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Reuters:
"Iran must drop its demands to have thousands of centrifuges used to
enrich uranium if it wants a lasting deal with major powers over its
disputed nuclear programme, France's foreign minister said on Tuesday.
Highlighting a big gap in negotiating positions, Laurent Fabius told
French radio that Iran should only have a few hundred centrifuges,
machines that spin at supersonic speed to increase the concentration of
the fissile isotope... 'We are still hitting a wall on one absolutely
fundamental point which is the number of centrifuges which allow
enrichment,' Fabius told France Inter radio. 'We say that there can be a
few hundred centrifuges, but the Iranians want thousands so we're not in
the same framework,' he said. It was not immediately clear whether he was
spelling out the French position, or that of the six powers...
'Obviously, if the Iranians maintain their position, what is the purpose
of having thousands of centrifuges if we're not heading towards an atomic
bomb?,' Fabius said. 'So the question that will be asked in the coming
weeks is whether Iran is really ready to accept to give up the atomic
bomb or not.'" http://t.uani.com/1uQZlQ2
Reuters:
"Iran's talks with world powers on curbing its nuclear programme in
exchange for an end to sanctions could be extended for another six months
if no deal is reached by a July 20 deadline, a senior Iranian official
said. U.S. and Iranian officials held talks in Geneva on Monday to tackle
ways of breaking a deadlock which has raised the likelihood that the deadline
will lapse without a deal meant to head off the risk of a Middle East war
over the nuclear issue... 'We hope to reach a final agreement (by July
20) but, if this doesn't happen, then we have no choice but to extend the
Geneva deal for six more months while we continue negotiations,' Araqchi
was quoted as saying by Iran's state news agency IRNA. 'It's still too
early to judge whether an extension will be needed. This hope still
exists that we will be able to reach a final agreement by the end of the
six months on July 20.' ... U.S. State Department deputy spokeswoman
Marie Harf said the 'wide-ranging' session ran for over five hours... 'We
are at a critical juncture in the talks,' Harf said. 'We don't have very
much time left. We think we've made progress during some rounds but as we
said coming out of the last one we hadn't seen enough made, we hadn't
seen enough realism.'" http://t.uani.com/1l416kV
WSJ:
"Turkey and Iran signed several economic cooperation agreements and
pledged to improve relations that have been fraught for years, largely
because of deep differences over Syria and Iraq. The two-day visit by
Iran's President Hasan Rouhani, who was elected in a landslide last year,
was the first official visit by an Iranian leader in 18 years. It follows
a trip in January by Turkish Prime Minister Recep Tayyip Erdogan to
Tehran, where he met Mr. Rouhani and Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali
Khamenei and signed a preferential trade agreement. Ten deals were signed
Monday in Ankara on energy and trade, including lucrative construction
contracts for Turkish companies, aiming to double trade between the
neighbors to $30 billion a year by the end of 2015. The Iranian
president, who has sought to ease Tehran's international isolation with a
foreign policy of 'prudence and moderation,' also pledged to work with
Ankara to bolster regional security. He called the meeting a turning
point in relations." http://t.uani.com/1jhWUOX
Nuclear Program & Negotiations
AFP:
"Senior Iranian and US officials held what Tehran's top negotiator
dubbed 'constructive' talks on Monday, as Washington warned tough choices
were needed for a lasting accord on Tehran's controversial nuclear
programme by a July 20 deadline. The closed-door meeting in Geneva, due
to last two days, marks a new effort to find common ground between Tehran
and Washington, amid concerns that tensions between the two could damage
efforts to strike deal between the Islamic republic and world powers. As
the first day of talks drew to a close, Washington acknowledged that time
was running out. 'We think we've made progress during some rounds, but as
we said coming out of the last one, we hadn't seen enough made. We hadn't
seen enough realism, quite frankly, on the table,' said deputy State
Department spokeswoman Marie Harf. 'We know we don't have a lot of time
left. That's why we've said diplomacy will intensify,' Harf said. 'People
need to make tough choices, but we are very focused on that July 20th
time.' Iran's deputy foreign minister and nuclear pointman Abbas Araqchi
said Monday's dialogue 'took place in a positive climate and was
constructive,' in comments carried by Iran?s ISNA news agency." http://t.uani.com/TEQzag
AFP:
"German officials will visit Tehran on Sunday for talks on Iran's
nuclear drive, top Iranian negotiator and deputy foreign minister Abbas
Araqchi said on Tuesday. The meeting will follow similar discussions with
American, Russian and French negotiators this week ahead of the
resumption of political talks between Iran and the main P5+1 group of
world powers on Monday in Vienna. 'Mr Hans Dieter Lucas, the German
representative at the P5+1 talks, will travel to Tehran to attend a
