Friday, January 29, 2016

Eye on Iran: Iran, France Hail 'New Relationship'






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AFP: "Iran's President Hassan Rouhani and his French counterpart Francois Hollande hailed a 'new relationship' between their countries Thursday as the leader of the Islamic Republic visited Paris to seal a host of post-sanctions deals. A commitment for Tehran to buy 118 Airbus aircraft was the most eye-catching of the deals that also included agreements for carmaker Peugeot to return to Iran and for Total to buy Iranian crude oil. 'A new era in our relationship starts today,' Hollande said at a press conference with Rouhani... French Prime Minister Manuel Valls said Iran 'can count on France'... Rouhani was welcomed to Paris with military honours and national anthems before addressing business leaders. Deals agreed Thursday included a $25 billion (22 billion euros) accord under which Iran will purchase 73 long-haul and 45 medium-haul Airbus passenger planes to update its ageing fleet. The countries signed a memorandum of understanding because the aircraft deal cannot be finalised until sanctions are fully lifted. 'The sky has brightened for Iranian passengers, and Airbus is pleased to welcome the return of Iran to the international civil aviation community,' said the boss of the European aircraft maker, Fabrice Bregier... In another bonanza for France, oil giant Total agreed to take between 150,000 and 200,000 barrels of Iranian crude a day." http://t.uani.com/1KKohiP

AP: "Iran flew a surveillance drone over a U.S. aircraft carrier and took 'precise' photographs of it as part of an ongoing naval drill, state television reported Friday. The U.S. Navy said an unarmed Iranian drone flew near a French and American carrier on Jan. 12, but couldn't confirm it was the same incident. The reported overflight by the unmanned aircraft came after a series of naval incidents between Iran and the U.S. in the greater Persian Gulf, including test rocket fire by the Islamic Republic and its brief capture of American sailors who strayed into its territorial waters. The Associated Press could not independently verify the footage, which shows the drone taking video as it flies over the flight deck of an aircraft carrier. Cmdr. Kevin Stephens, a spokesman for the U.S. Navy's 5th Fleet based in Bahrain, said an unarmed Iranian drone flew near the French aircraft carrier Charles de Gaulle and 'directly over' the USS Harry S. Truman on Jan. 12 as the vessels were in international waters in the Persian Gulf. He said the drone 'posed no danger to the ship' as the unmanned aircraft was unarmed and the carrier wasn't conducting flight operations at the time... 'It was, however, abnormal and unprofessional,' Stephens said... The report by state television said the drone flight occurred on the third day of the naval exercise, suggesting it happened Friday. Later, its website and the semi-official Fars news agency, which is close to Iran's elite Revolutionary Guard, published footage it said was of the drone's flight. The footage showed the drone launch and later hover above what appeared to be an aircraft carrier underway in a body of water. The footage zoomed into a row of fighter jets on the carrier's deck... Adm. Habibollah Sayyari, the commander of Iran's navy, called the drone overflight 'a sign of bravery.' It 'allowed our men to go so close to the warship and shoot such a beautiful and accurate footage of the combat units of the foreign forces,' he told state television. State television and the state-run IRNA news agency said an Iranian light submarine also participated in the surveillance operation... Separately, state television said Iran's navy successfully fired surface-to-surface Noor cruise missiles during the drill at mock targets." http://t.uani.com/23xQnth

Mehr (Iran): "Head of AEOI has said during an expert meeting the volume of nuclear material has increased significantly since implementation of JCPOA. Ali Akbar Salehi who was speaking a meeting of Iran's Strategic Council on Foreign Relations held to address nuclear deal with the 5+1 on Wednesday, said that the nuclear negotiations had been led in a path so as to leave the major components of program intact; 'exploration, extraction, enrichment, research reactors, and R and D are the major components of the nuclear program; JCPOA did not completely stymied the program, and we have only been slower in terms of progress,' Mr. Salehi told the meeting of experts. 'In other activities even we have accelerated the pace, including in the volume of nuclear material which was 550 ton before, now we have 770 tons of nuclear material; this is a fact known to IAEA. With heavy water, we secured the project along with R and D, extraction and exploration. These provide testimony to the fact that allegations of complete suspension of nuclear activities are baseless. In the process, we also secured UNSC's acknowledgement and recognition of Iran's nuclear program,' he emphasized. 'We believe that Iran is fully entitled to enrichment rights according to articles of the IAEA and NPT; a major derive behind pressures on Iran was to prevent enrichment and heavy water production; they believed Iran should not have been active in these areas; however, we were active in both paths, since we were not sure that which one would lead us to nuclear fuel sooner,' Salehi concluded his speech." http://t.uani.com/1NFzSPU

Nuclear Program & Agreement

NBC: "It took Iran's Ayatollah, an Arab sultan, secret letters, and an American college connection to help seal the historic deal between Iran and the United States, according to a senior Iranian negotiator. Ali Akbar Salehi, the energetic, English-speaking head of Iran's Atomic Energy Organization, told NBC News in Tehran how the deal unfolded from Iran's perspective, revealing for the first time some of his country's calculations, preconditions and continued mistrust of Washington. Salehi, who is also one of Iran's vice presidents, said the country's supreme leader, the Ayatollah Ali Khameini, was involved at every step of the way in the secret so-called 'second track' with Washington. 'Without the supreme leader, we were not able to start the second track. That is for sure,' he said... Salehi said the supreme leader's four conditions limited how far the negotiators were able to go in their talks with Washington. 'One condition was that, Look, you just discuss the nuclear issue. You do not enter into any other issue. I mean, no political negotiations. It's only nuclear issue negotiation.' The second condition, he said, was for the talks to be quick, and not drag on 'lethargically.' 'The third condition was that they (Washington) will have to recognize our basic right, which is enrichment. And the fourth condition was a condition that, let's keep it for ourselves.' When pressed, Salehi said the fourth condition was 'procedural,' but provided no further details... The negotiations over Iran's nuclear program culminated with smiling press announcements from Kerry and Zarif in Vienna earlier this month, but this didn't all happen peacefully. There's blood on the ground too. Five photographs are prominently displayed on the wall of Salahi's Tehran office. The quiet, soft spoken man, who speaks fluent, barely accented English, became emotional when he showed them to us, his voice instantly hardening. The photographs are of four nuclear scientists and a driver murdered in Tehran in an effort to sabotage Iran's nuclear program. Salehi blamed Israel for the murders but says Washington shares the responsibility. 'We have all the information that it was the Zionist regime,' he said. 'But there is - there was - a tacit, we think, agreement from the United States as well, unfortunately.' ... Asked if he expected a sixth photograph on his wall, Salehi showed a passion previously hidden behind his relaxed demeanor. 'I hope it's me. I hope it's me,' he said. 'Because this is a source of pride, I told you. We look for martyrdom. We are not frightened of that.'" http://t.uani.com/1QL1vO9

