Friday, September 29, 2017

Eye on Iran: US Presses For More Iran Nuclear Inspections


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The United States pressed Thursday for the International Atomic Energy Agency to carry out more nuclear inspections in Iran, warning that failure to do so would make the nuclear deal with Tehran "an empty promise." 


Iran may abandon the nuclear deal it reached with six major powers if the United States decides to withdraw from it, Iranian foreign minister told Qatar's al Jazeera TV in New York. 


Hope for Iran's long-overdue accession to the World Trade Organization (WTO) appears to have disappeared. The July 2015 Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, signed between Tehran and six world powers, has done little to bring about a consensus within the organization to proceed with Iran's membership bid. Meanwhile, on the domestic front, the Iranian government has little to show in terms of practical action to realize its stated aim of liberalizing the economy.

SANCTIONS RELIEF


"I think something around $60 would stabilize the market," he said, adding the price point is "good enough to attract investors to the field, especially in the Middle East, where there are a lot of low cost fields that can easily ... be developed, feed the market (and) meet the requirement in the market." Iran's energy exports suffered previously under international sanctions imposed amid concerns that it was developing nuclear weapons. Those sanctions were lifted earlier this year, allowing the OPEC producer to export oil to the international energy market. The lifting of the sanctions, along with Iran's low cost of production and untapped energy reserves, make the country a potentially attractive investment destination. But some experts suggest that many major firms are not ready to commit to Iran deals.

FOREIGN AFFAIRS  


After years of disagreement between Iran and Turkey, particularly regarding the war in Syria, there are many recent signs of an increase in cooperation between Tehran and Ankara.  A range of developments on the ground, including the success of Iran and Russia in ensuring the continuation of the Assad regime; cooperation between the United States and the Kurds in the fight against the Islamic State; and concern about the consequences of Kurdish ambitions for independence, as well as Turkey's decision to send armed forces to Syria to prevent this development have spurred the need for an Iranian-Turkish rapprochement and growing cooperation with Russia.


"We have sued groups such as ISIS, Hezbollah, Hamas, Islamic Jihad, the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) and the Palestinian Authority and have worked on cases involving the Japanese Red Army and the Kurdish PKK," Darshan-Leitner told Fox News. "We have received judgments against North Korea several times and we have many judgments against Iran and Syria for their involvement in international terrorism. If they are not held accountable, they become further emboldened. And for the victims, it is a little closure and justice." Ultimately, the powerhouse lawyer digs deep to find as many legal loopholes as possible.

SYRIA CONFLICT


Iran will build an oil refinery in Syria, the head of downstream technologies at Iran's Research Institute of the Petroleum Industry was quoted by Fars news agency as saying on Tuesday. The refinery, to be built near the city of Homs, will have a production capacity of 140,000 barrels per day, Akbar Zamanian reportedly said. The refinery project is one of a series of business deals the Islamic Republic has announced that point to a deepening economic role after years of fighting in the Syrian conflict.


Israeli officials believe that Iran is winning its bid for dominance in the Middle East, and they are mobilizing to counter the regional realignment that threatens to follow. The focus of Israel's military and diplomatic campaign is Syria. Israeli jets have struck Hezbollah and Syrian regime facilities and convoys dozens of times during Syria's civil war, with the goal of preventing the transfer of weapons systems from Iran to Hezbollah. 

IRAQ CRISIS


Turkey, Iran and Iraq may hold a trilateral meeting to discuss the Iraqi Kurdish independence referendum, Turkey's Prime Minister Binali Yildirim said on Thursday. Yildirim also said he agreed with his Iraqi counterpart Haider al-Abadi to coordinate economic and trade relations with the central government in Baghdad, after Abadi's government took control of border crossings with Turkey.

DOMESTIC POLITICS


THE Kurds of Iran are calling for independence just as lustily as their cousins in Iraq, perhaps even more so. While the mood in the streets of Iraq's Kurdish cities was generally subdued and nervous after their referendum on independence on September 25th, wilder celebrations erupted across the border in Iranian Kurdistan. In the Kurdish cities of Baneh, Sanandaj and Mahabad demonstrations lasted for two days, even as armoured cars drove through the streets heralding a wave of arrests. Crowds sang the anthem of the Republic of Mahabad, the Kurdish state that briefly held sway in north-western Iran in 1946. Kurdish flags flew from lampposts.
OPINION & ANALYSIS


'Cut, and cut cleanly," Sen. Paul Laxalt advised Ferdinand Marcos in 1986, urging the Philippine president to resign and flee Manila because of widespread civil unrest. The Nevada Republican, Ronald Reagan's best friend in Congress, knew what his president wanted, and he made the point with customary Western directness. President Trump could profitably follow Mr. Laxalt's advice today regarding Barack Obama's 2015 deal with Iran.