seminar' organised by Iran's Foreign Ministry, Araqchi was quoted as
saying by the official IRNA news agency. 'We will have bilateral nuclear
talks with him' on the sidelines, said Araqchi who is in Geneva leading
Tehran's negotiators in meetings with US counterparts." http://t.uani.com/1qnvEmQ
Sanctions
Relief
Trend:
"China National Aero-Technology Import& Export Corporation
(Catic) has agreed to invest €2 billion in building a petrochemical plant
in Iran. The two countries have signed an agreement in Beijing, based on
which the Chinese company will invest €2 billion in building a
petrochemical plant in Iran's southern province of Bushehr, Iran's Mehr
news agency reported on June 10. All the construction operations will be
carried out by Iranian companies and contractors." http://t.uani.com/1oQvnYP
Syria Conflict
Trend:
"President Hassan Rouhani in a message addressed to his Syrian
counterpart on Sunday congratulated him, the Syrian government and nation
for Bashar al-Assad's re-election as president in that Arab republic's
recent elections, IRNA reported. President Rouhani has in his message
considered the successful holding of the presidential election in Syria
as a sign of the success of the resistant Syrian people's will for
determining their own fate both today and in the future. 'While
expressing my satisfaction with the occurrence of this significant and
hope-inspiring event, which is in line with democracy, I hereby
congratulate this victory to the Syrian nation and your good self
wholeheartedly,' wrote Rouhani. President Rouhani has also expressed
certainty that the result of the Syrian presidential election shows both
that nation's trust in President Assad and their will for progress
towards stability, security and national solidarity. 'I am quite sure
that relying on your honor's broad vision, Syria will pave its path
towards peace, stability, and national unity. Meanwhile, Syria will leave
behind the crisis that has been imposed against it safe and sound and
relying on evermore participation of the people it will mightily and
resolutely pave its path toward national unity and re-construction of the
Syrian economy,' he added." http://t.uani.com/1q05c5s
Human Rights
Guardian:
"More than 140 Iranian journalists have called on authorities to
release Saba Azarpeik, who was picked up last month from the offices of a
magazine in Tehran and is currently being held incommunicado. Azarpeik,
who has written for various reformist publications including Etemaad
daily, has been outspoken about the state's treatment of journalists and
opposition figures. She was arrested while working in the offices of
Tejarat-e-Farda, a Tehran-based reformist weekly. In a statement seen by
the Guardian, a group of Iranian journalists protested against her
arrest, saying it was against the Islamic republic's own constitution and
human rights treaties to detain her for merely doing her job... Azarpeik
was particularly outspoken on her Facebook page, which has been taken
offline since she was detained. In recent years, she has drawn a great
deal of attention by covering the case of the Iranian blogger Sattar
Beheshti, whose death in custody brought embarrassment for the Islamic
republic and its cyber police." http://t.uani.com/1khJp1n
Venture Beat:
"U.K. resident Roya Nobakht was visiting Iran a few months ago.
While there, she visited and posted on a Facebook page - one that Iran's
religious leaders don't like. Now she's in prison serving a 20-year term,
and her family fears for her life. Nobakht, a naturalized British citizen
who lives in Manchester, was visiting family in the Iranian city of Fars
when she was arrested. She has been in Tehran's notorious Evin prison
ever since. A family member told VentureBeat she had been brutalized, beaten,
and raped... 'She loves Facebook and uses it a lot to keep in touch with
her family,' our source told us. 'She had a laptop with her and was
posting some jokes. Nothing really. But I really don't know because
nobody will tell me anything.' ... As it has done previously, Facebook
said it had no comment. When told that Facebook had declined speak on the
situation, the family member expressed sadness. 'Roya loves using
Facebook,' the source said. 'This is just terrible.'" http://t.uani.com/1kMoJU7
Domestic
Politics
Al-Monitor:
"At a meeting with Iran's Chamber of Commerce, Culture Minister Ali
Jannati warned that the government's initial rejection of new
technologies and later acceptance was causing the country to fall behind.
At the informal breakfast meeting, Jannati also criticized the blocking
of popular social media websites, jamming satellite stations and the lack
of tolerance of officials toward opposing views... 'In social media and
the virtual world, we still do not know if we are supposed to block Viber
and WhatsApp or not,' said Jannati, referring to a quarrel between the
administration and the judiciary, which ordered that the websites be
blocked. Jannati said, 'There was a time we had problems with video.
There was even a time we had issue with the fax machine.' ... Most of the
top officials in Iran have official or semiofficial social media
accounts, including Facebook, Twitter, Google+ and Instagram. Since these
websites are blocked, Iranian users must access them through proxies.
