Monday, August 22, 2016

Eye on Iran: Russian Raids from Iran Airbase 'Over for Now': Tehran






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AFP: "Iran said Monday that Russian raids on jihadists in Syria from one of its airbases had ended for now, after accusing Moscow of 'showing off' when it revealed the bombing runs. 'It was a specific, authorised mission and it's over for now. They conducted it and they are gone now,' foreign ministry spokesman Bahram Ghasemi told reporters in Tehran. He left open the possibility of future Russian combat flights from the Islamic republic, saying it would depend on 'the situation in the region, and according to our permission'. The Russian ambassador to Tehran, Levan Dzhagaryan, said Monday all Russian planes have left Iran's air base in Hamedan but that nothing prevents them from using it again in the future. 'There are no reasons to worry. If the leaders of our two countries consider it necessary and reach the relevant agreements, what sort of problems can there be?' he told Russia's Interfax news agency. 'For the time being, there are no (Russians) remaining in Hamedan' airbase, he added. Ghasemi's comments came a few hours after Iranian Defence Minister Hossein Dehghan made a rare public criticism of Russia for revealing that its warplanes were using Hamedan to attack insurgents in Syria. 'Naturally, the Russians are keen to show that they are a superpower and an influential country and that they are active in security issues in the region and the world,' Dehghan told Iran's Channel 2 television. 'There has been a kind of showing-off and inconsiderate attitude behind the announcement of this news,' he said." http://t.uani.com/2bftOUU

AP: "Iran's defense minister is chastising Russia, saying Moscow's announcement on using Iranian bases for attacks on Syrian militants was 'kind of show off and ungentlemanly.' State TV's website on Monday quoted Gen. Hossein Dehghan as saying 'Russians seek to show that they are a superpower.' Dehghan's remarks were the first sign of pushback from Tehran after Russia last week began using Iranian territory to launch airstrikes in Syria, with Moscow's bombers flying out of the Islamic Republic for three straight days to hit what Russia says are Islamic State targets and other militants in the war-ravaged country. Iran only confirmed the flights and the use of its bases a day after Russia made the announcement. Dehghan's comments suggest Iran may not have wanted the flights publicized to such an extent." http://t.uani.com/2bbpszv

WashPost: "Critics of the Obama administration's dealings with Iran on Friday accused the White House and the State Department of lying about a $400 million cash payment to Iran in January in what officials now acknowledge was conditioned on freedom for American prisoners. Republicans were among those who disparaged State Department spokesman John Kirby's explanation Thursday that the money, part of a settlement for a claim Tehran had on its own assets frozen by Washington decades ago, was 'leverage' to ensure a plane carrying three released American prisoners could leave the country. On several occasions in the past seven months, administration officials, including President Obama himself, insisted the two situations were separate and unrelated. Kirby on Friday acknowledged there was at least some link. 'The only connection was at the endgame,' he said. 'Iran was not behaving well. So a decision was made on the spot, given Iran's behavior, that we should hold up on the $400 million.' Many who have called the payment a ransom were not assuaged. 'The president and the State Department deceived us all, Congress and, more importantly, the American people,' said Rep. Mike Pompeo (R-Kan.), a member of the House Intelligence Committee. 'What the State Department said is their effort to begin to address that.'" http://t.uani.com/2bbPAa6

U.S.-Iran Relations

AP: "The Obama administration on Friday defended its decision to make a $400 million cash delivery to Iran contingent on the release of American prisoners, saying the payment wasn't ransom because the Islamic Republic would have soon recouped the money one way or another. In a conference call with reporters, senior administration officials said it made no sense not to use the money as leverage to ensure that four U.S. citizens were freed, especially as Washington was uncertain until the very moment their plane left that Iran would live up to its word. The administration's defense came after the State Department outlined for the first time that the Jan. 17 repayment of money from a 1970s Iranian account to buy U.S. military equipment was connected to a U.S.-Iranian prisoner exchange on the same day. Previously, President Barack Obama and other officials had denied any such linkage. The acknowledgement kicked off a torrent of Republican criticism, who declared it evidence of a quid pro quo that undermined America's longstanding opposition to ransom payments... But Friday's explanation, while more detailed than previous tick-tocks of the diplomacy, still didn't answer why the administration insisted for seven months that the money and the prisoners never became part of a common negotiation. 'Reports of link between prisoner release & payment to Iran are completely false,' State Department spokesman John Kirby tweeted earlier this month." http://t.uani.com/2breHeG