Iranian leaders strongly denounced today's referendum vote for the Iraqi Kurdistan region and warned that the move could have serious ramifications for Iraq and the broader region. In a telephone conversation with his Turkish counterpart Tayyip Erdogan, President Hassan Rouhani said Tehran and Ankara should "give a clear message to those who seek to undermine security and stability in the region." The Iranian media did not provide details about whether the Iranian and Turkish leaders discussed any joint retaliatory measures against Erbil. Rouhani also emphasized that "preserving Iraq's national unity and territorial integrity is of paramount importance" to the Islamic Republic. The Iranian president also discussed the issue with Russian President Vladimir Putin over the phone.


An Iraqi militia group today accused the Kurdish peshmerga forces of having "occupied" the province of Kirkuk and stressed that his forces are ready to "liberate disputed regions" in Iraq. "The Iraqi government should act with determination to liberate Kirkuk from separatist paramilitaries before it is too late," Harakat al-Nujaba, an Iranian-sponsored group fighting in Iraq and Syria, said in a statement as Iraqi Kurds were casting their ballots for an independence referendum. Hashim al-Mousavi, the group's spokesperson, further emphasized that the Iraqi forces should particularly focus on recapturing oil-rich regions within Kirkuk and not allow the Kurds to "steal Iraqis' national wealth." He said P.M.F. paramilitary forces are waiting for an order from the Baghdad government to seize Kirkuk.


Turkey's Chief of the General Staff Hulusi Akar, leading a high-ranking military delegation, will visit Tehran for strategic talks next week, the Iranian media reported today. Akar is expected to meet with his Iranian counterpart General Mohammad Hossein Bagheri, President Hassan Rouhani and other top Iranian military and political leaders. According to the Iranian media, the two sides will discuss the implementation of bilateral defense and security agreements signed during Bagheri's visit to Ankara last month. The conflict in Syria and the aftermath of Iraqi Kurdistan's independence vote will be other key agenda items. Turkish President Tayyip Erdogan is also scheduled to attend a "bilateral strategic summit" in Tehran in early October.


Iran will start constructing an oil refinery in Syria by this year's end, a senior official of Iran's Research Center of Petroleum Industry (R.I.P.I.) announced today. "This refinery will be built as relative peace is established in Syria, and it was decided that mostly the capabilities of Iranian companies will be utilized to build this refinery," Mansour Bazmi, R.I.P.I. Vice-President for Technology and International Relations said at a press conference in Tehran. He added that the project will cost about one billion dollars and a consortium of Iranian, Venezuelan and Syrian companies will execute the project. The consortium is reportedly negotiating with potential investors to finance the project. R.I.P.I. will provide technical knowledge and expertise for the plant. The refinery will be constructed near the city of Homs and will have an initial production capacity of 70,000 barrels per day, and the production will double up to the full capacity of 140,000 barrels per day later. Light and heavy crude from inside Syria will be processed at the plant.


Iranian leaders and state-run media outlets reacted angrily to Iraqi Kurdistan's decision to hold an independence referendum on Monday, and threatened retaliatory actions against Erbil. Tehran halted all flights to and from Erbil and Sulaymaniyah in northern Iraq and the Iranian military launched war games near the Kurdish border. Senior Iranian officials stressed that the Islamic Republic rejects the plebiscite and described it as an "Israeli and American plot" to divide Iraq and counter Iranian influence in the region. President Hassan Rouhani also discussed the issue with his Russian and Turkish counterparts and called for collective action to preserve Iraq's territorial integrity. More ominously, Iranian-backed Iraqi militia commanders threatened violence against the Regional Kurdish Government (K.R.G.) and vowed that the "resistance front" would not allow a "second Israel" to be established inside Iraq.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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