Monday, June 20, 2016

Eye on Iran: Uranium Provides New Clue on Iran's Past Nuclear Arms Work








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WSJ: "The Obama administration has concluded that uranium particles discovered last year at a secretive Iranian military base likely were tied to the country's past, covert nuclear weapons program, current and former officials said, a finding that contradicts Tehran's longstanding denials that it was pursuing a bomb. Traces of man-made uranium were found at the Parchin facility, southeast of Tehran, by investigators from the International Atomic Energy Agency, the United Nations' nuclear watchdog, as part of an investigation tied to the landmark nuclear deal reached last July between Iran and global powers. The Iranians have claimed that the site was used for developing and testing conventional weapons. The particles were the first physical evidence-on top of satellite imagery and documents from defectors-to support the charge that Iran had been pursuing a bomb there. The Obama administration didn't comment about the uranium in December when the IAEA released its report; the finding got only one brief mention in the 16 pages. But in recent interviews, current and former U.S. officials asked about the uranium finding said the working assumption now is that it is tied to nuclear weapons development that Iran is believed to have pursued more than a decade ago." http://t.uani.com/28IUY6T

AFP: "Iran said Sunday it has reached an agreement with American aerospace giant Boeing to purchase 100 aircraft to renew its ageing fleet, though the deal must still be approved by the US government. The Islamic republic has ordered about 200 planes from three Western manufacturers since mid-January, when economic sanctions were lifted following a deal on Tehran's nuclear programme. Ali Abedzadeh, head of Iran's civil aviation authority said in remarks published by the daily Iran newspaper that an agreement had been reached with Boeing for the purchase but said the deal was contingent on US Treasury permission. Deputy Transport Minister Asghar Fakhrieh Kashan however said Sunday that he hoped the initial accord could be completed within a month. He told the Fars news agency that the deal would be 'the largest and most important contract' with the United States -- barring military deals -- since before Iran's 1979 Islamic Revolution... He said the contract's reported value of $17 billion (15 billion euros) was not final and that more details will be provided after further negotiations." http://t.uani.com/28J04QE

Fox News: "Top House Republicans are raising red flags about Boeing's potential sale of roughly 100 commercial jets to Iran, warning it could end up benefiting Iran's military, as well as terror groups such as Hamas and Hezbollah. While the talks have not drawn objections from the Obama administration, Reps. Peter Roskam, R-Ill., and Jeb Hensarling, R-Texas, fired off a letter Thursday raising concerns about Tehran's history of using commercial planes to support 'hostile actors.' 'We strongly oppose the potential sale of military-fungible products to terrorism's central supplier. American companies should not be complicit in weaponizing the Iranian Regime,' the lawmakers wrote in the letter to Boeing CEO Dennis Muilenburg. Whether Iran could or would use the aircraft for such purposes is unclear but the letter, obtained by FoxNews.com, seeks more information about the national security implications of the pending deal -- as well as the status of negotiations... Roskam and Hensarling reminded Boeing in their letter that the State Department recently branded the country 'the foremost state sponsor of terrorism.' They note Iran's commercial aircraft are commonly used for military purposes and to back terrorist groups." http://t.uani.com/21qRx6R

UANI in the News

YNet (Israel): "Former Mossad director Tamir Pardo is joining the board of directors of the American non-profit United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI), which operates internationally in an effort to raise awareness of the dangers posed by the Shiite state's regime. UANI's membership also includes former US senator Joe Lieberman, former American special Middle East government coordinator Dennis Ross, former Spanish foreign minister Ana de Palacio, former heads of the CIA, and former Australian defense minister Robert Hill. UANI also works to convince international corporations not to do business with Iran... In addition to Pardo, former US ambassador to the United Nations John Bolton and former Polish foreign minister Radosław Sikorski have also joined UANI. According to Pardo, the world's leading powers should not ignore the clear dangers posed by the Iranian regime, which he says threaten the personal safety and freedom of people both inside the country's borders and in the world at large. He expressed his satisfaction at being part of the UANI board." http://t.uani.com/1UVYta1

