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The Hill:
"Senators began debate on Iran legislation Thursday, with Sens.
Bob Corker (R-Tenn.) and Ben Cardin (D-Md.) making their opening salvos
on the proposal. Cardin, the ranking member of the Foreign Relations
Committee, urged senators to maintain the bipartisan nature of the
legislation on curbing Iran's nuclear capabilites, which passed
unanimously out of the Foreign Relations Committee earlier this month.
'What we did in the bill that we bring forward to you is a compromise,'
the Maryland Democrat said. 'Let's see the amendments and try to work
with you on the amendments. Let's maintain the bipartisan cooperation
we have here.' ... Sen. Tom Cotton (R-Ark.) said he plans to offer or
support amendments that would require any final deal to be submitted as
a treaty to Iran, that would require the administration to submit any
breaches of a final deal to Congress - instead of just material
breaches - and that Iran wouldn't get sanctions relief until they 'live
up to their international obligations.'" http://t.uani.com/1GqxG19
Reuters:
"U.S. Republican senators pledged on Thursday to try to toughen a
bill giving Congress the power to review a nuclear agreement with Iran,
raising the possibility of a partisan battle that could complicate the
measure's chances of passing. The Senate's Republican Majority Leader,
Mitch McConnell, said he expected a 'vigorous debate' next week. 'Look,
no piece of legislation is perfect. Senators who would like to see this
bill strengthened, as I would, will have that chance during a robust
amendment process that we'll soon have,' he said in a Senate speech.
The Senate Foreign Relations Committee voted 19-0 last week for a
compromise version of the 'Iran Nuclear Review Act,' in a rare display
of bipartisan unity in the deeply divided Congress. Bill supporters
urged that the measure go ahead to ensure lawmakers have a say on any
Iran nuclear deal. 'Without this bill, there is nothing stopping the
president from bypassing the American people, immediately waiving
sanctions imposed by Congress and unilaterally implementing an
agreement with Iran,' the bill's author, Republican Senator Bob Corker,
said as he introduced the bill in the Senate on Thursday." http://t.uani.com/1HzS2Ud
WSJ:
"An Iranian flotilla suspected of carrying weapons bound for
rebels in Yemen has reversed course and appeared to be heading home,
averting a potential confrontation in the Gulf of Aden, U.S. defense
officials said Thursday. The cargo ships, accompanied by two Iranian
warships, shifted course as a U.S. aircraft carrier moved within 200
nautical miles of the flotilla and Saudi Arabian officials said their
sailors would attempt to search the ships if they tried to dock in Yemen.
U.S. defense officials said it was too soon to tell Thursday if a
crisis had been averted. But initial indications suggested that the
Iranian ships had abandoned an attempt to challenge the Saudi-led
effort to prevent arms from reaching Houthi rebels in Yemen. U.S. and
Saudi officials have been keeping an eye on at least nine Iranian ships
suspected of carrying weapons and supplies to Houthi fighters who have
taken over much of Yemen. On Tuesday, the U.S. military sent the USS
Theodore Roosevelt and several other warships to the Gulf of Aden to
send a warning to Iran not to challenge a United Nations arms embargo
on the Houthis." http://t.uani.com/1OOrQ8T
Nuclear Program & Negotiations
Reuters:
"Nuclear talks between Iran and six world powers are making good
but slow progress as they work toward a June 30 deadline for a final
deal, Tehran's senior negotiator said on Friday... 'The progress is
good... We are at preliminary stages and the pace is slow but it is
good,' Iranian state television quoted negotiator Abbas Araqchi as
telling reporters in Vienna. 'The Europeans and Americans made good
clarifications about lifting of the sanctions,' he said, adding that
drafting of the text had begun." http://t.uani.com/1JBAOVk
AFP:
"The United States said Thursday that any deal reached with Iran
to curb its nuclear ambitions would be 'fundamentally different' from a
pact sealed with North Korea that later unraveled. 'The restrictions,
inspections and verifications measures imposed on Iran by a
comprehensive plan of action will go far beyond those placed on North
Korea in the 1990s and the 2000s,' said acting State Department
spokeswoman Marie Harf... 'The comprehensive deal we are seeking to
negotiate with Iran is fundamentally different than what we did in
terms of our approach to North Korea,' Harf told reporters. 'In the
early 1990s, North Korea had produced weapons-grade plutonium prior to
agreeing to limited IAEA inspections. After the agreed framework, they
agreed to more intrusive inspections; but in 2002, when they finally
broke its commitments, its violations were detected by the IAEA.' And
she acknowledged that part of the reason for the in-depth, complex
technical annexes to an Iran deal was 'because of the lessons we
learned from the North Korea situation.'" http://t.uani.com/1EnglUE
Reuters:
"The United States and five other world powers would be able to
detect any military capabilities of Iran's nuclear program for at least
10 years under a framework deal agreed upon earlier this month, the
U.S. energy secretary said on Thursday. For 10 years at minimum, 'we
will have a very comfortable ability to detect any military activity
related to the nuclear program and we would have adequate time to respond,'
Secretary Ernest Moniz, a nuclear physicist who participated in the
Iran talks, said on CNBC about the plan... Moniz told CNBC said
agreements under the framework deal would give world powers access to
