Perspectives: Lebanon and Hezbollah
December 14, 2018
Perspectives:
Lebanon and Hezbollah is a UANI
weekly resource highlighting developments in Lebanon and the
activities of the terrorist group Hezbollah.
Hezbollah and Israel
Israel's Operation Northern
Shield Continues into Second Week
Israel's Operation Northern Shield - to locate and
destroy Hezbollah tunnels stretching into its territory - continues
into its second week. So far, Israel has revealed the existence of three
tunnels, and the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL)
has confirmed two. Despite bellicose Israeli rhetoric
and hints that the IDF might have to operate in Lebanon, Lebanese
president Michel Aoun said Israel assured
Lebanon via the United States that it had no intention to attack the
country. Although an unnamed Lebanese security official attempted to
downplay the issue of the tunnels - claiming they were "old and
abandoned" to Al-Joumhouria - Aoun said Beirut would
decide on a proper course of action after
receiving
the final UN report on the tunnels.
Hezbollah, which has remained silent thus far, began
indirectly messaging to the Israelis this week. Its Deputy
Secretary-General Naim Qassem, in an interview with Al-Vefagh,
threatened that Hezbollah's rockets could reach anywhere in
Israel. Central Council member Sheikh Nabil Qaouq said the
"resistance" had deterred
Israel from attacking Lebanon, a sentiment repeated by another
Hezbollah official, Nawwar
al-Sahili. However, Hezbollah's defiant rhetoric masked the
implicit message to Israel that the group is disinterested in
escalation or armed conflict.
Cabinet Formation
No Progress on Lebanon Cabinet
Formation: President's Frustration Grows
Lebanese President Michel Aoun held several meetings in
Baabda this week - including with Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri,
Prime Minister-designate Saad Hariri,
a Hezbollah delegation, and the pro-Hezbollah "Independent
Sunnis" - in an attempt to overcome the government formation
impasse. According to Hezbollah's Al-Manar TV, the Shiite
group's delegation stressed to Aoun once again that the government
deadlock would only be
solved if the Independent Sunnis were given seats in Hariri's
cabinet. Likewise, the Independent Sunnis remained committed to their
position.
Aoun appears to have grown impatient with the continued
delay. Since last week, he has been mulling sending a
letter to parliament addressing Hariri's inability to form a
government - raising the threat
of parliament withdrawing its confidence in Hariri - in an attempt to
pressure the premier to form a government on Aoun's terms. Aoun has
also threatened
to publicly call out the party responsible for the continued
obstruction of the government formation process, should his recent
round of talks with political factions fail. Aoun's growing
frustration could be the result of the tense security situation in
south Lebanon caused by Israel revealing the existence of at least
three Hezbollah attack tunnels reaching into its territory.
Lebanese Foreign
Relations
Hariri Travels to London
At the Lebanon-U.K. Business and Investment Forum in
London, Lebanese Prime Minister Hariri promised that Lebanon would
fulfill its obligations
under the CEDRE conference, despite the delay in forming a
government. However, Hariri expressed his confidence
that Lebanon would form a government by the end of the current year.
Hariri's trip, however, comes amidst growing French impatience. The
French ambassador to Beirut warned
last Friday that the Lebanon was in danger of losing international support
and French investments.
Saudi FM: We Support Hariri, and
Reject Iran and Hezbollah
During the closing of the GCC Summit in Riyadh this
week, Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir affirmed
his country's continued support of Prime Minister Saad Hariri and his
attempts to form a national unity government, while stressing that
Riyadh rejects "Iran's interference in Lebanon and Hezbollah's
[obstructionist] role in Lebanese politics." Jubeir said all
Lebanese parties should prioritize their country's interests
"above all else."
Berri Objects to Syria's
Exclusion from Beirut Arab Summit
Lebanese Parliament Speaker Nabih Berri objected to Syria's
exclusion
from next month's Arab Economic and Social Development Summit, to be
hosted in Beirut. Berri reiterated an earlier objection that he would
"not accept any Arab meeting excluding Syria." Prime
Minister Saad Hariri has reportedly rejected Syria's inclusion in the
summit, consistent with the Arab League decision to suspend Syria's
membership in 2011.
U.S. Rebuffs Israeli Call to
Sanction Lebanon Over Hezbollah Tunnels
During a meeting with U.S. Secretary of State Mike
Pompeo last week, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu
reportedly requested that the U.S. sanction Lebanon and its army over the
discovery of at least three Hezbollah tunnels from Lebanon into
Israel. The U.S. reportedly rebuffed the request, refusing to equate
Hezbollah with the Lebanese state. The U.S. made clear that it has
close military ties with Lebanon, which it does not want to undermine
but agreed to draw up harsh sanctions to financially pressure
Hezbollah.
Lebanon's Health Minister:
Hezbollah's Demand of Health Ministry a Risk to Lebanon
Lebanese caretaker Health Minister Ghassan Hasbani said
Lebanon should carefully weigh the
international community's reservations over giving Hezbollah the
Health Ministry in a new government. Recent reports have indicated
that the U.S. would cease working with the Ministry and the rest of
Lebanon's health sector if Hezbollah is granted the Health portfolio.
Lebanese Security
Lebanese Interior Minister:
Lebanon Thwarted ISIS Bombing Attack
Lebanon's Interior Minister Nouhad Machnouk revealed
on Monday that the Internal Security Forces (ISF) thwarted an ISIS
bombing plot intended to target houses of worship, Christian
gatherings, and Lebanese military posts during Lebanon's 2017
parliamentary elections. Machnouk said the bombs were smuggled into
Lebanon from Syria's Idlib Province in buckets of cheese.
LAF Chief, U.K, U.S., Discuss
Lebanese-Syrian Border Security Project
Lebanon Armed Forces (LAF) Commander Joseph Aoun met
with British Ambassador to Lebanon Chris Rampling and U.S. Ambassador
Elizabeth Richard this week to discuss
progress on the project to secure the Lebanese-Syrian Border.
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