Tehran Times: "Iran's nuclear chief announced on Wednesday that South Korea has expressed its willingness to cooperate with Iran in building nuclear power plants. 'In a meeting that I recently had with the South Korean ambassador in Tehran they expressed their willingness for cooperation with Iran in (building nuclear) plants,' Ali Akbar Salehi, director of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI), told a meeting hosted by the Strategic Council for Foreign Relations. Salehi said 'some European countries have also expressed willingness' to cooperate with Iran in nuclear industry. According to Tasnim news agency, Salehi also said Iran is keen to cooperate with South Korea on construction of small nuclear reactors and large nuclear power plants. Salehi, a nuclear physicist, also voiced Iran's keenness for closer cooperation with Seoul in supplying advanced equipment for nuclear medicine and other peaceful uses of nuclear technology." http://t.uani.com/1Sg7f4c

Boston Globe: "A Chinese national was sentenced Wednesday to nine years in federal prison for his role in smuggling US-manufactured goods used to enrich uranium into Iran, in a case that is connected to recent diplomacy deal with that country. Sihai Cheng, 36, ... was indicted in 2013 along with an Iranian national and two Iranian companies for smuggling US-manufactured pressure transducers through China and into Iran, to help that country in its efforts to produce weapons-quality uranium. The Iranian national, Seyed Abolfazl Shahab Jamili, lives in Iran, and a warrant had been issued by the United States for his arrest. But charges against him were dismissed earlier this month when the United States and Iran agreed to a program that allowed for the release or dismissal of charges for 14 Iranian nationals accused of US crimes. David Albright, a researcher with the Institute for Science and International Security, who has studied Iran's proliferation efforts, testified during a hearing Wednesday that the transducers are used in gas centrifuges to enrich uranium. Because international sanctions prohibit transporting transducers into Iran, the country depended on illegal networks like Cheng's to build its nuclear facilities, Albright testified. 'They were critical parts to make a centrifuge work, and if Iran did not get these parts they could not use a centrifuge,' Albright testified... Cheng's lawyer, Stephen Weymouth, accused federal prosecutors of unfair treatment against Cheng - whom he described as a middleman in the smuggling scheme -while agreeing to dismiss charges against Jamili, who he called the mastermind. Jamili had a national interest to obtain the parts, Weymouth argued... [US District Judge Patti B.] Saris said she could not judge Jamili's release without knowing the details, though she called him an equal accomplice in Cheng's crimes. Still, she agreed to dismiss the case against him at the government's request and said Cheng's sentence will serve as a deterrent against smuggling. 'I hope this is sending a clear message that regardless of the current diplomatic stance in all this, it's still against the law to sell these products to Iran,' she said." http://t.uani.com/1OUtpVB

U.S.-Iran Relations

AP: "Secretary of Defense Ash Carter says Iran's videotaping of American sailors surrendering aboard their boats in the Persian Gulf earlier this month made him deeply angry. In the video, the 10 Americans were on their knees with their hands on the heads, as Iranian troops took them and their boats into custody. They were released the following morning. The boats had crossed into Iranian territorial waters for reasons the U.S. Navy has not yet fully explained. Carter said that if the circumstances were reversed, U.S. forces would not have videotaped captured Iranian sailors. He said he has no reason to think the U.S. sailors acted inappropriately." http://t.uani.com/1WRNNcQ

Free Beacon: "Defense Secretary Ash Carter lashed out at the Iranian government on Thursday for the way it treated 10 U.S. sailors who were recently captured in the Islamic Republic's waters. Carter said that the U.S. personnel were not treated properly by Iran, which seized the U.S. ships by force and later published embarrassing pictures of the sailors on their knees at gunpoint. Carter's comments are significantly different from those offered by Secretary of State John Kerry, who claimed earlier this month that the U.S. sailors were 'well taken care of.' Asked how he felt upon viewing video footage of the U.S. sailors being abducted at gunpoint, Carter responded, that he 'was very, very angry at it.' 'I'll tell you what. Americans wouldn't have done that,' he said. 'I said that before, that for me, as Secretary of Defense, I think it's probably true of everybody in the Department, to see our guys in that situation on Iranian TV, that's really not OK.' U.S. forces would never treat another country's personnel in this manner, Carter said... Referring to video published by Iran showing the U.S. sailors apologizing for their actions, Carter described the footage as inappropriate and coerced. 'I have no reason to believe anything else, and this was a situation that they were put into coercively and then filmed. Again, not something we would ever do,' he said. Carter's comments stand in sharp contrast to those offered by Kerry in the days after the sailors were captured and subsequently released. Kerry praised Iran and thanked 'the Iranian authorities for their cooperation and quick response.'" http://t.uani.com/1Pn71FG