Foreign Affairs

Press TV (Iran): "Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif will embark on a European tour to discuss regional developments and mutual ties, particularly after last year's nuclear agreement reached between Tehran and the P5+1 group of countries. On the first leg of his two-nation European tour, the Iranian foreign minister will head for the French capital of Paris on Tuesday. He will also pay a visit to the Netherlands. Zarif has made two rounds of visits to a number of European countries over the past few months with the purpose of discussing ways to expand relations after the implementation of the nuclear agreement, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) began in January. In the first round of his tour, he visited Poland, Sweden, Finland and Latvia in late May and early June. Zarif also traveled to Norway and Germany in mid-June." http://t.uani.com/28JiPFH

Tehran Times: "Iranian Foreign Minister Mohamamd Javad Zarif plans to visit Uzbekistan to attend the Shanghai Cooperation Organization. Summit of the SCO Heads of State is scheduled to be held on June 24 in Tashkent. Various member states to the organization, especially Russia and China, have supported Iran's membership. The Shanghai Cooperation Organization is a Eurasian political, economic, and military organization which was founded in 2001 in Shanghai by the leaders of China, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Russia, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. On July 10, 2015, the SCO decided to admit India and Pakistan as full members, and they are expected to join by 2016. Afghanistan, Belarus, India, Iran, Mongolia and Pakistan are the current observers of the organization. Iran applied for full membership on 24 March 2008. Pakistani Foreign Ministry spokesman Mohammed Nafees Zakaria said on Saturday Pakistan welcomes Iran's permanent membership in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization." http://t.uani.com/264rqJG

Nuclear & Ballistic Missile Program

Press TV (Iran): "Iranian lawmakers have pledged 'unforgettable' response to any violation of a nuclear agreement after Leader of the Islamic Revolution said Tehran would 'set fire' to the deal if the US reneged on it. In a letter issued on Sunday, as many as 237 MPs announced their 'firm' support for Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei's recent remarks in an apparent refrain to US presidential candidates' threat to tear up the deal. 'In case the opposite side breaks its promise, we will teach the violators an unforgettable lesson, and make the arrogance regret its breach of promise,' the letter said... Elsewhere in their statement, the Iranian parliamentarian noted that the country's strategic nuclear industry should be preserved and developed." http://t.uani.com/1UEuAMR

U.S.-Iran Relations

Fars (Iran): "Deputy Chief of Staff of Armed Forces Brigadier General Massoud Jazzayeri said the US and its allies will be deeply surprised to see Iran's secret military achievements. 'The enemies of the Islamic Republic, headed by the Americans, the Zionists and the British, are (only) aware of a part of the Islamic Republic of Iran's power in different defensive and missile fields and fortunately, since we are self-reliant in this area, our enemies aren't aware of certain parts and will not be aware any time soon unless something happens,' Jazzayeri said on Saturday. 'In such a case, we might need to dispay a part of our capabilities in the battlefield and I believe that if such a thing happens, they will be much surprised to suddently see how much progress the Islamic Republic has made in defensive fields,' he added." http://t.uani.com/1Ug8tbQ

Congressional Action

Free Beacon: "The Obama administration is stalling a congressional inquiry into its ongoing refusal to uphold a U.S. law that would sanction Russia for selling advanced missile systems to Iran, according to recent communications between the State Department and Congress exclusively obtained by the Washington Free Beacon. President Obama has the authority under U.S. law to designate as illegal Russia's recent sale to Iran of the advanced S-300 missile system, a long-range weapon that would boost the Islamic Republic's military capabilities. The administration has so far declined to exercise its sanction authority under law and has been stalling attempts by Congress to discern the rationale behind this decision, prompting accusations that the administration is ignoring U.S. law and 'acquiescing' to the sale in order to preserve last summer's comprehensive nuclear deal. Rep. Steve Chabot (R., Ohio), who first launched an inquiry challenging the administration's reluctance to sanction the sale in early April, told the Free Beacon that the White House is continuing to punt questions from lawmakers, jeopardizing efforts by Western nations to block the arms sale. The administration informed Chabot on June 8-more than two months after his initial request-that it has not reached a determination as to whether it will move forward with sanctions as specified under the law." http://t.uani.com/28Je8q6

