Thursday, June 4, 2015

Eye on Iran: Iran's Supreme Leader Says U.S. Cannot Be Trusted






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WSJ: "Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said Thursday that the U.S. and other arrogant powers couldn't be trusted, as the deadline approaches for a nuclear deal that could result in the easing of international sanctions against Iran. 'We see how it is impossible to trust the promises of the arrogants,' he said, 'and how we can't rely on words said in private meetings.' Mr. Khamenei, who has the final say over most matters of state in Iran, made the comments in a speech marking the anniversary of the death of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the driving force behind the country's Islamic revolution in 1979. On Thursday, he said the guidance of Mr. Khomeini, who preceded him as Iran's supreme leader, showed that global powers 'should not be trusted at all.'" http://t.uani.com/1Fw8aSQ

AFP: "Iran's supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei called Thursday for unity in the Muslim world in order to counter 'oppression' from the West, on the anniversary of his predecessor's death. In a speech marking 26 years since the death of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, the founder of the Islamic republic, Khamenei also ruled out any warming of ties with the United States, one of several world powers negotiating a nuclear deal with Tehran. 'We must pay attention to conspiracies seeking to divide on the basis of religion, between Shiites and Sunnis, or on an ethnic basis,' he said. Khamenei praised Khomeini for having coined the term 'the Great Satan' to refer to the United States, with which diplomatic ties have been severed since 1980. Khamenei, who has the final say on all state matters in Iran, expressed doubt over the sincerity of the world powers to strike a nuclear deal with Tehran. 'In recent events, we have seen that we cannot have confidence in the promises of the oppressors and their declarations during private meetings,' he said." http://t.uani.com/1Mp5GdZ

WSJ: "The White House is advancing a strategy in coming weeks to manage multiple fronts of opposition to President Barack Obama securing a nuclear deal with Iran by the end of the month. But some of the administration's toughest challenges are likely to come after negotiations are complete, when a deal risks unraveling under domestic political pressures in the U.S. and Iran. Mr. Obama has succeeded so far in tamping down opposition in Congress and among America's Middle East allies to allow negotiations to proceed. The key details still left to be resolved by a June 30 deadline, particularly on inspections, sanctions relief and future nuclear abilities, will determine whether the president is able to maintain that dynamic in the event of a final deal. 'The remaining details could easily be determinative in terms of giving either potential supporters a good reason to vote to sustain the agreement or giving the opposition a much stronger argument for opposing it,' said Gary Samore, a nuclear expert at Harvard University's Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs who was the top nonproliferation official in Mr. Obama's first term, during an event Wednesday at the Woodrow Wilson International Center for Scholars. 'These last remaining issues are not just marginal, technical details for the nuclear geeks. I think they have important political ramifications,' Mr. Samore said." http://t.uani.com/1KOD4g6

   
Nuclear Program & Negotiations

Reuters: "Iran and six world powers resumed negotiations on its nuclear program on Thursday, the Iranian state news agency IRNA said, seeking to overcome remaining differences with a self-imposed June 30 deadline looming to end a 12-year standoff... 'We have a few weeks and hope to reach a final deal by the June 30 deadline or even sooner,' IRNA quoted Iranian deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi as saying after his arrival in Vienna to resume the talks. 'There has been progress but still we have a difficult way ahead of us.' ... 'Inspection and access to non-nuclear and military sites will not be accepted by Iran. Controlled and managed access does not mean inspection,' Araqchi said. 'We are trying to set some rules for managed access to non-nuclear sites.'" http://t.uani.com/1Fw8WPM

AFP: "Top US officials gathered Wednesday in Vienna to resume nuclear talks with Iran as the Austrian capital hunkered down to host the negotiations ahead of a June 30 deadline. Under Secretary of State Wendy Sherman will lead America's delegation to a new round of talks Thursday with global powers in the Austrian capital, US officials said. She was meeting with her counterparts from the P5+1 group on Wednesday, before Thursday's talks with the Iranian team led by senior Iranian negotiator Abbas Araghchi. It had not yet been determined how long Sherman would stay in Vienna, a State Department spokeswoman Marie Harf said. 'We will be sending people out to Vienna, as needed,' Harf said. 'But I expect this will be where the action is on these talks for between now and June 30.'" http://t.uani.com/1Jt31zQ