USNI: "A navigation error - not technology tampering - led to two U.S. Navy riverine command boats and ten sailors being held by Iranian forces earlier this month, USNI News has learned. Several sources confirmed to USNI News that the crews of the two boats, assigned to Coastal Riverine Squadron 3, had misjudged their location when they mistakenly strayed into Iranian waters off of Farsi Island in the middle of the Persian Gulf on Jan. 12 while trying to meet a ship for refueling. The sources said the mistake was a result of human error, not a failure in navigation systems. During the voyage leadership on the RCBs made an unplanned course change during the transit in route to a refueling stop with with USCGC Monomoy (WPB-1326) at about the midway point of the trip. The crews of the boats were determining their position and repairing a mechanical problem with one of the boats when forces from the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy (IRGCN) - the units responsible for costal defense in Iran - interdicted the U.S. RCBs and took both the boats and their crews to Farsi Island... While the error on the part of the sailors prompted the interdiction by the IRGCN, the conduct of the Iranians is arguably a violation of maritime law, James Kraska, professor in the Stockton Center for the Study of International Law at the Naval War College, told USNI News on Thursday. Under the U.N. Law of the Sea Convention - of which Iran is a signatory - the IRGCN forces could challenge a ship in their territorial waters operating under the concept of innocent passage but went over the line in drawing weapons, detaining the crew and seizing the boats, Kraska said. The lack of U.S. reaction internationally to the seizure - which occurred mere days before the implantation of the long negotiated nuclear treaty with Iran - creates a troubling precedent for U.S. operations in the future, he said... 'Why wouldn't there be any reaction to this incident [on the part of the U.S.]?' Kraska said. 'Other countries now understand there's going to be no reaction to the similar incidents in the future.'" http://t.uani.com/1nsR5aa

NYT: "Mr. Trevithick - whose incarceration in Iran was not even publicly known until the prisoner deal was announced - spoke in detail for the first time about his confinement in an interview Wednesday night on CNN's 'Anderson Cooper 360.' Mr. Trevithick, who had been studying Farsi and staying at Tehran University, said he was arrested in December by three people in an unmarked car while 'walking down the street on my way to buy my ticket to come home.' Fifteen minutes later, he said, he was inside a cell at Tehran's Evin Prison, and was asked by an interrogator who was fondling prayer beads if he knew Mr. Rezaian. Mr. Trevithick said he responded that 'the whole world' knew him. 'He's never leaving and neither are you,' Mr. Trevithick quoted the interrogator as saying. Mr. Trevithick said he was told he was a suspect in a conspiracy to topple the government. 'I was accused of having access to bank accounts of millions of dollars. And I was accused of knowing the locations of weapons caches that had been secretly planted around the country to prepare for my work,' he said. Fleshing out another new detail of the five former captives, the family of Amir Hekmati, 32, confirmed in a statement that he had spent 60 days as a cellmate of Saeed Abedini, 35. Mr. Hekmati, a Marine veteran from Flint, Mich., was held for four-and-a-half years, the longest imprisonment of all five. Mr. Abedini, a pastor from Boise, Idaho, was held for more than three years. Mr. Abedini first spoke of his time with Mr. Hekmati in an interview on Fox's 'On the Record with Greta Van Susteren' broadcast on Monday. After he refused to sign papers implicating him in crimes he did not commit, Mr. Abedini said, he was abused. Later he was blindfolded and moved into a cell with Mr. Hekmati. 'First, when I removed my eye band, and I saw Amir, I got very heartbroken to see what they did to our Marine,' Mr. Abedini said, describing Mr. Hekmati as having looked thin, weak and beaten, with two black eyes." http://t.uani.com/1SoxBz4

Reuters: "An American student detained in Iran who was freed this month under a prisoner swap said on Thursday he was accused of trying to overthrow the Iranian government and held for nearly a month in solitary confinement. Matthew Trevithick, who had traveled to Iran to study Farsi, told CNN that interrogators at Iran's Evin Prison also accused him of having access to millions of dollars and knowledge of secret weapons caches. In his first television interview since his Jan. 16 release, he described his 41-day ordeal, including how he was captured and his treatment and conditions at the prison. Asked what he would tell tourists or students considering travel to Iran, he said: 'I wouldn't advise that they go, sadly.... Unfortunately, I don't think the time is ready for you to go.... I would not encourage people to go to Iran.' The Massachusetts native had traveled to Iran in September, planning to spend four months at a center affiliated with Tehran University, his family has said. Trevithick told CNN he was finishing his studies and making plans to go home for the Christmas holidays when he was picked up and driven straight to prison. He said he spent 29 days alone before being moved to a cell with other prisoners. A jailer asked if he knew Jason Rezaian, the Washington Post journalist who had been held for more than a year in Iran. 'I said of course, the whole world knows Jason Rezaian,' he told CNN. 'And he said 'He's never leaving and neither are you.' And that's when you know it starts to hit you ... I'm a prisoner.' ... He said interrogators tried to videotape a confession admitting to attempts at overthrowing the Iranian government, but he refused." http://t.uani.com/1VvpbW9

Tasnim (Iran): "A senior Iranian cleric urged President Hassan Rouhani's administration not to allow the domestic market to turn to a hub for American and European goods, especially after the recent termination of anti-Iran sanctions following the implementation of nuclear deal. Addressing a large group of worshippers here in Tehran on Friday, the city's Provisional Friday Prayers Leader Ayatollah Kazem Seddiqi appreciated the Iranian nuclear negotiating team for finalizing the nuclear deal (known as JCPOA) with world powers back in July 2015 as well as its implementation on January 16. Ayatollah Seddiqi, however, warned against the (excessive) imports of European and American goods to the Iranian market, saying that it would make people consumerists and lead to a liberalist economy." http://t.uani.com/1ZYDa8c

Sanctions Enforcement

AP: "The Treasury Department is sanctioning two Lebanese men suspected of laundering money for the Iran-backed Hezbollah militant group. The department targeted Mohamad Noureddine and Hamdi Zaher for providing financial services to Hezbollah, which the U.S. has designated as a terrorist organization. Thursday's action freezes any assets they have under U.S. jurisdiction and prohibits U.S. citizens from doing business with them. The U.S. has sanctioned more than 100 individuals and entities associated with Hezbollah. Treasury claims Noureddine has laundered money through his company called Trade Point International S.A.R.L. He is accused of using his network across Asia, Europe, and the Middle East to provide money laundering, bulk cash shipment, black market currency exchange and other financial services to clients, including members of Hezbollah." http://t.uani.com/1Pn9obI

