Monday, October 5, 2015

Eye on Iran: U.S. Enforcement of Iran Arms Embargo Slipped During Nuclear Talks






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Reuters: "Addressing concerns that a landmark nuclear deal reached this year could boost Iran's military power, the Obama administration reassured critics that it would maintain and enforce its remaining tough sanctions against the country. Yet the U.S. government has pursued far fewer violations of a long-standing arms embargo against Iran in the past year compared to recent years, according to a review of court records and interviews with two senior officials involved in sanctions enforcement. The sharp fall in new prosecutions did not reflect fewer attempts by Iran to break the embargo, the officials said. Rather, uncertainty among prosecutors and agents on how the terms of the deal would affect cases made them reluctant to commit already scarce resources with the same vigor as in previous years, the officials said. The more relaxed enforcement raises questions over how strictly the arms embargo and other remaining sanctions will be applied in future, since the nuclear deal still needs to be implemented and Iran will likely remain sensitive to a tough sanctions regime. In the 2014-15 fiscal year, which ended on Sept. 30, U.S. law enforcement officials filed fresh charges just twice against those suspected of attempting to smuggle weapons and related technology from the United States to Iran, according to court records. Eight such cases were brought in 2013-14. By comparison, around 10 to 12 such cases were brought in each of the preceding six years. 'There's been a precipitous drop-off,' said one of the senior U.S. officials, who declined to be identified. 'The facts are the facts - there's no other explanation.' ... There are also indications that this summer, as negotiations with Iran reached a critical point, Obama administration officials were concerned with how sanctions enforcement could affect the talks. In a June 2015 email seen by Reuters, a Treasury official contacted an official from New York's Department of Financial Services expressing alarm about an Iran-related investigation. 'Any actions that are taken in connection with sanctions violations pertaining to Iran may have serious impacts on the ongoing negotiations and U.S. foreign policy goals and objectives,' wrote the official, whose name was redacted in the email. Representative Patrick Meehan, a Republican critic of the Iran deal and a former federal prosecutor, said the drop in prosecutions and the letter from Treasury indicated that the Obama administration relaxed sanctions to protect the negotiations." http://t.uani.com/1Ltbdnl

AFP: "Four Iranian government ministers have broken ranks to warn of a possible economic crisis because of the plunge in prices of oil and other commodities, underlining the country's patchy recovery. In a letter sent to President Hassan Rouhani that was published by newspapers Monday, the ministers of economy, industry, labour and defence said 'incompatible' policies were causing harm. 'If urgent action is not taken, stagnation could turn into crisis,' the letter said, noting that capital was in short supply because of falling income from sales of oil, metals and minerals. Iranian media reported that the letter was sent one month ago... Mohammad Gholi Yousefi, an economics professor at Allameh Tabatabai University in Tehran, said the letter had exposed tensions over the allocation of cash from Iran's own banks. 'Almost half the banks' resources is practically blocked by the government, special customers and banks themselves,' he told AFP, meaning it is not reaching businesses crucial to the economy. 'Part of the money is also blocked by banks that have invested the money in housing and malls, hoping for more return. 'The fact that ministers publicly wrote this letter shows the depth of the crisis and confirms what independent economists have been warning about for some time,' he added." http://t.uani.com/1WI7pjS

WSJ: "Iran is expanding its already sizable role in Syria's multisided war in the wake of Russia's airstrikes, despite the risk of antagonizing the U.S. and its Persian Gulf allies who want to push aside President Bashar al-Assad. Politicians in the region close to Tehran as well as analysts who have been closely following its role in Syria say a decision has been made, in close coordination with the Russians and the Assad regime, to increase the number of fighters on the ground through Iran's network of local and foreign proxies. The support also could involve more Iranian commanders, military advisers and expert fighters usually assigned to these units, these people said... Experts believe Iran has some 7,000 IRGC members and Iranian paramilitary volunteers operating in Syria already... What's more, some experts estimate 20,000 Shiite foreign fighters are on the ground, backed by both Shiite Iran and its main proxy in the region, the Lebanese Shiite militia Hezbollah. About 5,000 of them are new arrivals from Iraq in July and August alone, said Phillip Smyth, a researcher at the University of Maryland." http://t.uani.com/1Q15oLJ

