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WashPost:
"The U.S. military has dispatched a destroyer in pursuit of a
commercial ship that was fired upon and then boarded by Iranian forces in
the Strait of Hormuz, the Pentagon said Tuesday. The Maersk Tigris, a
Marshall Islands-flagged container ship, was intercepted by patrol ships
from the Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps Navy around 4 a.m. Eastern
time, according to Col. Steve Warren, a Pentagon spokesman. No U.S.
citizens were believed to be among the more than 30 crew members aboard
the vessel. After the ship refused to comply with an Iranian order to
steam further into Iran's territorial waters, one of the Iranian patrol
vessels fired across the Tigris's bridge, Warren said. The Tigris, which
had been heading toward the Persian Gulf when it was intercepted, then
complied with the Iranian ships' order, proceeding to an area near Larak
Island, in the northern edge of the strait off Iran's coast. According to
Iran's semiofficial Fars News Agency, the Maersk Tigris was seized at the
request of the Iranian Ports and Maritime Organization. The news agency
quoted an unidentified source as 'indicating that the IPMO had monetary
differences with the ship owner.'" http://t.uani.com/1GvZKLc
AP:
"The operator of a Marshall Islands-flagged cargo vessel boarded by
Iranian forces as it was traversing the Strait of Hormuz said Wednesday
it has confirmed the crew is safe but that the company is still trying to
determine why the ship was seized the previous day by the Islamic
Republic... Iran's semi-official Fars news agency quoted the maritime
deputy director of Iran's Ports and Sailing Organization, Hadi
Haghshenas, as saying the seized ship was still under arrest Wednesday.
'A Maersk Line cargo ship seized in the Strait of Hormuz by the Islamic
Republic was because of some unpaid debt,' Fars quoted Haghshenas as
saying. 'Maersk Line owes some money to an Iranian company and the court
has ruled that Maersk should pay the debt.' The report did not elaborate.
Michael Storgaard, a spokesman for Danish shipper Maersk Line, earlier
said his company had not been 'able at this point to establish or confirm
the reason behind the seizure.' U.S. firm Oaktree Capital, a global
investment firm based in Los Angeles, would not confirm a shipping
industry magazine's report that it owned the MV Maersk Tigris and
referred any questions to Radings. Radings would only say the ship was
owned by 'private investors' and would not elaborate." http://t.uani.com/1bU0bri
AP:
"The GOP-controlled Senate on Tuesday turned back an attempt to
elevate any nuclear deal with Iran into a treaty, a vote that gave
momentum to Republicans and Democrats trying to pass a bill giving
Congress a chance to review and possibly reject any agreement with
Tehran. The amendment, filed by Republican Sen. Ron Johnson of Wisconsin,
failed 39 to 57... The bill has gained tacit approval from Obama. He says
he will sign it as written, but the White House warns that he will
reconsider if the measure is substantially changed. Sen. Bob Corker, a
lead sponsor of the bill and chairman of the Senate Foreign Relations
Committee, said the measure in its current form, has 67 backers, enough
to override a presidential veto. Corker and his supporters are trying to
bat down more than 50 amendments have been introduced so far - all by
Republicans... Johnson's failed amendment would have turned any final
nuclear agreement with Tehran into a treaty, requiring ratification by
two-thirds of the Senate... It was the first vote on the dozens of
amendments under consideration." http://t.uani.com/1EiS68E
Nuclear Program & Negotiations
Bloomberg:
"Iran and world powers may sign a comprehensive nuclear deal without
questions over the Islamic Republic's past military-related work having
been resolved, according to the world's top atomic agency. International
Atomic Energy Agency Director-General Yukiya Amano said he had urged
Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif to 'accelerate' his
country's cooperation with investigators during a meeting a New York.
