Wednesday, June 15, 2016

Eye on Iran: Iran Said to Have Deal With Boeing to Buy Passenger Planes








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NYT: "Iran has reached an agreement with the Boeing Company for the acquisition of new passenger planes to help modernize its outdated fleet, state-run Iranian news media reported on Tuesday. Such an agreement, if completed, would potentially be worth many billions of dollars to Boeing and amount to the most prominent commercial transaction between an American company and Iran since sanctions linked to Iran's nuclear program were lifted six months ago. It also would send a strong signal that Iran and the United States, despite decades of antipathy, might be moving toward normalized ties. Numerous obstacles remain to such an agreement, most notably other American sanctions on Iran that are not related to the Tehran's nuclear program, including a ban on using dollars in trade with the country... Iran's minister of roads and urban development, Abbas Akhoundi, was quoted by Iranian news agencies on Tuesday as saying that a deal with Boeing had been completed and that details would be 'announced within the next few days.' Asked about Mr. Akhoundi's assertion, a spokesman for Boeing at the company's Chicago headquarters, John Dern, did not deny it... Mr. Dern's statement also cautioned: 'Any agreements reached will be contingent on U.S. government approval.' ... Iranian officials have complained that nonnuclear American sanctions remain a major impediment, dissuading many foreign companies from investing in and trading with Iran... United Against Nuclear Iran, a New-York based advocacy organization, has claimed some responsibility for Iran's frustration, through a campaign that warns companies that they could risk incurring American legal problems by engaging in business with Iranian entities. The organization claimed responsibility for the cancellation of an international forum on opportunities in Iran's natural gas industry that had been scheduled for Thursday and Friday in Barcelona, Spain. Anthony Bright, operations manager for INconnect, a Czech company that had organized the forum, said in an emailed statement that it had been postponed until December. Mr. Bright did not provide a reason." http://t.uani.com/25XsaQF

Reuters: "Iran's Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, threatened on Tuesday to 'set fire' to the nuclear deal sealed with world powers if U.S. presidential candidates reneged on the agreement... 'The Islamic Republic won't be the first to violate the nuclear deal. Staying faithful to a promise is a Koranic order,' Khamenei said, according to state media. 'But if the threat from the American presidential candidates to tear up the deal becomes operational then the Islamic Republic will set fire to the deal.' ... Khamenei noted that sanctions had not been completely lifted, issues with Iranian banks had not been resolved and that Iranian money that was being kept in other countries had not been returned. 'The nuclear deal has holes which, if they were closed, would reduce or cancel its disadvantages,' he said. He added: 'Some think that we can get along with the Americans and solve our problems. This is an incorrect idea and a delusion.'" http://t.uani.com/1WNzh9g

AP: "U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry met his Iranian counterpart in Norway on Wednesday to once again discuss Iran's complaints that it's not getting the sanctions relief it deserves under last year's landmark nuclear deal. Kerry also raised the importance of Iran using its influence with Syria's government to ensure humanitarian aid deliveries and respect a fragile truce with moderate opposition groups. He said later that the truce was 'frayed and at risk' and that it was 'critical for a genuine cessation of hostilities to be put in place.' He indicated that U.S. patience with Syria and its Russian and Iranian allies was wearing thin. Kerry's meeting with Iran's Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif in Oslo came just a day after Iran's supreme leader renewed accusations that the U.S. is not living up to its commitment to ease sanctions under the agreement that gave Iran the relief in exchange for curbing its nuclear program. 'The two discussed progress on the continuing implementation of the (nuclear deal), including issues related to banking and relief of nuclear-related sanctions,' the State Department said in a brief statement after the 70-minute closed-door talks in a downtown Oslo hotel... Meanwhile, Zarif, who was already in Oslo, said 'psychological remnants' of the previous sanctions regime were preventing European and Asian banks from conducting legitimate business with Iran. In response, State Department spokesman John Kirby told reporters in Washington on Tuesday that the U.S. was going out of its way to clarify what is now allowed. He said any 'psychological remnants' hindering legal business with Iran are related to Iranian behavior. 'The United States is not standing in the way, nor will we stand in the way, of business that can be legitimately done and permitted with Iran since the (nuclear deal) took effect,' he said. 'What makes business nervous, what makes business reticent isn't some lack of education or effort by the United States, but when they see missiles being shipped to Hezbollah, missiles being fired at U.S. aircraft carriers, and support to terrorist groups,' Kirby said. 'That's what makes business nervous. Those are the psychological remnants which need to be lifted.'" http://t.uani.com/1XpjwoX

