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Egypt
Fully Rearming Sinai - with US Help
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Secretary
Panetta is talking about helping Egypt to do something forbidden by the Camp
David Accords -- bring large-scale forces into Sinai. Israel's long term
concern is whether Egypt will at some point remove the additional forces.
Recent comments by Egyptian government officials suggest they will not.
Egypt has moved forces into the Sinai beyond what was agreed to in the
Egypt-Israel Peace Treaty. Getting them in wasn't that difficult – Israel
agrees that security in the Sinai has deteriorated. Getting them out again
later may be another matter. And how the U.S. positions itself to safeguard the
treaty itself will be crucial.
One of the lesser-known American military deployments is as part of the
Multinational Force & Observers in the Sinai (MFO), inserted in 1981. Its
mission is to "supervise the implementation of the security provisions of
the Egyptian-Israeli Treaty of Peace and employ best efforts to prevent
violations of its terms." The MFO consists of 1,656 soldiers from 12
nations
[1]
and, according to its
website,
operates checkpoints, reconnaissance patrols and observation posts; verifies
the continued implementation of various arms limitations in the Sinai; ensures
freedom of navigation through the Strait of Tiran; and monitors the deployment
of border guards along the Egyptian side of the Gaza/Egypt border to ensure
that it meets the terms agreed to by Israel and Egypt in 2005.
The MFO, clearly, is not a fighting force; it is a peacekeeping force with
an agreed-upon peace to keep.
So how odd it is that Defense Secretary Leon Panetta has announced that the
U.S. "is providing
additional
military assistance to peacekeeping forces in Egypt's Sinai Peninsula to
strengthen security in the region."
Panetta said no additional troops had been sent to Sinai, but that the U.S.
was working closely with Egyptian leaders "to determine what additional
help they may need in order to ensure that the area is secured."
To change the mission of the MFO from monitoring the Israel-Egypt peace
treaty to helping Egypt secure the Sinai from terrorists/jihadists/al Qaeda is
a change that cannot be undertaken lightly – and should not be taken
unilaterally. To change the force from the touchstone for both Israel and Egypt
into an ally of Egypt in military operations will undermine its status in the
future.
The MFO does need to secure itself in the face of rising violence and
longtime Egypt-watcher David Schenker
notes
that it has already made adjustments.
The force has upgraded its vehicles in recent years, and many of them are
fully or partially armored. Yet growing abduction fears have led to the
cancellation of many patrols, and reconnaissance flights have reportedly been
scaled back due to concerns about terrorists or other actors fielding
man-portable air-defense systems (MANPADS). Should the situation continue to
deteriorate, the MFO might reduce its patrols even further.
He adds:
Over time, the MFO's mission will simply become untenable unless security
improves in the Sinai -- or unless the rules of engagement are changed, which
seems unlikely.
Changing the rules of engagement is much more likely now. Secretary Panetta
is not talking about how the force protects itself while it does the job it was
designed to do. He is talking about helping Egypt do something forbidden by the
Camp David Accords – bring large-scale military forces into Sinai.
The fact is the U.S. and Israel have been somewhere between
sanguine
and cautiously happy regarding increased Egyptian concern about jihadists
in the Sinai, and have accepted an Egyptian buildup that includes aircraft and
helicopter gunships. Israel Radio
reported
Friday that the deployment includes anti-aircraft and anti-tank missiles near
the border. Israel's longer-term concern will be whether at some point Egypt
removes the additional forces and returns to the agreed-upon restrictions and
demilitarized zones.
[2] Recent comments by Egyptian government
officials suggest they will not.
Former presidential contender Abdel-Moneim Abolfotoh called for President
Morsi to reject
limitations
on Egyptian forces, saying, "The blood that has been spilled should force
Egypt to assume full control of Sinai without the restrictions and obligations
stipulated by this inequitable treaty that prevents Egypt's armed forces from
deploying on Egyptian territory."
Mohammed Gadallah, a legal advisor to Morsi, said the Egyptian government is
considering "amending" the Camp David Accords "to ensure Egypt's
full
sovereignty and control over every inch of Sinai."
It is hard to imagine a circumstance in which the United States should
support the restoration of "full sovereignty and control" of Sinai,
including military control, to the Muslim Brotherhood government of Egypt.
Israeli analyst Ehud Yaari said if the Egyptians want to go in that direction,
"Israel should have its answer ready" and that the mechanism for
negotiating
change is the MFO.
