Thursday, December 27, 2018

Eye on Iran: Iran's Economic Crisis Drags Down The Middle Class Almost Overnight



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TOP STORIES


Less than a year ago, he was running a thriving computer accessories business, driving a new car and renting a comfortable two-bedroom apartment in the center of Tehran. But last month, Kaveh Taymouri found himself riding a rusty motorcycle on his hourlong commute to his family's new lodgings, a 485-square-foot apartment in one of the city's worst neighborhoods, next to its sprawling cemetery. When he arrived home one recent night at 10:30 from his new job at an arcade, there was no food on the stove


The Israeli military on Wednesday destroyed another cross-border tunnel it says was built by Lebanon's Hezbollah militant group, sending a loud explosion throughout the volatile area. Israel this month announced the discovery of the tunnels, which it says were part of a Hezbollah plot to sneak across the border and carry out attacks in Israel.


Turkey expects the U.S. to extend its sanctions waiver on importing Iranian oil, Trade Minister Ruhsar Pekcan said. "We expect an extension of Turkey's exemption" from sanctions, Pekcan said in an interview with NTV in Ankara. She was referring to the temporary waiver that allowed Turkey to continue buying Iranian oil for six months. 

SANCTIONS, BUSINESS RISKS, & OTHER ECONOMIC NEWS  


Iran said on Wednesday private exporters have had "no problems" selling Iranian oil, and 3 million barrels of crude could be sold soon to non-government traders, state media reported, despite U.S. sanctions targeting Tehran's oil sales. Iran began selling crude oil to private companies for export in late October, just ahead of U.S. sanctions on sectors including oil which came into effect in November. 


As Iran's oil exports have halved due to U.S. sanctions, the government has set 1,425 trillion rials income from oil, petroleum products and natural gas exports in the next year budget bill, which indicates a 32% growth year-on-year. Iran's fiscal year starts on March 21. The projected increase of oil revenues is odd since Iran's exports have decreased in recent months due to U.S. sanctions. 

PROTESTS & HUMAN RIGHTS


Abbas Edalat, a British-Iranian professor who was arrested and detained in Iran for eight months, has returned to the UK, according to British authorities. "We can confirm that a British-Iranian dual national who was detained in Tehran has returned to the UK," a UK Foreign Office representative told CNN on Wednesday. "We continue to take action on all our consular cases in Iran in line with what we believe will produce the best outcomes in their cases." 


Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe could lose her chance of having a second child unless she is released from an Iranian jail, her husband has warned. Richard Ratcliffe said the charity worker who spent her 40th birthday in prison on Boxing Day dreads missing out on the possibility of having another child. Explaining how the landmark birthday had loomed large, he told the HuffPost UK: "Partly for the landmark of not wanting to turn 40 alone in a prison cell, still denied watching her baby grow up, but increasingly wondering whether they will keep her so long that she is also denied having a second child".

U.S.-IRAN RELATIONS & NEGOTIATIONS


Militias affiliated with Iran in Iraq threatened to respond to American President Donald Trump's visit to Iraq on Wednesday. Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq and Harakat al-Nujaba said Trump's visit to Al Asad Air Base in Anbar "will not go unpunished." Harakat al-Nujaba said it will not allow turning Iraq into an American base that threatens neighboring countries and called on the Iraqi government to expel American troops from the country as their presence harms the country's sovereignty.

MILITARY/INTELLIGENCE MATTERS & PROXY WARS


A report by the Arabic-language Al Jazeera news network said Iran's military was increasingly turning to unmanned aerial drones to defend the country's airspace and attack its enemies. "For Iran, [drones] comprise a new type of aerial fleet that avoids the technological complications of modern [manned] aviation," the report last week by journalist Nur Ad-Din Al-Daghir said, according to a translation Wednesday by the Middle East Media Research Institute, MEMRI, which tracks Middle Eastern television broadcasts.

IRANIAN INTERNAL DEVELOPMENTS


Iran's President Hassan Rouhani presented a budget bill meant to dodge the impacts of "tyrannical US sanctions" to the country's parliament Dec. 25. The proposed $112 billion budget will cover the upcoming Iranian year running from March 21, 2019, to March 20, 2020. The president's speech in defense of the bill was marred, however, by a group of lawmakers representing the oil-rich but underdeveloped southwestern Khuzestan province. 


An Iranian deputy said 1,800 religious scholars held oil ministry posts without having a specific job title or making the nature of their role known. The head of the Iranian Parliament Commission on Energy confirmed that the appointment of 1,800 religious scholars in the oil ministry comes under the guidance of Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei in what he described as "adding cultural background to government projects."

RUSSIA, SYRIA, ISRAEL, HEZBOLLAH, LEBANON & IRAN


Turkey is threatening to invade Syria to eradicate Kurdish fighters. Syrian forces are rolling toward territory the Americans will soon abandon. Israel is bombing Iran-backed militias deep inside Syria. And Russia could soon move to crush the last vestige of the Syrian anti-government insurgency. The Syria that the United States military is vacating on President Trump's orders is a Balkanized version of the country that plunged into a calamitous civil war nearly eight years ago.


An Israeli security official has confirmed Wednesday evening that Israel carried out an overnight airstrike in Syria, saying a series of Iranian targets were hit. The official says the airstrike hit Iranian storage and logistic targets being used to transfer weapons to the Hezbollah militant group. The official said Israel also took out a Syrian anti-aircraft battery near Damascus that fired at the Israeli warplanes.


Iran's deputy defense minister says the Islamic Republic is prepared for "deepening and expanding defensive and military" cooperation with Russia in all domains. Brigadier General Ghassem Taghizadeh also lauded the "strategic cooperation" between Tehran and Moscow in what he described as "the war on terrorism" and a successful model of settling regional conflicts. Taghizadeh was speaking to reporters after meeting Deputy Chief of the Russian Army General Staff Vice-Admiral Igor Osipov in Tehran on Wednesday, December 26.


Two suspicious Iranian planes left Damascus on Tuesday night just prior to reports of airstrikes. Details from flight monitoring sites show that a Fars Air Qeshm 747 cargo plane left Damascus International Airport at 9:28 p.m. on Tuesday,  just half an hour before reports emerged of air strikes in Syria. According to the site Flightradar24.com, the Boeing 747-281F left Damascus and flew due east towards Tehran, climbing to 10,000 meters and crossing into Iraq after 10 p.m.

IRAQ & IRAN


President Trump's unannounced visit Wednesday to U.S. forces in Iraq brought a veiled threat from the leader of an Iranian-backed Shi'ite militia - remove the troops or face the type of bloodshed they confronted before their previous withdrawal, in 2011. Complaining that Trump's visit to the Al Asad Airbase in Anbar province violated diplomatic norms, Asaib Ahl al-Haq (AAH) leader Qais al-Khazali said on Twitter the Iraqi parliament would respond by voting to expel the American troops stationed there.


Iranian Ambassador to Baghdad Iraj Masjedi revealed that his country's "advisors" have departed Iraq. He said during a meeting with Iraqi reporters: "Iran has no military presence or bases or advisors in Iraq." "All the advisors who were in this country had arrived here through coordinating with the Iraqi government to provide support during its war on ISIS," he explained. "They have quit Iraq after the declaration of victory against this terrorist group," Masjedi stressed.






Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email press@uani.com.

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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