Iran's uranium supply chain for 25 years in a 'completely unprecedented
way.' In addition, the plan would 'essentially forever' commit Iran to
verification that goes beyond agreements that international nuclear
inspectors have anywhere else, he said." http://t.uani.com/1Gf7uRC
Human Rights
ICHRI:
"The International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran released a
video today highlighting the plight of the thousands of Iranians who
wish to return to their homeland, yet fear likely imprisonment upon
arrival for the peaceful expression of their beliefs, art, or
lifestyle. Dozens of Iranian expatriates who have traveled to Iran
following assurances by President Hassan Rouhani regarding their safe
passage, have been arrested, interrogated, prevented from leaving by
having their passports confiscated, and, in many instances, imprisoned
upon their return." http://t.uani.com/1Fk8Jmr
Opinion &
Analysis
Charles
Krauthammer in WashPost: "In December, President
Obama said that he wished to see Iran ultimately become a 'very
successful regional power.' His wish - a nightmare for the
Western-oriented Arab states - is becoming a reality... This is the new
Middle East. Its strategic reality is clear to everyone: Iran rising,
assisted, astonishingly, by the United States. Obama's initial Middle
East strategy was simply withdrawal. He would enter history as the
ultimate peace president, ushering in a new era in which 'the tide of
war is receding.' The subsequent vacuum having been filled,
unfortunately and predictably, by various enemies, adversaries and
irredeemables, Obama lighted upon a new idea: We don't just withdraw,
we hand the baton. To Iran. Obama may not even be aware that he is
recapitulating the Nixon doctrine, but with a fatal twist. Nixon's main
focus was to get the Vietnamese to take over that war from us. But the
doctrine evolved and was generalized to deputize various smaller powers
to police their regions on our behalf. In the Persian Gulf, our
principal proxy was Iran. The only problem with Obama's version of the
Nixon doctrine is that Iran today is not the Westernized, secular,
pro-American regional power it was under the shah. It is radical,
clerical, rabidly anti-imperialist, deeply anti-Western. The regime's
ultimate - and openly declared - strategic purpose is to drive the
American infidel from the region and either subordinate or annihilate
America's Middle Eastern allies. Which has those allies in an
understandable panic. Can an American president really believe that
appeasing Iran - territorially, economically, militarily and by
conferring nuclear legitimacy - will moderate its behavior and
ideology, adherence to which despite all odds is now yielding undreamed
of success? Iran went into the nuclear negotiations heavily sanctioned,
isolated internationally, hemorrhaging financially - and this was even before
the collapse of oil prices. The premise of these talks was that the
mullahs would have six months to give up their nuclear program or they
would be additionally squeezed with even more devastating sanctions.
After 17 months of serial American concessions, the Iranian economy is
growing again, its forces and proxies are on the march through the Arab
Middle East and it is on the verge of having its nuclear defiance
rewarded and legitimized. The Saudis are resisting being broken to
Iranian dominance. They have resumed their war in Yemen. They are
resisting being forced into Yemen negotiations with Iran, a country
that is, in the words of the Saudi ambassador to the U.S., 'part of the
problem, not part of the solution.' Obama appears undeterred. He's determined
to make his Iran-first inverted Nixon doctrine a reality. Our friends
in the region, who for decades have relied on us to protect them from
Iran, look on astonished." http://t.uani.com/1Drv50A
Bill Kristol in
The Weekly Standard: "This week, for the first
time since President Obama abandoned the bipartisan and international
policy of pressuring Iran to give up its nuclear weapons program, the
Senate will have a sustained debate on the administration's Iran
policy. For the first time! The op-ed pages and the journals have been
full of arguments about the path the administration has gone down. A
remarkable number of serious observers, including many sympathetic to
the notion of a negotiated deal with Iran, have been critical of the
administration's repeated cascades of concessions. But Congress? No.
The administration has succeeded in averting votes on various pieces of
legislation, and therefore in preventing a real and sustained
congressional debate on its Iran policy. So the elected representatives
of the American people haven't weighed in. Now they have a chance to do
so. The occasion is the Corker-Cardin bill, reported out of the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee, which establishes a process for
congressional review of whatever deal the administration reaches. It's
a toothless bill, setting up a process that allows Congress, in
reaction to a deal, to stop the president from waiving or removing
sanctions on Iran-which is of course something Congress could already
do in any case, at any time. So the bill sets up a process that allows
Congress to do something it can do without that process. There is no
reason to think passage of this bill, as it now stands, significantly
increases the chance of reversing a deal once it is agreed to. There is
every reason to think, if the bill passes without serious debate, that
it will have the opposite effect-giving the illusion that Congress is
doing something to stop or slow down a bad deal when it really is not.
So as it stands, the bill is at worst misleading, at best toothless.