'Clarifying the possible military dimensions of Iran's past is
essential,' Amano said in an interview on Tuesday. 'It is important to
restore confidence' even if 'it has never been a precondition for
reaching an agreement,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1ODRqCL
Military
Matters
USA Today:
"Iranian naval forces have acted with mounting aggressiveness in the
Persian Gulf region in the past week, including encircling and
threatening a U.S.-flagged cargo vessel April 24, USA TODAY learned. The
previously undisclosed incident follows news Tuesday that Iranian patrol
boats in the Strait of Hormuz fired across the bridge of the Maersk
Tigris, a Marshall Islands-flagged cargo vessel... In the incident
involving an American ship, four Iranian Revolutionary Guard Corps navy
patrol ships intercepted the Maersk Kensington, a U.S.-flagged cargo
vessel, in the southern Persian Gulf on an internationally recognized
trade route, according to the Defense Department official. The
confrontation began the morning of April 24 when the Iranian sailors
radioed the Kensington, whose crew did not respond. The Iranian boats encircled
the ship and came up behind it in waters off Oman. The Kensington's crew
'interpreted this act as aggressive,' the official said. The Iranian
boats followed the Kensington before breaking off pursuit. The Kensington
reported the threat to the U.S. Navy's Central Command. The Navy informed
American shipping companies to report threatening incidents." http://t.uani.com/1DKaxki
Congressional
Action
AP:
"The Senate begins debate Tuesday over legislation empowering
Congress to review and possibly reject any nuclear pact the Obama
administration develops with Iran. The bill approved by the Senate
Foreign Relations Committee has gained the tacit approval of Obama, and
proponents are trying to discourage any changes. They recognize that
politically driven amendments could undermine Democratic support and sink
the carefully crafted measure. The legislation would block Obama from
waiving congressional sanctions for at least 30 days while lawmakers
weigh in. And it would stipulate that if senators disapprove the deal,
Obama would lose authority to waive certain economic penalties - an event
that would certainly prompt a presidential veto. Among proposed additions
to the bill are demands that Iran release any U.S. citizens it is holding
and refrain from any cooperation with nuclear-armed North Korea. Another
insists that any agreement be treated as an international treaty,
requiring two-thirds ratification by the Senate. Another set of
amendments would block any sanctions relief for Iran until it meets goals
the U.S. set years ago as negotiating stances and has long since
abandoned." http://t.uani.com/1EiS68E
Sanctions
Relief
Press TV (Iran):
"The chief executive of Middle East's top carmaker, Iran Khodro, has
held talks with France's Peugeot as Iran prepares to welcome foreigners
in light of sanctions relief for the Islamic Republic. Hashem Yekke-Zare
was quoted by Mehr news agency as saying that he discussed joint
manufacturing of auto parts in Iran during his recent visit to Paris.
'Peugeot pulled out of Iran's market due to the toughening of
sanctions...Iran Khodro is seriously following up on damage incurred
[following Peugeot's withdrawal],' he said. 'When we negotiate for new
cooperation with Peugeot, we give assurances that national interests will
be taken into consideration,' he added. Yekke-Zare said Iran Khodro
expects Peugeot to 'invest in Iran and launch a research and development
center.' According to previous reports, Peugeot will set up a joint
factory with Iran Khodro, held 50% by Peugeot and 50% by Iran Khodro. The
planned joint factory would export 30% of its manufactured
vehicles." http://t.uani.com/1PXVyuH
Syrian Conflict
Reuters:
"The European Union's top diplomat on Tuesday voiced the hope that
Iran would play an important but constructive role in a renewed United
Nations push to restart negotiations aimed at ending the four-year civil
war in Syria. The U.N. envoy to Syria, Staffan de Mistura, has said he
will begin meeting in May with the country's government, opposition
groups and regional powers including Iran to assess by the end of June
whether there is any hope brokering an end to the war. EU foreign policy
chief Federica Mogherini, who meets Iranian Foreign Minister Mohammad
Javad Zarif later in New York on Tuesday, said it was crucial that the EU
and six world powers successfully conclude nuclear talks with Tehran,
which she said could boost Iran's regional role in a positive manner.
