Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Eye on Iran: Army Commander: Iran Ready to Wipe Out Israel in Case of Military Encounter






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Tasnim (Iran): "Iran's Army commander on Tuesday voiced the country's eagerness to face down Israel militarily and destroy the regime even sooner than the next 25 years, a period that Supreme Leader of the Islamic Revolution Ayatollah Seyed Ali Khamenei has recently cited. 'We will annihilate Israel for sure,' Major General Ataollah Salehi told reporters on the sidelines of military parades in Tehran, held to commemorate the start of the Sacred Defense Week. 'We are also eager that Israel take (military) action against us sooner, so that we would mark the destruction (of Israel) earlier than the 25 years that has been pledged,' the top commander added. Major General Salehi noted that annihilation of the Tel Aviv regime by Iran will even rid the 'US nation' of the Israeli influence. Earlier this month, Ayatollah Khamenei slammed Israel as a fake regime, saying some Zionists have described the conclusion of talks on Iran's nuclear program as something that has eased Tel Aviv's concerns about the Islamic Republic for 25 years. 'But we tell them (the Zionists) that you will basically not witness the 25 years from now, and by God's grace, nothing called the Zionist regime will exist in the region (by then),' the Leader said on September 9." http://t.uani.com/1NJQ2Mg

WSJ: "Russia and Iran have stepped up coordination inside Syria as they move to safeguard President Bashar al-Assad's control over his coastal stronghold, according to officials in the U.S. and Middle East, creating a new complication for Washington's diplomatic goals. Senior Russian and Iranian diplomats, generals and strategists have held a string of high-level talks in Moscow in recent months to discuss Mr. Assad's defense and the Kremlin's military buildup in Syria, according to these officials. The buildup is continuing: On Monday, U.S. defense officials said Russian surveillance drones have started flying missions over Syria, and Moscow has sent two dozen more fighter jets to Syria... Coordinating efforts cited by the U.S. and Middle East officials included a secret visit in late July by the commander of Iran's elite overseas military unit, the Qods Force. Maj. Gen. Qasem Soleimani directs Tehran's military and intelligence support for the Assad regime and is one of the most powerful leaders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, or IRGC. Iranian Foreign Minister Javad Zarif also visited Moscow last month to discuss Syria and other issues with his Russian counterpart, Sergei Lavrov." http://t.uani.com/1gJxG0U

Al Arabiya: "Documents belonging to Osama bin Laden, the former leader of Al-Qaeda, obtained by Alsharq Alawsat newspaper, reveal a 'close relationship' between Iran and Al-Qaeda's commanders and high ranking members, which began in the era of the nineties the paper has reported. The documents, confiscated by U.S. forces after killing Bin Laden in 2011 in his hideout in Abbottabad, Pakistan, show Al-Qaeda was moving comfortably inside Iran, and indicate that the organization, at some point, planned to establish an office in Tehran in 2006. But it receded and rejected the idea because of the excessively high costs. According to the documents, the Iran dealing with the organization dates back to the period of the nineties, during the presence of the leaders of Al-Qaida in Sudan, due to the consolidation of the then Iran-Sudan ties. The U.S. counter-terrorism expert Paul Krishnak told Alsharq Alawsat that U.S Treasury freeze of six leaders of the organization present in Iran 'confirms that Tehran was an important link in financing the network's branchs in Pakistan and Afghanistan.'" http://t.uani.com/1QWJABA

