Wednesday, January 6, 2016

Eye on Iran: As Cold War with Saudi Sharpens, Iran's Guards Deliver Warning






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Reuters: "Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps was quick to condemn the execution of Saudi cleric Sheikh Nimr al-Nimr, stating: 'Without a doubt, the hated Saudi regime will pay a price for this shameful act.' For an organisation deeply involved in wars in Syria and Iraq this looks no idle threat, at least in the eyes of Sunni Gulf Arab states like Saudi Arabia who say Shi'ite rival Tehran is bent on undermining their security... It is a reminder to Gulf Arabs that the IRGC, with connections in Saudi Arabia and elsewhere in the region, has many ways to wage the long cold war between Tehran and its Arab foes... 'The Guard will not respond directly,' said Hilal Khashan, a professor of political science at the American University of Beirut. 'They have their operatives, their people, their connections everywhere in the region who will answer what the Saudis did and actually escalate. Iran is in a very strong position to respond in the Saudi Arabian eastern province. And they can do a lot in Bahrain.' ... The IRGC has also established intelligence networks among the Shi'ite populations in the Gulf states. It has the potential to undermine Saudi Arabia and its allies' interests using sympathetic Shi'ites to stir political unrest or engage in violent attacks, experts say. Saudi Arabia has a sizable Shi'ite community in the east of the country, while the majority of Bahrain's citizens are Shi'ites who live under a Sunni monarchy. A failed uprising which began in Bahrain in 2011 was largely focussed on gaining more democratic rights for the country's Shi'ites. In the Guards' statement, they warned that the youth and Muslims of Saudi Arabia would take 'tough revenge' which would lead to the fall of the Saudi government. The Iranians could also revive the resentment that drove the Bahrain uprising. 'I think the Iranians think they can actually have a victory in Bahrain which would be a red line for the Saudis,' said a Western diplomat in Beirut who asked not to be identified." http://t.uani.com/1OMGfYT

WSJ: "Some of the world's largest container shipping lines are planning to stop in Iran for the first time in years after the lifting of sanctions, marking a key step in the country's return to international markets. Last Thursday, Mediterranean Shipping Co. SA, the second-largest shipping line by volume, discharged 300 containers filled with food and agricultural commodities at the port in the southern Iranian city of Bandar Abbas. It was the first time one of the Swiss company's vessels had called at an Iranian port since 2012, according to an MSC spokeswoman. CMA CGM SA, the third-largest line, also has begun service to Iran, a spokesman said. MSC's stop, on a round trip between China and the Middle East, was an early indication of how July's nuclear deal is giving Iran's economy a boost... Between 2011 and 2015, container traffic through Iran fell by nearly half, from roughly 5 million 20-foot equivalent units, or TEUs-a common shipping measure-to about 2.8 million, according to global shipping association Bimco... MSC plans to include Bandar Abbas in its 16-stop New Falcon service, which runs from China, through Singapore and Sri Lanka to Iran, visits the U.A.E. and India, and returns to China every 21 days. 'Iran is really only opening up, and as things progress, volumes should increase,' said Fiona Jackson, an MSC spokeswoman. 'It's baby steps.' Other large carriers plan to visit Iran as well. French shipping line CMA CGM resumed calling at Bandar Abbas on Aug. 6, sending a 13,000-TEU ship to the Iranian port as part of its China India Middle East Express service, a spokesman said. Executives with Danish conglomerate A.P. Moeller Maersk A/S, which includes Maersk Line, the world's largest marine carrier, visited Iran in recent days to discuss potential projects, a spokeswoman said. She added that any decisions regarding transportation would need to wait for the repeal of sanctions." http://t.uani.com/1OaH08s