Press TV (Iran): "Iranian Defense Minister Brigadier General Hossein Dehqan says the Middle East and the entire world are grappling with the consequences of the US interventionist policies, stressing that Washington's strategies have failed in the region. Speaking in the pre-sermon address to worshippers at the weekly Friday prayers in Tehran, Dehqan said the September 11, 2011 attacks on the World Trade Center in New York led to the US invasion and occupation of the two Muslim countries of Iraq and Afghanistan. The whole world, including the Middle East region, is still grappling with the severe and profound consequences of this invasion and occupation, he added. Dehqan said the US thought that by pursuing the Greater Middle East strategy it could secure a permanent presence in the region and achieve its goals through claims of promoting stability, peace, security, democracy and welfare. He noted that Washington was also pursuing fueling the flames of insecurity and instability in the region in order to destroy the national capabilities of the countries standing against it." http://t.uani.com/2bpKN8L

Business Risk

Kyodo (Japan): "The Japanese Embassy in Tehran said Sunday that Ambassador Hiroyasu Kobayashi was briefly detained and questioned in a raid by security forces in April and that a protest had been lodged with the Iranian Foreign Ministry. While the reason for the raid remained unclear, the incident could amount to a violation of diplomatic immunity, which guarantees that foreign diplomats cannot be arrested or detained. Since last year's landmark nuclear deal between moderate-leaning President Hassan Rouhani and the West, numerous individuals in the country with contacts to the United States and Europe have been detained by hard-line opponents of the deal. There are growing fears that foreign nationals living in Iran are now being targeted for harassment. According to the embassy, the incident happened on the evening of April 28 when Kobayashi and his wife attended a dinner hosted by a local acquaintance. In total dozens of people, including other foreign diplomats, attended the event at which alcohol was served. Alcohol consumption is banned in Iran, although its consumption is widespread. Midway through the dinner, security authorities burst in and prevented attendees from leaving the venue as well as using their mobile phones." http://t.uani.com/2bpId2v

Kyodo (Japan): "The South Pars field in Iranian territorial waters is adjacent to the North Dome field, which is in Qatari territorial waters. They cover an area of 9,700 sq. km - 3,700 sq. km for South Pars and 6,000 sq. km for North Dome. The South Pars/North Dome field is the world's biggest gas field, with some 51 trillion cu. meters of reserves. 'Given that Iran's oil and natural gas reserves are one of the world's biggest, there is a possibility that Iran will play a part if Japan seeks to diversify its supply sources,' a Japanese gas and oil industry source said. Iran, however, has not been able to fully hawk its rich natural gas resources on the international market, with most of it consumed by the domestic market... The Japanese gas and oil industry source, however, cited relations between Iran and its neighbors, including Saudi Arabia, lingering sanctions from the United States and the slow reform of Iran's financial sector as major uncertainties impeding investment in Iran, on top of the Iranian presidential election next year. 'Probably Japanese companies cannot decide anything for now because there are too many uncertain factors,' the source said. Japanese companies also have bitter memories of doing business with the Iranian oil and petrochemical industries in the past." http://t.uani.com/2bIB0sq

Sanctions Relief

Reuters: "German exports to Iran, mostly machines and equipment, jumped in the first half of the year following the removal of international sanctions against the Islamic Republic, official trade data showed on Monday. Exports to Iran surged by 15 percent year-on-year in the first six months of 2016 to 1.13 billion euros ($1.3 billion), the Federal Statistics Office said. This compares with a rise of 1.4 percent in overall German exports in the same period and a fall of 14 percent in German exports to Iran in 2015. 'There is a huge demand in Iran for plant and equipment', said Michael Tockuss, head of the German-Iranian Chamber of Commerce, adding that chemical products and electrical engineering were also doing well. 'And there is growing demand for technology from the renewable energy sector, mainly wind power stations,' Tockuss said, adding that the reluctance of banks to finance bigger deals between German and Iranian businesses was slowly eroding. Tockuss said exports to Iran would further pick up in the coming months and are expected to rise by as much as 25 percent in the whole of 2016 and by 30 percent in 2017. 'The sanctions against Iran were built up over several years and it now will take some years to reverse them and establish new business ties,' he said." http://t.uani.com/2bbqECX