Sanctions Relief

Reuters: "Iran agreed on Thursday to buy 118 Airbus jets worth $27 billion at list prices, including a dozen A380 superjumbos, after international sanctions were lifted against Tehran this month. The planemaker said the deal, signed amid a raft of others during a visit by President Hassan Rouhani, was conditional on getting U.S. export licenses because more than 10 percent of Airbus jetliner parts come from the United States. The order for 73 wide-body and 45 narrow-body jets allows Airbus to steal a march on US rival Boeing as Iran seeks to renovate and expand its worn-out fleet of 225 planes. The inclusion of A380s - the world's largest jetliner - sends a commercial signal to established carriers in the Gulf, and is a boost for Airbus, which has been struggling to sell them. However, they will not be delivered before end-decade as Iran expands its airports and focuses on urgent needs. Boeing has so far held back from Iran amid what industry sources and diplomats describe as political and legal concerns, but Iranian officials are urging it to mimic its European rival. The Airbus deal depends on unraveling a knot of financial issues including whether and how Iran can avoid using the U.S. financial system for the jets, usually priced in dollars. Deputy transport minister Asghar Fakhrieh Kashan told Reuters the deal would be financed using a mixture of European export credits - which guarantee loans by commercial banks - and lease financing... The deal was negotiated partly on the sidelines of a major CAPA aviation conference in Tehran this week, where Iran outlined requirements for 400-500 planes and offered flexible new regulations... Other models ordered include 45 A320-family jets and 45 longer-haul A330s. Both those sets of orders included current and revamped models and helped lift the catalog value of the deal from earlier estimates of $25 billion. Iran also ordered 16 long-range A350-1000 twin-engined jets." http://t.uani.com/1RR57iK

Mehr (Iran): "Deputy transport minister has revealed details of the four transport contracts with France, saying a new Airbus A330 jet is likely to enter Iran by mid-February. Deputy Transport Minister for International Affairs, Asghar Fakhrieh, told MNA correspondent that two deals have been struck with Europe's Airbus, one of which is a comprehensive cooperation with Airbus in the aviation sector on various issues such as maintenance, service and spare parts supply, management and even help with the country's technical air condition. Fakhrieh added that Airbus plans to cooperate with Iranian knowledge-based companies which are capable of building certain aircraft parts and can export these parts abroad. 'Airbus can even give certificates so that these companies could export their products. It has even been decided that the French company would purchase some of the Iranian-built parts,' he said. Noting that Iran has plans for buying a total of 118 Airbus aircraft from the French company, he added 'the aircraft will gradually enter Iran by 2023, while to meet our needs, a number of these jet airliners in various classes will enter the country within the next seven years.' According to Fakhrieh, the majority of the aircraft are of A320 and A321 models that will be used for domestic flights as well as for flights destined to neighboring countries." http://t.uani.com/1OUt310

WSJ: "European buyers of Iranian crude oil are struggling to find tankers to ship the commodity, shipping company officials said, highlighting a challenge for Iran as it ramps up exports with the end of western sanctions. In recent days, half a dozen oil companies-including France's Total SA, Spain's Compañía Española de Petróleos SAU, or CEPSA, and Swiss trader Litasco Group-have been trying to find tankers to ship up to 8 million barrels to EU countries next month, according to European and Iranian shipping professionals. 'I am just testing the waters. But I had to give up,' said an official at Greek tanker owner who initially agreed to book a loading of Iranian crude before failing to find insurance. The insurance problems have put a brake on Iran's efforts to ramp up exports by 1 million barrels a day this year with the end of western sanctions over its nuclear program in January. The country's crude exports rose by 200,000 barrels a day in January, an increase of 19% over the same month in 2015, but the shipments were mostly to Asia. Iranian officials say their plans to increase exports by 500,000 barrels a day in the short term and by 1 million barrels a day later this year, largely rely on the return of European buyers. Western insurance companies are reluctant to underwrite voyages to Europe with Iranian crude oil because several layers of Americans sanctions remain in effect, despite a broad set of restrictions that were lifted this month in exchange for curbs on Iran's nuclear program. One key issue is that London's International Group of Protection & Indemnity Clubs-which covers most of the world's tankers-pools coverage of its larger claims between insurers, including a U.S. member. That is problematic because the U.S. maintains a ban on direct relations between American companies and financial institutions and Iran-including a prohibition to use U.S. dollars. The U.S. Treasury recently reminded the International Group of these prohibitions, the insurers' group said in a circular last week, adding it is trying to find solutions to insure Iranian oil ships without breaching U.S. sanctions... The insurance issue has cast a cloud over recently announced deals between Iran and western companies. On Thursday, Total said it had signed a long-term crude supply deal with Iran for up to 200,000 barrels a day, hard on the heels of a similar deal with Greece's largest refinery Hellenic Petroleum. But Total, Litasco, a trader owned by Russian oil giant Lukoil, and Cepsa have run into similar issues, shipping officials said... In Asia, shipping companies have obtained tanker insurance through their governments. Shipping officials said that solution hasn't been applied in Europe yet." http://t.uani.com/1NFtyYT

Reuters: "Iran is on track to raise oil production by 500,000 barrels per day after the lifting of sanctions this month and has already sold 6 supertankers with additional crude to buyers in Europe and Asia, a Iranian oil source said. The source, familiar with export operations, said three supertankers with additional volumes of crude have been sold to buyers in Europe and three to Asian customers for delivery in February. Trading sources said Litasco, the trading arm of Russia's Lukoil, looked set to become the first buyer in Europe since the lifting of sanctions. The Swiss trader will deliver one million barrels of Iranian Light grade to Lukoil's Petrotel refinery in Romania, loading at Iran's Kharg Island terminal on February 5. 'Iran raised its crude oil production by at least 500,000 bpd and the market will see it in the next few days,' said the Iranian source, who is familiar with export operations. '(There are) three contracts finalised with European customers... Iran is also talking with its traditional customers in Asia, especially India.' ... The source said that by the end of March or start of April Iran will also introduce a new heavy crude blend, West Karun, to win back more customers." http://t.uani.com/1QKMmwj