U.S.-Iran Relations

AP: "Khamenei reiterated his opposition to a wider rapprochement with the U.S. and other Western nations, saying they remain hostile toward Iran. 'It is a wrong idea that we can reach a compromise with the U.S.,' he said. 'The main argument is about the existence of the Islamic Republic, and this cannot be resolved through negotiation.'" http://t.uani.com/1rpNB9U

Business Risk

FT: "When more than 300 German companies visited Iran last month, their interest in the Islamic Republic stretched across myriad sectors, from machinery and healthcare, to the auto industry and energy. They were just the latest batch of European, Asian and other foreign companies that have beaten a path to Iran since the lifting of sanctions as they look to tap into the potential of the oil-producing nation and its 78m population. But while provisional agreements worth billions of dollars have been reached, there is mounting frustration in Iran that they have yet to materialise into completed deals on the ground. The hope is that one big international deal will unlock the floodgates. 'Everyone is waiting for the first big bang - like France's Total or Royal Bank of Scotland to open the way,' said an Iranian businessman. But western investors first have to overcome a stumbling block - the wariness of western banks to work with Iranian institutions and individuals. Although many sanctions were lifted after Tehran reached a deal with western powers last year to scale down its nuclear activities, US sanctions related to issues such as facilitating terrorism remain in place. 'No major western bank or company wants to be the first,' said a senior western diplomat." http://t.uani.com/1UUpB6x

AFP: "A British-Iranian woman who was arrested in Iran in April was accused on Wednesday of seeking to 'overthrow the regime', according to a statement from the powerful Revolutionary Guards. Nazanin Zaghari-Ratcliffe, an employee of the Thomson Reuters Foundation, was accused of being 'involved in the soft overthrow of the Islamic republic through... her membership in foreign companies and institutions,' the Mizan news agency quoted a regional Guards branch as saying. Zaghari-Ratcliffe, 37, was arrested at Tehran airport on April 3 as she prepared to return to Britain with her daughter after visiting family in Iran, her husband told AFP last week. Iran doesn't recognise dual-citizenship and, if put on trial, she will be considered an Iranian. According to the Guards, Zaghari-Ratcliffe was 'identified and arrested after massive intelligence operations' as one of 'the heads of foreign-linked hostile networks.' She was alleged to have conducted 'various missions... leading her criminal activities under the direction of media and intelligence services of foreign governments.' 'Further investigations are being done and her case has been sent to Tehran for legal proceedings,' the statement added." http://t.uani.com/1YrDf74

Reuters: "Two senior Iranian officials said last year that Iran was expected to buy 100 jets from Boeing once sanctions were lifted. Both Airbus and Boeing would need U.S. export licences to carry out their deals, due to the use of significant U.S. technology in all modern jetliners. Even then, industry sources caution that both deals could take some time to implement because of uncertainty over financing, with the U.S. financial system still closed to Iran. The Airbus deal is priced in euros instead of dollars, the currency usually by planemakers, but many banks remain reluctant to finance it because they fear losing their claim to the underlying assets if sanctions are re-introduced, bankers say. BOC Aviation, a Singapore-based leasing company in which Boeing recently invested as part of its stock market debut, is in discussions with Boeing about financing part of the deal, two people familiar with the matter said." http://t.uani.com/239WUbV