Nuclear Program & Agreement

AFP: "A panel of Iranian lawmakers said Sunday that the inspections regime underpinning the country's nuclear deal with world powers represented a security threat, but the agreement should go ahead anyway. The 15-member committee spent weeks reviewing the text of the July 14 agreement, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA), for what it said could be breaches of negotiators' 'red lines'. The panel had largely been sidelined over its ability to influence the accord's fate although its report paves the way for a formal vote in parliament. A law passed earlier this year gave final oversight of the nuclear deal to Iran's Supreme National Security Council (SNSC), rather than lawmakers, many of whom have railed against the agreement... In their report the lawmakers hit out at the decision to allow inspections of military sites, which supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei had appeared to rule out in a speech just weeks before the deal was sealed. 'It is evident that, based on the JCPOA, access to Iranian military sites has become possible,' the panel said. 'The JCPOA has serious weaknesses in the security section. Unless there's a revision regarding the inspection of military, defence and security sites, it will cause problems for the country. 'Implementation of this inspection regime could lead to unprecedented information gathering and exposes to danger the security infrastructure, human, scientific, military and security resources of Iran.' ... 'In case of any breach of commitments by the other side, Iran reserves the right to make any decision in its national interest,' the report said, noting that the deal was a political agreement and not a binding treaty. In particular the placing of restrictions on some aspects of Iran's nuclear activities for 15 years was 'a serious shortcoming.'" http://t.uani.com/1Z3Dk0i

Reuters: "A committee of Iran's conservative-dominated parliament gave its support on Sunday to Iran's nuclear agreement with world powers on condition there would be no foreign inspections of military sites and no curbs on developing its missile program. These proposals, contained in a report by a special parliamentary committee evaluating the agreement, could become law if passed by the assembly and approved by a top clerical body that vets proposed legislation. Iran's Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said on Sept 3 he favored a vote in parliament on the nuclear deal, but it will still go to him, as the country's highest authority with the ultimate say on all state policy, for approval... 'The vital necessity of protecting military secrets makes it imperative to ban visits of foreigners to (military installations) under the guise of inspections and interviews with nuclear scientists,' the report carried by Fars state news agency said. 'In order to guarantee the country's security ... special attention should be given to missile capability ... and helping countries which fight terrorism and fulfilling the military needs of friendly countries,' the report, also carried on state broadcaster IRIB's website, added. The report also said the government should suspend its measures limiting Iran's nuclear program under the agreement if any sanctions are reimposed against the Islamic Republic." http://t.uani.com/1Lby4gN

AFP: "Iran's parliament speaker on Sunday urged lawmakers to decide on a landmark agreement reached with world powers that would curb Tehran's nuclear activities in exchange for the lifting of international sanctions.The official IRNA news agency quoted Ali Larijani as telling members of parliament that 'the more it is delayed, it harms us.' Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, who has final say on all state matters, has said it is up to legislators to approve or reject the deal. It's not clear whether parliament will hold an up-or-down vote on the agreement, or whether a majority of lawmakers support the deal... Iran's parliament is expected to enter final discussions on the agreement next week. A special parliamentary committee that is in charge of reviewing the deal has urged the government to stand firm in its refusal to allow inspectors to visit military sites or interview nuclear scientists." http://t.uani.com/1GseCeB

Haaretz: "Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu told Fox News on Friday that his fight against the nuclear deal between Iran and the world powers is done, and that he is ready to start a dialogue about security understandings with the Obama administration on the 'day after' the deal, and over upgrading the Israeli army's offensive and defensive capabilities. Senior American officials told Haaretz on Thursday that Netanyahu informed the U.S. administration that his speech on Thursday at the UN General Assembly, in which he dealt extensively with the nuclear deal, would be his swan song on his public fight against the accord... 'They told us right after the speech that the Iran part was intended to close the chapter on the deal...time will tell if this is the case,' one U.S. official said, citing Netanyahu's aides... In the press briefing on Thursday Netanyahu stressed the need to focus on several essential issues to continue the struggle against Iran. He called for uncompromising implementation of the nuclear deal, including confirmation that inspectors from the International Atomic Energy Agency are carrying out effective inspections of Iran's nuclear facilities. 'Force Iran to meet all its nuclear obligations,' said Netanyahu. 'Confirm that Iran's violations are not swept under the Persian rug.' Second, he called for a meticulously maintained mechanism for snapback of sanctions in order to make sure how, when and in response to which violations sanctions will be reimposed. Finally, he called for international action against Iranian subversion in the region and its support for terrorist organizations like Hezbollah and Hamas. Netanyahu believes that the United States must now actively support others fighting Iranian aggression, first and foremost Israel." http://t.uani.com/1hlonEN

