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The Hill:
"About a quarter of the Senate is urging President Obama to consult
with Congress over how the United State will respond to Iran if a deal
over its nuclear program is or isn't reached. Twenty-three Senate
Democrats made the request in a letter to Obama on Friday, in the third
letter Congress wrote to the White House this week on the subject. It's a
replica of a letter nearly 400 House members sent to Obama earlier in the
week. 'Because any long-term sanctions relief will require Congressional
action, we urge you to consult closely with us so that we can determine
the parameters of such relief in the event an agreement is reached, or,
if no agreement is reached or Iran violates the interim agreement, so
that we can act swiftly to consider additional sanctions and steps
necessary to change Iran's calculation,' the letter said... While Iran
should not be denied a peaceful program, the senators said they are
'gravely concerned' by Iran's industrial-scale uranium enrichment
capability and its Arak heavy-water reactor... The letter included
signatures from Armed Services Committee Chairman Carl Levin (Mich.) and
Banking Chairman Tim Johnson (S.D.), who did not sign a similar letter
that 83 senators sent to Obama earlier in the week. Some Senate Democrats
signed both... A group of nearly 400 House members also sent a similar
letter to Obama this week. All three of the letters called on Obama to
work with Congress on either legislation that would provide sanctions
relief if a deal is struck, or tougher sanctions in case talks fail. They
also called on the administration to keep every option on the table,
including military action. The new letter specifically highlights other
threats Iran poses to the U.S. and its allies, which they want to tackle
with the Obama administration. 'We remain deeply concerned by Iran's
state sponsorship of terrorism, its horrendous human rights record, its
efforts to destabilize its neighbors, its pursuit of intercontinental
ballistic missiles, and its threats against our ally, Israel, as well as
the fates of American citizens detained by Iran,' they wrote." http://t.uani.com/1giaIvb
WSJ:
"A U.S. hedge fund plans to bet as much as $100 million that it can
collect on a court judgment against Iran for one of the deadliest
terrorist attacks ever aimed at Americans, according to marketing
documents and people familiar with the matter. Three decades after an
Iranian-linked car bomber killed 241 American servicemen at a Marine
barracks in Beirut, RD Legal Capital LLC is seeking to raise that sum from
investors to buy stakes in the protracted litigation related to the
attack, according to the people. In 2007, a U.S. federal court judge in
Washington found Iran liable for the bombing and a judge last year
ordered a $1.8 billion payment to the families of the victims. However,
that payment hasn't been collected due to an appeal by the Iranian
central bank, and it could be years before the families see any money. RD
already is buying rights to some of the payments received by victims'
families, as well as fees earned by their attorneys involved in the case,
at a discount to face value. If the judgment is collected, the fund will
earn millions of dollars, the people familiar said." http://t.uani.com/1oU06Vl
Trend:
"Iran exported some 90 million tons of non-oil goods, worth $40.376
billion during the last Iranian calendar year (ended on March 20), the
country's ISNA news agency reported... Iran exported 83.293 million tons
of non-oil goods worth $37.363 billion during the first 11 months of the
last Iranian calendar year, which indicates a 15.73 percent increase and
a 1.52 percent decrease in terms of volume and value respectively,
compared to the first 11 months of the preceding year. China was the main
target of Iran's exported goods during the period. Iran exported goods
worth $6.582 billion, $5.265 billion, $3.237 billion, $2.31 billion and
$2.184 billion to China, Iraq, the UAE, India and Afghanistan
respectively during the period." http://t.uani.com/1jvsKZu
Nuclear Program & Negotiations
Global Security
Newswire: "A senior Russian envoy publicly urged
Iran to modify a heavy-water reactor now ready to produce plutonium when
it begins operating, Interfax reports... 'We think that our Iranian friends
and partners should demonstrate their goodwill, take international
concerns into consideration and find a way to modify, reconfigure the
Arak facility,' Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Sergei Ryabkov said in
comments reported on Thursday. Doing so, he said, would 'lift concerns
about its possible use in [an] arms program,' Ryabkov said on Wednesday,
as he warned that tensions in Eastern Europe could threaten international
cooperation in the talks. The Russian diplomat said he expected
negotiators to gain traction on the Arak dispute at their next high-level
meeting, which is scheduled to begin on April 7 in Vienna." http://t.uani.com/1jvyXEQ
Syria Conflict
NYT:
"The strong relationship with Russia, combined with recent
battlefield victories for the government, like its seizure of the hilltop
Crusader castle Krak des Chevaliers on Thursday along a strategic