But there will be efforts on the floor of the Senate to give it teeth.
Various senators are planning to offer amendments specifying what
provisions would need to be in a deal to make it worthy of
congressional support. These amendments range from requiring that Iran
stop denying international inspectors access to certain sites, to
insisting Iran stop spinning centrifuges at such sites, to making sure
that sanctions relief is gradual and based on Iranian behavior rather
than immediate and based only on Iranian promises, to requiring that
Iran stop engaging in terror against Americans or supporting attempts
to destroy Israel. Some of these amendments will be more important or
more useful than others. But each needs to be considered, and debated,
and voted on. Such a Senate debate, and votes, could put the
administration-and the Iranians-on notice as to what Congress would and
would not accept. And Congress would not be in the position of having
to overturn later an agreement entered into by the executive branch
with a foreign government because of objections that had not been
clearly stated in advance. It could also clarify what is at stake in
this deal-not just the status of Iran's nuclear program and the
sanctions on Iran, but the broader question of Iranian hegemony in the
Middle East and the likelihood of a regional nuclear arms race. It
could rouse the nation to a serious consideration about the stairway we
are descending under the guidance of the Obama administration... What
is urgent is a congressional debate on the substance of an Iran deal.
Perhaps the nation can be roused. Perhaps a nuclear Iran can still be
prevented without military action. Perhaps future wars in the Middle
East can be made less likely. A determined Congress might still halt
our descent down the broad stairway that leads to a dark gulf." http://t.uani.com/1OkCXvu
Eli Lake &
Josh Rogin in Bloomberg: "The American Israel
Public Affairs Committee has been quietly pressing Republicans to
oppose a series of pro-Israel amendments that lawmakers will try to add
to the Iran legislation coming up for debate on the Senate floor next
week. At issue is the Iran Nuclear Agreement Review Act, a bipartisan
bill authored by the Republican chairman of the Senate Foreign
Relations Committee, Bob Corker. Earlier this month, the bill was voted
out of Corker's committee unanimously, with strong support from
Democrats and a promise from President Barack Obama not to veto the
bill if it reached his desk without amendments that he said could imperil
the Iran nuclear negotiations. Senate staff members tell us that since
Monday, senior Aipac lobbyists and board members have had face-to-face
meetings and phone calls with leading senators to try to dissuade
lawmakers from voting for the Republican amendments... Aipac supports
Corker's bill as is. Earlier this year, it quietly dropped its campaign
to get Congress to pass new sanctions on Iran latched onto a previous
version of the chairman's legislation. Corker's new bill, which has
added concessions to Obama, would give Congress a chance to review an
Iran deal and could provide for a vote on the deal, although language
inserted at the last minute makes clear that Obama could begin
implementing the agreement even if Congress votes against it... Each of
the Republican amendments would in practice require 60 votes to be
added to the bill. Since most Democrats and Corker will oppose all of
them, there is little chance any would be adopted... In other contexts,
Aipac has supported all the ideas behind all these amendments. One
Aipac official even told us he feels many of the proposed Republican
amendments have merit. But this official stressed that the lobby's
position is that senators support the passage of a 'clean' bill instead
of risking an Obama veto or the loss of Democratic support. 'Our
fundamental view is that this bill is the first step of a number of
different steps on the Iran deal,' the official said. 'The first and
foremost priority is to make sure the bill gets passed to make sure
congress is guaranteed a chance to pass judgment on the deal.' Some
conservatives and Republicans, however, have already passed judgment on
that deal. William Kristol, the chairman of the Emergency Committee for
Israel and the editor of the Weekly Standard, wrote this week that
Corker's bill was toothless. In a not-so-veiled reference to Aipac,
Kristol wrote, 'Not just the Obama administration, but the Republican
chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations Committee and the leading
establishment pro-Israel lobbying group, all prefer quiet acquiescence
to and approval of a toothless bill rather than a serious debate and
series of votes over our Iran policy.' Many Republicans, however, don't
like Corker's bill as is. Majority Leader Mitch McConnell announced
Thursday that when the bill comes to the Senate floor, there will be a
'robust amendment process,' and that he hopes the bill is strengthened.
Republican critics say that the bill doesn't have any real mechanisms
to stop Obama from lifting congressionally mandated sanctions. Some
also complain that the Corker bill doesn't require the nuclear deal to
address other issues, including Iran's support for terrorism, its
campaign against Israel and its imprisonment of U.S. citizens on
trumped-up charges. And several Republicans, including presidential
hopefuls Ted Cruz and Rubio, are planning to offer amendments to remedy
what they see as the bill's weaknesses. All told, at least two dozen
amendments are expected to be offered next week. Rubio alone has seven.
Senator James Risch will propose an amendment to require Obama to
certify that four Americans currently held in Iran are released from
captivity before the Senate considers lifting any sanctions. Other
measures would focus on Iran's support for terrorism and refusal to
grant U.N. inspectors access to military sites." http://t.uani.com/1KcQlMt
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