Thursday, November 19, 2015

Eye on Iran: UN: Iran Cuts Down on Some, But Not All Nuke Technology






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AP: "Iran has started cutting back on some nuclear technology, which could be reengineered to make nuclear weapons, in line with a deal with six world powers, a U.N. nuclear agency report said Wednesday. However, diplomats familiar with the report said that the country is keeping thousands of machines that could be used for such a purpose on standby. The U.N's International Atomic Energy Agency report and the diplomats' assessments present a mixed picture of the pace of Iran's moves to comply with the July 14 deal it signed with the six countries and come about a month after the deal was formally adopted on Oct. 18. Since then, the report showed that Iran has significantly reduced the number of centrifuges meant to enrich uranium, which can produce nuclear fuel, isotopes for research, or the core of an atomic bomb, depending on the degree of enrichment. It said 11,308 centrifuges were standing at Iran's main enrichment center as of Nov. 15, about 3,000 fewer than previously. It also noted cuts at a smaller facility, for a total reduction of about 4,500 of the nearly 20,000 machines Iran had previously set up. But the diplomats said all of the machines that have been taken out were previously idle. Thousands of centrifuges that were spinning uranium into enriched levels used for fuel are no longer online but remain on standby and can be restarted at short notice." http://t.uani.com/1Oh9n71

Reuters: "Officials have been speculating about the speed at which Iran can dismantle the centrifuges, sensitive machines that spin at supersonic speeds to purify uranium to levels at which it can be used as fuel in power stations or, potentially, weapons. Disconnecting and moving the machines is a time-consuming process if it is to be done without damaging the equipment, making it one of the steps most likely to delay implementation of the deal, and therefore the lifting of sanctions. 'They have been dismantling centrifuges that did not contain hexafluoride,' the senior diplomat said, referring to uranium hexafluoride, the feedstock for centrifuges. 'Dismantling centrifuges that have or have had hexafluoride is a much more complicated thing than the clean ones.' ... Iran was also carrying out an annual inventory at all its enrichment sites, meaning that enrichment had stopped across the country, the report said. 'This is the first time at this point in time that none of the three enrichment plants are operating,' the senior diplomat said. Iran's stockpile of low-enriched uranium had increased by 460.2 kg in the past three months to 8,305.6 kg, the report said. Under the deal with major powers, that stockpile must be slashed to no more than 300 kg." http://t.uani.com/215f5jq

Bloomberg: "Oil and banking sanctions against Iran might be lifted by mid-January based on the pace at which technicians are removing and mothballing nuclear equipment at the country's uranium-enrichment facilities. Iran removed 4,530 centrifuges during the 28 days ending Nov. 15, a rate of 162 machines per day, according to an International Atomic Energy Agency report issued late Wednesday. Based on current work rates, Iran may be able to fulfill its part of the nuclear deal agreed with world powers by Jan. 12. 'By the time you have this down to a routine, it's not much more difficult than changing a set of tires,' said Robert Kelley, a nuclear engineer and former IAEA director who has supervised centrifuge disassembly projects. 'There's no reason the Iranians cannot continue at the same pace.'" http://t.uani.com/1lwCOZm

Nuclear Program & Agreement

Tasnim (Iran): "Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI) Chief Ali Akbar Salehi announced on Thursday that the document on redesigning Iran's Arak heavy water rector has been signed by all parties to the July 14 nuclear agreement, and the grounds are now set for implementation of the accord. 'We were informed today that all foreign ministers of the six countries in the (nuclear) negotiations as well as the European Union Foreign Policy Chief have signed the document on redesigning and modernizing the Arak heavy water reactor,' Salehi said, adding that the document has been officially adopted. As per the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA - the text of the nuclear deal), the other side was supposed to guarantee its cooperation on the reconfiguration of Arak reactor, Salehi noted, adding that the guarantee has now been given. Since the document has been signed by six countries as well as the EU representative, it has high political, legal, and international credit, the Iranian nuclear chief stated. He further noted that the sextet have declared in this document that they will cooperate with Iran in redesigning the reactor and providing the required equipment, as well as in different phases of the project." http://t.uani.com/215kmr9