But if the MFO mission changes by design or by mission creep, it may provide
little support for Israel's position. Secretary Panetta should be extremely careful
about the circumstances under which the U.S. will supply "additional
help" to increase the long term staying power of the Egyptian military
where Israel does not necessarily agree it should be.
Shoshana Bryen is Senior Director of The Jewish Policy Center. She was
previously Senior Director of Security Policy at JINSA and author of JINSA
Reports from 1995-2011.
[1]
Australia, Canada, Colombia, the Czech Republic, the Republic of the Fiji
Islands, France, Hungary, Italy, New Zealand, Norway, the United States and
Uruguay
[2]
Its second concern will have to be whether such weapons as the Stinger missiles
reportedly given to Syrian rebels by the CIA will ultimately find their way to
the Sinai via interlocking terrorist organizations.
Egyptian
Tears Up the Quran on Camera
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Instead of
giving religious visas to Islamists who come to America to preach hate, the US
should immediately declare that anyone who leaves Islam and is threatened
should get a priority visa to the US. American embassies should, in fact, stop
giving religious visas to those who are obviously Islamists: by doing so we are
only breeding our own homegrown terrorists inside America.
Could this be the real Arab Spring? The Muslim world does not have to blame
Pastor Terry Jones any more for burning the Quran or non-Muslims for
desecrating it. They are now in shock over seeing a YouTube post of a young
Egyptian man doing the unthinkable on camera: tearing up the Quran and putting
it in the trash.
This is the summery translation of what he said:
"There it is, Allah's book, this is the basic catastrophe. I don't
know what day it is of this disgusting month of Ramadan! You are making the tearing
of the Quran such a big and dangerous thing.. it is instinctive to tear this
book, those sons of b----s- think they can threaten me and challenge me to tear
the Quran, but I want to prove to them that they are nothing and what is the
big deal in tearing this book?!! There it is (he starts tearing up the Quran)
in the trash. Are you feeling better now?! You cannot touch a hair on my head!
We keep blaming Hamas and Gaza, but it is not them, it is this son of a b ----h
book that I am stepping on right now. That book is the source of all evil and
the real catastrophe. There is nothing new here, it is not Omar Abdel Rahman,
Abbud or all the others, it is this garbage that is causing us to run in a
demonic circle that will never end."
Although the young man's worlds were very insulting, this is the same
language that Muslims commentators use against him and against anyone who
leaves Islam. The comments about this video are extremely violent, scary and
vastly more insulting than anything this young man said in the video. This is
the kind of language many Muslims use against any critique of Islam. I worry
about this young man who seems to be living in Egypt. There have been hundreds
of fatwas [religious edicts] calling for his death issued against him already: the
responses to the video threaten him with, "I will kill you" and
"I will cut your tongue, your ears, your arms and legs, as Mohammed would,
and leave you for dead."
Instead of giving religious visas to Islamists who come to build mosques in
America and preach hate, the US should immediately declare that anyone who
leaves Islam and is threatened will get a priority visa to the US, ahead of
Islamists. American embassies across the Muslim world should, in fact, stop
giving religious visas especially to those who are obviously Islamists: by
doing so we are breeding our own homegrown terrorists inside America.
Throughout the history of Islam, many people where tortured, beheaded,
jailed, ostracized, or had their limbs cut off for as little as accidentally
stepping on the Quran. The Sharia punishment for blasphemy of the Quran and
Mohammed is death even if the perpetrator pleads it was an accident and they
never meant to desecrate the Quran. There is a Filipina maid in the Arab Gulf
who was jailed for accidentally sitting on the Quran which was on a sofa.
Now the Muslim world is starting to face the nightmare of a new kind of
challenge from within: Muslims deliberately challenging this taboo and putting
their lives on the line.
Islamic customs have elaborate rituals giving the highest esteem to the book
itself and physically protecting the Quran from any disrespect. I remember as a
child, placing a schoolbook on top of the Quran on a table; my grandparents
harshly scolded me for doing that. The message was repeated over and over and
over again never -- ever! -- to place anything visually or mentally on top of
the Quran. In the same year the Arabs conquered the Christian city of
Alexandria in Egypt, 639 AD, the Alexandria Library was burned down and the
Quran became the one and only source of knowledge for the country.
The beginning of the end of Islam as we know it may just have begun: that
will be the true Arab Spring.
The violence we are seeing today in the Arab world will accelerate when such
confrontations to Islam increase and when the Muslim World wakes up from its
1400 year slumber.