'Apparently we have to confront every new phenomenon and after time has
passed, then accept it,' Jannati said. 'We always want to have a 20-year
distance with the world. Let's at least move along with the world.'"
http://t.uani.com/1oQv2oJ
Foreign Affairs
Reuters:
"President Hassan Rouhani, whose country's relations with Turkey
have been strained by the Syrian civil war, said in Ankara on Monday Iran
would make tackling extremism, sectarian conflicts and terrorism its
chief objective... 'Instabilities exist in our region ... Iran and Turkey
are determined to increase their cooperation to establish stability in
the region,' Rouhani said after talks with President Abdullah Gul in
Ankara. The Fight against violence, extremism, sectarian conflicts and
terrorism is IranĖs major objective,' he added." http://t.uani.com/1n3tCWO
Opinion &
Analysis
Shahrzad
Elghanayan in NYT: "The nouveaux riches in Tehran
drive Porsches, Ferraris and Maseratis and live in multimillion-dollar
luxury apartments replete with walk-in closets, Bosch appliances and
computerized shower systems. I was stunned when I caught a glimpse of
what Iran's megarich can afford - on, of all things, a program made by
Press TV, an English-language news organization sponsored and monitored
by the Iranian state. It was not just the wealth that struck me, but how
freely Iran's one percenters' flaunted the symbols of Western decadence
without fear of government retribution. Thirty-five years after a
revolution that promised an egalitarian utopia and vowed to root out
gharbzadegi' - the modern Westernized lifestyles of Iran's cosmopolitans
- how have some people become so rich? Much of Iran's wealth, it turns
out, is in the hands of the very people in charge of maintaining social
justice. Hard-line clerical leaders, together with the Islamic
Revolutionary Guards Corps (the branch of Iran's military in charge of
protecting the country's Islamic government), have engineered a system
where it is largely they, their family members and their loyal cronies
who prosper. When Ayatollah Ali Khamenei became supreme leader in 1989,
he built his own system of patronage by building a network with the
I.R.G.C.,' said Alireza Nader, an Iran expert at the nonpartisan RAND
Corporation and an author of its report The Rise of the Pasdaran:
Assessing the Domestic Roles of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards
Corps.' Saeed Ghasseminejad, an economist, and the political scientist
Emanuele Ottolenghi, writing in The Wall Street Journal, estimated that
the Revolutionary Guards Corps controls about 20 percent of the market
value of companies traded on Tehran's stock exchange, across the
telecommunications, banking, construction, metals and mining, automotive
and petrochemical sectors. Mr. Nader said the corps was also involved in
sanctions-busting and the smuggling of alcohol and drugs into Iran, both
forbidden under Islamic law. The corps also runs large parts of the
economy. Since 2006, Al-Monitor reported, it has been awarded at least
11,000 development projects, from construction and aerospace to oil and
gas. Khatam al-Anbiya, a company that acts like the United States Army
Corps of Engineers on the construction of roads, bridges and public
works, subcontracts to firms owned by businessmen with connections to the
Guards... A recent Reuters investigation of Ayatollah Khamenei's economic
empire found that Setad, a foundation ostensibly set up to help the poor
but controlled by the supreme leader without oversight, is worth $95
billion. Part of its modus operandi is to appropriate real estate, allegedly
by claiming - often falsely - that it is abandoned. According to Mr.