Extremism

Fars (Iran): "Iran's Army Commander Major General Ataollah Salehi blamed the western countries for nurturing and spreading terrorism in the world, saying the recent terrorist attack in Paris by the ISIL was a backfiring of certain western states' support for the terrorist group. 'Today terrorism has emerged in the region under different names of al-Qaeda, Taliban, Somali pirates and the ISIL and we should be aware of it,' General Salehi told reporters in the Southern city of Shalamcheh on Wednesday. He referred to the regional conditions and the terrorist incidents in France, and said, 'The West is the culprit behind the spread of corruption and terrorism and the western officials should know that they are nourishing a viper in their bosoms.' In relevant remarks on Tuesday, Iranian Supreme Leader's Deputy Chief of Office for International Affairs Ayatollah Mohsen Qomi condemned the Friday night's terrorist attacks in Paris, but meantime, said the tragedy was a backfiring of the West's support for terrorist groups. 'The West was punished by the incident in France for its unreasonable supports for these terrorist groups and it is clear that we are not pleased with the killing of innocent people but these conditions are the result of the West-created plights in the Middle-East,' Ayatollah Qomi said in Tehran." http://t.uani.com/1Qwklsx

IRNA (Iran): "Ayatollah Hossein Nouri Hamedani said on Thursday that the recent terrorist operation in Paris has justified new waves of Islamophobia to expel Muslims and set ablaze the holy Quran. The role of the Zionist regime in Paris incident is very strong, he said, adding that enemies are vigilant and spare no efforts to mastermind plots." http://t.uani.com/1Xb13YI

Sanctions Relief

Tasnim (Iran): "An official with Iran Khodro Company (IKCO), the Middle East's biggest carmaker, said negotiations have been held with Germany's Daimler AG, the maker of Mercedes-Benz cars, over manufacturing new-age engines in Iran. Mohammad Hazrati, the export manager at Iran Khodro Diesel (IKD), a subsidiary of IKCO, told Azerbaijan's Trend news agency on Wednesday that IKD and Daimler AG have started preliminary talks to produce new engines following the recent nuclear deal and the ensuing lifting of anti-Tehran sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1NdXceb

Press TV (Iran): "Russian officials say the country is negotiating with Iran over the local production of the Sukhoi Superjet 100 (SSJ 100) airliner to replace the ageing Iranian fleet on regional routes. Russia's Deputy Prime Minister Dmitry Rogozin says Moscow may deliver a large batch of SSJ 100 planes - described as the country's most modern commercial jets - to Iran before 2020. Rogozin told the Russian media that the batch could comprise about 100 planes. The planes can be in part be localized by Iranian producers if Tehran makes the political decision to purchase ready-made aircraft, he told Rossiya 24 TV during a two-day trip to Iran. 'Last night, one of the largest Iranian airlines held negotiations with UAC on the possible delivery of ready planes within five years. Different digits have been mentioned and I can mention them too - approximately 100 planes,' Rogozin added." http://t.uani.com/1MVKDlu

Tehran Times: "The giant French automaker Renault has vended 6300 cars in the Iranian market in October 2015, compared to 2600 cars traded in the same month last year, according to Renault's official website. The sales volume is nearly two and a half times more on the year-on-year comparison, up 142 percent. In addition to monthly data, the report puts the company's car sales to Iran in the first ten months of 2015 at 30,030, up 7.3 percent relative to the 28,000 record reported for the same time expansion last year. The automaker's yearly sales to Iran in 2014 totaled 36,300 cars, down 9 percent compared to 39,600 cars in 2013. Renault's car shipments to Iran in 2012 and 2011 stood at 100,783 and 93,626, respectively." http://t.uani.com/1QPFNrL

Syria Conflict

WSJ: "The Obama administration and European and Arab allies are seeking to peel Russia away from its alliance with Iran, a partnership that has bolstered Syrian President Bashar al-Assad, said senior diplomats involved in efforts to end Syria's lengthy conflict. The efforts, which have unfolded quietly through meetings involving Russian President Vladimir Putin and Middle Eastern leaders, are meant to coax support from Moscow for a limit on Mr. Assad's time in power. Such a step would solidify an emerging international coalition and help clear the way for a more concerted military effort to counter Islamic State in Syria and Iraq. Iran is seen as a brake on those efforts because of its more staunchly pro-Assad position, which it wants the Kremlin to support. If Russia holds fast to Iran and Mr. Assad, it would undermine hopes for an international consensus. A senior U.S. official on Tuesday said Washington has seen 'increased tensions between Russia and Iran over the question of the future of Syria.' U.S. and European officials also said they believe Iran's elite military unit, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, has withdrawn some troops from Syria in recent weeks, because of a strain on its resources." http://t.uani.com/1X0OqEH