highway, are reinforcing a sense here and abroad that Mr. Assad will stay
in power at least for the medium term. A pro-government Syrian journalist
assessed official views this way: 'Frankly, their attitude is, We don't
need Geneva.' ... To Russian and Syrian officials and their supporters,
the Syrian war and the standoff over the Crimean Peninsula are
essentially part of a single, larger battle, against post-Cold War
American unilateralism. They see themselves as resisting Western
conspiracies to topple inconvenient but legitimate presidents, Mr. Assad
in Syria, and in Ukraine, the pro-Russian leader Viktor F. Yanukovych,
whose flight in the face of street protests led to Russia's actions in
Crimea. 'Crimea is the next Syria,' said a Russian academic, leading a
delegation of students in Damascus this week to explore opening a branch
of a Russian institute here." http://t.uani.com/1fUfjyH
Domestic Politics
FT:
"Many Iranians see basij - the 12.5m-strong ideologically-driven
volunteer forces of the Revolutionary Guards - as stick-wielding
plainclothes thugs on motorcycles who beat up pro-democracy protesters or
attack European embassies. But at Café Kerase, these conservative
guardians of the 1979 Islamic revolution can be found sipping cappuccinos
and espressos, and discussing art and politics over snacks. 'We like this
café to be a hang-out for an exchange of thoughts, literature and art,'
says Mohammad Jafari, the 30-year-old manager whose 'dream is to be a
good basiji' and who holds a collection of university degrees including
mechanical engineering. Café Kerase - an old Persian word for 'book' -
gives a nuanced image of the paramilitary force and is an attempt to
embrace the values of the middle class and narrow the gap with the rest
of the society, although there has been no tangible change in the guards'
cultural policies following Iran's shift toward moderation under centrist
president Hassan Rouhani, who swept to power last summer." http://t.uani.com/1dplbFJ
Opinion &
Analysis
UANI Outreach
Coordinator Bob Feferman in the South Bend Tribune:
"The recent interest by many parties in normalizing business with
Iran highlights the fact that too many have forgotten the lessons of
history. It's important to remember the words of Nobel Prize Laureate
Elie Wiesel, a survivor of the Holocaust, who warned, '... the peril
threatening humankind today is indifference ...' Wiesel tells us what
indifference looked like in the years before and during World War II. But
what does it look like in 2014? We can see it ourselves, as hundreds of
multinational companies still do open business in Iran -- and more
eagerly look to renew business there -- while Iran continues to develop
its nuclear program, and provides massive support to the brutal regime of
Bashar Assad in the murder of more than 140,000 Syrian civilians. What
does indifference look like in 2014? We see it when Iran hangs its own
citizens in public squares on building cranes, and the companies that
manufacture those cranes defiantly do nothing about it. We also see
indifference as hundreds of human rights activists suffer in Iranian
prisons, while the manufacturers of electronic monitoring equipment
continue to sell Iran surveillance products. We see indifference when
Asian and European auto manufacturers continue to do business in Iran
with entities owned by the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps. These
automakers know that IRGC has supplied 100,000 rockets to Hezbollah in
Lebanon and terrorists in Gaza for the purpose of murdering Israeli
civilians and destroying any hope for peace between Israelis and
Palestinians. Yet the automakers continue business as usual in Iran. What
does indifference look like in 2014? When planeloads of European trade
delegations fly into Iran to discuss ways to line their pockets even
before Iran has agreed to halt its nuclear program, ended its support for
terrorists, while ignoring the repeated threats of Iranian leaders to the
destruction of Israel. What does the opposite of indifference look like
in 2014? It looks like the American people and their elected
representatives in the U.S. Congress and state legislatures -- including
the Indiana General Assembly -- imposing the toughest sanctions ever
against Iran and pursuing more. It is thanks to these sanctions that
American companies are prohibited from doing any business in Iran with
the exception of the sale of food and medicine. Yet it's not enough for
America, and a few key allies like Canada, to have tough sanctions when
much of the world is still doing business as usual in Iran." http://t.uani.com/1dpmpB5
Alan J. Kuperman
& Frank N. Von Hippel in NYT: "Next week
President Obama will join 57 world leaders in The Hague for the third
biannual Nuclear Security Summit. The first two summits played a critical
role in phasing out the use of highly enriched uranium as fuel in
research reactors to prevent its misuse by states or terrorists to make
nuclear weapons. But the previous conclaves have failed to address the
single largest use of such fuel: in nuclear-powered submarines and
aircraft carriers. At this summit, world powers must take an important
first step toward ending that dangerous and unnecessary practice.