Nuclear Program & Agreement

AP: "The chief of the U.N. nuclear agency acknowledged Monday that samples used to determine whether Iran tried to develop a nuclear weapon were collected by the Iranians instead of agency experts, but insisted the probe stands up to strict agency standards. Such sampling of soil, air or dust from equipment is usually done by the International Atomic Energy Agency's own experts. But IAEA chief Yukiya Amano confirmed that Iranians carried out that part of the probe at Parchin, where the agency suspects that explosive triggers for nuclear weapons might have been tested in the past. Diplomats say Iran insisted on the compromise as a condition for any probe of Parchin. Deputy IAEA Director General Tero Varjoranta said that there have been more than 40 instances of letting a country being inspected use their own nationals to do the sampling and that the process is only a small part of a rigid regimen established by the agency to make sure there is no cheating. He said the criteria at Parchin included: invasive monitoring by video and still cameras while the sampling took place; GPS tracking of the sampling process; IAEA agreement on where the samples were to be taken; review by unspecified peers of the inspection process; risk assessment and strict observance to make sure that procedures were followed step by step. 'We feel fully confident that the process and the result so far are fully in line with our safeguards practices,' he said, standing next to Amano at a Vienna news conference. Former IAEA deputy director general Olli Heinonen has described Iran as a particularly sensitive case however, saying he knows of no other case where a country under investigation for possibly trying to make nuclear weapons was permitted to use its own personnel to collect environmental samples as part of the investigation." http://t.uani.com/1NR3dwD

Tehran Times: "Spokesman of Majlis Special Committee on JCPOA has rejected the possibility of a meeting between IAEA chief and Iran's nuclear scientists dubbing it as strictly forbidden. Seyyed Hossein Naghavi Hosseini said that the JCPOA does not require any such meeting between a foreign official and an Iranian nuclear scientist, the Qatreh news website reported Monday. The MP said, 'As the Leader has explicitly warned, foreigners will not be allowed to interrogate Iranian scientists; this issue will remain a red line that cannot be crossed.' 'Based on the Leader's remarks, we have announced our position to the Majlis and we would never change our minds on this matter,' he added. Naghavi Hosseini reiterated, 'No limit has been established for this ban and it has been emphasized that no authority has the right to speak with or question our scientists.'" http://t.uani.com/1V8bzin

Military Matters

AP: "The Iranian president lauded his country's military as the most reliable force to take on 'terrorists in the region,' a reference to the extremist Islamic State group, in a speech during an annual military parade Tuesday. Hassan Rouhani offered military assistance to Mideast countries, saying that so far, Iranian troops 'have helped both Iraq and Syria' in the struggle against IS but insisted that Tehran has no military intentions toward other nations. The parade marked the 35th anniversary of the start of the ruinous, eight-year Iraq-Iran war. In his speech, carried live by state TV, Rouhani said that if 'terrorists begin to expand in the region, the only hope will be Iran's army and the Revolutionary Guards.' ... Rouhani said Middle East nations should not put too much faith in 'Western powers as their defenders. Today, our armed forces are the biggest regional power against terrorism.' ... In Tuesday's parade, Iran showcased its surface-to-surface missiles including the solid-fuel Sejjil and the liquid-fuel Ghadr, both with a range of 2,000 kilometers (1,250 miles)." http://t.uani.com/1OOcMvs

Tasnim (Iran): "Iranian Armed Forces staged military parades across the country on Tuesday morning to commemorate the Sacred Defense Week, which marks the onset of the Iraqi imposed war on Iran 35 years ago...  The most recent achievements of the Iranian armed forces in missile industry, equipment for the ground, naval and air defense forces as well as communication gear were put on display in the event. In Iran, the 1980-1988 Iran-Iraq war is known as the Sacred Defense, and the Sacred Defense Week is held on the anniversary of the beginning of the war." http://t.uani.com/1QWFtWo

Sanctions Relief

NYT: "France opened a trade office in Tehran on Monday, leading the charge of European countries angling for a share of the Iranian market after the July nuclear agreement. The opening occurred at the end of a two-day visit that brought more than 130 representatives of French companies, including Airbus, the carmakers Renault and Peugeot and the oil giant Total... 'Now that the nuclear agreement is made, we enter a new period with Iran,' said Matthias Fekl, France's secretary of state for international business and tourism. 'We are seeking long and deep economical partnerships with Iran.'" http://t.uani.com/1LKXhPM