IranWire: "They look just like normal school girls. Wearing black chadors over pink manteaux and headscarves, they stand around the yard gazing at a tin can marked 'Death to America.' A fire is burning inside the tin. One by one, the girls approach the fire. With a show of fury and hate, they snap the heads of the dolls off and throw them into the fire. The camera comes to rest on a school official, who holds her chador tightly around her face. 'Barbie is a propaganda agent for Western culture,' she says. 'So they are destroying the dolls in this ceremony.' The schoolgirls throw the rest of the Barbie doll bodies into the fire. As a reward for their actions, they are given dolls with covered hair. The national TV news program 20:30 broadcasts a short clip of the ceremony, which took place at a school near Tehran. Barbie dolls are very popular in Iran, and it is not the first time that they have been called a symbol of Western cultural invasion... Laleh Eftekhari, a female member of the parliament's Cultural Committee, is another opponent of Barbie dolls. She says has not seen the video of the schoolgirls destroying the toys, but she tells IranWire: 'I know the West has been targeting our culture using toys and stationery. This amounts to a cultural invasion and we must inform our children about it.'" http://t.uani.com/1OO4kbx   

Embassy Attack

NBC: "Saudi Arabia's foreign minister says diplomatic tensions over the execution of a prominent cleric could be eased if Iran - the most vocal critic of the killing - ratchets down the rhetoric. 'Very simple: Iran should back off, stop being aggressive, stop interfering, stop supporting terrorism,' Saudi Foreign Minister Adel bin Ahmed Al-Jubeir said in an interview with CNBC on Tuesday when asked how to resolve the escalating crisis. 'I hope that they will turn around and adapt a more conciliatory policy and a more normal policy, the way that countries and governments should behave. And I want to emphasize here that we have no enmity towards Iran, we have no enmity towards the Iranian people,' Al-Jubeir said, adding that Saudi Arabia has merely been reacting to Iran's outrage... He pointed to Iran protecting individuals linked to the 1996 Khobar Towers bombing, harboring al Qaeda leaders after 9/11 and smuggling weapons internationally as some of the alleged 'nefarious' activities the Islamic republic is involved in." http://t.uani.com/1Uwo3AU

Bloomberg: "Djibouti cut diplomatic ties with Iran, joining several Arab nations that have taken the step after protesters stormed the Saudi embassy in Tehran on Sunday. 'Djibouti cut its diplomatic ties with Iran out of solidarity with Saudi Arabia,' Djiboutian Foreign Minister Mahamoud Ali Youssouf said in a mobile-phone text message Wednesday." http://t.uani.com/1IQP8OI

IRNA (Iran): "Recent attacks against Saudi diplomatic missions in Tehran and Mashhad is suspicious, Police Chief Brigadier General Hossein Ashtari said on Wednesday. Speaking in a local ceremony, the police chief said that he is not sure but suspicious of the way Saudi missions were attacked. Police will continue its investigation to find the realities revealed behind the attacks, he added. Holding protest meetings against Saudi Arabia is acceptable but no person who is loyal to the Islamic Republic invades an embassy in this way, the commander said." http://t.uani.com/1MT371v

Sanctions Relief

Reuters: "Danish companies are eyeing a series of energy and shipping projects in Iran following a visit this week by the country's foreign minister, local news agencies and officials said on Tuesday. The Danish foreign ministry said its minister, Kristian Jensen, travelled to Tehran with a delegation representing 58 companies on Monday and that exports could increase by 500 million Danish crowns ($72 million) once sanctions against Iran's nuclear programme are lifted. News agency Shana cited Iranian Petroleum Minister Bijan Zanganeh as saying Danish companies were interested in developing oil fields in the Caspian Sea including the South Pars gas field, which also produces condensates. Global conglomerate A.P. Moller-Maersk is in the oil industry through its Maersk Oil unit... The Mehr news agency also cited the Islamic Republic of Iran Shipping Lines (IRISL) as saying that Maersk Line, the world's largest container shipping company, would begin services to Iranian ports. 'We can confirm that we have met with representatives from the Iranian government to discuss possible projects. Nothing has been agreed and we cannot share further details,' Maersk said in a statement. Mehr also cited Energy Minister Hamid Chitchian as saying that Denmark offered to invest in the construction of a wind turbine factory. Denmark's Vestas, the world's largest wind turbine maker, said its representatives were present in Tehran and the company was looking into opportunities there but would not elaborate on any talks. One early Danish mover on Iran was drug maker Novo Nordisk which said in September it would build a $78 million manufacturing plant in the country, signalling what it called a 'long-term commitment to Iran'. The Danish foreign ministry directed questions to its delegation in Iran, which confirmed a memorandum had been signed with Tehran on insuring Danish exports to Iran but declined to comment on other individual business talks." http://t.uani.com/1mFYken