Sanctions Relief

CNN: "Now that sanctions are gone, Iran is seriously flexing its oil muscles in hopes of luring back Western energy companies. Iran pumped 3.64 million barrels per day in May, just four months after sanctions were lifted, according to the International Energy Agency. That's the fastest pace since June 2011, before tougher sanctions were imposed by the U.S. and other world powers over Iran's nuclear program. All told, Iran's oil production has surged by 730,000 barrels per day since the end of 2015, the largest gain from any OPEC country. It fits in with OPEC's recent efforts steal back market share by flooding the world with lots of oil. More importantly for Iran's sanctions-rattled economy, the country is also shipping tons more crude overseas. Iran's waterborne crude exports surged to 2.6 million barrels per day in May, nearly tripling the pace from November 2015, according to research firm ClipperData. The export strength has been fueled by higher production and drawing down onshore stockpiles." http://t.uani.com/28Jj3Z2

Bloomberg: "Iran has paid off outstanding export-credit debt to Germany, paving the way to open renewed trade ties between the two countries after last year's nuclear agreement scaled back sanctions on Iran. 'This is a further important step to revive our economic relations,' Sigmar Gabriel, German economy minister and vice chancellor, said in a statement on Monday. Gabriel said the payment will allow Germany to re-establish credit guarantees that support exports to Iran. The Iranian government had declined to fulfill all its credit obligations while it was subject to sanctions, some of which were lifted in January, the ministry said. Clarifying the outstanding debt was a key element in reestablishing trade links with Iran as German business pushed to increase ties." http://t.uani.com/28Jgwmg

Tehran Times: "Iran paid its debt to the German Euler Hermes credit institution, Islamic Republic's ambassador to Berlin said, IRIB news reported on Sunday. 'There are no more barriers on the way of German banks and companies' cooperation with Iranians,' Ali Majedi said, 'and the company will offer insurance to Iran as of Tuesday.' As reported, Iran owes Germany about €500 million ($578.90 million) under so-called Hermes covers. Hermes cover is a common way of referring to an export credit guarantee (ECG) by the German government. These guarantees are an important part of German foreign trade policy and protect German companies in the event of non-payment by foreign debtors." http://t.uani.com/28IriUG

Mehr (Iran): "After implementation of JCPOA, European airports have granted access to EU airspace for Iranian airplanes. Mahan Airlines Flight W50106 took off from Imam Khomeini International Airport at 6:55 local time to land in Paris Charles De Gaulle Airport 12:40 local time. The plane Airbus A340 carried 106 passengers and crew. Mahan Airline will operate flights to Paris regularly on Saturdays, Mondays, and Wednesdays. Before Mahan Airline, only Iran Air was operating flights to Paris." http://t.uani.com/28JfuRZ

Financial Tribune (Iran): "Following the easing of economic sanctions at the beginning of this year, ZF Friedrichshafen is intensifying its business commitments in Iran. The company has opened up the ZF Pars SSK subsidiary, which will start to combine ZF's business activities in the region. ZF is a German car parts maker headquartered in Friedrichshafen, in southwest Germany... 'The Iranian market offers a great deal of potential,' says Matthias Benz, senior vice president for corporate market at ZF. 'The new Iranian subsidiary will enable us to concentrate our existing business activities, while tapping into new business areas and acquiring new customers.' ... The initial group of around 10 employees of ZF Pars SSK will be based in the capital Tehran with the prospect of hiring additional employees as business activities expand." http://t.uani.com/1W7EqrD

Press TV (Iran): "Iran says it is looking into a plan to jointly produce Sukhoi Superjet 100 (SSJ 100) airplanes with Russia - what could take the Islamic Republic to the club of global plane makers if materialized. Iran's Minister of Industry, Mining and Trade Mohammad-Reza Ne'matzadeh told reporters in Moscow that Iran has already started talks with Russian over the plan. 'Now the talks regarding a joint manufacture of this airplane are underway, but there are no results yet,' Ne'matzadeh told reporters on the sidelines of the St. Petersburg Economic Forum." http://t.uani.com/1V1PMs4

TASS (Russia): "Russia and Iran mighy soon implement projects for $40 bln, Russian Energy Ministry Alexander Novak said on Thursday at the St. Petersburg International Economic Forum (SPIEF-2016). 'Currently the total volume of the projects - we calculated with our colleagues, and this figure is probably the same in our estimations - is about $40 bln. This is the minimum level of potential projects that could be implemented in the near future,' the Minister said." http://t.uani.com/1UT1yYj