Free Beacon: "The New York Times is defending its decision to host a senior Iranian oil ministry official for a major conference being held this year in London, according to a statement from the paper's spokesperson. The Times came under fire over the weekend when it was revealed that Seyed Mehdi Hosseini, chair of the Iranian Ministry of Petroleum Oil Contract Restructuring Committee, would be a featured guest at the Times' Oil and Money Conference, an annual event held for business VIPs in London. The Times circulated an invitation to the event, which costs $4,000 to attend, touting Hosseini's appearance, according to Smarter Times, which first published the invite. 'Oil & Money 2015 is delighted to announced the H.E. Seyed Mehdi Hosseini ... will [be] attending in person on Day 1 of the conference to address' questions about Iran's reentry into the global oil economy, the invite states. Hosseini is also slated to address potential risks associated with investing in Iran's oil sector and how open the Iranian markets will be to 'foreign investors.' Selling access to a top Iranian oil official could appear controversial, according to Smarter Times, given the Islamic Republic's support for terrorism and its continued imprisonment of several Americans." http://t.uani.com/1KKIJTL

Reuters: "Two months after Iran reached a nuclear deal that will open its markets to the world, officials are warning of economic stagnation as consumers hold off on purchases of domestic goods while they wait for international brands to arrive. From cars to fridges and televisions, shoppers are excited at the prospect of more choice and competition that should force Iranian manufacturers to lower prices and improve quality. The deal with world powers in July will likely see banking and other sanctions lifted in 2016, making it easier for foreigners to partner with Iranian firms or export to Iran. Since the deal, Iranian manufacturers have seen growth in sales prices fall far behind inflation, central bank data show, while officials and analysts describe a slowdown in consumer spending and warehouses filling with unsold goods. 'The subsequent rush of Western businesses to enter the Iranian market informed Iranian consumers that soon there will be alternative supplies of consumer goods priced more competitively and with a substantially higher quality and post-sale services,' said Mehrdad Emadi, an economist at the Betamatrix consultancy in London. That competition is likely to lift Iran's economy in the long term, but consumer anticipation of lower prices and foreign goods is a challenge to manufacturers used to a captive market. 'Unfortunately some people thought prices would fall suddenly after the nuclear deal, and because of this the market is facing a recession,' Vice President Eshaq Jahangiri was quoted as saying by state news agency IRNA this month. Mehdi Pourghazi, head of the industrial committee of the Tehran Chamber of Commerce, predicted growth could fall to zero, compared to 3 percent last year, according to the ISNA agency." http://t.uani.com/1Po0YOH

Mehr (Iran): "After meeting with Iranian oil officials here on Monday, French oil giant Total, which operated in Iran until 2010, said it is ready to participate in Iran's new oil projects. Deputy Oil Minister Rokneddin Javadi said on Monday that National Iranian Oil Company welcomes the development of economic cooperation with the French oil company Total. 'The new agreements will create good opportunities in exploration, development, maintenance, production and enhanced oil recovery projects in which foreign companies are welcome to participate,' he said   Javadi met with the President of Exploration & Production at Total, Arnaud Breuillac, on Sunday and discussed various fields of cooperation with the French side. Also on Sunday, Arnaud Breuillac held talks in separate meetings with Iran's Oil Minister Bijan Zangeneh and Head of Iran Oil Contract Workgroup Seyed Mehdi Hosseini, during which he expressed his readiness to cooperate with Iran's oil industry in various fields including exploration, Enhanced Oil Recovery (EOR), oil purchase, production of LNG and petrochemical marketing... 'Total has been present in Iran's oil projects for more than 20 years and in view of the intent expressed by the French, a new door is supposed to open for the expansion of the company's activities in developing Iranian oilfields,' Zangeneh had said after meeting Fabius on July 30." http://t.uani.com/1KKJTPg