Shana (Iran): "Vice president of Denmark's Maersk said the company is gearing up to engage in Iran's upstream oil projects in the wake of the removal of the western sanctions on the country's energy sector. 'We have to wait for the complete lifting of the sanctions but our group of companies is very interested to come to Iran,' said Lars Nydahl Jorgensen following a meeting between Iranian Minister of Petroleum Bijan Zangeneh and Danish Foreign Minister Kristian Jensen in Tehran. He said Maersk can offer services not only as an oil company but as a drilling company that would be ready to engage in Iran. 'We have supply vessels for big rigs and we have tanker companies and we have a terminals company that can offer infrastructures for export,' the Danish industrialist said. He also said the Danish company is having very constructive discussions with NIOC and its subsidiaries and will continue that dialogue but 'we don't know how long that will take.'" http://t.uani.com/1MT4HQS

Daily Mail: "Backing up its aim to be one of the must-visit destinations for 2016, Iran is set to construct 125 luxury hotels. With the government's tourism arm aiming to increase visitors to the Middle Eastern country to 20 million by 2025, a 20 fold increase, hopes are that it can contribute £20billion to the economy. Masoud Soltanifar, the head of Iran's Cultural Heritage, Handicrafts and Tourism Organization, confirmed that many of the hotels are near to completion, and the numbers built in the last year are more than the total produced in the last century... Accor, which is Europe's largest hotel group, has already constructed two four-star hotels at Imam Khomeini International Airport outside the Iranian capital. And Rotana are set to open four hotels in the next two years, two in the city of Mashhad set to be completed by the end of 2017, and  two in Tehran due to open in 2018. Amin Dakkak, corporate director of marketing & communications told MailOnline Travel: 'Rotana was the first hotel management company to announce its expansion plans in the Iranian market, after signing the management agreement in March 2013 for four properties currently under development, all of which will be opened under the company's alcohol-free brand 'Rayhaan Hotels & Resorts' by Rotana." http://t.uani.com/1S44i63

Reuters: "Saudi food producer Savola, one of the few Saudi companies with a presence in Iran, plans to maintain its investments there despite a diplomatic standoff between the regional powers, a senior executive at the firm told Reuters... Saudi Foreign Minister Adel al-Jubeir told Reuters on Monday that Riyadh would sever 'all commercial relations' with Iran, along with flights and diplomatic ties, after tensions boiled up over its execution of a prominent Shi'ite cleric. Those comments sent Savola's stock price plunging 11.5 percent as of Tuesday and led Iran's Press TV to speculate that the company may sell its Iranian edible oils and sugar businesses, which account for some 13 percent of total revenues. According to its most recent annual report, Savola holds a 90 percent stake in Savola Behshahr Company, which dominates Iran's edible oil market with some 40 percent market share. It also has full ownership of Savola Behshahr Sugar Company and distribution firm Tolue Pakhshe Aftab in Iran... Trade links between Saudi Arabia and Iran have long been sparse, with only a few companies - mostly in food and consumer goods - wagering that they can profit in spite of Western sanctions and political animosity. Saudi Arabia's family-owned Aujan Group Holding, which makes popular Ramadan drink Vimto under licence from British firm Nichols plc and has a $1 billion joint venture with Coca-Cola, has had major Iran manufacturing operations since 2005. Aujan Industries Iranian Company (AIIC), a private joint stock company based in Tehran, is an authorised manufacturer and distributor of the company's Rani Refreshments products. Aujan's Kaveh Aluminum Can Company, established in 2009 in Kaveh Industrial City, supplies cans to AIIC as well as Coca-Cola, Pepsi and other brands for sale in Iran." http://t.uani.com/1UwjQ07