Free Beacon: "Rep. Peter Roskam (R., Ill.), who has criticized Boeing and others for pursuing business with Iran, told the Free Beacon that Congress could take action to stop the sale. 'We've heard reports of a pending deal between an iconic American company and terrorism's central bank,' Roskam said. 'To say we have national security concerns would be an understatement. Boeing and the Islamic Republic should know the U.S. Congress will not look favorably upon any deal that jeopardizes the safety and security of the American people.' Several GOP lawmakers recently summoned the heads of Boeing and French air manufacturer Airbus for a meeting about their dealings with Iran. Three House members from Washington state, a major base for Boeing operations, wrote to the company in May to request a meeting. 'We write to express our serious concerns over the sale of airplanes, parts, and other aircraft-related services to the Islamic Republic of Iran,' wrote Republican Reps. Cathy McMorris Rodgers, the GOP conference chair, Dave Reichert, chair of the House committee that regulates trade, and Dan Newhouse." http://t.uani.com/1rpNCuA

Sanctions Enforcement

AP: "The CEO of a New York-based metallurgical company pleaded guilty Tuesday to illegally exporting to Iran a metallic powder that can be used to build missiles. Erdal Kuyumcu, 44, pleaded guilty in Brooklyn federal court to conspiring to violate the International Emergency Economic Powers Act. Federal prosecutors said Kuyumcu, the CEO of Global Metallurgy LLC., conspired to export a powder containing cobalt and nickel without obtaining the required license from the U.S. Treasury Department's Office of Foreign Assets Control. Prosecutors said the powder can be used to coat gas turbine components and also can be used in aerospace, missile production and nuclear applications. Such metals are closely regulated by the U.S. Department of Commerce to combat nuclear proliferation and protect national security, and exporting them without a license is illegal." http://t.uani.com/239XqH1

Sanctions Relief

Reuters: "Iran is gradually restoring banking links with the rest of the world by forging ties with smaller foreign institutions, even though large global banks are still holding back because of legal risks, Iranian officials and foreign bankers say. Since international sanctions over Iran's nuclear programme were lifted in January, the world's big banks have continued to stay away because they fear being penalised by remaining U.S. sanctions over issues such as money laundering. This has slowed Iran's efforts to rebuild its foreign trade and lure investment. But in the last few weeks, the officials and bankers say, Tehran has begun making a dent in its financial isolation by forging banking channels via small institutions, many of which do little or no business in the United States and so feel less legally exposed when they engage with Iran. 'Two hundred small and medium-sized international banks have started correspondent relationships with Iranian banks,' Iran's central bank said in an emailed response to questions by Reuters... The smaller banks cannot provide as much financing as the top global institutions and may offer a narrower range of services. But their activities appear to be supporting a gradual revival of trade between Iran and Europe... 'Despite showing interest in cooperating with Iran and having correspondent relationships, the big banks are postponing normalisation of relations to the future,' the Iranian central bank said in its statement to Reuters. 'They are mainly afraid of the imposition of new sanctions since the initial (American) sanctions still remain. They also have the fear of being fined by the United States.' Nevertheless, the central bank said Germany-based Europaeisch-Iranische Handelsbank AG (EIH) and two Italian lenders, Mediobanca and Banca Popolare di Sondrio, were among the 200 with business links to Iran. 'EIH handles the bulk of Europe's letter of credit business, which gives European exporters an appropriate financial instrument to get their money from Iranian clients,' said a spokesman for EIH, a German company which is majority-owned by Iranian interests." http://t.uani.com/1Q4oCoz

FT: "Fabrice Brégier knows he is treading closely between challenge and opportunity at Airbus, Europe's flagship aerospace and defence group. On the one hand, the chief executive of the Airbus division making passenger jets believes it will in the 'coming weeks' win US approval for a $25bn agreement to sell 118 aircraft to Iran - one of the biggest deals since certain international sanctions were lifted in January... 'We are getting close to finalising the purchase agreement with Iran Air,' says Mr Brégier. 'I hope we are getting very close to the final [regulatory] decision.'" http://t.uani.com/1WNyODT

Reuters: "South Korea's imports of Iranian crude oil jumped around 130 percent in May from the same month a year ago, extending gains after international sanctions were lifted in January on Iran's disputed nuclear programme. Seoul brought in 1.26 million tonnes of Iranian crude oil last month, or 297,625 barrels per day (bpd), compared with 541,510 tonnes imported a year ago, customs data showed. In the first five months of the year, the world's fifth-largest crude importer shipped in 5.08 million tonnes, or 244,917 bpd, of crude from the Middle Eastern country, versus 2.46 million tonnes in the same period in 2015, according to the data." http://t.uani.com/1rpKnn5