AFP: "US Secretary of State John Kerry held an impromptu meeting with his Iranian counterpart Mohammad Javad Zarif in New York on Friday to discuss steps to implement the Iran nuclear deal. The meeting was scheduled at the last minute after a week of intense diplomacy on the Syria crisis. US officials did not provide details, saying only that the talks focused on implementing the historic deal reached in July to curb Iran's nuclear program." http://t.uani.com/1GsdNlP

Syria Conflict

NYT: "The already fragmented battlefield in Syria grew even more complicated on Friday, as Russia and Iran expanded their military efforts to defend the beleaguered Syrian government in defiance of President Obama, who predicted that their actions would lead only to a 'quagmire.' In his first comments since Russia began airstrikes on Syrian targets this week, Mr. Obama said that Moscow was acting 'not out of strength but out of weakness.' Bristling at criticism of his own Syria policy, he rejected domestic opponents who offer 'half-baked ideas' that amount to 'a bunch of mumbo-jumbo.' 'An attempt by Russia and Iran to prop up Assad and try to pacify the population is just going to get them stuck in a quagmire and it won't work,' Mr. Obama said during a news conference at the White House on Friday, referring to President Bashar al-Assad of Syria, a longtime ally of both Russia and Iran. 'And they will be there for a while if they don't take a different course.' Neither Russia nor Iran showed signs of listening... American officials said 300 to 600 Iranian troops had arrived in recent days, augmenting some 1,500 who have been in Syria for months along with more than 5,000 militia fighters from Hezbollah, the Lebanese Shiite group allied with Iran that has played an increasingly important role defending government territory... Clearly frustrated by assertions that Mr. Putin had gotten the upper hand, Mr. Obama said the Russians were the ones who were isolated. 'Iran and Assad make up Mr. Putin's coalition at the moment,' he said. 'The rest of the world makes up ours.'" http://t.uani.com/1QUkwe7

WSJ: "Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said Sunday that his coalition with Russia, Iran and Iraq must succeed in Syria's war, suggesting the alternative would be a region in chaos. The alliance 'must succeed, otherwise we are facing the destruction of the entire region and not just one or two states,' Mr. Assad said in the Islamic Republic of Iran News Network interview. It was his first public comment since Moscow began airstrikes in Syria in support of his regime last week. Mr. Assad praised Russia, saying it had the vision and fortitude to defeat rebel forces seeking to topple him... Mr. Assad also praised the involvement of his allies Iran and Iraq. Iran has strengthened its presence on the ground recently through its proxy forces." http://t.uani.com/1LbvNSG

WashPost: "Syrian President Bashar al-Assad said Sunday that there can be no reforms in Syria until 'terrorism' has been vanquished, dampening speculation that Russia's military intervention might herald a swift settlement to the four-year-old conflict. Speaking in an interview with Iran's Khabar television station, Assad also ruled out negotiations with the Western-backed groups opposing his government, saying that they are driven by foreign agendas and cannot be part of the solution to Syria's crisis. The comments served as a reminder that Russia's military intervention appears aimed as much against the opponents of Assad's rule as the Islamic State, and it probably will not propel any immediate political breakthrough. Rather, Assad expressed confidence that the Russian moves, conducted as part of a new alliance of Russia, Iran, Iraq and Syria, would draw international support away from 'terrorists' opposed to his rule and doom American-led diplomacy aimed at securing his departure." http://t.uani.com/1OSXnuP

Reuters: "Syrian insurgent groups including the powerful Islamist faction Ahrar al-Sham have called on regional states to forge an alliance against Russia and Iran in Syria, they said in a statement on Monday. The insurgents, which also include rebel groups under the umbrella of the Free Syria Army, said in the statement seen by Reuters that the cooperation is needed to counter 'the Russian-Iranian alliance occupying Syria.' The 41 groups which signed the statement did not include al Qaeda's Syria wing Nusra Front, which is in an insurgent coalition with Ahrar al-Sham that captured most of Idlib province in the northwest." http://t.uani.com/1QUiIBE