Mehr (Iran): "A fresh round of talks between Iran and Germany's Siemens was held in Tehran revolving around partnership in petrochemical industries during post-sanction era. Siemens AG company of Germany, after returning properties of Iran's oil industry which had been blocked due to international sanctions, has launched new negotiations with Iran over petrochemical cooperation in the post-JCPOA period. Accordingly, delegation comprising high-ranking directors of the German firm have travelled to Tehran and held meetings managers of Iranian petrochemical industries as well as the Association of Petrochemical Industry Corporations (APIC). The main axes of talks between the two sides include expansion of bilateral ties as well as boosting activities of the German firm in Iranian petchem industries by equipment and supply of parts to technical and management systems." http://t.uani.com/2bbJarQ

Iran Daily: "Iran has received all its payments for oil sales in the post-sanctions era and no oil money has been blocked in foreign banks since the nuclear deal, said deputy oil minister. 'Currently, Europe is paying for its oil purchases in full and if the sale is conducted via international brokers, we receive the money as advance payment prior to the delivery of the cargo,' Ali Kardor was quoted as saying by Mehr News Agency... He also criticized Saudi Arabia for trying to take Iran's oil markets. 'Our rival, Saudi Arabia, identifies our markets and then quickly starts talks with new oil buyers to gain a foothold in that market by offering special discounts,' Kardor said. 'That is why we cannot yet reveal the names of our oil customers, particularly those in Europe. This is an inimical competition and the stances of Saudi are a threat to us,' he concluded." http://t.uani.com/2bwNjcG

Financial Tribune (Iran): "A deputy oil minister announced on Saturday that no part of oil debts to Iran is blocked in foreign countries due to banking problems. 'The only remaining issue is about the way money is transferred via bank channels and the costs of oil exports for Iran that should be alleviated by the banking system,' Amir Hossein Zamaninia, Oil Ministry's deputy for international affairs, was also quoted as saying by IRNA. Zamaninia added that currently several Asian and European companies are interested in the purchase of Iranian oil and cooperation with Iran in a wide range of fields in the oil industry. Iran's Economy Minister Ali Tayyebnia also said this month that the country faces no hurdle in receiving oil revenues. 'Prior to the implementation of Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action, Iran had to pay a higher cost to earn oil revenues, though the country now sells oil without any additional costs,' he said. According to Tayyebnia, Iran is working with small- and medium-sized foreign banks, but faces problems in banking transactions with large ones, which will be alleviated in the near future." http://t.uani.com/2b9x08T

Foreign Affairs

AP: "Turkey's foreign minister says he has paid a surprise visit to Iran just days after the two countries agreed to greater cooperation on Syria despite their differences. Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu told Turkish state media on Friday that he stopped in Tehran on his way to India on Thursday. The Turkish and Iranian foreign ministers met in Ankara last week and said they would cooperate more on finding a lasting solution to the crisis in Syria." http://t.uani.com/2bYrYvz

Military Matters

AFP: "Iran released images of its first domestically built long-range missile defence system on Sunday, a project started when the country was under international sanctions. Images on multiple state news agencies showed President Hassan Rouhani and Minister of Defence Hossein Dehghan standing in front of the new Bavar 373 missile defence system. The system was designed to intercept cruise missiles, drones, combat aircraft and ballistic missiles, according to earlier statements by Dehghan... In an earlier speech at Friday prayers, he said: 'Our missile power is at such a level that we are able to destroy all our targets at any operational range.' Rouhani said in a televised speech on Sunday that Iran's military budget had more than doubled compared with last year. 'If we are able to discuss with world powers around the negotiating table, it is because of our national strength, because of our national unity,' he said." http://t.uani.com/2bbIgLR