Reuters: "Iran's oil exports are on set to rise more than a fifth in January and February from last year's daily average, data from a source with knowledge of its loading schedules shows, revealing how Tehran is ramping up sales after the lifting of sanctions. The data is the first sign of a resurgence in crude shipments as the OPEC producer begins to raise output and clears out oil that has built up in offshore storage over the past four years of curtailed participation in world markets... The Islamic republic's overall exports will total around 1.44 million barrels a day (bpd) in February and about 1.5 million bpd in January, according to the data on Iran's preliminary tanker loading schedules. Those shipping levels would be more than 20 percent higher than Iran's average daily exports last year, with the loadings this month at the highest since February 2014... 'It was expected that Iran would increase their exports as quickly as possible,' said Tony Nunan, a Mitsubishi Corp (8058.T) risk manager. 'Physically they can do it because they have so much availability in floating storage.' Much of the nearly 40 million barrels of oil stored by Iran in domestic tankers is condensate - an ultra light grade of crude - shipping sources have said, and the faster the light crude is moved out the quicker the ships can be used for more oil deliveries. Iran's shipments have surged nearly a quarter over the last four weeks from average tanker loadings of 1.21 million bpd last year following the lifting of sanctions earlier this month, according to the source's data... An Iranian source has said the country is targeting India, Asia's fastest-growing oil market, as its main destination for oil, which was backed by the shipping schedules. India will load more than 300,000 bpd in February, up from 183,000 bpd in January, according to the data. 'Why not? Nothing stops us. Definitely it should go up. It has to go up,' said an Indian oil ministry official, speaking to Reuters earlier this month about the end of sanctions on Iran... Exports to Asia in February are set to total 1.20 million bpd, holding near to an expected nine-month high of 1.24 million bpd for January. Iran plans to load 504,000 bpd for top customer China in February, down 5 percent from a six-month high expected in January, according to the source. Iran is planning to load 303,000 bpd next month for India, up 66 percent from the month before and highest since May 2015. Shipments to Japan and South Korea are expected to be lower in February after hitting multi-month highs in January." http://t.uani.com/1Pn1BKO

Reuters: "Asian imports of Iranian oil fell 18 percent in December from a year earlier, as Iran's biggest crude buyers refrained from increasing their purchases before sanctions were lifted as part of an agreement on Tehran's disputed nuclear programme. But Iran's rehabilitation in the international commercial system is proceeding fast, with oil exports surging this month and next, according to data obtained by Reuters. Billions of dollars of deals have also been agreed with companies from Italy, France and other European countries since sanctions were lifted at mid-month. Imports by Iran's four biggest buyers - China, India, Japan and South Korea - came to just below 1 million  barrels per day (bpd) in December, down from 1.2 million bpd from a year ago, government and tanker-tracking data show. The 2015 imports were slightly above 1 million bpd, down 8 percent from the year before... Japan's purchases of Iranian crude rose more than 30 percent in December from a year earlier to about 175,000 bpd, trade ministry data showed on Friday." http://t.uani.com/1nCO1sO

WSJ: "Iran's biggest shipping line hopes to start calling again at European ports, with plans for a bi-weekly service connecting India, Iran and Europe as early as next month, according to people familiar with the matter. The service would be the first time in five years that ships from the company, Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines, would tie up at European ports. The plan comes just two weeks after the lifting of broad economic sanctions against Iran, part of an international deal to curtail Tehran's nuclear ambitions. Since sanctions have lifted, Iranian officials have announced a host of deals with European companies, including an agreement earlier this week to buy Airbus Group SE jetliners. Also this week, Total SA agreed to start buying Iranian crude again... IRISL or one of its subsidiaries plans to start a regular service shipping 6,000 containers along a route that would include stops at the Iranian port of Bandar Abbas on the Persian Gulf, Nhava Sheva in India, Istanbul, and European ports, including Felixstowe, U.K, Genoa, Italy, and Le Havre, France, according to one person familiar with the plans. More ports could be added later. Executives hope the sailings will be the first step in an ambitious plan by the Iranian company to win a slice of the global container-shipping market. The company is also contemplating purchases of giant Triple E container vessels, the largest class of container ships in the world... In addition to IRISL, global shipping firms will be jostling for a slice of the newly opened Iran market, Mr. Jensen said. The last time IRISL made port calls to Europe was in 2010 through its subsidiary Hafiz Darya Shipping Co., or HDS Lines. Brokers said HDS Lines will likely be the one launching the new sailings to Europe. IRISL Managing Director Mohammad Saeidi told The Wall Street Journal late last year that annual seaborne trade between the European Union and Iran amounted to $15 billion before the first broad, international sanctions were imposed on the country in 2008. Tehran expects to reach that level within three years after sanctions are lifted... Mr. Saeeidi said in the interview in October that IRISL had a fleet of 41 container vessels, with the biggest ships having a maximum capacity of around 12,000 containers... Earlier this week, IRISL and French giant CMA CGM signed an agreement that will see the two operators sharing vessels, routes and port calls." http://t.uani.com/1VvixPD