Ottolenghi and Mr. Ghasseminejad, Ayatollah Khamenei also controls three
of the 10 banks listed on the Tehran stock exchange... A lack of reliable
data makes it difficult to pin down how many Iranians live below the
poverty line. A Budget and Planning Parliamentary Commission member,
Musalreza Servati, stated earlier this year that 20 percent of the
population (about 15 million people) was poor, while the Financial Times
estimated it was 35 percent, based on research by Hossein Raghfar, an
economics professor at Alzahra University in Tehran. The government-set
poverty line for a family of four is a meager $720 a month. The
pro-reform economist Saeed Laylaz recently told Al-Monitor that The
purchasing power of 40 percent to 50 percent of the Iranian citizens has
been reduced to the subsistence level.' In February, millions stood in
line for food handouts. With inflation running at nearly 34 percent,
families can't keep up. The average family makes $600 a month in urban
areas and $339 in rural areas, according to the Statistical Center of
Iran. Even a university degree does not improve chances for mobility. In
April, Bloomberg News reported that monthly starting salaries for
graduates rarely exceed $500. One in four Iranians under 29 was jobless,
Forbes reported last year... Foreign companies are waiting for sanctions
to end to enter Iran and make their own profits. But before restoring
those economic ties, the Islamic Republic's leaders should normalize
relations with its own citizens. Last week, a court dismissed a grievance
filed by workers about the inadequacy of the minimum wage. Besides
encouraging entrepreneurs like Mehrdad, Mr. Rouhani needs to give working
people a break. That also means rooting out the corruption that has left
Iran's poor and youth behind." http://t.uani.com/1nvuDIX
Phillip Smyth in
WINEP: "On May 22, the Wall Street Journal reported
that Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC) was recruiting
Afghan Shiite refugees to fight in Syria, promising them a salary of $500
per month as well as Iranian residency papers. The article noted that
reports of funerals for such fighters began to emerge in November 2013,
and that they had originally been recruited to offset losses among IRGC
operatives in Syria. Yet the phenomenon of Afghan Shiite combatants
fighting on Bashar al-Assad's side is hardly a new development, and their
increased involvement in the war merits closer scrutiny given the
potential implications for Syria and the future of Iran's regional and
sectarian ambitions. As early as October 2012, elements associated with
the opposition Free Syrian Army claimed to have captured an Afghan Shiite
fighter named Mortada Hussein. He was later interrogated by the rebels on
a short YouTube video clip. The presence of other such fighters became a
more regular and public subject beginning in spring 2013, around the time
that Lebanese Shiite jihadist group Hezbollah announced it had deployed
forces to Syria. Subsequently, opposition and regime social media
circulated unconfirmed images of uniformed Afghans posing together and
holding weapons. In many cases, their faces -- which tended to be
ethnically distinct -- were clearly shown, and the fighters were
described as 'martyrs.' Yet these fallen Afghans were never named. In
July 2013, however, a martyrdom poster emerged naming Safer Muhammad as
one of the Afghans who had been killed. The gold-framed poster featured
the flags of Hezbollah, the Syrian regime, and Afghanistan. The Afghan
Shiites fighting in Syria have come from three main sources. First is the
contingent already residing in Syria before the war, a number of whom
lived near Sayyeda Zainab, a prominent Shiite shrine located south of
Damascus. According to researcher Ahmad Shuja, some 2,000 Afghan Shiites,
mainly belonging to the Persian-speaking Hazara ethnic group, took up
residence in Syria before hostilities broke out. As with Hazara refugees
in other countries, many of them had fled Afghanistan after suffering regularly
at the hands of the Taliban. Yet once the war started, many were once
again reportedly targeted for attacks based on their sectarian identity,
quickly becoming internally displaced persons. Some of them joined the
fighting; for example, Ali Salehi, a Hazara reportedly residing in Syria,
was killed during hostilities in the Damascus area. Fighters from this
refugee population appear to have followed an organizational model
similar to Liwa Abu Fadl al-Abbas (LAFA), the main pro-regime Shiite
brigade in Syria. LAFA's original core consisted of Iraqi Shiite refugees
from the Sayyeda Zainab area who assembled in a popular-committee format;
their avowed justification for fighting was to defend the Shiite shrine.
Iranian-backed recruits and trained fighters from established
organizations such as Asaib Ahl al-Haqq (AAH), Kataib Hezbollah, and
Lebanese Hezbollah later helped expand the brigade and build its combat
abilities. A second contingent of Afghan Shiite fighters hails from Iran;
according to Iranian government-backed newspapers and Afghan Shiite
sources, they are the largest such contingent. Many of these recruits
were originally refugees in Iran, which is home to around half a million
Hazaras; a 2010 Stimson Center report noted that a third of these refugees
'have spent more than half their life in Iran.' Public funerals held in
the Islamic Republic in November-December 2013 indicate that Afghan
Shiite fighters came from cities throughout the country, including
Isfahan, Mashhad, Tehran, and Qom. One young 'martyr,' Reza Ismail, had
attended Iran's University of Mashhad, and a photo reportedly taken in
Syria showed him holding an M4-type carbine. Apparently, he was beheaded
by Sunni jihadist rebels. A third and more debatable source of Afghan
Shiite fighters is refugee populations in countries other than Iran and
Syria. In April 2013, officials in Afghanistan announced that they would
look into reports of Afghan nationals fighting for Assad. And just last
month, Kabul called on Tehran to not recruit its nationals to fight in
Syria. If direct Iranian recruitment were proven, Kabul threatened to
file a complaint with the UN High Commissioner for Refugees. Yet real
evidence of direct recruitment in Afghanistan has yet to surface. In
another case, an unnamed fighter pictured holding a PKM machine gun was
claimed to be an Afghan Shiite refugee who had been granted asylum in
Australia before joining the war in Syria. But this claim has not yet
been proven." http://t.uani.com/1pANwej
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