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In this mailing:
Why Europe Must Not Be Trusted to Monitor Hamas
by Soeren Kern
• September 2, 2014 at 5:00 am
Hamas
would likely resort to violence to thwart any attempts to disarm the group.
It is therefore highly unlikely the Europeans would confront Hamas in any
meaningful way.
Spanish
intelligence agents met secretly with Hezbollah operatives, who agreed to
provide "escorts" to protect Spanish UNIFIL patrols. The quid pro
quo was that Spanish troops would look the other way while Hezbollah was
allowed to rearm for its next war with Israel. Hezbollah's message to Spain
was: mind your own business.
If the
European experience with Hezbollah in Lebanon is any indication, not only
will Hamas not be disarmed, it will be rearmed as European monitors look on
and do nothing.
What is
clear is that European leaders have never been committed to honoring either
the letter or the spirit of UN Resolutions 1559, 1680 and 1701, all of which
were aimed at preventing Hezbollah from rearming.
European leaders are calling for a greater European role in enforcing
the cease-fire in the Gaza Strip. They say their focus should be not only on
rebuilding Gaza, but also on monitoring the demilitarization of Hamas and
helping to secure the border crossings between the Gaza and Egypt to ensure
that Hamas cannot be rearmed.
But if the European experience with Hezbollah in Lebanon is any
indication, not only will Hamas not be disarmed, it will be rearmed as
European monitors look on and do nothing.
French President François Holland, in a major foreign policy speech in
Paris on August 28, said Europe should play a greater role in Gaza.
"Since 2002, Europe has done a lot to rebuild and develop Palestine […]
but it cannot simply be a cashier used to heal the wounds after a recurring
conflict," he said.
INF Treaty Coming Apart?
by Debalina Ghoshal
• September 2, 2014 at 3:00 am
According
to former Bush administration official Stephen Rademaker, for the United
States to respond to Russian violations of the treaty by pulling out of it
would be "welcome in Moscow," which is "wrestling with the
question of how they terminate [the treaty]" and thus, the United States
should not make it easier for the Russians to leave.
After the 1962 Cuban Missile Crisis, when the Soviet Union and the
United States were on the brink of a nuclear catastrophe, both parties
apparently realized the need for some nuclear arms control measures. The
Intermediate-Rage Nuclear Forces Treaty [INF], which came into force in
December 1987, requires that both the Soviet Union and the United States
eliminate their ground-launched, nuclear-capable ballistic and cruise
missiles of ranges between 500-5500 km.
In recent times, however, both parties to the treaty, the United States
and Russia, have accused one another of failure to comply with it.
The U.S. has apparently been "concerned" regarding Russia's
compliance with the treaty since 2011.
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