Friday, September 21, 2018

Eye on Iran: Iran Launches Air Maneuvers Near Strategic Strait of Hormuz



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Iran's air force is carrying out a drill near the strategic Strait of Hormuz in the Persian Gulf, the passageway for nearly a third of all oil traded by sea, the country's official IRNA news agency said Friday. 


Iran continues to wreak havoc in the Middle East by allowing Al Qaeda to maintain a "facilitation base" within the Islamic Republic's borders, according to the U.S State Department's annual Country Reports on Terrorism.


Last month, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei went to the Sacred Shrine of Imam Ridha in Masshad, Iran, to attend the ritual cleaning of the Muslim saint's tomb. But being the supreme leader of Iran is not all rites and photo opportunities: There's also the Great Satan, fractious internal politics, and arch-nemesis Israel to worry about. That may be why Khamenei was spotted apparently bringing a Russian-built missile launcher on a trip from Iran's capital, Tehran, to Masshad, in the north-eastern corner of the country.

SANCTIONS, BUSINESS RISKS, & OTHER ECONOMIC NEWS


Iran's LPG shipments loaded, or due for lifting, in September dipped to 356,000 mt ahead of new US sanctions in November, after hitting 568,000 mt last month, the highest since previous Western sanctions for its nuclear plan were lifted in January 2016, fixtures from shipping sources showed.


Across Iran's capital, rush-hour traffic always grinds to a halt, a sea of boxy Renault four-doors and Peugeot coupes all idling their way through the streets of Tehran. Soon, however, Iran's faltering nuclear deal with world powers may be what causes the country's domestic automotive market to stall out.


Japanese refiners have temporarily suspended Iranian oil loadings ahead of US sanctions, while they are also closely monitoring government talks with Washington on securing a waiver to continue their imports, Petroleum Association of Japan President Takashi Tsukioka said at a press conference Thursday.


Trump's ploy to force countries to choose between doing business with the US or Iran is working. While German firms in Iran have been preparing for months for the sanctions, the outflow of companies is not slowing down.


India will settle payments for Iranian oil using rupee through local banks starting in November as US sanctions will make it difficult to settle trades through European banks, two industry sources said on Thursday. 


India's Chennai Petroleum will stop processing Iranian crude oil from October to keep its insurance coverage once new sanctions by the United States against Iran go into effect, three sources familiar with the issue said.


Iranian oil minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh's threat to veto any OPEC decision that harms the Islamic Republic will have no impact on oil supply and will be ignored by those producers who are able to boost their oil production, just as happened in 2011, writes Bloomberg oil strategist Julian Lee.


When President Trump withdrew the United States from the Iran nuclear deal back in May, the foreign-policy establishment was unanimous in its opposition... [T]here was at least one point the critics made that seemed irrefutable, in warning against the re-imposition of US sanctions on Iran's oil exports... Trump's unilateral move would certainly fail because of the interest of America's European allies as well as the Russians and Chinese in continuing to do business with Iran... But the experts were wrong.

MISSILE PROGRAM


Iranian proxies in Iraq are reportedly developing the capacity to produce missiles, US Ambassador to the UN Nikki Haley said on Thursday as she warned against the growing Iranian foothold in Iraq.

U.S.-IRAN RELATIONS & NEGOTIATIONS


During the annual gathering of world leaders at the UN Security Council in New York next week, US President Donald Trump plans to chair a session on Iran aimed at discussing the nonproliferation of weapons of mass destruction, according to a "concept paper" distributed by the US permanent mission.


Iran has not requested a meeting with U.S. President Donald Trump, foreign ministry spokesman Bahram Qassemi said on Friday, according to the Islamic Republic News Agency (IRNA). A foreign news agency reported that Iran requested such a meeting during the United Nations General Assembly which began this week, citing U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley, according to IRNA.


President Donald Trump will speak about Iran, the Skripal poisoning case in England, chemical weapons, and North Korea when he addresses the United Nations next week, the U.S. ambassador says. "It is time for us to have a real discussion [about Iran] and that's what you will see the president do when he chairs the Security Council," Nikki Haley told Fox News on September 20.


Iran hit back at a U.S. offer of negotiations on Thursday, saying Washington had violated the terms of the last big deal they agreed, the 2015 nuclear accord.


As President Donald Trump prepares to attend his second United Nations meeting next week, world leaders are bracing for another round of confrontation with the U.S. over Iran, global trade and Trump's "America first" view of foreign policy.   

IRANIAN INTERNAL DEVELOPMENTS


Iranian Judiciary, intelligence and security organizations as well as the country's police force have refused to cooperate with the Rouhani administration's "Freedom of Information Access" (FOIA) database. The Guardian Council and Expediency Council are among other bodies that deny citizens' right to access unclassified information.


As Iran's traditional eulogists grow in fame and influence, they have drawn criticism from the clerics who used to have the main voice in religious ceremonies.


The decision by Iranian authorities allowing pilgrims who wish to visit holy sites in neighboring Iraq to pay visa fees at the rate afforded to importers on the secondary foreign currency market has sparked criticism from both religious and non-religious segments of Iranian society.


A group of young Iranians in exile announced the formation of a political group committed to regime change in their homeland, September 17. The group, called Farashgard (Revival), presents itself as young and secular, and calls for democratic liberal democracy in Iran.

RUSSIA, SYRIA, ISRAEL, HEZBOLLAH, LEBANON & IRAN


Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu indicated Thursday that Israel would continue to act against Iran, days after the downing of a Russian plane in Syria raised fears that IDF activity in the country could be curtailed.


Hezbollah leader Hassan Nasrallah said on Thursday that his group is getting precision rockets despite Israeli actions to cut smuggling routes through Syria.


Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu on Thursday warned Hezbollah against attacking Israel, saying any military action by the Lebanon-based terrorist organization would be met with a "crushing blow."


Israel is upgrading and reinforcing its nuclear facilities to withstand attacks to counter Iranian threats to strike the Jewish state's nuclear sites, the head of the country's Atomic Energy Commission said. 

IRAQ & IRAN


Iran not only bombed its Kurdish opposition in Iraq earlier this month, it demanded the "terrorists" be handed over, and threatened more attacks in Iraq to eliminate them.


Although much of the politics in Iraq is local - arguing over whether PUK politician Barham Salih or some other Kurdish candidate will be the next president, or whether Kurdish local elections will take place this month - the larger story is that what happens in Erbil and Baghdad in the coming months will determine who dominates Iraq's future. Washington hopes that the Kurds will forget about their independence referendum of last year. But the North remembers.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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