Interfax: "Gazprom Neft is considering participation in the Azar and Shangul projects in Iran, company head Alexander Dyukov said at a press conference on June 13. He said that Gazprom Neft had no conflict of interests with Lukoil, which also is contending for the Azar and Shangul fields, because Gazprom Neft is looking for participation in fields, where Iranian companies are already operating. He said these sections are the continuation of the Badra field project in Iraq, of which Gazprom Neft is the operator. Dyukov added that Gazprom Neft is looking for better terms on the Badra project." http://t.uani.com/1UnwIHq

Terrorism

Long War Journal: "Iranian authorities shuttered a news website after it claimed that the Taliban's previous emir was inside Iran for two months and strategized with officials to counter the Islamic State. Mullah Mansour, the Taliban's previous emir, was killed in a US drone strike in Baluchistan, Pakistan, on May 21. The US military and the CIA tracked Mansour as he left Iran, where he purportedly was visiting with his family. Iranian officials shut down the Jahan News website, which is affiliated with a hardline former parliamentarian. According to Iranian news reports, the reason for the outlet's suspension, which occurred on June 15, was the publication of two articles, one of which discussed Mansour's dealings with Iran. On June 5, Jahan News published an article that claimed that Mansour stayed in Iran for two months and left the country one week prior to his death. The article claimed that he had 'discussions with various bodies,' likely a reference to Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps... 'Beneficial negotiations took place with Iranian officials,' Jahan News noted." http://t.uani.com/24WbrYa

Human Rights

Reuters: "Iranian authorities on Monday shut down the Ghanoon newspaper, which has criticized the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC), the newspaper said in a statement on its website. The move came days after President Hassan Rouhani called for greater freedom of expression in the media. Ghanoon said it been shut by the judiciary after complaints made by the IRGC's Department of Intelligence. The paper has been accused of 'libel and publishing falsehoods to create public anxiety,' according to its website. It did not specify which reports had upset the IRGC. Ghanoon was temporarily banned in 2014 over a report about possible corruption charges against a former member of the IRGC after he was released on bail. The newspaper also came under attack in January when it criticised the way the Guards handled the arrest of 10 American sailors in Iranian waters. It wrote that the video which aired on the Islamic Republic's state television showing U.S Navy personnel kneeling with their hands behind their heads was reminiscent of beheadings by Islamic State." http://t.uani.com/28J0Iya

Domestic Politics

FT: "When 14-year-old Iranian student Donya spotted on social media that thousands of teenagers were going to celebrate the end of the school year, she jumped in a taxi and headed to the shopping mall where the gathering was taking place. But after a 45-minute drive through Tehran, she was shocked to find that security forces, armed with tear gas, had arrived to prevent the formation of what they seemed to fear was the beginning of a new 'social movement' - a celebration by happy adolescents. That such a seemingly innocent gathering last week by the youthful revellers set off alarm bells among the Islamic Republic's rulers illustrates the paranoia of some within the regime. It also highlights a challenge it is grappling with: how to cope with the desires of young Iranians who want a lifestyle free of the restrictions imposed by a clergy that deplores celebrations involving opposite sexes. A widening gap between modernisers and conservatives, the result of an increasingly modern society characterised by highly educated young women, has put the future of the Islamic Republic's ideology at stake. It is happening as growing numbers of young, city-dwelling Iranians push back against conservative traditions and religious restrictions to embrace a western-style modernity." http://t.uani.com/1UDT3xP

