Friday, August 17, 2012

Eye On Iran: Iran's Ahmadinejad says No Place for Israel in New Middle East







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Reuters:
"Many thousands of Iranians shouted "Death to America, death to Israel" during state-organized protests on Friday and President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad told them there was no place for the Jewish state in a future Middle East. Iran, penalized by tough Western sanctions, faces the threat of an Israeli or U.S. military strike on its disputed nuclear facilities. With popular uprisings reshaping the region, the Islamic Republic is also trying to prevent the overthrow of its closest Arab ally, Syrian President Bashar al-Assad. 'You want a new Middle East? We do too, but in the new Middle East ... there will be no trace of the American presence and the Zionists,' Ahmadinejad told worshippers at Tehran University in an event broadcast live on state television." http://t.uani.com/S3u23k

Reuters:
"Tanzania intends to cancel its contract with a Dubai-based shipping agent, saying the company reflagged Iranian ships with the Tanzanian flag without its knowledge, a minister for the semi-autonomous Zanzibar government said on Friday. The east African country said it was in the process of de-registering 36 Iranian vessels after an investigation into the origin of the ships concluded they were from Iran." http://t.uani.com/S0R1dO

AFP:
"The United States said Thursday that it told Secretary General Ban Ki-moon that an upcoming summit in Iran sent a 'strange signal' after Tehran reported that the UN chief would attend. Iranian state media has said that the UN chief will visit Tehran for an August 30-31 summit of the Non-Aligned Movement, a group of 120 countries set up during the Cold War to reject alliances with both Washington and Moscow. US State Department spokeswoman Victoria Nuland stopped short of urging Ban not to attend but said the United States considers Iran 'an inappropriate place for this meeting.' 'The fact that the meeting is happening in a country that's in violation of so many of its international obligations and posing a threat to neighbors... sends a very strange signal with regard to support for the international order,' Nuland told reporters." http://t.uani.com/S0ShxB
Lebanon Banking CampaignSanctions

Reuters: "Turkey's importance as a trade conduit to Iran has widened to include supplying most of its steel as Turkish banks are among the very few still willing to arrange financing for the sanctions-hit country. Despite sometimes strained political ties, trade between the two neighbours has risen sharply over the past decade, with Turkey regarded by some as a possible weak link in international sanctions imposed on Iran over Tehran's suspected development of nuclear weapons. Iran is Turkey's biggest export market for gold while Turkey is Europe's only remaining importer of Iranian oil." http://t.uani.com/S0XAwW

Reuters: "The White House is 'dusting off old plans' for a potential release of oil reserves to dampen prices and prevent high energy costs from undermining sanctions against Iran, a source with knowledge of the situation said on Thursday. U.S. officials will monitor market conditions over the next few weeks, watching whether gasoline prices fall after the September 3 Labor Day holiday, as they historically do, the source said." http://t.uani.com/QIHxji

Ottawa Citizen: "Thirty days after TD Bank Group said it would "reach out" to some Iranian-Canadian clients whose accounts were closed in compliance with Canadian sanctions against Iran, affected clients say they have not heard from the bank. On July 6, The Citizen reported that TD had begun sending letters to Iranian-Canadian clients whose accounts it had closed. The letters told clients that under recent changes to the Special Economic Measures (Iran) Regulation, Canadian financial institutions are forbidden from providing financial services to anyone in Iran or for the benefit of Iran, or any client with an active residential or employment address in Iran. The bank said it tried to contact customers who were affected by the regulations, and in cases where they did not hear back, it was forced to close their accounts." http://t.uani.com/S0WZeQ

Syrian Civil War

Wired.com: "Chalk up another victory for the social-media prowess of the Syrian rebels. The opposition to Bashar Assad says it's captured spy drones made by Assad's patron, Iran. And it's put the evidence on YouTube. In the video above, Syrian rebels show off three smallish, unarmed surveillance drones they say they downed. Walking a viewer through what looks like a machinist shop displaying their banner, the Syrians display two robotic planes built around a missile-shaped fuselage, appearing to be around six feet in length, painted red and yellow; and a far smaller red plane. All three show signs of damage, with the tiny drone's nose cone looking to have taken the worst, and alongside the drones are pamphlets displaying the face of the dead Iranian ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini. It's yet more evidence that Iran considers Syria's civil war to be a proxy contest with much at stake for their influence in the region." http://t.uani.com/R6voZG

Human Rights

AP: "Iran's top leader has granted amnesty to 130 prisoners related to the 2009 post-election turmoil, a state-run newspaper reported Thursday. Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei ordered immediate releases for some of the 130 and reduced prison terms for the rest on the occasion of the upcoming holiday ending the Islamic holy month of Ramadan, the IRAN daily quoted Tehran's chief prosecutor as saying Abbas Jafari Dowlatabadi, the prosecutor, called the prisoners 'security convicts', a term used for those detained in the wave of unrest that followed the controversial re-election of President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad. Iran arrested hundreds of political figures and activists in the turmoil and many were sentenced to prison." http://t.uani.com/NICGAa