FT: "When Shahrzad Afrashteh returned from the UK to her birthplace in Iran two years ago, she spotted an opportunity. With Iran open for business now sanctions over its nuclear ambitions have been lifted, investors are being drawn to one of the largest untapped markets where the government hopes they will bring $50bn a year. But in a business environment marked by scarce data, tax evasion, outdated accounting practices, corruption and an inefficient judicial system, foreign investors often look to local partners to help them navigate what could be a due-diligence minefield. Fixers are everywhere, but finding one with the right expertise is no easy task. Enter Ms Afrashteh, who is confident her 13 years in the western healthcare sector, coupled with the local knowledge of Mia Mortazavi, her Iranian partner, will benefit their Arta Corporate Business Services consultancy... Business consultancies such as Turquoise Partners, Ara Enterprise, ICG Group, Cyrus Omron International and Atieh Bahar are well established in the country, working largely with investors in the private sector, where business relationships and structures have become opaque after many state-run organisations, including the elite revolutionary guards, set up their own 'private' front companies... Corruption remains a problem in the state sector, with Iranian businesspeople complaining of the need to bribe officials in customs, the judiciary and elsewhere - a practice that would be unacceptable and even illegal for many foreign organisations. 'In a legal dispute, I had to pay about 100m tomans [$32,000] in fines,' says one businessman in Tehran selling European-designed watches. 'But the judge told me his daughter was getting married and sent his family over to my shop, which cost me 15m tomans in watches instead of 100m toman.' Some middlemen are prone to skirting around customs duties - another practice that could land foreign investors in trouble, warns Ali Amiri, a London-based founder of ACL, an asset manager... Outside Iran's own business culture, remaining US non-nuclear sanctions have alerted international investors to the risks of entering the market too quickly. 'It is a complex regulatory environment, not at all consistent,' says the chief executive of a large UAE lender. 'At this stage we have to be very careful and we should assume harsh implementation.'"http://t.uani.com/1NFx3yq

Reuters: "Iran's trade and industry minister urged French banks on Thursday to overcome their wariness about doing business with the country, seeking to drum up much-needed foreign investment. French banks have been reluctant to handle deals with Iran, deterred by a $9 billion U.S. fine on Paris-based BNP Paribas in 2014 for sanctions violations, even as both governments celebrated renewed ties... Iran's industry minister Mohammad Reza Nematzadeh, speaking at a Franco-Iranian business forum, said there were no longer obstacles to keep French banks from doing business with Iran. 'If they don't get active, there will be no increase in business,' he warned... Senior French bankers said the memory of BNP Paribas' fine remained too fresh and the current sanctions framework, with a possibility to snap them back in place, was off-putting. 'Big banks got really smacked down, so they won't come back without seeing how things go for while,' Cyrus Mobasher, an Iran-based consultant, told Reuters. However, smaller banks such as Natixis may be more willing to do business with Tehran, he said. Businessmen hope French export-credit insurer Coface could also help get things moving. Coface signed a deal with Iran on Thursday, the French president's office said. Nematzadeh said it was a major step, but no details were immediately available... But Josiane Galippe, head of development and international at Banque SBA, a unit of Banque Libano-Francaise, said it was still too early to engage with Iran. 'There are still many products that remain under sanctions for the moment, sanctions have only partially been lifted,' she said. 'When you hear them speak today, it's like everything is open for business. But so far it's still just talk, things have not started in practice.' Meanwhile, the French and Iranian central banks have formally re-established ties to allow Iranian banks to handle business with France, French Economy Minister Emmanuel Macron said." http://t.uani.com/1PET5CF

Mehr (Iran): "National Iranian Oil Company (NIOC) has signed an agreement with French oil major Total SA allowing the company to buy hundreds of thousands of barrels of Iranian crude oil a day. NIOC Managing Director Roknodin Javadi and one senior manager at Total SA signed a Memorandum of Understaning (MoU) at the presence of Iranian President Hassan Rouhani and the President of France François Hollande. The meeting was also attended by Iran's Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh and Total CEO Patrick Pouyanné. 'We will sign an MoU with Total today,' Zanganeh had said on Thursday. Meanwhile, after meeting with President Rouhani in Paris on Thursday afternoon, Total Chief Executive Patrick Pouyanné had underlined the deal would allow his company to buy between 150,000 and 200,000 barrels a day from Iran. 'Previously, Total had an active participation in Iran fulfilling its commitments,' Pouyanné had noted estimating implementation of other projects with Iran though they require further negotiations." http://t.uani.com/20xNBSa

Reuters: "Sanofi signed a memorandum of cooperation with Iran's government aimed at boosting its presence in the country, the French drugmaker said on Thursday. The agreement was signed during the visit to Paris of President Hassan Rouhani during which France and Iran agreed to a series of transactions with several French firms... Sanofi said in statement it would consider expanding partnerships with local manufacturers to enhance the sharing of its expertise in industrial quality standards and increase the transfer of pharmaceutical production technology and know-how... Sanofi said that 55 percent of is sales in Iran were from products manufactured locally... Sanofi will compete in Iran with pharmaceutical firms such as Denmark's Novo Nordisk or Japan's Takeda as well as with Indian generics maker Cipla." http://t.uani.com/1SO5f2Q

Presidential Visit to Europe

Daily Mail: "A lunch between the French and Iranian presidents in Paris was scrapped today because France refused to remove wine from the menu. Iran's President Hassan Rouhani has been on a tour of Europe, signing billions of pounds worth of business deals with different nations, after economic sanctions against the country were lifted. He was due to dine with President Francois Hollande at an upmarket restaurant in the French capital. The French insisted on serving local food and wine but the Iranians demanded a halal menu in keeping with their Muslim faith. Hollande's officials said preparing the meal to be 'Iran friendly' went against France's republican values. The Elysee Palace suggested a breakfast with Rouhani instead, but this was said to be snubbed by the Iranian leader for being 'too cheap'... In contrast, the Italians made sure the Iranian visit went smoothly by keeping alcohol off the menu for state dinners and covering up its nude statues." http://t.uani.com/1UvexhU

