Sunday, December 18, 2011

#1130 Pipes in NRO on "The Slap Heard Around the World"

Daniel
Pipes

December 17, 2011

Homepage | Articles | Blog

You can follow Daniel Pipes and the Middle East Forum on their Facebook and Twitter pages.

Join Daniel Pipes on a Fact Finding Expedition to Israel (For full details click here)


Please take a moment to visit and log in at the subscriber area, and submit your city & country location. We will use this information in future to invite you to any events that we organize in your area.

The Slap Heard Around the World

by Daniel Pipes
December 17, 2011
Cross-posted from National Review Online

http://www.danielpipes.org/blog/2011/12/the-slap-heard-around-the-world

Be the first of your friends to like this.

A year ago to the day, Officer Fadiya Hamdi slapped fruit vendor Mohammed Bouazizi across the face in the small Tunisian town of Sidi Bouzid, setting off upheavals that caused three seeming Arab dictators-for-life to lose power: Ben Ali of Tunisia resigned on January 14, Mubarak of Egypt resigned on February 11, and Qaddafi of Libya was killed on October 20. (In addition, Saleh of Yemen resigned on November 23 but that appears to be more a ruse to hang on to power than his really leaving office.)

Three observations on that slap: First, it brings to mind the famous fly-whisk incident (French: le coup d eventail) in neighboring Algeria on April 29, 1827, when the dey of Algiers (the Ottoman ruler of the region), Hussein ben Hassan, struck the French consul, Pierre Deval, with his fly whisk. The French government exploited this episode to go on to conquer the whole of Algeria over the next three years, and stayed for 132 more years. Granted that the fly-whisk was a manufactured incident and the slap a year ago was a real one – still the resemblance is striking.

Anonymous, Le coup d'eventail, 1827

Second, the slap confirms the butterfly effect – the idea going back to a 1972 academic paper by Edward Lorenz, a professor at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, "Does the Flap of a Butterfly's Wings in Brazil Set Off a Tornado in Texas?" that a miniscule, remote act can have momentous and unpredictable consequences.

Third, the events of the past year should put forever to rest the notion that Muslims are fatalistic. As I put it in 1983 about pre-modern life: "Although Muslim subjects were often referred to by the Arabic term ra'iya (tended flock), indicating their passivity, it would be more apt to see them as cattle which, normally placid and complacent, sometimes turned against authorities and stampeded them. Rejection of the [traditional order] happened rarely, usually at moments of extreme crisis, but often enough to keep Muslim rulers apprehensive." Indeed, those rules should not underestimate the volatility of their masses. (December 17, 2011)

Related Topics: North Africa This text may be reposted or forwarded so long as it is presented as an integral whole with complete information provided about its author, date, place of publication, and original URL.


To subscribe to this list, go to http://www.danielpipes.org/list_subscribe.php
(Daniel Pipes sends out a mailing of his writings 1-2 times a week.)

Sign up for related (but non-duplicating) e-mail services:
Middle East Forum (media alerts, event reports, MEQ articles)
Campus Watch (research, news items, press releases)
at http://www.danielpipes.org/list_subscribe.php

DanielPipes.org

No comments:

Post a Comment