Terrorism

Reuters: "Bahrain said on Wednesday it had caught an Iranian-linked cell plotting attacks on its territory, days after it followed its close ally Saudi Arabia in cutting ties with Iran... 'A secret terrorist plot aided by the so-called Iranian Revolutionary Guard and the Hezbollah terrorist organization was foiled,' the Gulf island kingdom's state news agency BNA reported. 'It targeted the security of the kingdom of Bahrain by (plotting to) carry out a series of dangerous bombings,' it added... BNA said a main suspect, Ali Ahmed Fakhrawi, had traveled to Lebanon and personally met the head of the Shi'ite militant group Hezbollah, who gave him $20,000 to aid the cell. Fakhrawi and his twin brother were linked to the militant activities of eight other suspects named by BNA, some of whom were arrested as early as 2013 and two of whom were designated as fugitives, one in Iran. In November, Bahrain said it had arrested 47 members of a group believed to have links to 'terrorist elements in Iran' who it said were planning to carry out attacks in the coming days. Bahrain recalled its ambassador to Iran in October after it said security forces discovered a bomb-making factory and arrested a number of suspects linked to the Revolutionary Guard." http://t.uani.com/1Ju0RTp

Syria Conflict

AP: "The Obama administration's best-case scenario for political transition in Syria does not foresee Bashar Assad stepping down as the country's leader before March 2017, outlasting Barack Obama's presidency by at least two months, according to a document obtained by The Associated Press. An internal timeline prepared for U.S. officials dealing with the Syria crisis sets an unspecified date in March 2017 for Assad to 'relinquish' his position as president and for his 'inner circle' to depart. That would be more than five years after Obama first called for Assad to leave." http://t.uani.com/1Z5uKv9

Human Rights

Journalism is Not a Crime: "The Prosecutor's Office for Media and Culture in Iran has suspended the reformist newspaper Bahar on January 2, 2016 for allegedly publishing propaganda against the regime. 'The newspaper has been shut down for publishing propaganda against the regime and articles that harms the foundation of the Islamic Republic,' said an unnamed judicial official according to Mizan News Agency. The reformist daily has been closed down several times before, first in 2000 just a few months after the paper was founded. Following a 10-year ban, it was permitted to reopen in 2010. However, the newspaper was banned again in 2013, thus becoming the first publication to be closed down under the moderate President Hassan Rouhani. And now history has once again repeated itself. The newspaper was according to Mansour Ghanavati, the managing editor of Bahar, suspended after it had published an article entitled 'Decline of Power', which criticized unnamed people in power in Iran. But the charges against the paper have not been made clear yet." http://t.uani.com/1Z8FnTq

Domestic Politics

AFP: "The grandson of Ayatollah Ruhollah Khomeini, founder of the Islamic Republic of Iran, could be excluded from upcoming elections because he did not attend a qualification exam Tuesday. Hassan Khomeini, 43, was not among 400 candidates for the Assembly of Experts who took the theology test in the holy city of Qom, one hour's drive south of the capital Tehran. The exam was organised by the Guardian Council, a powerful committee that vets candidates for the Assembly, a clerical group that will pick the country's next supreme leader, and for parliament. Elections to both will take place on February 26. 'If someone does not participate in the examination to test his level of theological knowledge, he will not have the requirements to be a candidate,' said Siamak Rahpeyk, a Guardian Council member. 'We informed the candidates via the media and through the official website of the Council' of the test, he said on state television. A source close to Khomeini, who has never previously run for public office but is close to the reformist former president Mohammad Khatami, told the official IRNA news agency he had not received any 'invitation or text message' to go to the exam." http://t.uani.com/1ZNIn4y
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

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