Terrorism

Bloomberg: "Iran may be emerging from the grip of western sanctions, but one of the most formidable militant groups it funds is paying the price. As Hezbollah's battlefield casualties mount in Syria, a U.S. law passed in December that forbids banks from dealing with the Shiite group is hitting its vast network of social services in Lebanon like never before. The legislation aims to prevent Hezbollah from reaping any financial benefits following Iran's nuclear accord last year." http://t.uani.com/1S5l0wt

Syria Conflict

Asharq Al-Awsat: "Reports issued from the tripartite Iranian-Russian-Syrian meeting held in Tehran last week highlighted the decision on reinforcing battlefronts, especially those at Aleppo and Raqqa, in Syria with more so-called Hezbollah militants. The so-called Hezbollah, over the last few days, has been rumored to transfer hundreds of members to Syria - a great part of which belonging to the elite squad named by 'al-Rezwan party'- the elite at large comprises members with Beqaa and Beirut suburbs provenance. Well-informed sources told Asharq Al-Awsat newspaper that Hezbollah has effectively kick-started implementing the meeting's outcome by deploying further Iranian and Hezbollah militants to Syria. The Tehran-held trilateral meeting brought together each of Russian Minister of Defense Sergey Shoygu, Syrian regime chief of staff Fahd Jassem al-Freij and Iranian defense minister Hossein Dehghan." http://t.uani.com/262l1v1

Opinion & Analysis

UANI Policy Director Jason Brodsky in The Hill: "Iran's much anticipated 'moderation' made international headlines in the aftermath of February's post-nuclear deal elections for parliament and the Assembly of Experts.  The New York Times declared the 'Iranian President and Moderates Make Strong Gains in Elections.'  The Wall Street Journal proclaimed 'Moderates Win Key Iran Election Races.'  And the Financial Times announced 'Blow for Iran's hardliners as moderates win key seats.'  In Tehran, the Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei lamented the defeat of hardliners Ayatollahs Mohammad Yazdi and Mohammad Taqi Mesbah-Yazdi, branding them as a 'loss' for the nation. But in the end, the mullahcracy delivered a warning shot with the election on Tuesday of arch-conservative and regime insider Ayatollah Ahmad Jannati as Chairman of the Assembly of Experts.  Jannati received 55 votes out of a total of 88 in the chamber, even though he barely held on to his seat in public voting for membership to the Assembly.  The moderate former President of Iran, Ayatollah Akbar Hashemi Rafsanjani, who won reelection by large margin and with a clear mandate didn't even run for the top job.  Jannati beat out Ebrahim Amini, a cleric who appeared on both the Principlist and Rafsanjani slates of candidates in February, and Mahmoud Hashemi Shahroudi, the former head of the Iran's judiciary, a traditional conservative and a potential successor to the Supreme Leader.  So what happened to the reformers running the table in February, delivering hope and change?  The answer lies in the fact that conservatives still have a tight grip on the levers of real power in the deep state of the Islamic Republic... Ayatollah Jannati has dominated Tehran's political scene since the Iranian Revolution of 1979.  He has served with the blessing of the Supreme Leader as a member of the Guardian Council-the body tasked with vetting candidates for state elections and legislation-since 1980, and has led the Council since 1996.  According to a study by the Rand Institute, in the past, Jannati 'has voiced support for suicide bombings as a means of resistance, called for Iran to scrap its nuclear-treaty commitments, and championed efforts to export the revolution.'  He has called support for Hezbollah a 'duty' and advocated for the assassination of then Israeli Foreign Minister Tzipi Livni back in 2009.  Jannati also is essentially the political godfather of the more militant Iranian judiciary and intelligence services, given his leadership of the Haqqani religious school, whose graduates, according to Rand, are heavily represented among their ranks. This ominous development suggests that where it counts the most, the nature of the Iranian regime remains unchanged in the aftermath of the nuclear deal.  In fact, regime stalwarts are doubling down, racing to protect Tehran's unelected organs-the real power behind the throne of state." http://t.uani.com/1UjtuVh
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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