'The best possible approach you can have is ... on one side have a
positive outcome of the nuclear talks so that we can be sure that they
cannot develop a nuclear weapon,' she said. 'On the other side, call for
Iran to play a major, major but positive, role on Syria in particular, to
encourage the regime to ... (support) a Syrian-led transition,' she said,
referring to a 2012 U.N. plan for a political transition in Syria that
has yet to be translated into reality." http://t.uani.com/1EQCI75
Yemen Crisis
Reuters:
"Jets from a Saudi-led alliance destroyed the runway of Yemen's
Sanaa airport on Tuesday to prevent an Iranian plane from landing there,
Saudi Arabia said, as fighting across the country killed at least 30
people... In Sanaa, air force planes from the Saudi-led coalition bombed
the runway of the country's main airport to stop an Iranian flight landing,
officials from both sides said, in a move that will further complicate
humanitarian efforts to fly urgently needed aid into Yemen. Brigadier
General Ahmed Asseri, spokesman for the Saudi-led coalition, told Reuters
that the airport was bombed after an Iranian aircraft refused to
coordinate with the coalition and the pilot ignored orders to turn
back." http://t.uani.com/1DB489y
Opinion &
Analysis
UANI Advisory
Board Member Michael Singh in WSJ: "Most of the
debate about the Iran nuclear agreement framework announced April 2 has
focused on whether it is a good or bad deal. This misses a deeper
question: whether the deal as outlined can work. And three design flaws
may ultimately spell its doom regardless of who succeeds Barack Obama as
president. First, the framework narrowly addresses Iran's nuclear
activities rather than the full range of disputes between Iran and the
United States. At one level, this is understandable: Resolving the
nuclear crisis is difficult enough without also having to address Iran's
support for terrorism and destabilizing regional activities. But this
approach presumes that these issues can truly be disentangled from one
another. For Iran, pursuit of a nuclear weapon is part of a broader
strategy to develop asymmetric and strategic capabilities that support
its effort to project power and bolster its global stature. If that
strategy does not change-that is, if Iran continues its support for
terrorism, regional adventurism, and related policies-then its underlying
rationale for possessing a nuclear weapons capability will not shift
either. When it comes to U.S. sanctions, few are truly 'nuclear-related,'
a phrase that appears in the Joint Plan of Action concluded in November
2013 and in the Lausanne framework unveiled this month but that is not
defined in either document. Most sanctions are linked to multiple Iranian
policies, not just its nuclear activities. This means that either these
sanctions would continue and Iran would receive scant sanctions relief or
that they would be eased and Iran would get a free pass on its
non-nuclear policies as well. In the latter case, with our most effective
sanctions no longer available, the U.S. would be forced to rely on less
effective sanctions or more direct action against Iran. This makes it
likely we would become more involved in regional disputes, not less.
Second, the deal is sure to roil regional dynamics regardless of progress
in Iran or between the U.S. and Iran. Critics have asserted that the
absence of a requirement in the framework that Tehran dismantle its
nuclear infrastructure implies that the Obama administration is gambling
on the Iranian leadership becoming friendlier over the next decade. Yet
Iran's threshold nuclear capability poses a problem whether or not its
relations with the U.S. improve. Even a friendlier regime is unlikely to
give up this capability of its own volition, if only for reasons of
national pride. And Iran's long history of regional ambition and
rivalries is already leading to others in the Middle East seeking to
balance or match Iranian capabilities regardless of the nature of the
regime in Tehran or its attitude toward the U.S. Third, the deal may
prove unstable and ultimately unsustainable regardless of who next
occupies the Oval Office. It is likely that U.S. oil and financial
sanctions will initially be waived rather than lifted because the
up-front steps required of Iran are not sufficient, and not sufficiently
irreversible, to merit immediate lifting of sanctions. This means that
President Obama-and his successor and possibly that person's
successor-will need to certify Iranian compliance and reaffirm the
suspension of sanctions every six months. But because the deal does not
require full up-front transparency from Iran, and the size of Iran's
residual program will make inspection efforts highly complex (and
onerous), suspicions about Iranian cheating are likely to be
ubiquitous." http://t.uani.com/1KtLvKM
WSJ Editorial:
"The Islamic Republic of Iran has been in the hostage-taking
business since its earliest days, so nobody should be surprised by
Tuesday's news that Iranian warships seized a cargo ship and her crew of
34 in the Strait of Hormuz. But it's a useful reminder of the kind of
regime with which the West is now seeking to strike a nuclear bargain.