Free Beacon: "Iran is continuing to develop missiles capable of delivering nuclear weapons despite an interim agreement on its nuclear programs, according to a Pentagon report. 'Although Iran has paused progress in some areas of its nuclear program and fulfilled its obligations under the Joint Plan of Action (JPOA), it continues to develop technological capabilities that also could be applicable to nuclear weapons, including ballistic missile development,' a one-page unclassified summary of the report says... Tehran's support for terrorism also has not stopped, according to the Pentagon. 'Iran's covert activities appear to be continuing unabated,' the report says. 'The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps-Qods Force (IRGC-QF) remains a key tool of lran's foreign policy and power projection, particularly in Iraq, Syria, Lebanon, Bahrain, and Yemen.'" http://t.uani.com/1Il52j4

CSM: "So why, as negotiators from Iran and the P5+1 powers near a June 30 deadline to agree on easing the sanctions in return for limits on the nuclear program, is the Guard supporting an emerging deal? ... While some in the Guard benefited from earlier years of sanctions, until about 2011, the far more comprehensive measures imposed under President Barack Obama - from curtailing Iran's oil exports to throttling its cash transactions - have hurt even the big players. 'I think under the surface a lot of the different businessmen who are connected to the [IRGC] are putting pressure on Rouhani and his team to make sure these [nuclear] deals go through, because it's hurting their pockets very deeply,' says Narges Bajoghli, a PhD candidate at New York University who interviewed some 150 members of the Guard and affiliated Basij militia over nine years of research." http://t.uani.com/1eRdWbr

Sanctions Relief

Bloomberg: "European oil majors are for the first time openly declaring interest in Iran in anticipation of a possible end to sanctions against the country over its nuclear program. Leaders of Royal Dutch Shell Plc, BP Plc and Total SA all said Wednesday they were ready to return to the nation with the world's second-largest natural-gas reserves and fourth-biggest oil cache, after similar comments by Italy's Eni SpA last month... 'Iran is a wonderful country with a fantastic resource base,' Ben van Beurden, chief executive officer of The Hague-based Shell, said in an interview in Vienna at a conference of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. 'As soon as there is legitimate opportunity, we will be looking at Iran.' Everybody in the oil industry wants to go back to Iran once the international sanctions have been lifted, he said... After meeting [Iranian Oil Minister Bijan Namdar] Zanganeh for 45 minutes at the Iranian oil minister's hotel suite in Vienna on Wednesday, Total CEO Patrick Pouyanne said: 'We like Iran.' The French executive added that until the sanctions are lifted, Total would not discuss contracts or terms with Zanganeh. Like Pouyanne, most executives are walking a fine line, showing their interest in Iran while insisting that no negotiations are happening as long as the nuclear sanctions remain in place." http://t.uani.com/1JodyOd

AFP: "Hundreds of containers lie idle in the scorching sun that pounds Iran's southeastern port of Chabahar, a free trade zone crippled by decades of international sanctions. But against the backdrop of nuclear talks between Tehran and world powers, authorities hope foreign investors will finally wise up to the 'golden opportunity' of doing business in Chabahar, Iran's only gateway to the Indian Ocean... For Chabahar Free Zone (CFZ), an accord cannot come soon enough. The port is located in Sistan-Baluchistan province and provides countries in southeast and central Asia with a gateway to trade with Iran. A brochure lists 'the golden investment opportunities' of doing business here, such as 20 years of tax exemptions, reduced customs rights and a 100 percent guarantee on invested capital and profits. About 2,000 companies already have a presence in the free trade zone, which was first set up in 1994." http://t.uani.com/1Kc8Ja3

AFP: "Iran's oil production could be lifted by one million barrels per day (bpd) within half a year of Western sanctions being lifted, Oil Minister Bijan Zanganeh forecast Wednesday. Zanganeh's forecast, delivered before a looming June 30 deadline to finalise Iran's historic nuclear power deal with world powers, was revealed at a two-day OPEC seminar in Vienna ahead of the cartel's output meeting on Friday. Questioned about the Islamic republic's oil output, he told delegates: 'We believe that immediately, or after one month of lifting the sanctions, (we will achieve) half a million (extra) barrels per day, and after 6-7 months we will achieve one million barrels.' 'Iran, because of the sanctions and limitations, has reduced production and exports.' Iran currently exports 1.3 million bpd, against 2.2 million bpd before the sanctions were imposed about one decade ago." http://t.uani.com/1APIMLa

