Friday, August 24, 2012

Eye on Iran: UN Visit Will Set Back a Push to Isolate Iran







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NYT:
"International nuclear inspectors will soon report that Iran has installed hundreds of new centrifuges in recent months and may also be speeding up production of nuclear fuel while negotiations with the United States and its allies have ground to a near halt, according to diplomats and experts briefed on the findings. Almost all of the new equipment is being installed in a deep underground site on a military base near Qum that is considered virtually invulnerable to military attack. It would suggest that a boast by senior Iranian leaders late last month - that the country had added upward of 1,000 new machines to its installation despite Western sabotage - may be true. The report will also indicate, according to the officials familiar with its contents, that Iran is increasingly focused on enriching uranium to a level of 20 percent - a purity that it says it needs for a specialty nuclear reactor that it insists is used only for medical purposes, but that outside experts say gets it most of the way to the level needed to produce a workable nuclear bomb." http://t.uani.com/Q8Yd8M

AP: "The U.N. nuclear agency is forming a special Iran team, drawing together sleuths in weapons technology, intelligence analysis, radiation and other fields of expertise as it seeks to add muscle to a probe of suspicions that Tehran worked secretly on atomic arms, diplomats tell The Associated Press. Creating a unit focused on only one country is an unusual move for the International Atomic Energy Agency, reflecting the priority the U.N. nuclear watchdog is attaching to Iran amid fears that it is moving closer to the ability to make nuclear weapons. It also indicates frustration by top agency officials over Iran's refusal to cooperate with IAEA experts who are trying to follow up on suspicions that Tehran was - or is - secretly working on an arms program." http://t.uani.com/O8UCEc

Reuters: "The U.N. nuclear watchdog pressed Iran on Friday to address suspicions about nuclear bomb research in the Islamic state, pursuing diplomatic efforts to resolve the dispute before any possible military action by Israel or the United States. A flurry of bellicose rhetoric from some Israeli politicians this month has ignited speculation that Israel might hit Iran's nuclear sites before the U.S. presidential election in November. Tensions went up another notch on the eve of Friday's talks between Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) when diplomatic sources said Iran had installed many more uranium enrichment centrifuges at its Fordow underground site." http://t.uani.com/P2FxlB
Lebanon Banking Campaign 
Nuclear Program & Sanctions

AFP: "Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei told the government Thursday to adopt an 'economy of resistance' to confront crippling sanctions slapped by the West on Tehran over its nuclear drive. 'The arrogant powers are pulling their weight to force Iran to back down (on its stances) and the government should invalidate these illusions by using the nation's full potentials,' Khamenei said. He called for an 'economy of resistance' to confront a slew of Western oil and financial sanctions, saying this 'is the only way to pursue progress in the country.'" http://t.uani.com/OdRlW5

AP: "A Tehran shoe factory is abandoned by its European leather suppliers. Iranian cooking oil manufacturers are operating at nearly half capacity because they can't get enough imported grains. In Tehran's bazaar, many merchants refuse to sell Western goods purchased with dollars because the downward spiral of Iran's currency has eaten their profit. While Iran's mainstay oil exports remain the centerpiece of Western sanctions -- intended to wring concessions over Iran's nuclear program and ease Israeli threats of a military strike -- the Islamic Republic hangs on as OPEC's third-largest exporter as it feeds the hungry energy markets in China, India and across Asia." http://t.uani.com/PGA9Xb

Terrorism

AP: "Turkey has said it is investigating whether another country, possibly Iran, was involved in an explosion that killed nine people near Syria earlier this week. The announcement reflects concern about spillover from the war in Syria as well as increasing tension with Iran, a regional power that supports Syrian President Bashar Assad." http://t.uani.com/P2JxSY

