militiamen linked to the Marxist PKK. Turkey seized control of the
formerly Kurdish-held Afrin area in northwestern Syria earlier this year.
"It is logical for HTS to work with Turkey otherwise the Russians
are going to crush them," Yayla said. "Eventually they are going
to give in."
Members of the jihadist-dominated Free Syrian Army (FSA) appear ready to
attack the Kurds further east in the city of Manbij from adjacent
Turkish-held areas, Syrian Democratic Council (SDC) member Bassam Ishak
told the IPT. U.S. troops currently are stationed in Manbij. The SDC is the
political arm of the Kurdish-dominated Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) that
works closely with the U.S. military against ISIS in eastern Syria.
"This has been the model. Using Syrian and foreign jihadis with the
logistics and support of the Turkish military to conquer Syrian land, so we
are concerned about that for sure," Ishak said.
Sunni Arab jihadists will form the backbone of future operations against
the Kurds in eastern Syria, Yayla said.
It as plausible that some former HTS fighter may be used against the
Kurds, but he doubts they will be employed in areas where American troops
are stationed, said terrorism researcher Kyle Orton.
Turkey's ultimate goal is to divide HTS and liquidate elements that
refuse reconciliation, Orton said, suggesting that the U.S. mediate between
the PKK and Turkey to defuse the situation and block Russia from chipping
away at NATO in the process.
Related Topics: John
Rossomando, Turkey,
Recep
Tayyip Erdogan, Hayat
Tahrir al-Sham, al-Qaida
affiliates, Ahmet
Yayla, Kurds,
Idlib
Province, IHH,
Syrian
Democratic Council, Bassam
Ishak, Syrian
Democratic Forces, Kyle
Orton
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