FT: "French companies are warning that their government's tough stance in the Iranian nuclear negotiations could be hurting their chances of winning business when sanctions are lifted. France's main business lobby group, Medef, is in Iran on Monday with a delegation of ministers and about 150 companies, including Total and PSA Peugeot Citroën, to improve relations. '[The] very tough stance has created some aggressive thinking vis-à-vis France and everything that represents France, like our company,' said Carlos Tavares, the chief executive of PSA, which is planning an assertive re-entry into the country... 'We have fallen behind, so now we have to make up lost ground,' said Thibault de Silguy, the vice-president of Medef leading the delegation, citing Germany, Austria, China and the US as countries that are in front." http://t.uani.com/1Oqj7hl

Reuters: "Iran stepped up primary aluminium shipments to top consumer China after global premiums for the metal collapsed and demand wilted from its usual buyers in Turkey and the Middle East, traders said on Tuesday. Iran leapfrogged Russia and other sellers to become China's top foreign supplier of primary aluminium last month, shipping in 13,925 tonnes for August, China trade data on Monday showed. The shipments made Iran the largest seller of imported aluminium to China over the first eight months of 2015. The jump in shipments is unusual because China is struggling under the weight of a huge domestic surplus of the metal that has flooded into global markets in the form of semi-manufactured aluminium products over the past year. Traders said Chinese companies had been supplying domestic Iranian producers with the raw materials for aluminium production - alumina and bauxite - because production was cheaper and they could then onsell the metal into the region." http://t.uani.com/1j69EPu

Reuters: "Pharmaceutical giant Novo Nordisk said on Tuesday it would invest millions in Iran, joining a still very small group of European companies to have announced concrete deals in Tehran after it struck a deal on its nuclear programme. Novo Nordisk, the world's largest diabetes drugs maker, said it would build a 70 million euro ($78 million) manufacturing plant in Iran. It already has a subsidiary in the country selling insulin and employing 130 people there since 2005... The investment compares to the 80 million euros' worth of deals that Austrian companies struck in Iran earlier this month, the first Western firms to put down concrete stakes in the Islamic Republic since July. But the plant 'signals our long-term commitment to Iran', the Danish company said in a statement." http://t.uani.com/1NRaNY6

Trend: "Austrian company OMV says it is monitoring situation in Iran, but it is too early to draw any final conclusions regarding possible business in the Islamic Republic. Though the European top officials have started visiting Iran since the sealed nuclear deal on July 14, however, Austrian President Heinz Fischer was the first head of a Western state that traveled to Iran on Sep.8. Meanwhile, big Australian delegation composed of 240 company representatives, including OMV's Chief Executive Officer Rainer Seele arrived in Tehran before him. According to Shana News Agency, Iran's Oil Minister Bijan Namdar Zanganeh and Rainer Seele met in Tehran on Sep.7 to explore ways for expansion of bilateral ties. Corporate spokesperson for OMV Robert Lechner told Trend on Sep.19 that Media Relations OMV is closely monitoring the situation and the developments in Iran. 'As our CEO, Rainer Seele, said: the country could provide interesting opportunities for OMV. And he has underlined this by attending an Austrian business delegation (of 240 managers) to Iran,' said Lechner. 'However, it is too early to draw final conclusions concerning specific investments,' he added. He also said that 'OMV is operating an office in Tehran which has never been shut-down, even during political difficult periods.'" http://t.uani.com/1G0pKiH

Syria Conflict

Guardian: "The embassy is the most visible sign of the Islamic Republic's presence in Syria. Its economic, political and military backing for President Bashar al-Assad has been crucial for the last four-and-a-half years. And it looks like becoming more so - both in shaping events on the ground and, perhaps, in international efforts to end the conflict. 'The Syrian regime is increasingly dependent on Iran,' says a senior western diplomat. 'Its footprint is growing.' ... 'The Iranians are there - and they are not there,' quips a Sunni businessman from Homs. 'They are a ghostly presence.' Speculation about their activities is rife. But the consensus among many Syrians and foreign experts is that their role is extremely important - though very shadowy... The Damascus rumour mill suggests some senior Syrian officials are unhappy with the Iranian role - but that their dependence on Tehran means they have to grin and bear it." http://t.uani.com/1KxBs5d