Terrorism

Asharq Al-Awsat: "Commander of Hamas' West Bank Department Saleh al-Arouri has expressed deep concern over the high cost that the movement might pay to Iran in return for the military and financial support received by Izz al-Din al-Qassam Brigades, the armed wing of Hamas, sources affiliated with Islamic movement in Turkey said. Arouri, who resides in Turkey, accused Commander of Iran's Quds Force Qassem Soleimani of attempting to 'lure Hamas by blurring the identity of the Qassam Brigades and integrate it with Quds Force to become an Iranian executive tool.' Arouri said in a closed session that Soleimani wants Hamas' full loyalty similar to the Islamic Jihad movement, which announced its allegiance to Iran during a visit to Tehran by a delegation headed by its Secretary General Ramadan Shalah. Arouri expressed fear that Hamas would be blacklisted by Arabs and the West due to its armed wing's loyalty to Iran. He also feared that relations between al-Qassam and Iranian Revolutionary Guards might be similar to ties that exist between the Lebanese so-called Hezbollah and Iran." http://t.uani.com/2bpzaih

Regional Destabilization

Al Jazeera: "Iran has reportedly formed what it calls the 'Liberation Army' whose units will be deployed in Arab countries, according to a news website. Currently, Iran is involved in multiple conflicts where Shia and Sunni Muslims are locked in a power struggle, notably Syria and Yemen. Mohammad Ali Al Falaki, a retired commander of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps,  said in an interview published on Thursday by Mashregh News that Iran is fighting on three fronts: Iraq, Syria and Yemen. Iran 'created the Liberation Army in Syria under the leadership of Qassem Soleimani', said Falaki, who leads forces in Syria... 'The forces that belong to this army are not Iranians only. In any place where there is a fight, we organise and supply the army from the people of the area,' said Falaki." http://t.uani.com/2bucF8U

Al Arabiya: "Sources have told Al Arabiya.net that Iraqi Shiite militias belonging to Iran planned to target the Saudi ambassador in Iraq Thamer Al Sabhan, through the members of 'Mourtadha Abboud Ellami' group at the behest of 'Abu Mahdi Al Mouhandis' and the leaders of 'Asa'ib Ahl al-Haq' and especially the groups led by Akram al-Kaabi. The sources added that members of Mourtadha Abboud Ellami's group, reported the plan to the Iraqi foreign minister Ibrahim Al Jaafari, giving him a deadline to expel the Saudi ambassador from the country. Al Sabhan told Al Arabiya News these threats would not prevent him from helping Iraqi people, adding he was continuing his duties as normal, 'even more than before.' He said the Saudi embassy had taken the necessary actions and reported the issue to the Iraqi government, leaving it to bear its responsibility before the international community and its commitments. From its part, Asharq Al Awsat newspaper said Iran was plotting to assassinate Al Sabhan using RPJ7 rockets on his armored car." http://t.uani.com/2bOv1Fz

Domestic Politics

Bloomberg: "Iran's central bank is signaling that it will loosen its grip on the rial in an effort to end a dual-exchange rate system seen as an obstacle deterring foreign investment needed to rebuild the economy. Policy makers, in a decision reported earlier this month, allowed commercial lenders to buy foreign currencies using rial rates set by the market rather than those dictated by the central bank. Akbar Komijani, a deputy governor, said the regulator will be 'responsible for this market and will guide it.' Authorities are 'laying the foundation' for plans to unify the existing two rial-to-dollar exchange rates, said Kamal Seyedali, a former deputy governor. The move will lead to more cash entering the banking system rather than circulating through exchange houses, he said... Simplification could help 'attract foreign investors,' said Seyedali, who was at the central bank until January 2012 and looked after foreign-exchange affairs and is now chairman of the state-owned Export Guarantee Fund of Iran. 'Bringing foreign currency inside Iran, changing it to rials using the official rate and then returning their revenue at the market rate can lead to diminished profit,' he said." http://t.uani.com/2bbq7m7