Syria Conflict

WSJ: "Iran's President Hassan Rouhani on Thursday dismissed calls for Syria's president to step aside, dimming hopes that Tehran's détente with the West would help the two sides find common ground to end the Syrian war. Asked at a news conference in the Élysée Palace whether Tehran would drop its support for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, Mr. Rouhani called the question 'strange.' 'Syria's problem is not a question of people. The problem is terrorism and Islamic State,' Mr. Rouhani said, standing beside French President François Hollande, who has repeatedly called for Mr. Assad to step down. The stalemate over Mr. Assad bodes ill for a meeting set for Friday in Geneva, where the Syrian regime and opposition groups are meeting for talks to push for an end to the nearly five-year war. Mr. Rouhani's comments sounded a note of discord at the end of a four-day trip to Rome and Paris-the first for an Iranian president in 17 years... 'Iran can do business with Europe and support Assad and Hezbollah at the same time,' said Karim Sadjadpour, an Iran expert at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. 'If anything Iran may feel that now that is has Europe's commercial blessing there is even less reason for them to modify their policies.'" http://t.uani.com/1OUq4Wr

HRW: "Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC) has recruited thousands of undocumented Afghans living there to fight in Syria since at least November 2013, Human Rights Watch said today, and a few have reported that Iranian authorities coerced them. Iran has urged the Afghans to defend Shia sacred sites and offered financial incentives and legal residence in Iran to encourage them to join pro-Syrian government militias. Human Rights Watch in late 2015 interviewed more than two dozen Afghans who had lived in Iran about recruitment by Iranian officials of Afghans to fight in Syria. Some said they or their relatives had been coerced to fight in Syria and either had later fled and reached Greece, or had been deported to Afghanistan for refusing. One 17-year-old said he had been forced to fight without being given the opportunity to refuse. Others said they had volunteered to fight in Syria in Iranian-organized militias, either out of religious conviction or to regularize their residence status in Iran. 'Iran has not just offered Afghan refugees and migrants incentives to fight in Syria, but several said they were threatened with deportation back to Afghanistan unless they did,' said Peter Bouckaert, emergencies director at Human Rights Watch. 'Faced with this bleak choice, some of these Afghan men and boys fled Iran for Europe.' ... While Iran officially claims that thousands of Afghans living in Iran have volunteered to join the militias, their vulnerable legal position in Iran and the fear of deportation may contribute to their decision, making it less than voluntary. Many said that the threat of arrest and forced conscription in Iran was an important contributing factor in their decision to leave Iran." http://t.uani.com/1SNYEp7

Human Rights

RFE/RL: "A revolutionary court in Iran's Golestan Province has sentenced 24 believers in the Baha'i faith to as many as 11 years in prison each. A Geneva-based spokeswoman for the International Baha'i community, Simin Fahandezh, said the 24 individuals are being imprisoned strictly because of their religious faith, which is not officially recognized by Iran. 'They're innocent,' Fahandezh said. 'They haven't committed any crime as the only charge against them is their membership in the Baha'i community.' She said the prison sentences, ranging from six to 11 years, demonstrate that 'human rights have no value for Iranian authorities.' She said those who've been sentenced were detained in 2012 in Golestan during a crackdown against the Baha'i community... Fahandezh said there are currently more than 80 Baha'is in jail in Iran. She said the treatment of Baha'is in Iran has not changed since President Hassan Rohani took office and promised to improve Iran's human rights record. 'Baha'is are still being detained. Jailed. Young Baha'is are still being deprived of their right to study, and the number of Baha'i cemeteries that have been desecrated has increased,' Fahandezh said." http://t.uani.com/1OUnXSo

Domestic Politics

IranWire: "A recent survey conducted by Information and Public Opinion Solutions LLC (iPOS) has revealed that the majority of Iranians consider banks to be the most corrupt institutions in Iran. Of those polled, 77 percent said they believed that banks in Iran were 'highly', 'very' or 'relatively' corrupt. People also considered corruption to be rife in city governments and the judiciary, with 63 percent of those polled saying corruption was a serious problems in these public institutions. Fifty-five percent also said police were corrupt.  Most of the Iranians surveyed (71 pecent) believe that corruption is pervasive, and 96 percent agreed with the view that the only way to tackle the problem effectively was through harsh punishment. The new survey was conducted by iPOS, a private research institute based in McLean, Virginia in the United States. The survey was conducted through telephone interviews from September 26, 2015 to October 8, 2015, with a random sample of 1,548 Iranian adults aged 18 and older. All of those polled currently reside in Iran." http://t.uani.com/1PJM2ip

Opinion & Analysis

NYT Editorial: "Next month's elections in Iran do not bode well for Iranians eager for more political and social freedoms or for the promising new relationship with the West symbolized by the recent deal limiting Iran's nuclear program. Even before any ballots are cast, the death-to-America hard-liners who bitterly opposed the deal are stacking the deck against moderates led by President Hassan Rouhani, who signed the agreement and is more open than others in the power structure to further engagement with Western nations as well as expanding rights and freedoms for Iranian citizens. The hard-liners are in a good position to prevail in the Feb. 26 polls because of political manipulation and a nominating process that gives a small group of people enormous power over who can and cannot run. On that day, Iranians will vote for a 290-member Parliament and an 88-member Assembly of Experts, which is charged with selecting a new supreme leader when the incumbent, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who is 76 and reportedly ailing, dies. In a sign of heightened interest in electoral politics, some 12,000 Iranians registered to run in the election for Parliament, more than double the 5,405 who registered in 2012. Yet, more than 7,000 of those would-be candidates were disqualified by the Council of Guardians, a 12-member group appointed partly by the supreme leader and partly by the judiciary. Last week, nine reformist political parties complained that the council had approved only 30 of the 3,000 moderates who registered, and urged top leaders to reverse the disqualifications. Of the 801 candidates who had filed to run for the Assembly of Experts, only 166 were approved. On Tuesday came word that not even the grandson of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who founded the Islamic Republic in 1979, could pass muster with the ideologues who are determined to maintain control and resist change. The grandson, Hassan Khomeini, a cleric, wanted to run for the Assembly of Experts but was told that the council could not establish his 'scientific qualifications.' The council has not publicly explained what that means, but it seems likely that Mr. Khomeini was rejected because he is close to Mr. Rouhani and other reformers. Human Rights Watch says it reviewed documents that show significant numbers of candidates were disqualified for their political opinions. Iran does not have anything close to a real democracy. Mr. Rouhani is a creature of Iran's establishment, not a revolutionary. But he has tapped into widespread popular support for ending the country's long isolation. Because of the nuclear deal, which required Iran to sharply limit its nuclear program, crippling sanctions have been lifted and Iranian officials are now being welcomed again in world capitals as they seek business deals and acceptance. Even so, Mr. Rouhani, who won election in 2013, has yet to deliver on campaign pledges to restore basic freedoms, including free speech and the release of political prisoners. Hundreds of political activists and journalists remain in prison, according to the Iran Human Rights Documentation Center; Iran is a leading executioner of prisoners, including juveniles." http://t.uani.com/1m12vkv