Reuters: "Across the Middle East, America's traditional allies are watching with disbelief as Russia and Iran mount a show of force in Syria, and they are wondering how it will end. The U.S.-led coalition, created to combat the jihadi threat from Islamic State in Syria and Iraq, has been wrong footed by the Russian jets pounding the rebels fighting Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, and by an influx of Iranian forces. The question on everyone's mind is: will the United States and its European and regional Sunni allies intervene to stop President Vladimir Putin from reversing the gains made by mainstream Syrian rebels after more than four years of war? Few are holding their breath. Many say, often with vehemence, that the current drama is the consequence of ongoing Western inaction and U.S. retreat at critical moments in an ever more uncontrollable conflict, whose regional dimensions are fast becoming global... The conflict has taken a deadly trajectory throughout. It began as a popular uprising against Assad, part of the 'Arab Spring', then became a sectarian war with regional patrons such as Iran and Saudi Arabia backing their local proxies." http://t.uani.com/1LdTEpk

Yemen Crisis

Reuters: "The Saudi-backed Yemeni government of President Abd-Rabbu Mansour Hadi has decided to sever diplomatic relations with Iran, state media reported. State news agency Saba, citing an unidentified person at the Yemeni presidency, said Yemen 'has taken the decision to expel the Iranian ambassador to Yemen, withdraw the Yemeni envoy to Tehran and close down its diplomatic mission in Iran.' The source told Saba that the move was a protest against Iran's 'continued interference in the internal affairs of Yemen and violation of its national sovereignty,' citing a recent detention of an Iranian ship loaded with weapons. Saudi-led coalition forces, which have been battling the Houthis for the past six months to try to restore Hadi to power, said on Wednesday they had seized an Iranian fishing boat loaded with weapons intended for the Houthis... Earlier on Friday state-owned Aden TV reported that the Saudi-backed Yemeni government has decided to break off diplomatic relations with Tehran, without elaborating or giving a source for its report. Commenting on the Aden TV report, Yemeni government spokesman Rajeh Badi later said the cabinet had not decided yet to sever relations with Iran." http://t.uani.com/1MUbPQ6

Iraq Crisis

Fars (Iran): "A senior Iraqi politician revealed that his country along with Iran, Russia and Syria have set up an information exchange center which will pave the ground for the formation of a quadrilateral operations room in campaign against terrorism. 'The information center has been formed some days ago after 6 months of discussions,' Political Advisor to the Head of the Islamic Supreme Council of Iraq Mohsen Hakim told FNA on Sunday. Elaborating on the information exchange room, he said that the officer in charge is changed every three months but the reports are provided to the Iranian, Iraqi, Russian and Syrian armies' joint chief of staff every day to update their information. Hakim underlined that the information center can be a preliminary step to set up a joint operations room or Centcom." http://t.uani.com/1VBbQdO

Anti-Americanism

Fars (Iran): "Islamic Revolution Guards Corps (IRGC) Navy Commander Rear Admiral Ali Fadavi said the conflict between Tehran and Washington will never end, implying that the US would never tolerate an independent actor like Iran. 'The Americans have been the origin of any action taken against the Revolution (in Iran) during the last 4 decades; the raison detre of our quarrel with them is a quarrel between the right and wrong in nature, hence, this conflict will never end,' Fadavi said, addressing a ceremony to unveil an exhibition of the latest achievements of the IRGC Navy in Tehran on Friday night. Stressing that the Americans can never provide the military and political requirements for waging war on Iran, he said, 'Today the Islamic Republic enjoys such a power and capabilities that the enemy cannot even think of confronting Iran.' Fadavi, meantime, underlined that the Americans merely understand the language of force and power and therefore, Iran is always increasing its military capabilities." http://t.uani.com/1hloCQ6

Fars (Iran): "Commander of the Islamic Revolution Guards Corps Aerospace Force Brigadier General Amir Ali Hajizadeh said all US military bases in the Middle East are within the range of the IRGC's missiles, but the country still sees no restriction for boosting its missile capabilities. 'Some of the threats by the US are aimed at appeasing the Zionists, while others are for the purpose of domestic consumption (in the US), but what is important is that they are aware of and acknowledge our capabilities and deterrence power; we do not feel any need to increase the range of our missiles and (our perceived enemy) targets are fully within the range of our missiles,' Brigadier General Hajizadeh said, addressing a group of professors of Iran's Science and Technology University in Tehran on Sunday. He pointed to the allegations made about imposing restrictions on Iran's missile technology, and said, 'We do not see any restriction for our missiles and the IRGC's preparedness and missile drills are conducted without a halt and according to our annual time-table, but only some of them are publicized through the media.'" http://t.uani.com/1Vz5MYL