Opinion & Analysis

Jay Solomon in WSJ: "Since the completion last year of a landmark deal limiting Iran's nuclear program, the country's supreme leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, has lashed out again and again at the U.S. for its supposed failure to live up to its end of the bargain. But a speech he gave on Aug. 1 in Tehran took his anti-American rhetoric to a new level. He accused the Obama administration of a 'bullying policy' and of failing to lift sanctions in a way that benefited 'the life of the people.' Mr. Khamenei ruled out cooperation with the U.S. in the fight against Islamic State in Iraq and Syria, telling his audience that Iran's experience with the nuclear deal 'showed us that we cannot speak to [the Americans] on any matter like a trustworthy party.' Many in the crowd chanted anti-U.S. slogans. Is Iran preparing to walk away from the accord? It's unlikely. Mr. Khamenei's speech was classical political posturing intended to rally his hard-line followers. But more than that, his bluster conceals a deeper strategic calculus. For all his complaints about American treachery, Mr. Khamenei and his allies recognize that the nuclear deal has produced significant benefits for their hobbled theocracy and may serve to further entrench the regime brought to power in the 1979 revolution... Since the accord was announced last summer, Mr. Khamenei and his elite military unit, the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps, have moved to solidify their hold. As international sanctions against Iran have slackened, the ayatollah and his core allies have expanded the Iranian military and pursued new business opportunities for the companies and foundations that finance the regime's key ideological cadres. Iran has continued to fund and arm its major regional allies, including the Assad regime in Syria, the Lebanese militia Hezbollah and Houthi rebels in Yemen-all of which are at war with America's regional partners-and the regime has continued to test and develop ballistic missiles. The government has also stepped up arrests of opposition leaders and political activists... Today, the 77-year-old ayatollah-who reportedly suffers from cancer-is seeking to cement his legacy and to shape the political transition that will occur once he is gone. The nuclear agreement provides him with the building blocks to do that, and for now, at least, Mr. Khamenei and his allies look to be the deal's big winners. The next U.S. administration is likely to face an unhappy choice: to continue to work with Iran or to challenge an increasingly entrenched supreme leader and his Revolutionary Guard. For its part, the Obama administration says that the nuclear deal blocks Iran from all paths to develop an atomic bomb and that the agreement's success doesn't depend on political change taking root in Tehran. They note that the deal is still in its early stages and suggest that an opening of Iran's economy could help reformists over time. They also insist that it has served the cause of peace in the region. 'The president and I both had a sense that we were on an automatic pilot toward a potential conflict, because no one wanted to talk to anybody or find out what was possible,' Mr. Kerry said in an interview. 'I have no doubt that we avoided a war. None.' To understand Mr. Khamenei's perspective on the negotiations and the resulting deal, the best place to start is Iran's nuclear program. The agreement requires Iran to accept key limitations: Previously, the country had nearly 20,000 centrifuge machines producing nuclear fuel and was on the cusp of possessing weapons-grade uranium. A plutonium-producing reactor was also nearly online. Today, only 5,000 centrifuges are spinning, the plutonium-making reactor has been made inoperable, and most of Iran's enriched uranium has been shipped out of the country. Iran also agreed to grant greater access to its nuclear sites to inspectors from the U.N.'s nuclear watchdog, the International Atomic Energy Agency, to prevent the country from diverting fissile materials to banned military purposes. 'There are serious constraints on their nuclear program for 15 years,' Energy Secretary Ernest Moniz, an important player in the negotiations, said earlier this year. 'Fifteen years, with serious verification measures, should give considerably more comfort to our allies in the region.' Mr. Khamenei, however, doesn't appear to share this view of the deal's constraints. Just as Iran's negotiators were agreeing to these terms in July 2014, the supreme leader delivered a speech about the nuclear program-without consulting his chief negotiator, Foreign Minister Javad Zarif, according to U.S. and European officials. In the address, Mr. Khamenei said that his oil-rich country needed at least 100,000 centrifuges to power its civilian nuclear program in the coming decades. This was more than 20 times what the Obama administration envisaged. Western diplomats wondered whether Iran's diplomats really spoke for the supreme leader." http://t.uani.com/2bucE4W
       

Eye on Iran is a periodic news summary from United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code. Eye on Iran is not intended as a comprehensive media clips summary but rather a selection of media elements with discreet analysis in a PDA friendly format. For more information please email Press@UnitedAgainstNuclearIran.com

United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a non-partisan, broad-based coalition that is united in a commitment to prevent Iran from fulfilling its ambition to become a regional super-power possessing nuclear weapons.  UANI is an issue-based coalition in which each coalition member will have its own interests as well as the collective goal of advancing an Iran free of nuclear weapons.

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