In my book "The Devil We Don't Know", I predicted that Islam will
fall like a house of cards, but the bloodshed will be huge and the world must
leave the Muslim world to settle this on their own. The number one enemy of
Islam is the truth and with today's technology, many Muslims are seeing the
truth clearly on the internet, satellite dishes etc.
There is an awakening worldwide, not only about Islam, but also about other
similar totalitarian ideologies. One hopes that next there will soon be the
same awakening to the harm being done by Western liberalism and socialism,
cousins and supporters of Islam and its tyranny. All such ideologies aim at
covering up of the truth by using intimidation, fear-mongering and hatred, now
so prevalent in American politics today.
It is not just the Muslim world that is changing and that needs change, but
also America and Europe. We in America must also set aside books such as
"Rules for Radicals" and other socialist propaganda of hatred.
Whether Islamism or Socialism, both of these are ideologies based on lies,
slander, hatred and control. America must protect itself from such corrosive
ideologies by unapologetically reaffirming our Judeo-Christian culture and our
Constitution of freedoms before they are taken away from us -- or, worse, we
blindly give them away.
Nonie Darwish, born and raised in Egypt, is the author of "The Devil
We Don't Know."
U.S.
Distorts Nigerian Jihad on Christians
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Boko
Haram's terror campaign is motivated entirely by religion -- even as the Obama
administration refuses to designate the group a terrorist organization, spends
millions of U.S. tax dollars on superfluous initiatives to find out the
"true causes," and pressures the Nigerian president to make
concessions, including building more mosques, the very structures where Muslims
are radicalized and converted to Boko Haram's jihad -- while the Boko Haram
pressures the Nigerian president to "repent and forsake
Christianity."
While the Obama administration continues to say that the Islamic group Boko
Haram's jihad against Nigeria's Christians—which has seen countless churches
destroyed, and thousand Christians killed— has
nothing
to do with religion, the group once again made clear that it is
all
about religion. According to a
recent report:
In an online video released last week, the militant Muslim group Boko Haram
demanded that Nigeria's Christian president either convert to Islam, or resign.
[Boko] Haram head Abubakar Shekau told President Goodluck Jonathan to "repent
and forsake Christianity," otherwise Shekau's followers would continue
their violent campaign...
Indeed, despite the fact that the Obama administration has agreed to spend
$600 million in
an
USAID initiative launched to ascertain the "true causes" behind
Boko Haram's murderous bloodlust, the fact is it was clear from the very
beginning that the group and other Muslims were enraged that Nigeria was being
led by a Christian, President Goodluck Jonathan, even though he won elections
"by a landslide."
Writing back in April 2011, Nigerian analyst
Peter Run said:
The current wave of riots was triggered by the Independent National Election
Commission's (INEC) announcement on Monday [April 18, 2011] that the incumbent
President, Dr. Goodluck Jonathan, won in the initial round of ballot counts.
That there were riots in the largely Muslim inhabited northern states where the
defeat of the Muslim candidate Muhammadu Buhari was [deemed] intolerable was
unsurprising…. Now they are angry despite
experts
and observers concurring that this is the fairest and most independent
election in recent Nigerian history.
Once again, then, reality is easily ascertained—at root, Boko Haram's terror
campaign is entirely motivated by religion—even as the Obama administration
refuses
to designate the group as a terrorist organization, spends millions of U.S.
tax dollars on superfluous initiatives (or diversions), and pressures the
Nigerian president to
make
concessions, including building more mosques, the very structures where
Muslims are radicalized and recruited to Boko Haram's jihad.
Raymond Ibrahim is a
Shillman Fellow at the David Horowitz Freedom Center and an Associate Fellow at
the Middle East Forum
Iran
Steps Up Threats to Rub Out Israel
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Jerusalem
does not view these threats in isolation: it links them directly to the
narrowing gap that separates Teheran from possession of nuclear weapons.
Iran has in recent days unleashed a flurry of genocidal threats signaling
its intention to try and destroy the state of Israel.
The messages have come at the height of a domestic Israeli debate raging
over the question of a potentially imminent strike on Iran's rapidly advancing
nuclear weapons program.
While Tehran routinely sends out threats of wholesale destruction against
the Jewish nation-state, the past few days have been unusual due to the scope,
frequency, and audacity of the threats.