Free Beacon: "At least 53 highly trained Iranian fighters have been killed in Syria as of mid-November, causing political strain in the Iranian government, which has sought to downplay and hide these deaths from public view, according to disclosures from an Israeli security organization. Iranian members of the country's Revolutionary Guard Corps have shifted in recent months from serving in an advisory role to becoming full-fledged fighters alongside forces backing embattled President Bashar al-Assad in Syria. At least 2,000 Iranian fighters are now believed to be operating in the country. This had led to a 'sharp increase in the number of Iranian dead' and suggests that the Islamic Republic has moved to the 'front line' of the pro-Assad ground offensive, according to information published by the the Meir Amit Intelligence and Terrorism Information Center, an Israeli think-tank and intelligence organization. Intelligence compiled by the center indicates that trained Iranian fighters have taken to the front lines, with at least 53 corps fighters having been killed as of Nov. 15, including senior commanders. The uptick in the number of those killed fighting for Assad has caused internal tension in Tehran and forced the government to launch public campaigns aimed at galvanizing public support for its war effort. 'The heavy losses incurred by Iran in Syria have required the Iranian leadership to provide justification for Iran's military involvement in Syria and explanations for the high number of Iranians killed,' the Meir Amit center wrote in a recent brief on the situation. 'To that end the regime instituted a media campaign to enlist public opinion to support Iranian involvement in Syria and obviate any possible criticism.'" http://t.uani.com/1QPDbdg

Human Rights

ICHRI: "The journalist Solmaz Ikdar has been sentenced to three years in prison for 'insulting the Supreme Leader' and 'propaganda against the state.' The charges were based on content she posted on her Facebook page. The trial, presided over by Judge Moghisseh, took place on October 20, 2015, and Ikdar's sentence was issued on November 10, 2015, a source told the International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran. Ikdar, 33, has spent her journalism career writing for several reformist publications, including Shargh, Bahar, Farhikhtegan, and Mardom-e Emrooz. Her sentencing takes place within the context of an intensified campaign by hardliners against journalists and reformists in Iran. During recent weeks, several Iranian journalists have been arrested by the Revolutionary Guards' Intelligence Organization. Authorities in Iran have also cracked down particularly hard on any dissenting opinion expressed on social media, a platform they have come to fear due to its widespread use among Iranian youth." http://t.uani.com/1XaQRiI

ICHRI: "The journalist Rayhaneh Tabatabaie, 35, has been informed that the Appeals Court has approved her one-year prison sentence and two-year ban on political and media activities issued in November 2014 by Judge Salavati. A source told the International Campaign for Human Rights in Iran that the charge of 'propaganda against the state' against Tabatabaie was based on her Facebook posts that were critical of the government, as well as her activities in the Young Reformists Election Headquarters, a group formed in 2013 to promote the election of Hassan Rouhani to the presidency. She was also accused of causing religious tensions by interviewing prominent Sunni figures such as Mowlavi Abdolhamid, the Friday Prayer Leader of the city of Zahedan. The decision takes place within a context of an intensifying crackdown on journalists and reformists in Iran, and a particular targeting of any dissent expressed on social media platforms." http://t.uani.com/1MVGvSz

Domestic Politics

Reuters: "Iran's hardline judiciary arrested the son of a former minister of culture on Wednesday on suspicion of involvement in a controversial oil contract, according to the semi-official Fars news agency. Four years ago, Iran's government tried to bypass the international sanctions on its oil and gas sector and buy an oil rig from a European company. Even though Tehran ended up paying out $87 million, the rig was never delivered to Iran. Fars, quoting an unnamed source, said: 'Mohammad Mohajerani's arrest was related to his role in the missing oil rig case.' Mohammad Mohajerani denied all allegations against him in a statement published on ILNA news agency in August, saying all his activities had been 'in the framework of the Islamic Republic economic regulations.' A few Iranian officials have been arrested in Iran in the last few months as part of a judicial investigation into possible corruption related to the deal." http://t.uani.com/1MoUsqI