Terrorism

AP: "Officials in Bahrain say they have busted a cell with ties to Iran that is accused of carrying out bombings inside the tiny Gulf kingdom. A statement issued late Tuesday on the official Bahrain News Agency said 10 people have been arrested and face charges including joining a terrorist group, attempted murder and possessing and using explosives. It says two suspects inside Iran encouraged and helped recruits in Bahrain to carry out attacks between 2013 and 2015 as part of a group called al-Ashtar Brigade, including by facilitating travel to Iraq for training." http://t.uani.com/1H4731r

Syria Conflict

AFP: "Thousands of Iranian and Iraqi fighters have been deployed in Syria in past weeks to bolster the defences of Damascus and its surroundings, a Syrian security source told AFP on Wednesday. 'Around 7,000 Iranian and Iraqi fighters have arrived in Syria over the past few weeks and their first priority is the defence of the capital. The larger contingent is Iraqi,' the source said on condition of anonymity. 'The goal is to reach 10,000 men to support the Syrian army and pro-government militias, firstly in Damascus, and then to retake Jisr al-Shughur because it is key to the Mediterranean coast and the Hama region' in central Syria, he added... Iran's official news agency IRNA quoted elite Revolutionary Guards General Qassem Soleimani as saying 'in the coming days the world will be surprised by what we are preparing, in cooperation with Syrian military leaders.'" http://t.uani.com/1GmxmB9

Daily Star (Lebanon): "Iran has sent 15,000 fighters to Syria to reverse recent battlefield setbacks for Syrian government troops and wants to achieve results by the end of the month, a Lebanese political source has told The Daily Star. The militia force, made up of Iranians, Iraqis and Afghanis, the source said, have arrived in the Damascus region and in the coastal province of Latakia. The source said the fighters are expected to spearhead an effort to seize areas of Idlib province, where the regime has suffered a string of defeats at the hands of a rebel-jihadi coalition." http://t.uani.com/1Mp6ijH

Human Rights

Guardian: "The first authoritative study into female genital mutilation in Iran has found the practice is being carried out in at least four major provinces while officials are silent on the matter. According to research by social anthropologist Kameel Ahmady released on Thursday, FGM is more prevalent in the southern province of Hormozgan and its nearby islands (Qeshm and Hormuz) than in any other parts of the country. It is also being practised to a lesser degree in Kurdistan, Kermanshah and West Azerbaijan provinces, which are situated in western Iran close to the Iraq border." http://t.uani.com/1KOGqzC

Domestic Politics

AFP: "Iranian President Hassan Rouhani on Wednesday called for unity in the face of the country's 'enemies', at a tense religious ceremony during which he was repeatedly interrupted. 'We need unity and cohesion,' Rouhani said, citing Islamic republic founder Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, who died on June 4, 1989, at a ceremony on the eve of the anniversary. 'The enemies want to create discord among ethnic groups and religions... The first step is to be united,' he said... Rouhani's speech at the Imam Khomeini mausoleum in southern Tehran was interrupted several times by the crowd chanting pro-Khomeini slogans and for his successor, supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei." http://t.uani.com/1H47rgo