Human Rights

IranWire: "Iran's Revolutionary Guards have accused Jason Rezaian, the jailed Washington Post correspondent, of hatching an elaborate espionage operation on behalf of the United States government prior to his arrest in July 2014. On Sunday, October 4, the spokesman for parliament's National Security and Foreign Policy Commission, Nozar Shafiyee, told Fars News Agency that intelligence officials from the Revolutionary Guards had discovered that Rezaian had worked with the United States government on a plot to topple the Iranian regime. Jason Rezaian was given the 'duty' of carrying out US Senate plans to 'revive its pre-Revolution relations with Iran' and overthrow the government, Shafiyee said, citing a recent report by the Revolutionary Guards. Rezaian was charged with espionage and three other serious charges in April, after serving nine months in prison without being told why he had been arrested. But claims that he was involved, or even initiated, a largescale operation to topple the regime, while at the same time boosting the United States government's agenda in the country, are relatively new. Prior to the latest Revolutionary Guards report, in early September, the Revolutionary Guards released a film that described how Rezaian established a sophisticated spy network, linking him with other journalists who had previously been jailed in the country and were considered to be enemies of the Iranian regime." http://t.uani.com/1Ltgn2E

Domestic Politics

NYT: "As the music ended and the crowd rose in a standing ovation, several women in the audience could be seen with heads bared, the obligatory head scarves draped around their necks. This was no underground concert by an indie band in North Tehran, though. Rather, it was a recital by a classical lute player in Vahdat Hall. As the opera house emptied, the women casually slipped the scarves back on and walked out. No one seemed to care, or even to notice. Far from a protest or a political gesture, this was a fleeting illustration of a newfound self-confidence, visible across the capital - what Iranians are calling the 'lifestyle movement.' ... But now, following the election of a moderate president, Hassan Rouhani, and the signing of the nuclear agreement this summer, Iranians are increasingly taking to the streets, this time not to challenge the government but to reclaim public spaces. Though there are plenty of skeptics who say the changes are minimal and could be reversed at any time, the lifestyle movement seems to be spreading across the country." http://t.uani.com/1j97DT5

Foreign Affairs

AP: "The first plane carrying bodies of Iranian pilgrims killed in the hajj stampede in Saudi Arabia arrived in Tehran Saturday, nine days after the disaster that escalated tensions between the two regional rivals. President Hassan Rouhani and other senior officials were at the airport for the arrival of the plane, which carried 104 bodies. State TV says another flight is due later in the day... Iran has blamed Saudi 'mismanagement' for the stampede, which took place after two waves of pilgrims converged on a narrow street, causing hundreds to suffocate or be trampled. It has also accused Riyadh of a cover-up, saying the real death toll exceeds 4,700, without providing evidence to support its claim... 'It should become clear whether some individuals were guilty in this incident or not. If it is proven that some officers were culpable, under no circumstances will we let the blood of our loved ones go in vain,' Rouhani said. 'In this incident, the language we have used has been the language of emotions, brotherhood and politeness and when necessary, we have used the language of diplomacy. If deemed necessary, the Islamic Republic of Iran will use its language of might,' he added, without elaborating. Gen. Mohammad Ali Jafari, commander of the elite Revolutionary Guard, warned that Iran was ready to take 'revenge' over the incident. 'The Guard is resolutely ready, if required at any time or place, to defend the dignity and honor of Muslims, especially the Iranian people, against the tyrannical and ignorant Saudi rulers, and will exact tough revenge for this horrible crime from the Al Saud,' he said in comments posted on the Guard website Saturday, referring to Saudi Arabia's ruling family." http://t.uani.com/1OfHAol

AFP: "Iran has expelled a senior official from Bahrain's embassy in Tehran in apparent retaliation after the Sunni-ruled Gulf state did the same to its envoy in Manama. 'The number two official in Bahrain's embassy in Iran is persona non grata and Mr Bassam al-Dossari must leave Iran's territory within 72 hours,' the official IRNA news agency quoted a foreign ministry statement as saying late Friday. Bahrain on Thursday recalled its ambassador from Iran and ordered Tehran's envoy to leave within 72 hours, citing Iranian 'interference' in its affairs... On Friday, Bahrain took its protest to the United Nations by submitting a complaint against Iran. 'Iran has chosen the path of escalation in an attempt to exert control over its neighbours by continuing to interfere in internal affairs' of neighbouring countries, BNA news agency quoted Foreign Minister Khaled bin Ahmed al-Khalifa as telling UN chief Ban Ki-moon." http://t.uani.com/1LdUDWr