Human Rights

Iran Human Rights: "Iran Human Rights (IHR) warns against the possibility of a new execution wave in Iran in the coming weeks. Several reports from Iran indicate that the Iranian authorities are planning to execute multiple prisoners, among them some political prisoners and some convicted of espionage. Most of the executions will most likely be carried out following the 16th Non-Aligned Movement (NAM) summit scheduled to take place in Tehran from August 26-31. High-ranking officials from 40 NAM member countries along with observer countries and international organizations like the United Nations are expected to attend. IHR urges the international community to pay special attention to Iran in the coming weeks. Mahmood Amiry-Moghaddam, the spokesperson for IHR, said today, 'There are several reports indicating that Iranian authorities have scheduled executions for the coming weeks. We are deeply concerned about these possible executions and urge the international community to react before it is too late.' He added, 'We specifically ask the UN and leaders of the countries attending the NAM summit to address the issue of the death penalty in Iran.'" http://t.uani.com/PGyD7m

Radio Zamaneh: "Saham News, a website linked to opposition leader Mehdi Karroubi, reports that at least 40 people were arrested by security and military forces when an attempt to take over the warehouses holding volunteer aid collections was repelled. Reports indicate that the authorities have stressed that all aid has to be surrendered to IRGC forces, which are responsible for the distribution of relief in the disaster areas. The Kaleme opposition website, linked to opposition leader MirHosein Mousavi, also reported an eyewitness account that the arrests were carried out by '50 to 60 officials with 10 vans.'" http://t.uani.com/RiAhz4

UKPA: "Iran's 'shameful' human rights record has been condemned by Foreign Secretary William Hague. His comments follow the death sentences passed on five members of the Ahwazi Arab community last month, weeks after the secret execution of four others from the minority for 'enmity against God'. Mr Hague warned Iran's actions would not go unchallenged by the international community and said the abuses added to the regime's isolation." http://t.uani.com/P7MgjD

Domestic Politics

WSJ: "Iran's opposition Green Movement leader Mir Hossein Mousavi, under house arrest for 18 months, suffered a heart attack on Thursday and was taken to a heart hospital, his official website reported. Mr. Mousavi underwent a three-hour angiogram surgery for blocked arteries and was recovering in the hospital's intensive care unit, reports said. Dozens of intelligence agents swarmed the hospital floor, cordoning it off to visitors and installing security cameras, according to the website, Kalame. Security agents prevented medical staff working in the ward where Mr. Mousavi was being treated from leaving the hospital when their shifts ended, the site said. Family members, including Mr. Mousavi's two daughters, weren't allowed to visit, Kalame said, and the location of the hospital wasn't announced. Iran has been taking extraordinary security precautions, meanwhile, ahead of the Nonaligned Movement conference to be hosted in Tehran next week." http://t.uani.com/P7HHWF

RFE/RL: "Who Is Behind Iran's 'Dangerous' Satellite Jamming? That's the question people have been asking in the Islamic republic in recent days. While officials have acknowledged that signal jamming is taking place, and even warned of potentially negative consequences, no one in the government has stepped up to assume responsibility. Earlier this week, Iran's Minister of Communications and Information Technology Reza Taghipour denied his department's involvement in jamming satellite signals, and said the ministry was 'seriously' pursuing the case. 'It is essential to trace and identify the source of jamming as the practice has many negative consequences,' he said in an August 21 interview with the Iranian parliament's Icana website." http://t.uani.com/Q907pZ
Foreign Affairs 

Reuters: "Iran hopes to earn diplomatic kudos over the coming week as it hosts a summit of 120 developing nations, but any jubilation could turn sour over starkly different views on the bloody conflict in Syria. The Islamic Republic's three-year tenure as head of the Non-Aligned Movement (NAM), which starts on Sunday, is a chance for Tehran to elevate its international standing as the United States seeks to cripple its economy and isolate it diplomatically over its disputed nuclear program. Although many analysts say the movement, set up in 1961 to counter big power domination of international relations, has waned since the end of the Cold War, the diplomatic spotlight will give Tehran an opportunity to show Washington has failed to cut it off from the rest of the world." http://t.uani.com/P2FSVr  