Opinion & Analysis

UANI Chairman Senator Joseph Lieberman in New Indian Express: "One of the worst consequences of Iran's support of Assad is the emergence of the Islamic State, a radical terrorist group that has asserted its sovereignty over much of Syria and Iraq, and is now coordinating and inspiring terrorist attacks against people throughout the world. It is in the light of the above issues that the India-US ties assume huge significance. As a former US Senator, I can tell you that the relationship is natural and important for both nations. During his recent visit to Washington, PM Narendra Modi told the Congress that India's cooperation with the US 'secures our cities and citizens from terrorists, and protects our critical infrastructure from cyber threats'. It's for these reasons that India's formidable economic and diplomatic power should not be used to further embolden the Iranian regime, which has only doubled down in its regional meddling and support for terrorism in the aftermath of the nuclear deal. In Iran, business is routinely intertwined with terrorism. Therefore, if Indian companies sign deals with Tehran, they will be lending support to its belligerent behaviour. If PM Modi is concerned about protecting critical infrastructure from cyber threats, he should note that the US Justice Department has charged seven Iranians linked to the regime with launching cyber attacks against the US financial sector and critical infrastructure, including a dam outside of New York City.  Indian companies, as much as their American counterparts, are vulnerable to cyber attacks by Iran. Pursuing business in Iran can also lead to losing out on more lucrative opportunities in countries that oppose its hegemonic policies. For instance, India has the choice to invest in the US, Britain, France, Germany, Japan, Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, UAE, other GCC countries, and allied countries with a combined GDP of over $32 trillion, or take a gamble on Iran's economy with a GDP of under $400 billion.  There is a real risk that Indian companies investing in Iran will lose market share in some of these other countries. So, while Iran could help alleviate India's energy problems, there are better ways to solve those. Doing business with the regime can create even more problems for New Delhi-economically, diplomatically, and in terms of security." http://t.uani.com/28J5sSP

Ray Takeyh in CFR: "Iran's Revolutionary Guards have been much in the news in the past few years. They are at various times presented by Western media as a paramilitary force rampaging in a disorderly Middle East, entrepreneurial businessmen who may be useful allies of President Hassan Rouhani as he attempts to open up the economy, and a zealous ideological force helping Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei in his quest to sustain the Islamic Republic. A look at the Guards from their inception reveals that all of these descriptions bear a measure of truth and that the context of Iranian politics and the regional order have done much to condition the Guards' mission. The Guards made their first appearance during the latter stages of the 1979 revolution that deposed the shah. Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the leader of the revolution, did not trust Iran's military and needed his own force as various factions and militias battled for influence in those chaotic days. The unit was drawn from pious young men, mostly from working-class backgrounds. They were attracted by Khomeini's mission of salvation and his quest to ensure God's rule on earth. From the very beginning a strong ideological bent permeated the organization and sanctioned its view that violence was a justifiable response to the Islamic Republic's detractors, both domestic and foreign." http://t.uani.com/28J0Xcb

Mary Anastasia O'Grady in WSJ: "Argentine prosecutor Alberto Nisman died of a single bullet to the head in January 2015, a day before he was scheduled to testify to Argentina's Congress about an alleged government coverup of the 1994 Iranian terrorist bombing of a Buenos Aires Jewish community center. There is still no official court ruling on whether he was murdered, but a new investigative report-to be published Tuesday-goes a long way in proving motive. Joseph Humire, the executive director of the Washington, D.C., based Center for a Secure Free Society, uses thousands of documents and legal wiretaps released to the public to show how the prosecutor's death eliminated a key stumbling block for Iran and 'paved the way for [it] to move into a new phase of its information and intelligence operations in Latin America.' If the theocracy, which is the No. 1 state-sponsor of terrorism in the world, did not murder Nisman, it was the biggest beneficiary of his death. Nisman was the special prosecutor investigating the terrorist attack on the Jewish community center-known by its Spanish initials as the AMIA. In 2006 he indicted eight former Iranian officials (including former President Ali Rafsanjani) and one Lebanese national. The following year, at Nisman's behest, Interpol issued 'red notices' for the arrest of six of the accused. But Iran took no action. Using legal wiretaps, Nisman later built a case that President Cristina Kirchner's government had a covert agreement with Iran to wipe Tehran's fingerprints off the AMIA attack in exchange for Iranian oil and reopening Iran's market to Argentine grain and beef. Nisman had filed a criminal complaint against members of the Kirchner government the week before he died. Killing him did nothing to stop the public from learning of the contents of his report. Yet his death did put the brakes on his plan to bring the Iranian crime into the international arena. It had the potential to undermine the key foreign-policy objectives of Tehran. Iran's asymmetric warfare against the West demands commercial engagement because it allows Tehran to deploy political operatives specializing in propaganda, intelligence and terrorism and to finance their activities under the guise of business activity." http://t.uani.com/28J0siD
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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