International efforts to end the use of H.E.U. in research reactors began
in the 1970s. In its place, engineers developed low-enriched uranium
fuels - enriched to less than 20 percent - unsuitable for weapons. These
efforts have eliminated half the annual worldwide use of H.E.U. in
research reactors, or about 1,700 pounds, enough for 30 nuclear weapons.
But naval reactors use about four times as much H.E.U., over 6,000 pounds
per year. The United States is the biggest consumer, using about 4,500
pounds a year, more than the combined total of Russia, Britain and India,
the other three navies that use H.E.U. fuel. Each step of the H.E.U. fuel
cycle for naval reactors raises security concerns, from fabrication to
shipment to storage before loading into a reactor. Thefts have occurred
in both the United States (in the 1960s) and Russia (in the 1990s). Naval
use of H.E.U. also opens the door for other countries to demand the same
right. In Iran, the last administration, and more recently 100 members of
Parliament, have called for nuclear-powered submarines fueled by H.E.U.,
which would give it an excuse to produce and possess weapons-usable
uranium. But H.E.U. is not actually necessary for naval reactors. France
and China use low-enriched uranium in their nuclear submarines, and
Russia has developed an L.E.U. reactor for its next generation of
nuclear-powered icebreaker ships." http://t.uani.com/1lgqcD6
Bijan Khajehpour
in Al-Monitor: "In the last few years, amid economic
decline and hardships, one positive indicator has been the Iranian
economy's continuous trade surplus. Many expected the country's export
performance to collapse as a result of external sanctions. However, the
sharp decline in crude oil exports was compensated for by the decline in
imports and the modest growth in non-oil exports. According to the March
2014 issue of Eqtessade Iran magazine (Iran Economics), the country's
trade surplus is projected to reach $40 billion in the Iranian year 1392 (that
ended on March 20), up from $31 billion the previous year. Furthermore,
growing exports will lead to a trade surplus of $62.5 billion in the new
Iranian year 1393. In this picture, Iran's non-oil exports - meaning all
exports with the exception of crude oil and gas - will grow from $33
billion in 1392 to $37.7 billion in 1393. Based on the projections of
Iran Economics magazine, non-oil exports will have a 11.5% share in the
country's nominal gross domestic product (GDP) in the new Iranian year.
In 2009, non-oil exports represented a 7.2% share in the country's GDP,
only to fall as a result of sanctions and currency devaluation. The
hardest hit non-oil export sectors were the petrochemical and automotive
industries. Incidentally, the so-called plan of action agreed upon by
Tehran and the P5+1 introduced a suspension of sanctions on the two
mentioned sectors. A growing trend can be detected in the export
performance of Iranian companies, not just as a result of partial
sanctions relief, but as a consequence of the change of government, a
more confident business community and stability in exchange rates and
export laws. Evidently, the country has a major competitive advantage in
all industries that rely on gas, and related exports are on the rise.
However, the exports in the service sector (especially the export of
engineering services) are also growing. It is expected that Iran will
export $7.1 billion in services in 1393, up from $6.2 billion the
previous year. Expanding non-oil exports has been one of the recurring
objectives of Iranian governments in the past two decades. However,
unleashing the true potential of Iran's non-oil export potential would
require major reforms that were outlined in Al-Monitor in October 2013.
In this piece, we will look at the key sectors that have the potential to
contribute more to the country's export performance." http://t.uani.com/1jmoGPD
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