The Iranian leadership, headed by Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, is
guided by a hardline Shi'ite political-religious ideology which places
non-acceptance of Israel's very existence at the top of its foreign policy
agenda.
Through its commitment to this ideology, Iran remains the only state in the
world that not only calls for genocide, in violation of the 1948 Convention
Against Genocide to which it is a signatory, but calls for the destruction of
another UN member state, in violation of the UN Charter to which it is also a
signatory and which, if the UN ever implemented any of its own laws, should
cause the ouster of Iran from that body.
These threats are a direct result of Iran's dark state ideology, although
some of the most recent ones have been tailored to include an attempt to deter
Israel from hitting Iranian nuclear sites. General Amir Ali Hajizadeh, for
example, head of the Revolutionary Guard's air force, claimed he
"welcomed" an Israeli strike because it would give Iran a reason to
"get rid of Israel forever."
That speech was soon followed by a message from the head of Hezbollah,
Iran's military proxy in Lebanon, armed with some 60,000 rockets pointed at
Israel.
In a lengthy televised address, Hezbollah chief Hassan Nasrallah said his
organization could kill tens of thousands of Israeli civilians in a future war,
by striking strategic Israeli sites with his rocket arsenal.
Alluding to sites such as plants containing hazardous chemicals, Nasrallah
said, "Hitting these targets with a small number of rockets will turn ...
the lives of hundreds of thousands of Zionists to real hell, and we can talk
about tens of thousands of dead."
The main factor behind the upsurge in threats is the Iranian state-sponsored
celebration of its annihilation policy towards Israel, which occurs on the
fourth and last Friday of Ramadan every year.
The event is called "Al-Quds (Jerusalem) Day," and involves mass
rallies, speeches by Iranian leaders, chants of "Death to Israel,"
and placards bearing the same intent. Last week, Khamenei described Israel as a
"cancerous tumor" and "the biggest problem confronting Muslim
countries today," according to Iranian media reports.
"Many of the Islamic world's problems come from the existence of the
sham Zionist regime," Khamenei added, in comments that are reminiscent of
traditional anti-Semitic comments that could be heard everywhere before the
Holocaust.
Khamenei also expressed hope that the "Arab spring" would hasten
an Islamic "awakening" towards Iran's goal of obliterating Israel.
A few days before this, Khamenei called Israel a "bogus and fake
Zionist outgrowth," adding that he was sure that "the fake Zionist
(regime) will disappear from the landscape of geography."
President Mamoud Ahmaedinejad continued this threat by saying that "The
Zionist regime and the Zionists are a cancerous tumor."
Also last week, Brig.- Gen. Gholamreza Jalali, who heads Iran's Passive
Civil Defense Organization and is a former commander of the Revolutionary
Guards, said there was "no other option but to destroy Israel."
"[Al-Quds Day] is a reflection of the fact that no other way exists
apart from resolve and strength to completely eliminate the aggressive nature
and to destroy Israel," Iranian state media outlets quoted Jalali as
saying.
Even though Iran's menacing messages did not make many headlines in the
international media, they did prompt a scattering of condemnations.
UN Secretary General Ban Ki-Moon described the threats as "offensive
and inflammatory," although he did not announce any plans to cancel his
attendance of a conference of non-aligned nations, scheduled to take place in
Tehran later this month.
The EU's foreign policy and security chief Catherine Ashton also condemned
Khamenei's comments as "outrageous and hateful."
What is critical in understanding the Israeli government's perception of the
Iranian menace is that Jerusalem does not view these threats in isolation; it
links them directly to the narrowing gap that separates Tehran from possession
of nuclear warheads.
Some commentators have pointed out that Iran's regional influence in the
Middle East is on the retreat, due to the impending loss of its Syrian ally,
and the ascendency of the Sunnis.
But it is Sunni Islamists who are on the rise across the region, not
subscribers to humanist liberalism. Once Iran goes nuclear, that breakout will
trigger a regional arms race, and prompt Sunni states such as Egypt, Saudi
Arabia and Turkey to rush to get nuclear weapons, too.
A nuclear arms race in one of the world's most volatile regions, involving
countries ruled by hardline Islamists – whether Sunnis or Shi'ites – would
create an intolerably dangerous environment, both for Israel and for global
security as a whole.
To comprehend how a future Middle East would look under a nuclear Iran, one
need only imagine Khamenei using a future "Al-Quds day" once again to
threaten Israel with destruction -- only this time, on the same day that Iran
tests an atomic bomb.
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