Wednesday, June 4, 2014

Iran: False Assumptions


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Iran: False Assumptions

by Peter Huessy  •  June 4, 2014 at 5:00 am
The U.S. already failed to detect nuclear programs on four other occasions: Iraq - 1991, Syria - 2009, North Korea - 2000-1 and Libya - 2005. That is quite a record.
Terrorist groups, such as Hezbollah and Hamas, regularly launch rocket attacks on Israel, but because they are not "recognized state actors" launching rocket attacks on another sovereign state, we do not put the min the same category. All terrorist groups attacking a state therefore get a free pass.
A nuclear device in the hands of such terrorist groups -- chosen precisely because they cannot be readily identified as working for, or connected to, a state -- can therefore be used in an attack with impunity, totally undermining the assumption that such weapons in the hands of Iran are "only for deterrence."
Unless we end the Iranian nuclear weapons program now, we will probably only know if a threat is "real" after it is too late.
The Arak heavy water reactor, in Iran. (Image source: Wikimedia Commons)
The Iranian Supreme Leader announced last week that further negotiations on Tehran's nuclear program are ended, asserting that "jihad" will continue until America is destroyed.
Whatever the future of a nuclear "deal" with Iran, still missing are both an analysis of what specific deal is technically required to end the Iranian nuclear weapons program compared to what is now on the table, and whether the assumptions many in the West bring for an agreement to succeed hold up under scrutiny.
To answer the first problem, an analysis by Gregory Jones of the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (NPEC) explores the faults with the current proposals.

Austria: Muslim Brotherhood's New European Headquarters

by Valentina Colombo  •  June 4, 2014 at 4:00 am
What is clear is that Austria's "Law of Islam" of 1812 represents protection for Islamic organizations that no other European country has to offer.
Many Egyptian communities in Austria, however, do not define themselves as Muslim. They are completely opposed to political Islam, and are enormously worried about the presence of the Muslim Brotherhood.
The 1912 law might be delivering the most potent weapon of Islamic extremism at the expense of the majority of Austria's Muslims -- most of whom practice their religion as a part of life not as an instrument of power.
An image from the cover of Petra Ramsauer's book Muslimbrüder. Ihre geheime Strategie. Ihr globales Netzwerk [The Muslim Brotherhood. Their Secret Strategies, Their Global Network] (Vienna, 2014)
One reason for the possible relocation of the Muslim Brotherhood's European headquarters from London to Graz, Austria, mentioned by The Daily Mail on April 12, might well be the inquiry, started by the British government in March, into the activities of the Brotherhood.
Ibrahim Munir, Secretary General of the Muslim Brotherhood and often referred to as the head of the Brotherhood in Europe, had said to the Anadolu news agency that he could not "imagine or accept leaving Britain for any other country."
However, the satellite channel Al Arabiya reported, from a source linked to the Brotherhood, that in London a meeting had taken place in the presence of Mahmoud Hussein, the secretary general of the Muslim Brotherhood in Egypt, during which those present had discussed not only the situation in Egypt and the appointment of 17 new leaders, but had also endorsed the decision to move their headquarters from London to Austria and three other European countries.

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