Opinion & Analysis

Charles Krauthammer in WashPost: "Either Israel is engaged in the most elaborate ruse since the Trojan horse or it is on the cusp of a preemptive strike on Iran's nuclear facilities. What's alarming is not just Iran's increasing store of enriched uranium or the growing sophistication of its rocketry. It's also the increasingly menacing annihilationist threats emanating from Iran's leaders. Israel's existence is 'an insult to all humanity,' says President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. 'Anyone who loves freedom and justice must strive for the annihilation of the Zionist regime.' Explains the country's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Israel is 'a true cancer tumor on this region that should be cut off.' Everyone wants to avoid military action, surely the Israelis above all. They can expect a massive counterattack from Iran, 50,000 rockets launched from Lebanon, Islamic Jihad firing from Gaza, and worldwide terror against Jewish and Israeli targets, as happened last month in Bulgaria. Yet Israel will not sit idly by in the face of the most virulent genocidal threats since Nazi Germany. The result then was 6 million murdered Jews. There are 6 million living in Israel today. Time is short. Last-ditch negotiations in Istanbul, Baghdad and Moscow have failed abjectly. The Iranians are contemptuously playing with the process. The strategy is delay until they get the bomb. What to do? The sagest advice comes from Anthony Cordesman, a military analyst at the Center for Strategic and International Studies. Cordesman is a hardheaded realist - severely critical of the Bush administration's conduct of the Iraq war, skeptical of the 'war on terror,' dismissive of the strategic importance of Afghanistan, and a believer that 'multilateralism and soft power must still be the rule and not the exception.' He may have found his exception. 'There are times when the best way to prevent war is to clearly communicate that it is possible,' he argues. Today, the threat of a U.S. attack is not taken seriously. Not by the region. Not by Iran. Not by the Israelis, who therefore increasingly feel forced to act before Israel's more limited munitions - far less powerful and effective than those in the U.S. arsenal - can no longer penetrate Iran's ever-hardening facilities. Cordesman therefore proposes threefold action." http://t.uani.com/Nq04QM

Maseh Zarif in AEI: "Iran's nuclear weapons program poses a serious threat to American national security interests. Iran has been working to develop the key components of a nuclear weapons capability for decades - covertly when it can and openly when exposed - in contravention of nuclear nonproliferation pacts it has signed and international obligations it is required to meet. The regime has waged an intensive denial-and-deception campaign intended to facilitate the development of critical technologies and infrastructure and, ultimately, the fulfillment of its nuclear ambitions. Tehran's nuclear weapons pursuit has advanced along three interrelated, parallel tracks: acquiring fissile material, weaponization and bomb design, and delivery vehicle development. The acquisition of fissile material is based at facilities near Esfahan, where Iran converts yellowcake into uranium gas, and at Natanz and outside Qom, where Iran enriches uranium gas toward levels required to produce bomb fuel. Iran's nuclear organizations are also building the foundation for a separate plutonium route for producing bomb fuel at Arak. These facilities, originally built covertly, may be supplemented by additional undeclared sites. The weaponization track of the program, a technically complex step that is nonetheless considered to be less difficult than the mastery of fissile material production, has most recently been associated with a military facility based outside of Tehran at Parchin. Iran used the Parchin facility to conduct nuclear weapons-related experiments, according to information vetted by the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA). Many observers have tended to dismiss the weaponization program on the grounds that Iran supposedly suspended it in 2003.  Tehran's consistent refusals to allow IAEA inspectors into the Parchin facility, therefore, have received less attention than they merit.  That facility, which recent satellite imagery shows to have been extensively reconfigured over the past few months, is of interest not only because of the presumed weaponization facilities there, but because it is a central and vital part of Iran's diverse and disturbing military industrial program." http://t.uani.com/RJlBLN

Simon Henderson & Olli Heinonen in WINEP: "At a time when the possibility of military action against Iran's nuclear program is being hotly debated, the need for a clear understanding of the issues and the controversial science and technology behind them has never been more acute. Toward that end, The Washington Institute and the Harvard Kennedy School's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs have copublished an interactive online glossary of terms used in the discussion about Iran, prepared by proliferation expert Simon Henderson and Olli Heinonen, former deputy director-general of the International Atomic Energy Agency. The new study comes out just when the IAEA is distributing its latest report on Iran in advance of the September 10 Board of Governors meeting in Vienna. Covering the jargon and history behind IAEA inspections, centrifuge enrichment, basic nuclear physics, and early nuclear weapons development in Pakistan and the United States, it provides an indispensable guide to an increasingly complex problem." http://t.uani.com/O8UVic

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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