Opinion & Analysis

J. Matthew McInnis in TNI: "Iran may have joined in condemning the Islamic State's (ISIS) vicious attack in Paris on November 13, but the terrorist strike also gives Tehran a major diplomatic opportunity to advance its goals in region. The United States, France, and other world powers are striving to build a more effective anti-ISIS campaign. Yet Iran's own murky relationship with the extremist group may confound these efforts... Iran's fear of ISIS, however, does not make it an ideal partner in combating the group. First, many within Iran's leadership believe the Islamic State is ultimately a creation of the Gulf Arab states and the Western powers. Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps' (IRGC) Brigadier General Massoud Jazayeri condemned the Paris attacks, but also attributed them to the French government's support of ISIS. He warned Western leaders not to misuse the tragedy to justify wars, 'such as what happened after the September 11th attacks to the people of Afghanistan and Iraq.' Deputy Foreign Minister Hossein Amir Abdollahian reiterated Iran's previous warnings to the Gulf States and the West that supporting the Islamic State could foment insecurity within their own countries. This misunderstanding hampers Iran's strategic thinking, and leads to ineffective policies. Second, Iran and the international community do not share the same primary objectives in Syria. The international community views the Islamic State as a more significant threat than Assad. For Iran, however, preventing Assad's fall is paramount; battling ISIS remains a secondary priority. ISIS is not such an immediate threat that Iran is willing to work with opposition forces at the expense of its primary goal of keeping Assad in power. Third, ISIS also serves a practical purpose for Iran. IS's reign of terror and global ambitions have effectively distracted the international community from President Assad's butchering of his own people. The United States and France are already pushing for greater cooperation with Russia in Syria, an implicit boon for Tehran's new joint campaign with Moscow to preserve the current Syrian regime. Finally, ISIS helps undermine the viability and credibility of any alternative to Assad's rule. For Iran there is distinction with little difference between ISIS (accused of receiving support from Sunni Arab states and the West) and other Syrian opposition groups (known to receive support from the Sunni Arab states and the West). Tehran is happy to let the extremist organization fight it out with the various Sunni opposition groups that remain Assad's most pressing political threat... Regardless of its sympathetic rhetoric, Tehran has no qualms about using ISIS to serve its immediate goals. It would be a mistake for US negotiators in Vienna--in the hopes of creating a broader anti-ISIS coalition--to accommodate Tehran's demands that Assad could stay indefinitely. Such a course would fuel Iran's longer-term ambitions of regional hegemony, and sacrifice the chance at a genuine political solution in Syria." http://t.uani.com/1Mp4CYr

Simon Chin & Valerie Lincy in Wisconsin Project on Nuclear Arms Control: "As part of the nuclear agreement with Iran, 36 entities will be removed from the United Nations blacklist when the deal is implemented next year.  This represents about one-third of the entities on the U.N. list and covers entities that have been linked to undeclared nuclear work or illicit nuclear procurement.  The removals also set in motion similar action by the European Union and the United States.  The troubling result is that early on in the lifetime of the agreement, most of these entities may not appear on international screening lists. The first round of U.N. sanctions relief will arrive on Implementation Day, the date when the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) verifies that Iran has fulfilled its first set of nuclear-related commitments under the deal.  This is expected sometime in 2016.  This sanctions relief is not contingent upon the findings of the IAEA's investigation into Iran's alleged past nuclear weapons work.  And it will come well before the Agency has completed its longer-term assessment of Iran's nuclear program and gives it a clean bill of health-the so-called 'Broader Conclusion' that 'that all nuclear material in Iran remains in peaceful activities.'  This conclusion will be reached only if Iran is fully cooperative with inspectors, has resolved concerns about its past nuclear activities, and addresses all of the Agency's questions about its ongoing nuclear program. In addition to removal from the U.N. list, these 36 entities will also be cleared from the European Union blacklist on Implementation Day.  And all but one of these entities will no longer be covered by U.S. secondary sanctions, meaning that non-U.S. entities may do business with them without risk of being sanctioned by the United States. The majority of delisted entities are Iranian government officials and nuclear scientists and engineers (20).  Removals also include nuclear research and production facilities (11), subsidiaries of Iran's national shipping company (3), and the Malaysian branch of Iran's Bank Mellat. The initial set of removals from the U.N. list includes the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran (AEOI), the main Iranian organization for research and development in the field of nuclear technology.  The AEOI and its subsidiaries have been repeatedly linked to undeclared nuclear work and illicit procurement." http://t.uani.com/1lwHtuj
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

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