Opinion & Analysis

WSJ Editorial: "Since Iran agreed in late 2013 to negotiate limits on its nuclear ambitions, the Obama Administration has boasted that its diplomacy has 'frozen' Iran's progress, particularly the regime's stockpile of enriched uranium. Turns out this isn't true. That's the conclusion of a report Tuesday by the Institute for Science and International Security (the other ISIS), a clearinghouse for technical analysis on Iran's nuclear programs. Under the 2013 interim nuclear agreement, Iran was not prevented from running its centrifuges to enrich uranium. And enrich it has, producing some four tons of low-enriched uranium since the agreement came into effect in January 2014. The agreement did require Iran to convert the enriched uranium into an oxide form that cannot be easily turned into weaponizable material. And here is where Iran has failed to comply. As the ISIS report notes, Iran has produced only 150 kilograms of uranium oxide, 'a mere five percent of what was expected.' Since last November Iran hasn't even bothered to convert any enriched uranium into oxide. Iran has until the end of June to convert the remaining 3,800 kilos into oxide if it's to honor the terms of the deal. Don't hold your breath. The Iranians claim that their efforts to oxidize the uranium have been slowed by technical snafus and fouled by sabotage. Sabotage by whom? It makes no sense for the West to stymie an attempt to reduce Iran's stockpile of weapons-usable uranium. A likelier explanation is that Iran never intended to honor the interim agreement. Now it can use its additional uranium stockpile either to drive a harder bargain as nuclear negotiations approach their June 30 deadline-or drive harder toward a bomb. Meantime, the U.S. State Department continues to insist that Iran has met its nuclear commitments under the interim agreement. That follows an Administration pattern of trying to salvage its nuclear diplomacy-not only with Iran but also with Russia-by ignoring or minimizing violations of previous agreements." http://t.uani.com/1KcazYm

Potkin Azarmehr in IranWire: "'Forward towards the monotheistic classless society.' That was one of several deceptive slogans of the 1979 Islamic Revolution that mesmerized so many young Iranian idealists at the time. I don't think anyone ever managed to explain to me what a 'monotheistic classless society' was. Not wanting to get bogged down with the technical jargon of the Islamic Revolution, which wanted to mimic, but at the same time compete with, the Marxist revolutionary rhetoric, I nonetheless understood that the classless society was supposed to get rid of the rich and their privileges and empower the 'dispossessed' - the Islamic Revolution's equivalent of the Marxist proletariat. Just like many Marxist revolutions of the past, however, the Islamic Revolution didn't bring about a classless society. It created a new privileged class without empowering the dispossessed. The old privileged class was simply replaced by a new privileged class, with some exceptions, who quickly changed colors and cleverly managed to remain privileged in both systems. As for the dispossessed, they just got more dispossessed than even before. As George Orwell aptly described in Animal Farm, some animals became 'more equal' than others - and so Iran's ruling clerics became more equal than others. One iconic archetypal manifestation of this 'monotheistic classless society' malarkey is the mausoleum that was built for the founder of the Islamic Revolution, Ayatollah Khomeini. The mausoleum, and the latest plans for extra expenditure on it, coinciding with the anniversary of the death of the founder of the Islamic Republic on June 3, has become the latest topic of debate in Iran, and further cause for factional infighting. Even some of the establishment figures are now voicing their concerns at the increasing grandeur and splendor of the mausoleum by reminding people of the Ayatollah's spartan lifestyle when he was alive. The mausoleum is in fact thought to be the most expensive mausoleum in the world. In 1993, the Iranian daily newspaper Ettel'eat reported that the tomb compound included 600,000 square meters of indoor area, one kilometer long and half a kilometer wide. While Iran regularly suffers massive casualties from frequent earthquakes, Khomeini's mausoleum is built to withstand earthquake magnitudes of 10 on the Richter scale. The steel structure of the dome weighs 340 tons, with the weight of its gold veneer at between 40 to 50 tons; the entire dome weighs close to 400 tons. There are four more domes, which are covered with expensive tiles, as well as the main golden dome. Four gold gilded finials surround the mausoleum, each 91 meters high. The walls and ceilings are covered with expensive marble, each calligraphed or engraved... All this excess and grandeur is taking place at a time when the Iranian population have been actively encouraged to show resistance and resilience in the face of economic hardship. In a recent sermon, Ayatollah Jannati, one of Tehran's Friday prayer leaders, told the faithful: "ُWhats wrong if people eat only once a day?', adding that eating meat is not such a good thing. When referring to the P5+1 countries' demands over nuclear negotiations in return for the removal of sanctions on Iran, Jannati said defiantly: 'We prefer to stay hungry than lose our dignity'. I have yet to come across a ruling cleric in Iran who only eats one meal a day or suffers from hunger... Yet the left and the liberal Western press never mention anything about the lavish spending of the ayatollahs. It seems they are immune to the left and liberal backlash, and can get away with their misplaced priorities and excesses while the Iranian people truly suffer from increasing poverty and hardship." http://t.uani.com/1eRdnOF
         

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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