Opinion & Analysis

Benoit Faucon in the WSJ: "Oral-B mouth wash, made by Procter & Gamble Co. of Cincinnati, Ohio, is still on display at local corner shops in Iran-the company confirms it still sells to Iran legally. Coca-Cola Co.'s Coke soft drink is sold in cafes and supermarkets. The Atlanta-based multinational says its syrup is still being legally exported to Iran and bottled by Khoshgovar Co., whose commercial manager Valid Nejati confirmed the information. ... By contrast, the growth of U.S. sales to Iran largely stems from a decision in October to replace the previous cumbersome approval process with a blanket license for non-sanctioned food items, says Michael Burton, a Washington-based sanctions lawyer at Arent Fox. While some European cereal traders say they can't find banks to issue letters of credit for Iran, the U.S. this year restarted wheat exports to the Islamic Republic after a two-year gap. As of last year, the vast majority of U.S. goods were medical preparations or equipment-31%- , pulpwood and woodpulp-25% and agricultural goods and food-17% But U.S. permits even extend to goods such as cigarettes, though they are not covered by the blanket license and are subject to more stringent control than foodstuffs. In April, Philip Morris International Inc. obtained a specific licence from the U.S. Treasury, 'to sell cigarettes to customers for import into Iran,' a spokesman for the company said, although it has yet to make use of the authorization. But expect no miracle to explain why Iranians may be allowed to buy Marlboros but not drive the new Peugeot in the future. To put it simply: when it comes to pleading its case with decision-makers, Corporate America does it better. ... Both commodities trader Cargill Inc., of Minneapolis, Minn., which confirmed it was still trading with Iran, and Procter & Gamble have approached members of the U.S. Senate and the House of Representatives over Iran sanctions, according to disclosures made as recently as July 19, and the companies themselves...." http://t.uani.com/NIAYif

Ilan Berman in the WSJ: "Yet so far, U.S. policy has not responded to Iran's shift toward Asia. On the contrary, in many ways, it has encouraged it. The Obama administration's decision earlier this summer to exempt all 20 of Iran's major oil customers from biting new sanctions has sent the unmistakable message to Asian nations that-despite the official bluster emanating out of the White House-it is still possible to do business with both Washington and Tehran simultaneously. True, the U.S. Congress just agreed to new sanctions that will take additional aim at Iran's energy industry. And once enacted, they will significantly expand penalties on individuals or companies who invest in Iran's oil and natural gas sectors, insure Iranian energy trade, or buy crude from the Islamic Republic. But Iran's Asian consumers aren't likely to be significantly deterred by these new provisions. If history is any judge, the Obama administration, wary of upsetting economic ties with Beijing and other regional capitals, won't implement them with anything resembling the diligence needed to make a real dent in Iran's Asian market share. That would be a grave error. To the extent they're implemented, sanctions are already having a pronounced effect on Iran's energy trade. Its oil exports are now estimated at one million barrels per day-the lowest figure in years, and just a fraction of the 2.5 million barrels the Islamic Republic was exporting daily just a few years ago. But if Asia continues to throw the mullahs a lifeline, the regime won't learn. It follows, then, that for Western sanctions to truly stand a chance of altering Iran's behavior, Asia's economies must be forced to back away from their business with the Islamic Republic." http://t.uani.com/Q6Rre7

David Feith in the WSJ: "The unfortunate reality is that sanctions are generally a limited tool-and the Obama administration has made these sanctions even more limited. When Congress wanted to sanction Iran's central bank last year, the administration initially opposed the effort. The Senate endorsed it anyway, on a 100-0 vote, so the administration focused on getting last-minute loopholes written into the law. One of them gave the State Department the authority to exempt from sanctions any country that it determined had 'significantly reduced' its imports of Iranian oil. No one paid much attention at the time, but eight months later we know the loophole's effect: All of Iran's major oil-trading partners-20 of them-received exemptions from U.S. sanctions. The Obama administration says all countries with exemptions earned them. But here again the rhetoric is slippery. India was exempted for pledging to cut its Iran imports by only 11%. Japan cut by 22%. Then there's China, which cut 25% overall from January to May but increased its take of Iran oil by 35% in the final two months, just before earning its exemption. President Obama said in March that 'the world is as united as we've ever seen it around the need for Iran to take a different path on its nuclear program.' Yet China, India, Japan and others that continue to do big business with Tehran aren't focused on squeezing Iran's economy. They're focused on such things as getting around banking restrictions by bartering rice and steel for oil. Whether they're motivated by trade imperatives, nonaligned politics or something else, these countries show that Iran is by no means as 'isolated' as Mr. Obama asserts." http://t.uani.com/Nsmqm1

Kevan Harris in the Iran Primer: "What are the primary reasons that the Iranian rial has lost half of its value against the U.S. dollar in just one year? Iran's currency was valued at about 10,000 rials to the dollar in the summer of 2011. It plummeted to more than 20,000 to the dollar in the summer of 2012. Inflation in Iran's economy has not been this bad since the end of the Iran-Iraq War or the economic crisis of the early 1990s, which also caused high inflation. The rial's value began to slide rapidly at the beginning of 2012 after the United States announced new sanctions above and beyond the latest U.N. sanctions. The slide was due partly to the psychology of sanctions. In that sense, a certain percentage of the public-and their expectations--helped cause the more rapid slide. They don't think the Central Bank can stabilize the rial in the medium term. People who have money are buying gold, dollars, and real estate to protect their wealth. Everybody is making individual decisions that are pushing the rial down because everyone is holding onto foreign currencies. What is the impact on the Iranian public? With increased sanctions, the demand went up for gold, foreign currency and anything independent of the rial. In fact, the real estate market in Tehran has been growing over the last six months. It had slowed in previous years due to a housing crash just like everywhere else. People are even putting money into real estate in poorer neighborhoods, which means people are continuing to take money out of the banks and invest it in housing. What has happened in the last six months is very similar to what happened to the Russian middle class in 1999 and Argentine middle class in 2001. The Iranian middle class is going through the same process. They are seeing the value of their money in the bank erode. It is a shock." http://t.uani.com/Pgd0gC  

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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