RFE/RL: "Scores of Iranian political activists and intellectuals have launched an online campaign calling on Iran to end its support for Syrian President Bashar al-Assad and take in Syrian refugees fleeing violence there. The more than 70 activists, who include several former political prisoners, blame Assad and his foreign supporters, including Tehran, for the exodus of tens of thousands of Syrian refugees to Europe. They have launched a Facebook page called Sorry, Syria, where so far about two dozen users have expressed 'shame' over Iran's assistance for Assad's 'crimes' and warned that silence could be interpreted as consent. 'We believe it is our main responsibility to denounce the destructive intervention of the Islamic Republic of Iran, particularly, the Qods force, in the Syrian crisis,' the activists said in a statement sent to RFE/RL, referring to the Quds Force, an elite wing of the Islamic Revolutionary Guards Corps (IRGC). They also said that Iran should host some of the Syrian refugees 'to alleviate a small part of the great pain that it has inflicted on the Syrian people.'" http://t.uani.com/1V87TgG

Human Rights

AP: "A woman in a head scarf gazes piercingly from the side of a Brooklyn brownstone. A flock of spray-painted birds breaks free from shackles on a Manhattan building. A Harlem mural shows a giant teal gazelle against a black background, barren trees and a peacock feather. They are among about a half-dozen murals painted around New York City and Jersey City, New Jersey, to draw attention to journalist Maziar Bahari's campaign for press freedom and educational access in Iran, where he spent 118 days in a jail after an appearance on 'The Daily Show with Jon Stewart.' Bahari, whose story was told in Stewart's film 'Rosewater,' hopes the art will attract the attention of diplomats attending the U.N. General Assembly and spark a conversation about human rights. He has founded a nonprofit group, Not A Crime, to focus on journalism and education for Iran's largest religious minority, the Baha'i, a group that believes in one God and emphasizes that humans are equal and diversity should be cherished. 'We want to create a discourse in the city so when world leaders, different delegates come to New York in September, at least some of them will talk about the situation of the Baha'is in Iran, some of them will talk about the journalists in Iran,' Bahari said." http://t.uani.com/1j69kQI

Foreign Affairs

Press TV (Iran): "Iran's President Hassan Rouhani will set off for New York this week to address the 70th annual session of the UN General Assembly. President Rouhani will leave Tehran on September 24 to attend the world's largest diplomatic gathering, where he is scheduled to deliver a speech. The 70th United Nations General Assembly opened on September 15. The Iranian president is also set to deliver a speech at the United Nations Sustainable Development Summit, which will be held in New York on September 25-27, said Iranian Presidential Office's Deputy for Communications and Publicity Affairs Parviz Esmaeili on Sunday. He added that the Iranian president will also hold talks with UN Secretary General Ban Ki-moon, heads of state as well as senior officials participating in the UN event. He said separate meetings with Iranians residing in the US, intellectuals and economic activists are also on the president's agenda. Esmaeili noted that the Iranian president will also attend a press conference to answer questions of media. President Rouhani will wrap up his visit and return to Iran on September 29." http://t.uani.com/1NOSzX7

