In this mailing:
- Stephen Blank and Peter Huessy: How to Rebalance US
Global Security Cheaply and Easily
- Kent Ekeroth: Sweden's
Parliamentary Election Crisis
by
Stephen Blank and Peter Huessy • December 5, 2018 at
5:00 am
- Russia,
evidently not restrained by the agreement, is already building
missiles outside the INF treaty, according to an October 29, 2018
report from the Congressional Research Service. The bottom line
is: If the Russians do not comply with the INF arms control
treaty, there is no treaty to be saved.
- Worse,
as China was never a party to the INF treaty, it is deploying
thousands of such INF range missiles in the Pacific, thereby
putting the USA and its allies at a serious military disadvantage.
- To
counter such threats effectively and stand up to the culture of
intimidation and threats of both Russia and China, the US needs
create a conventional missile and nuclear deterrent capability
that is at least on a par with those of Moscow and Beijing. Such
deployments, rather than undermining arms control, might even
induce Russia and China to negotiate any future arms negotiations
with the US in better faith, while simultaneously strengthening US
security.
- If
created with US allies in the Pacific, such relatively inexpensive
and easily produced conventionally armed missiles would, in short
order, rebalance the Pacific security situation in the favor of
the US and its Indo-Pacific alliances.
The reason the Soviets eventually
signed the INF treaty in 1987 was because the US and NATO deployment of
hundreds of Pershing and ground launched cruise missiles in Western
Europe exemplified NATO solidarity and vitiated the coercive threat
that the earlier Soviet SS-20 missile deployments had hoped to secure
to prevent a NATO response to potential Soviet aggression. Pictured:
Pershing II missiles at Fort Bliss McGregor Range. (Image source: US
Dept. of Defense)
The US renunciation of the 1987 United States-Soviet
Union Intermediate Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF) has generated much
skepticism in the arms-control community – particularly in much of
Europe, and from Japan.
These countries hoped not only to keep Russia and the
United States in the 1987 treaty, (despite Russia's major violations of
the INF treaty) but also to persuade China to become a party to the
treaty and thus be forced to eliminate the multiple hundreds of
INF-range missiles China has deployed in Asia ranged against US and its
allied interests.
Critics have presented the following five main arguments
against the US move:
by
Kent Ekeroth • December 5, 2018 at 4:00 am
- This
morning, December 5, we will get more information from speaker
Norlén when a third vote on who is going to be prime minister will
be held. Once again, Löfven (S) will most likely be running for
the position. If C and L betray their Alliance-coalition and
supports Löfven, he wins; if negotiations fail, he loses for the
second time.
- The
main reason Sweden will probably not have a re-election is that if
we did, the party that has the most to gain from another election
is SD – which all the other parties are fervently trying to stop.
- Also,
if there were a re-election, both the Liberal party and the Green
party have a high likelihood of failing to get enough votes even
to get into parliament.
- In
fact, out of the 349 seats in Swedish parliament, it would take
only 21 more seats to go to SD, M or KD for these three parties to
get a majority in parliament.
Sweden's House of Parliament in
Stockholm. (Image source: Holger.Ellgaard/Wikimedia Commons)
Sweden has always been extremely stable when it comes to
our governments and the time it takes to form them.
After the election in 2014 (we have elections every four
years) the government took office 19 days later. Until this year, in
fact, it has never taken more than 25 days after an election to form a
government; the average time is just six days.
Today, however, 86 days have passed since Sweden's last
election without a government having formed – a record by a wide
margin.
What changed?
Sweden's national parliament consists of 349 members,
divided in eight parties, of which seven formed blocs:
Socialist bloc:
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