Wednesday, April 16, 2014

Geneva Interim Agreement: Updated Analysis

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FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE
April 15, 2014  
Contact: Nathan Carleton, press@uani.com
Phone: (212) 554-3296

Geneva Interim Agreement: Midterm Analysis
Three Months Into Agreement Implementation, Iran is Enjoying Substantial Sanctions Relief, Without Making Proportional Limits to Its Nuclear Program

New York, NY - Today, United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) released an updated analysis of the Geneva Interim Agreement. 

Halfway into the agreement implementation, Iran is enjoying substantial economic benefits from sanctions relief, while still developing its nuclear program. As Iranian President Hassan Rouhani said today: "Today we already see the sanctions unraveling." 

Since the signing of the accord, UANI has been maintaining its Geneva Interim Agreement Tracker (www.uani.com/geneva) to record these developments.     


Sanctions Relief By The Numbers

  UP 117%
Increase in Iran's oil exports from October 2013, before the Geneva interim agreement, to February 2014.
UP 17%
Increase in the value of the Iranian rial since Rouhani's election.
UP 62%
Increase in the value of the Tehran Stock Exchange index since Rouhani's election.
UP 15%
 UP 1.5%
Predicted growth in Iran's GDP for 2014/2015, following an estimated contraction of 1.7% in 2013/2014 and 5.8% in 2012/2013.
 




Pace of U.S. Sanctions Enforcement has Slowed


2013-2014 Iran SDN Sanctions Designations
Designation Announcements
Entities Added
4
25
6
15
2
39
20
3
31
38
--Rouhani Elected on June 14--
10
19
20
TOTAL Before Rouhani's Election
183
TOTAL After Rouhani's Election
49
TOTAL Designations Since Nov. 24 Geneva Agreement
39


Iran's Continued Nuclear Progress   

Last week, U.S. Secretary of State John Kerry acknowledged that the nuclear "concessions" Iran has made under the interim agreement have extended its nuclear breakout time only two weeks since the initiation of the deal, to a period of just two months. Iran continues to:
  • Develop new, advanced centrifuges.
  • Test long-range ballistic missiles.
  • Expand its stockpile of low-enriched uranium (LEU).
  • Acquire and smuggle banned components for its nuclear and ballistic missile programs.  

Iranian officials Continue to Hold to a Hardline on Nuclear Program   

Issue
Iranian Official
'Right to Enrich'
"We believe that we are entitled to any right that any NPT and (International Atomic Energy) Agency member has, which means that enrichment (of uranium) from 1% to 90% is our right." - Director of Iran's atomic energy agency Ali Akbar Salehi (April 13)
Size of Nuclear Program
"To meet the annual fuel needs of the Bushehr plant, we must have 50,000 first generation centrifuges in order to be able to produce 30 tons of nuclear fuel a year." [Iran currently possesses about 20,000 centrifuges] - Director of Iran's atomic energy agency Ali Akbar Salehi (April 13)
Research & Development
"All should know that negotiations will not stop or slow down any of Iran's activities in nuclear research and development." - Supreme Leader Ayatollah Khamenei (April 9)
Arak Heavy Water Reactor
"The (heavy-water nuclear) reactor of Arak will remain as the heavy-water reactor." - Deputy Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi (April 8)
Ballistic Missile Program
"We emphasize that topics that have to do with Iran's defense program have no place in these negotiations." - Foreign Minister Mohammad Javad Zarif (April 9)


Human Rights Under Rouhani

Since Rouhani took office, the pace of executions has increased in what can only be described as an "execution binge."

Executions
2013
349 
2014
188+ 
TOTAL
537+

Click here to view UANI's Geneva Interim Agreement Tracker.
Click here to view UANI's Rouhani Accountability Tracker.
Click here to view UANI's resource on "Rouhani's Record in Office."

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United Against Nuclear Iran (UANI) is a program of the American Coalition Against Nuclear Iran, Inc., a tax-exempt organization under Section 501(c)(3) of the Internal Revenue Code.

The Objectives of United Against a Nuclear Iran
  1. Inform the public about the nature of the Iranian regime, including its desire and intent to possess nuclear weapons, as well as Iran's role as a state sponsor of global terrorism, and a major violator of human rights at home and abroad;
  2. Heighten awareness nationally and internationally about the danger that a nuclear armed Iran poses to the region and the world;
  3. Mobilize public support, utilize media outreach, and persuade our elected leaders to voice a robust and united American opposition to a nuclear Iran;
  4. Lay the groundwork for effective US policies in coordination with European and other allies;
  5. Persuade the regime in Tehran to desist from its quest for nuclear weapons, while striving not to punish the Iranian people, and;
  6. Promote efforts that focus on vigorous national and international, social, economic, political and diplomatic measures. 
UANI is led by an advisory board of outstanding national figures representing all sectors of our country.


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