Tasnim (Iran): "Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif left Tehran for New York early on Tuesday to attend the 70th session of the UN General Assembly.  During his stay in New York, the Iranian foreign minister is scheduled to pursue the implementation of the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) reached between Iran and world powers on July 14. Zarif is also planned to meet with the European Union Foreign Policy Chief Federica Mogherini to discuss start of a fresh round of talks between Tehran and the EU. The top Iranian diplomat will be accompanied by his deputy Abbas Araqchi as well as Hamid Baeedinejad, the director general for political and international affairs at Iran's foreign ministry.  Having just lost his mother, Deputy Foreign Minister Majid Takht Ravanchi is planned to join the Iranian delegation later. The first joint commission meeting between deputy foreign ministers of Iran and Group 5+1 (the five permanent UN Security Council members plus Germany) will be held in New York on the sidelines of the 70th session of the UN General Assembly, however the exact date for the meeting has not been yet set...  Earlier, US Secretary of State John Kerry said he is set to meet his Iranian counterpart Mohammad Javad Zarif in New York on the sidelines of the UN session. 'I will also be meeting with Foreign Minister Lavrov in New York, a meeting with Foreign Minister Zarif regarding Iran and other things,' Kerry said Sunday." http://t.uani.com/1QvRPUn

Opinion & Analysis

Bruno Tertrais in IISS: "The luxury of being a policy analyst is that one can afford to say what politicians cannot: 'it's complicated'. If I had been voting on the 14 July nuclear deal with Iran, I would have had to abstain... Simply put, this is the most detailed non-proliferation agreement ever devised. But it nevertheless includes several problematic aspects, which deserve careful scrutiny. The original goal of the E3/EU+3 was for Tehran to make a strategic choice - to turn 180 degrees and agree to forfeit any capability to rapidly build nuclear weapons. Since 2006, however, the goalposts have been moved. A renowned expert supporting the deal recently incited readers to follow Nietzsche's dictum: 'the most common form of human stupidity is forgetting what one is trying to do'. The argument can be turned against his thesis, for we did forget what our specific objective was. Around 2012, under US pressure, the E3/EU+3 abandoned roll-back in favour of containment. And in 2014, the envisioned duration of the key provisions of the deal moved from a generation to a decade. Iran has become a nuclear-threshold state, and it will remain one, with our blessing. This is bad news: persuading countries in the region and elsewhere to forsake fuel-cycle activities has suddenly become much more problematic. After investing billions of dollars and the effort of hundreds of scientists and engineers, not to take the final step requires stopping a powerful momentum. When is the last time that after such a long, dedicated military-oriented effort, a country reached the nuclear threshold and just stopped there, without ever building a device? It has never happened. Countries do not give up when they have invested so much, unless they are forced to do so after a major war (as Iraq was), or when regime change comes (as it did in Brazil and South Africa). Sweden had invested a lot in a military nuclear option in the 1950s and 1960s before terminating its nuclear programme, but not as much as the Islamic Republic. Unless there is a sea change in the nature of the regime, a complete cessation is unlikely to happen. It is regrettable, by the way, that Iran was not requested to ratify the Comprehensive Nuclear Test-Ban Treaty (CTBT) - its abstention makes the scenario of a hypothetical 'peaceful nuclear explosion' (such as the one India carried out in 1974) not far-fetched. Legitimate questions also arise about the deal's verification procedures. It is not known whether the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) will have access to scientists - a key necessity, according to the inspectors themselves. The delay in resolving questions about suspicious activities, which could reach up to 24 days, may be too long to allow for the timely detection of some forbidden activities, particularly if they involve non-nuclear activities or very small quantities of nuclear materials. The IAEA-Iran road map that aims to clarify the so-called 'possible military dimensions' (PMDs) of Iran's nuclear programme is another area of concern. After several years of stonewalling and procrastinating, we can hardly expect Iran suddenly to either give credible explanations for all its suspect activities, or to admit that it has conducted weaponisation experiments. It is thus logical to believe that there will be a tacit understanding among all parties to hide them under the rug. This would be a bad precedent for the non-proliferation regime and the credibility of the IAEA. So would the lifting of the remaining US sanctions before the IAEA has reached its 'broader conclusion' that all nuclear material in Iran remains in exclusively peaceful use." http://t.uani.com/1LtCOTD
         

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

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