UANI Advisory Board Member Olli Heinonen in FDD: "Implementation Day marks the beginning of the true test of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA). Iran and the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) are embarking on the long walk towards Transition Day - the date by which the IAEA is supposed to confirm that Iran is not engaged in any undeclared nuclear activities and that all of its nuclear materials are for peaceful use. In eight years, the IAEA is supposed to complete the verification of the correctness and completeness of Iran's declarations on nuclear material and facilities. The JCPOA restricts Iran's uranium enrichment capabilities for 8 to 15 years, but allows it to continue to enrich uranium provided its stockpiles stay below 300 kilograms enriched to 3.67 percent U-235. By permitting enrichment, this agreement gives the international community's blessing to uranium enrichment in the Middle East. This could lead to a regional nuclear cascade, with Iranian rivals like the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia expressing interest in similar capabilities. The agreement also does not explicitly forgo plutonium separation in the long term. The JCPOA's constraints on weapons-grade plutonium production are irreversible for the first 15 years. Beyond this, however, the text simply states that it is Iran's intention not to build additional heavy-water reactors or conduct reprocessing. This still leaves the door open for future reprocessing. The JCPOA negotiators argue that the agreement will reduce tensions and prevent regional nuclear proliferation because, they contend, it is based on full transparency, intrusive verification, and vigilant enforcement. The IAEA's report this weekend acknowledged that Iran has met the key, initial parameters stipulated under the JCPOA, thereby paving the way for Implementation Day. However, the report does not provide a full picture of Tehran's current nuclear material inventories, nor does it explain how Iran met the JCPOA requirements. The IAEA is now responsible for continuous monitoring of Iran's activities to ensure it remains in compliance with the deal. This will be the true test of the JCPOA. To aid in verification efforts and to reinforce the transparency of the deal, substantially more detailed reports are needed. The IAEA should, for example, detail the actions it has taken after finding man-made uranium particles in September at the Parchin military facility - samples that could indicate the presence of undeclared nuclear material. Information on the types and frequencies of inspections, as well as approaches undertaken in its verification work, would also build confidence on the IAEA's conclusions throughout its verification of the deal. Additionally, a baseline report would provide a full account of nuclear material inventories, including hold-ups, wastes, scrap, and materials declared as retained waste by Iran. It should also contain the number of rotors and centrifuges subject to the IAEA monitoring, including those which had never been installed at Natanz or Fordow. A baseline should also list the current centrifuge rotor manufacturing installations, indicate the monitoring procedures applied to relevant locations, and explain whether or not Iran has dismantled those specific capabilities at locations previously used for this purpose. As stipulated in the JCPOA, Iran submitted its uranium enrichment and enrichment research-and-development plan to the IAEA. This is an important first step, and as a confidence-building measure, it should be made public. This transparency would demonstrate to the international community Iran's justification for ramping up uranium enrichment after the eight-year mark. Today, Tehran's breakout time to produce enough enriched uranium for a single nuclear device could be as little as seven months - far less than the one-year figure that the Obama administration claims. The advanced centrifuge and enrichment research that Iran is now permitted to conduct will further reduce its breakout time once Tehran can begin installing advanced centrifuges. On the current trajectory, after 15 years, Iran's breakout time drops to just a couple of weeks. As the JCPOA's restrictions lapse, the Islamic Republic will have a patient pathway to nuclear-weapons capability. Finally, the December 2015 IAEA report on possible military dimension of Iran's nuclear program left many questions unanswered. While the IAEA Board of Governors took a note on the report and declared the agenda item closed, the remaining outstanding questions mean the IAEA will continue to pursue answers to open questions. This is needed for the successful verification of the correctness and completeness of Iran's declaration on nuclear material. The success of the JCPOA in containing Iran's nuclear capabilities depends on full transparency and vigorous verification and monitoring. This approach has its risks, since Iran remains a nuclear-threshold state that threatens regional and international security. While the JCPOA caps Tehran's nuclear capabilities in the early years, the deal may, over the long term, contribute to a proliferation cascade that will make the world's most volatile region all the more combustible." http://t.uani.com/1OUtVTl

IranWatch: "Iran and the P5+1 announced on January 16, 2016 that Iran had met its obligations under the terms of the nuclear agreement and would immediately receive a first round of sanctions relief.  As a result, restrictions that had been imposed against Iran's financial, transport, and energy sectors were lifted, and hundreds of entities - companies, individuals, banks, government organizations, and state-controlled ships and aircraft - were removed from blacklists maintained by the United Nations, European Union, and United States. However, hundreds of Iranian entities were not removed from blacklists on Implementation Day and remain subject to sanctions, particularly entities linked to Iran's ballistic missile program, the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC), and the IRGC-Qods Force.  According to U.N. Security Council resolution 2231, restrictions on Iran's conventional arms program, including arms imports and exports, apply for a further five years, and restrictions on Iran's missile program apply for a further eight years.  Additional entities may be added to U.N. and other lists in response to Iranian actions that are found to violate the nuclear agreement, or resolution 2231.  The United States demonstrated this by announcing new missile sanctions on the day after Implementation Day. The entities still sanctioned by the United Nations, the European Union, and the United States are listed below.  Each entity's name is linked to an Iran Watch profile of its activities, and the document related to the sanctions designation is linked as a 'Referencing Document' available from the Iran Watch Library." http://t.uani.com/1UvjEi4
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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