The M/V Maersk Tigris, a Marshall Islands-flagged container ship, was
transiting the Strait along an internationally recognized maritime route
when it was surrounded by gunships of Iran's Revolutionary Guards Corps.
The Iranians ordered the ship to divert into Iranian waters and fired
warning shots when the skipper of the Tigris refused, sending out a
distress call that was picked up by the destroyer USS Farragut. The
Iranians then boarded the ship and steered her toward the Iranian port of
Bandar Abbas. We'll see how long this 'diversion' lasts, and what price
Iran will demand for releasing the ship and its crew. The incident comes
less than a week after a convoy of Iranian cargo and warships destined
for Tehran's Houthi allies in Yemen were shadowed by U.S. Navy ships,
eventually turning away. It also follows an incident on Friday when
Iranian warships surrounded, but did not board, another large Maersk
ship, the U.S.-flagged Kensington. Perhaps that means the Iranians are
merely trying to score political points by playing a game of payback. But
the U.S. effort to turn the Iranian convoy away from Yemen was in the
service of a U.N. arms embargo on the Houthis. The Iranian action is
effectively identical to the ship-seizing by Somali pirates in the Indian
Ocean's Gulf of Aden and Arabian Sea. It's also a reminder that Iran has
not moderated its rogue behavior during the presidency of Hasan Rouhani,
whose own alleged moderation is one of the Obama Administration's
justifications for seeking a nuclear deal. On the contrary, Mr. Rouhani
has presided over renewed domestic repression and redoubled regional
aggression. A nuclear deal is supposed to ease Iran's return to the
community of civilized nations, but so far Western concessions seem to
have emboldened it into thinking it can do as it pleases. The habit of
seizing unarmed ships on the high seas-or innocent foreign reporters
working in Iran-is barbarism. Apologists for Iran will no doubt ascribe
the seizure of the Tigris to 'hardline factions' within the regime. That
might be true, but it only underscores the futility of striking a nuclear
deal with a regime in which the hardliners can operate with impunity.
What happens when Tehran decides to imprison pesky U.N. inspectors trying
to verify Iran's nuclear promises? Iran's disdain for basic maritime
conventions is a good indicator of how it will treat any agreement it
signs, which is why the Obama Administration is deluding itself that it
can draw a line between Iran's everyday behavior and its nuclear commitments.
Pirates don't keep their word, and it's dangerous to bargain as if they
will." http://t.uani.com/1KtKSkn
Eli Lake &
Josh Rogin in Bloomberg: "The Marshall Islands, a
small country that gained independence from the U.S. in 1986, will
almost definitely have to rely on the U.S. to retrieve a cargo ship
flying its flag that was commandeered Tuesday by Iran's Navy, apparently
in Iranian waters. When asked if his country would request that the U.S.