Opinion & Analysis

Ray Takeyh in CFR: "Viewed one way, Iranian President Hassan Rouhani's UN address appeared to offer the prospect of a new partner in calming the roiling Mideast. Noting diplomacy yielded the nuclear deal, Rouhani dangled the possibility of further cooperation: 'Considering the fact that this deal has created an objective basis and set an appropriate model, it can serve as a basis for foundational change in the region,' he said. Yet taken in full, Rouhani's speech was a typical exercise in Tehran doublespeak that crystallized the Orwellian cosmology of the Islamic Republic. Rouhani began his list of indictments by castigating the United Nations for 'imposition of sanctions against the Iranian nation and government as a result of misunderstandings and sometimes overt hostilities of some countries.' Rouhani neglected to mention that the sanctions resulted from Iran's systematic violations of its obligations under the Nuclear Non-Proliferation Treaty (NPT) and its obstinate refusal to adjust its course for over a decade. In an even more intriguing passage, the president of a country Washington rates as a leading sponsor of terrorism bemoaned that 'the greatest and most important threat to the world today is for terrorist organizations to become terrorist states.' Rouhani proceeded to assure, 'We are prepared to assist in the eradication of terrorism and in paving the way for democracy and ensuring that arms do not dictate the course of events in the region.' As one of the masters of a repressive regime, Rouhani in his UN speech displayed no compunction about proclaiming: 'As we aided the establishment of democracy in Iraq and Afghanistan, we are prepared to help bring about democracy in Syria and also Yemen.' All this makes sense if one accepts Rouhani's claim that the cause of violence and disorder in the Middle East today is the 'U.S. military invasion of Afghanistan and Iraq and the U.S.s' unwarranted support for the inhumane actions of the Zionist regime against the oppressed nation of Palestine.' The Middle East today is indeed undergoing an unprecedented transition beset by collapse of state power, rise of extremist ideologies, and the probable proliferation of nuclear technologies. Iran is in many ways contributing to all of the region's maladies. Just because Iran is part of the problem does not mean it can contribute to a solution... There are many factors behind the collapse of the regional order, but one of them is Iran's deliberate policy of meddling in the region. In Iraq, it is Iran's policy to keep that nation divided as a means of preventing it from contesting Iran's hegemonic aspirations. And in Syria, Iran's enabling of President Bashar al-Assad has only prolonged that civil war and contributed to one of the greatest humanitarian catastrophes in the history of the Middle East. Hovering over all this is the fact that the region is increasingly polarized along sectarian lines. The two Gulf giants, Iran and Saudi Arabia, are both fanning the flames of sectarianism. The Saudis have been a source of assistance for an entire spectrum of radical Sunni movements for a long time. Iran is also contributing its share to the regional disorder. In Iraq, Iran has misused its influence there to push for Shia hegemony and has aided Shia militias that have done much to exacerbate Sunni anxieties. In the Gulf, Iran continues to meddle in the internal affairs of the sheikdoms and exploit their Shia populations to weaken the Sunni Arab monarchs. Lebanon's Hezbollah Party is not just an instrument of Iran's regional surge but also keeps Lebanon divided against itself. And the butchery of Assad, Iran's client, in Syria remains the greatest instigator of Sunni militancy. As the Sunni populations across the Middle East see the loss of their influence in critical states and the collapse of seats of Sunni power, many are turning to radical forces, such as the Islamic State, that are promising salvation on the cheap. And given the conditions of today's Middle East, any demise of the Islamic State is likely to be followed by the rise of another vicious militant group. The Islamic State is not the cause of the region's maladies but one of its most tragic symptoms... The United States stands at an important turning point, worthy of a reasoned debate. The resurrection of the state system in the Middle East and the stemming of the tide of its many civil wars will require a substantial investment of funds and probable deployment of troops in places such as Iraq and Syria. It may come to pass that sensing diminishing prospects of success in the Middle East and the lure of opportunities elsewhere, the U.S. public will recoil from such a massive intervention. Still, it is a debate that Americans must soon have." http://t.uani.com/1JOClph
         

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

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