rescue the cargo ship from Iran, Junior Aini, the charge d'affairs for
the Marshall Islands Embassy in Washington, told us he was still awaiting
guidance from his foreign ministry. But he also suggested that his
country had no other recourse than to hope the U.S. responds. 'The United
States has the full security responsibility over the islands and for the
defense of the islands, this is what our treaty says,' he told us. Aini
was referring to a 1986 accord between the U.S. and the island nation
that set the terms for independence. The Marshall Islands has no standing
army... The ship is owned by the Danish conglomerate Maersk, which like
many shipping companies uses Marshall Islands' 'flags of convenience' to
reduce operating costs and sidestep regulation. The incident seems a
direct response to President Barack Obama's decision last week to send
warships to the Arabian Sea. Pentagon spokesman Colonel Steve Warren said
at the time that the warships were meant on 'a very clear mission to
ensure that shipping lanes remain open, to ensure there's freedom of
navigation through those critical waterways, and to help ensure maritime
security.' On Tuesday, Warren told reporters it was 'inappropriate' for
Iran to fire shots at the cargo ship. He said the U.S. is looking into
any obligation it may have for Marshall Islands-flagged ship... By taking
a non-U.S. ship under questionable circumstances at a moment of high
tension in the region, Iran has again put Washington in a tough spot.
Given that the U.S. Senate is simultaneously debating its bill on
oversight of Obama's nuclear deal with Iran, the repercussions are going
to spread far beyond the Strait of Hormuz... By taking a non-U.S. ship
under questionable circumstances at a moment of high tension in the
region, Iran has again put Washington in a tough spot. Given that the U.S.
Senate is simultaneously debating its bill on oversight of Obama's
nuclear deal with Iran, the repercussions are going to spread far beyond
the Strait of Hormuz." http://t.uani.com/1FxHZiu
Gideon Rachman in
FT: "There was a presidential statement in the Rose
Garden of the White House. There were joyous celebrations on the streets
of Tehran. There were lamentations in the US Senate. All these events
were provoked by the news, earlier this month, of a framework nuclear
deal between Iran and the US. Three weeks later, the newspapers are still
full of critiques of the agreement. But all of this fuss disguises an
awkward fact. There is no Iran nuclear deal. The joint statement released
by Iran and its negotiating partners, earlier this month, was a few short
paragraphs, skirting all the crucial issues. All the detail about what
was 'agreed' was actually contained in a unilateral statement issued by
the Americans on April 2nd - the so-called White House fact sheet. Iran
had not signed off on that 'fact sheet'. And, in subsequent days, Iran
made it clear that it dissents from the American interpretation of what
was agreed. Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, Iran's supreme leader, has tweeted
that the US fact sheet was 'wrong on most of the issues'. The
disagreements between Iran and America on what was agreed in the Geneva
negotiations are - as Mr Khamenei suggests - wide-ranging. They cover
everything from the inspections regime, to the precise fate of the
reactor at Arak. But perhaps the starkest disagreement is over when
sanctions on Iran would be lifted. Ayatollah Khamenei says that all
sanctions will have to be lifted on the very day that agreement is
reached. The Americans insist that sanctions can only be lifted in
phases, as Iran puts in place restrictions on its nuclear programme. The
two sides are meant to bridge all these gaps between now and their next
deadline of June 30, which is when a final agreement is meant to be
agreed. However, given that the framework agreement reached this month is
actually a mirage, it seems rather unlikely that the two sides will sign
off on the final deal in June - or even later this year. The story of how
we got to this delicate and confused stage says a lot about the extreme
difficulty of reaching a final agreement. The issuing of the 'White House
fact sheet' was a calculated gamble by the Americans, who were frustrated
by the agonisingly slow negotiations in Geneva. Dismayed by the lack of a
detailed agreed text, senior US officials drew up their own memorandum -
setting out the various concessions that they believed the Iranians had
made over many months of discussions. By releasing the 'fact sheet'
unilaterally, the US was effectively daring the Iranians to walk away
from the negotiating table. The Americans felt that the celebrations in
Iran - in response to the announcement of the 'deal' - vindicated their
gamble. Their calculation is still that Iran's leaders - having raised
domestic expectations that Iran's international isolation will soon end -
will now find it very difficult to dash their people's hopes, based on
some minor-sounding details about the numbers of centrifuges allowed at
Natanz, or the phasing of sanctions relief. That calculation could still
work. But the increasingly open dissent from within Iran suggests that it
could just as easily unravel, as the two sides re-engage in detailed
negotiations." http://t.uani.com/1ODQlep
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